To The Moon

Baytex Energy Corp. is undervalued, trading at a 35% discount to book value, with strong fundamentals and catalysts in both U.S. and Canadian markets. Baytex's acquisition of Ranger Oil in the Eagle Ford basin has diversified its production, now over half of its daily output. The company is focused on reducing debt and returning capital to shareholders, with a free cash flow yield of 18% and attractive valuation multiples. BTE rates a strong buy for investors anticipating higher oil prices and improved market conditions for upstream E&P operators. FG Trade Latin/E+ via Getty Images Introduction Baytex Energy Corp. (NYSE:BTE) has traded in a fairly tight range for about a year now, oscillating between slightly less than $3.00 and $4.00 p

Liberty Energy Inc. offers diverse energy exposure and is poised for growth with the incoming administration's favorable energy policies, making it a Strong Buy. Despite recent financial setbacks, Liberty's strategic investments and ESG initiatives, like the Bettering Human Lives Foundation, highlight its long-term value and commitment to societal impact. The company's balance sheet remains robust, with disciplined capital deployment and a focus on delivering healthy free cash flow and shareholder returns in 2025. Market trends suggest a rebound in completions activity and pricing improvements, positioning LBRT stock for potential upside as the energy sector stabilizes. golero/E+ via Getty Images Introduction You want crude oil exposure? Liberty Energy Inc.'s (NYSE:

Kosmos Energy (KOS) has faced challenges but is poised for growth with the upcoming start of the Tortue LNG project, lower capex, and increased cash flow. Operational issues at Winterfell and Jubilee, and the FID delay for Tiberius, have been offset by positive developments in other projects and debt rescheduling. The balance sheet is stronger with new senior notes, and reduced capex will allow for debt reduction and potential shareholder returns by 2026. Despite current market reactions, I maintain a Strong Buy rating for KOS, with a price target of $8.00-$10.00 as cash flow improves. FatCamera/E+ via Getty Images Introduction Kosmos Energy, (NYSE:KOS) has had a tough year on Wall Street and in some of its GoM and Ghanan operations. The ma

Summary Civitas Resources, Inc. is a strong buy due to its aggressive M&A strategy, attractive valuation multiples, and substantial free cash yield. The company is leveraging its DJ and Permian Basin assets, focusing on cost reduction and production efficiency, with significant shareholder returns. Civitas Resources' hedging strategy ensures cash flow stability amidst commodity price fluctuations, aiding in rapid debt reduction and potential share buybacks. Investors with modest risk tolerance should consider CIVI for capital appreciation and exceptional free cash yield at current prices. georgeclerk/E+ via Getty Images Introduction It's not surprising to me that the E&P universe was so ripe for consolidation, beginning a couple of years ago. Over the past couple of years, a couple

Summary Canadian Natural Resources and Imperial Oil Limited have outperformed smaller heavy oil cohort members on an EV/EBITDA basis. Imperial Oil's stock has seen significant returns, with price targets ranging from the $60s to the $80s. The company's production has been meeting or exceeding goals, with potential catalysts in 2025 including new projects and increased output. We rate IMO as a hold and think there are better opportunities in the heavy oil cohort. We discuss one briefly in this article. Now lemme tell ya somethin...about oil sands. Ugur Karakoc Introduction As illustrated by the graphic below, at least two members of the Canadian heavy oil cohort have had a good first half of 2024. I refer to Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ),

Summary Patterson-UTI Energy has been struggling due to low commodity prices, but improvements in the natural gas market could reverse the trend. The company offers a range of services in the drilling and fracking sectors, and its cash conversion rates are among the top in the industry. The potential decline in shale production and increasing demand for gas in electricity generation and industrial usage could benefit PTEN. We rate PTEN as a buy at current levels. A pretty sight! grandriver Introduction Patterson-UTI Energy (NASDAQ:PTEN) has been treading water for most of this year as rig counts have suffered and frac spreads have gone to the house. The problem, of course, has been the slow withering of commodity prices, particularly on th

Summary Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. is a locally sourced producer of high-grade sand for fracking and is introducing a step-change in last mile sand logistics with the Dune Express conveyor belt. Analysts have a bullish outlook for Atlas, with estimates for Q4 EPS slightly above Q3's and estimates for Q2 and Q3 2024 showing an increase. Atlas has several advantages, including the Dune Express conveyor belt, access to the Pecos aquifer for sand mining, and efficient last mile logistics using triple-trailers. We like Atlas, but are hoping for a slightly better price, so it's a hold at present. alvarez Introduction The case for Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (NYSE:AESI) is not complex. The company is a locally sourced producer of high grade sand

Summary Kosmos Energy is currently trading at a discounted price, making it an optimal entry point for investors. The company's core thesis is the impending startup of the Greater Tortue Ahmeyim-GTA project offshore Senegal and Mauritania. Kosmos Energy has taken a 90% stake in the Yakaar-Teranga-Y&T field, which is expected to be larger than GTA and has strong market potential. We rate KOS as a strong buy at current prices but may look for a slightly better entry point, given present market conditions. Santa...Pssst. I'd like a full position in Kosmos Energy in my stocking. AlexRaths/iStock via Getty Images Introduction In my view, we are being given a gift by the market's current disdain for everything related to oil or gas. Burgeoning supplies of oil and gas, combined with demand fe

Summary Dril-Quip, Inc. is a company focused on complementary operations and sales items in deepwater, carbon capture, and offshore wind farms. The company's stock is at a recent low after missing on the bottom line in the recent quarter. Dril-Quip has a long runway for growth and may be a buy at current levels, especially if there is a major upcycle in offshore operations that we anticipate. We are calling a buy on Dril-Quip, Inc. at current levels for risk-tolerant investors. CHBD Introduction We haven't written up Dril-Quip, Inc. (NYSE:DRQ) previously, and that's a regrettable oversight on our part. It's a company with which I used to be very familiar due to their focus on deepwater connectors and liner hangers...the bits and bobs that m

Summary Comstock Resources stock is down 20% due to warmer weather and high gas storage levels. New LNG plants set to open in 2024-2026 will create new demand for gas. The future investment case for Comstock Resources depends on higher gas prices and potential catalysts in the Haynesville region. CRK is in the buy zone at current prices. viafilms/iStock via Getty Images Introduction Comstock Resources (NYSE:CRK) is down 20% this month, following a decline back to the low-3's for Natty. Warmer weather and the prospects of more of the same, just crushed the stock. Then there are the relentless injections into gas storage, nearing what some call tank-top, with the addition of another 60 BCF last we