JacksNiffler

8 years Analyst of high-quality U.S. &HKEX stocks.

    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·12-19 14:16

      Hindenberg's SHORT is fatal to Sezzle

      Unlike Grizzly, Hindenburg Research has a pretty good shorting history.Yesterday it published a short on $Sezzle Inc(SEZL)$ , a report that sheds light on the company's financials, business model, and the risks it faces.Here's a summary of the key takeaways:Overachieving Financial PerformanceSezzle Inc. was founded in 2016 in Minneapolis, MN to provide Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) services.In the third quarter of 2024, the company had 2.7 million active users and 23,000 partner merchants.Transactional revenue accounted for approximately 52% of its revenue and subscription services accounted for approximately 33%.In the third quarter of 2024, Sezzle's total revenue jumped 71.3% year-over-year to $70 million, and net income jumped 1093% year-over-year t
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      Hindenberg's SHORT is fatal to Sezzle
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·12-17

      Quantum stocks are not same as AI: Take RGTI as example

      Core logic: The commercialization prospects, monetization paths, and timetables are different.Stakeholder disclosure: I hold the common stock but do not intend to hold it for a long time.Recently, quantum computing stocks have risen sharply. For example, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ launched the "Quantum Embark" service, and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ 's "Willow" quantum chip and other new developments have heated up this field. However, quantum computing cannot be commercialized on a large scale so quickly. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Take $Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ that I am following. Although it has also risen a lot following this market trend, i
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      Quantum stocks are not same as AI: Take RGTI as example
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·12-17

      What are the choices for Tax-Loss Harvesting?

      Tax-Loss Harvesting is an investment strategy for U.S. stocks from December to January and is mainly applied in the field of financial investment under a tax environment.For U.S. citizens, capital gains tax is very onerous. Tax-Loss Harvesting refers to when investors intentionally sell securities (such as stocks, funds, bonds, etc.) that are in a state of decline and loss in order to reduce taxable income. In this way, investors can offset capital gains with investment losses.As Tax-Loss Harvesting nears its end, the worst-performing stocks will see a rebound in trading.Historically, these stocks have exceeded by about 250 basis points on average from the last two weeks of December to the end of January.Some individual stocks with "more holdings by investors" in various industries with po
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      What are the choices for Tax-Loss Harvesting?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·12-12

      A weird stock performance, what is implying?

      $Macy's(M)$ has lost about 20-30% of its share price since it last rejected a tender offer.Given that the company was already in the "sunset" of its industry, the actual asset value is probably more of a concern than the market capitalization.After all, from the performance point of view, the slow decline, the view, the performance decline are within the investors' expectations.Q3 results: revenue down 3.1%, owned comparable sales down 3.0%, owned plus licensed plus marketplaces based comparable sales down 2.2%.Also lowered Q4 guidance and weaker than market expectations: full year sales of $22.3 billion to $22.5 billion market expected $22.6 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.25 to $2.50 versus the market's general expectation of $2.73.But what I found
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      A weird stock performance, what is implying?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·12-11

      What Quantum stocks could we follow as Google's Willow surprise the market?

      $Alphabet(GOOG)$ hung the whole market overnight with the Willow chip, and in the short term anyway, the sentiment could be to pull back a bit from the AI chip. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ But to be honest, at present, the application scenarios of the two are not quite the same, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ GPUs and in AI training is also irreplaceable.But short-term hot speculation can be involved in the target quantum computing field of companies include: $QUANTUM CORP(QMCO)$ The company specializes in quantum computing technology, with a recent share price of $20.21 and a market cap of nearly $980 million.
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      What Quantum stocks could we follow as Google's Willow surprise the market?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·12-04

      THE NEXT RACE OF AI FRENZY

      AI market has entered the second stage - cloud services software companies.From the performance of the Q3 fiscal quarter, in addition to the head of $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ the once popular fryers (SaaS) also basically confirmed from the performance of thesecondary acceleration, typically including $Snowflake(SNOW)$ $Okta Inc.(OKTA)$ $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ and many more.All of these companies are getting more customers because they have added AI to improve the efficiency of their output to downstream compan
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      THE NEXT RACE OF AI FRENZY
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·11-26

      A both Risk-on & Risk-off Strategy, will you follow?

      The single-leg 60,000-count, 120,000-count total of large orders from $Reddit(RDDT)$ which surged after its recent earnings report, wereSell Call of 220 due Jan 15, 2027 at 41.48Sold Put of 115 due Jan 15, 2027 for 32.48A typical inversed straddle strategy.The magic is, used in the 2027 options, expiration is still two years, the time span is very large, and choose the relative out-of-the-money price, in other words, he prefers to profit through the value of time, there is a certain "interest-eating" nature.But the bold and is the use of options seller, once the stock price breaks through the upper or lower limit, there may be a large loss.Let's do the math for him:The margin on the recently expired Reversed Straddle is relatively low, and at his
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      A both Risk-on & Risk-off Strategy, will you follow?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·11-26

      Tesla's Elon Risk 1.0

      First, I’m still a $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ shareholder.Last time I said a few "Musk Risk Points" about TSLA after the surge - What is Tesla's Elon Risk?, the core of which is, once Elon Musk is in politics, there will beThe core is that once Elon Musk is in politics, there will be a situation that "water can carry a boat and it can also overturn the boat", Trump's power can push up Tesla's stock price, but it can also bring risks when it is targeted.For example, for electric car subsidies, Tesla has been "artificially" excluded.On November 25, California Governor Gavin Newsom (the most competitive Democratic presidential candidate in 2028) proposed a new EV subsidy program designe
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      Tesla's Elon Risk 1.0
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·11-21

      Thoughs on NVDA Earnings Trading

      $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ was down nearly 5% after hours, then pulled back to basically pull back and stabilize around -2% afterward.This performance is also very much in line with expectations, and there are a couple of ways to look at the narrative so far:Q3 earnings beat sellers by 2B, well within buyers' expectations, but Q4 guidance didn't come in at 38-39B; sellers expected 37B for Q4 and actually guided for 37B, while buyers were a bit higher.So a 5% drop first is sort of profit taking feedback;Subsequently pulled back may also be some Rush-in funds are still not the overall trend is very good, and Jensen in the conference call also did not while on the Blackwell next year whether the exact completion of the capacity to climb the problem, the mai
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      Thoughs on NVDA Earnings Trading
       
       
       
       

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