JacksNiffler

8 years Analyst of high-quality U.S. &HKEX stocks.

    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·05-09 17:27

      Why Growth Stocks tumbles a lot?

      After the big tech companies report, it's the turn of a large number of growth stocks to be tested. Coinciding with the Treasury bond auction, market liquidity is also suppressed, the overall tone is "difficult to rise and easy to fall".Unless earnings are impeccable and investors with pricing power trade aggressively, the post-earnings rally is likely to be sustained. Otherwise, if one factor upsets the market, a plunge is possible.Typical factors include concerns about increased competition, fully price-in , and disappointment at lower guidance.Shopify - Increased Competition and Downward Growth $Shopify(SHOP)$ Q1 results beat expectations, with revenue up 23% year-over-year and gross margin expanding to 51.4%, but Q2 will be down about 50 bps,
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      Why Growth Stocks tumbles a lot?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·05-08 11:35

      How AI search engine affect Google?

      Just a few days ago the media reported that $Microsoft (MSFT) Preparing to launch a new in-house AI model for MAI-1 with about 500 billion parameters, it was recently revealed that OpenAI is developing a search function for ChatGPT.These have the potential to $Google (GOOG)$ The search brings competition. $Google A(GOOGL)$In fact, AI search is not to be bypassed, not only Google itself has begun to invest further, $Nvidia (NVDA)$ Rivals such as AI search startup Perplexity, which it has taken a stake in, are also primed to mature, as are
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      How AI search engine affect Google?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·04-30

      Buy the fear in Apple.. too?

      What happens to $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ the other day, is gonna happen to $Apple(AAPL)$ .As the Q1 financial report was officially released, the excessive pessimism previously held by the market towards TSLA has been alleviated. TSLA's stock price soared from a low of just $140 to over $190, rebounding by more than 35% in just four days.The gross margin is not as pessimistic as the market had estimated, and Musk's cost management remains reliable;Actions such as layoffs to reduce operating expenses have also begun, and there is hope for an improvement in profit margins;The further advancement of FSD, with price increases in the North American region, and this is a business with a higher profit margin.These l
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      Buy the fear in Apple.. too?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·04-28

      Deep OTM Unusual Options Could Mean A Lot

      On April 26th, there were unusual orders, but looking at a few with especially large trading volumes might not reveal much, because major technology companies happened to release their financial reports that week, and it was also Friday, so some investors would adjust their positions, roll over contracts, and some would close positions.If more attention is paid to the movements of unclosed orders that are in the money (especially deep in the money), one might be able to detect some large orders.There are investors starting to buy the $55 calls for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ with an average price of $20.81, betting on a rise above $170 within a month.After the financial report led to a sharp drop, there are investors who have bottom-fished the $380 calls
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      Deep OTM Unusual Options Could Mean A Lot
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·04-28

      Elon Musk Visiting China, For?

      $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Chief Executive Elon Musk was flying to Beijing on his Gulfstream G550 private jet on Sunday. It was at a time when the Beijing Auto China Show was in full swing.According to insiders, Musk is seeking to meet with senior Chinese officials in Beijing to discuss the launch of Full Self-Driving (FSD) software in China and to strive for approval to transfer data collected in China overseas to train the algorithms for autonomous driving technology.
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      Elon Musk Visiting China, For?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·04-26

      How Snapchat Beat in Q1 Earnings?

      $Snap Inc(SNAP)$ announced its Q1 financial performance, soaring 24% after hours. The Q1 financial performance Revenue saw a 21% year-on-year increase in first-quarter revenue to $1.195 billion, exceeding the expected $1.12 billion, mainly due to improvements in the advertising platform and increased demand for direct response advertising solutions Adjusted EBITDA is $46 million, expected to be -$67.6 million. DAU is 422 million, market expectations were at 420 million. Free cash flow is $38 million. Content platformDaily Active Users (DAU) reached 422 million, a 10% year-on-year increase in global content viewing time and audience numbers increased year-on-year,Spotlight and creator stories contributing the most Focus is on deepening content enga
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      How Snapchat Beat in Q1 Earnings?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·04-24

      How to choose after TSLA's 14% earnings surge?

      What to do after a big surge of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ? Two indicators worth paying attention to. Short positions. Since this week, due to the financial report event, short positions have actively reduced their positions, and it was not until April 23 that they continued to increase some speculative chips. However, the rise after hours is enough to make them cover, because the short covering of Tesla is generally about 1.2 days, and the trading frequency is very fast. According to the short trading situation of the previous quarter, the days after the financial report are often the most active trading period for short positions. Considering the sharp drop after the financial report of the previous quarter, the short positions have more advantage. S
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      How to choose after TSLA's 14% earnings surge?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·04-23

      What if Big-Tech 6 falls? Will Small-Cap follow?

      The seven giants are adjusting, but US stocks are starting to differentiate. Except for NVIDIA as a necessity, the other companies are facing expenditure, profit, and tests. The performance so far this year, except for Tesla plummeting, the rest have surged and then fallen back. In the unusual options activity on April 23, the shadows of the small-cap stock $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ and the emerging markets ETF $iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF(EEM)$ appeared. IWM's small-cap stock put option 8% out-of-the-money for next month is relatively neutral, implying that some investors are betting on the performance of small-cap stocks next month; the emerging markets are a 17% out-of-the-money call for Dece
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      What if Big-Tech 6 falls? Will Small-Cap follow?
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·04-18

      Apple's support may broke

      With the rise in risk sentiment, the market's heavyweight stocks have also begun to pull back. Although the performance of the seven tech giants this week has not been too different (except for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ), investors have significantly different expectations.Among them, the IVs of $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ have reached a historical high for the past year, which means that investors expect a large volatility to occur next (usually negative).And the tech giants' earnings reports are in two weeks. Theoretically, the IV level is quite high, but reaching the historical highest level directly indicates that the volatility expected by investors may n
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      Apple's support may broke
    • JacksNifflerJacksNiffler
      ·04-17

      Will ASML Earnings Crush the Market?

      $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Q1 earnings would burden the market?Let’s see how the report said.Revenue 5.29 billion euros, a year-on-year decrease of 20.9%, lower than the expected 5.47 billion euros. Among them, EUV machine revenue 1.8 billion euros, selling 11 units, slightly exceeding the expected 1.67 billion euros. GAAP earnings per share were 3.11 euros, higher than the market's expected 2.84 euros. At the same time, it is expected that the Q2 revenue in 2024 will be between 5.7 and 6.2 billion euros, lower than the market's expected 6.4 billion euros.TakeawaysDecline in orders is the main reason for miss, but not in EUV orders (est 9 units vs actually 11), shortfall was in the DUV;Increase in gross margin boots profit margin, consensus 48.8% vs
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      Will ASML Earnings Crush the Market?
       
       
       
       

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