To The Moon

On April 26th, there were unusual orders, but looking at a few with especially large trading volumes might not reveal much, because major technology companies happened to release their financial reports that week, and it was also Friday, so some investors would adjust their positions, roll over contracts, and some would close positions.If more attention is paid to the movements of unclosed orders that are in the money (especially deep in the money), one might be able to detect some large orders.There are investors starting to buy the $55 calls for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ with an average price of $20.81, betting on a rise above $170 within a month.After the financial report led to a sharp drop, there are investors who have bottom-fished the $380 calls

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Chief Executive Elon Musk was flying to Beijing on his Gulfstream G550 private jet on Sunday. It was at a time when the Beijing Auto China Show was in full swing.According to insiders, Musk is seeking to meet with senior Chinese officials in Beijing to discuss the launch of Full Self-Driving (FSD) software in China and to strive for approval to transfer data collected in China overseas to train the algorithms for autonomous driving technology.

$Snap Inc(SNAP)$ announced its Q1 financial performance, soaring 24% after hours. The Q1 financial performance Revenue saw a 21% year-on-year increase in first-quarter revenue to $1.195 billion, exceeding the expected $1.12 billion, mainly due to improvements in the advertising platform and increased demand for direct response advertising solutions Adjusted EBITDA is $46 million, expected to be -$67.6 million. DAU is 422 million, market expectations were at 420 million. Free cash flow is $38 million. Content platformDaily Active Users (DAU) reached 422 million, a 10% year-on-year increase in global content viewing time and audience numbers increased year-on-year,Spotlight and creator stories contributing the most Focus is on deepening content enga

What to do after a big surge of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ? Two indicators worth paying attention to. Short positions. Since this week, due to the financial report event, short positions have actively reduced their positions, and it was not until April 23 that they continued to increase some speculative chips. However, the rise after hours is enough to make them cover, because the short covering of Tesla is generally about 1.2 days, and the trading frequency is very fast. According to the short trading situation of the previous quarter, the days after the financial report are often the most active trading period for short positions. Considering the sharp drop after the financial report of the previous quarter, the short positions have more advantage. S

The seven giants are adjusting, but US stocks are starting to differentiate. Except for NVIDIA as a necessity, the other companies are facing expenditure, profit, and tests. The performance so far this year, except for Tesla plummeting, the rest have surged and then fallen back. In the unusual options activity on April 23, the shadows of the small-cap stock $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ and the emerging markets ETF $iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF(EEM)$ appeared. IWM's small-cap stock put option 8% out-of-the-money for next month is relatively neutral, implying that some investors are betting on the performance of small-cap stocks next month; the emerging markets are a 17% out-of-the-money call for Dece

With the rise in risk sentiment, the market's heavyweight stocks have also begun to pull back. Although the performance of the seven tech giants this week has not been too different (except for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ), investors have significantly different expectations.Among them, the IVs of $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ have reached a historical high for the past year, which means that investors expect a large volatility to occur next (usually negative).And the tech giants' earnings reports are in two weeks. Theoretically, the IV level is quite high, but reaching the historical highest level directly indicates that the volatility expected by investors may n

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Q1 earnings would burden the market?Let’s see how the report said.Revenue 5.29 billion euros, a year-on-year decrease of 20.9%, lower than the expected 5.47 billion euros. Among them, EUV machine revenue 1.8 billion euros, selling 11 units, slightly exceeding the expected 1.67 billion euros. GAAP earnings per share were 3.11 euros, higher than the market's expected 2.84 euros. At the same time, it is expected that the Q2 revenue in 2024 will be between 5.7 and 6.2 billion euros, lower than the market's expected 6.4 billion euros.TakeawaysDecline in orders is the main reason for miss, but not in EUV orders (est 9 units vs actually 11), shortfall was in the DUV;Increase in gross margin boots profit margin, consensus 48.8% vs

The "Fear and Greed" index has once again fallen back into the "Fear" rangeOrdinary investors may easily overlook the options of $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ , reflecting the volatility of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . It is a cost-effective "hedge" underlying.Remember the following points:- Index option trades are all cash settled, so there is no "stock acceptance" situation in Sell PUT trades.- VIX is the market's expectation of **future** volatility within 30 days, not a measure of current or past volatility.- VIX options have a "Rule Of 16", precisely 15.87, which is the square root of 252 (the number of trading days in a year). If VIX is at 16, SPX is expected to fluctuate 1% daily; if VIX is 24, daily fluctu

The market experienced its worst week in the past half year, except for the $Apple(AAPL)$ that rebounded last week, and the revalued $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ can barely support the market. Most other individual stocks have basically collapsed. Among the big tech stocks that fell the most in the past week is $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ but options activity indicates further actions by some large investors. As many tech stocks' IV Percentage has now returned to over 80%, it implies that the market is worried about further volatility. Sellers are hoping for higher IV, which might match the current trading conditions. In particular, the Call in June 2026 for META has seen

According to $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ since August last year, the monthly gold sales of $Costco(COST)$ may range between 100 to 200 million US dollars. Our work indicates that due to Costco's aggressive pricing and high customer trust, there has been a strong market interest in Costco. CNBC reported: The accelerated frequency of Reddit posts, rapid sellout of online products, and strong monthly electronic communication sales for Costco indicate a sharp rise in momentum since its launch. Costco sells one-ounce gold bars made of nearly pure 24K gold, with the product generally priced about 4% higher than the spot price. Currently, the sale of Costco gold bars is limited to five bars per customer (originally two ba