melson

FIRE

    • melsonmelson
      ·03-28 11:13

      donald j trump

      $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ meteoric rise fits the owner trump. this year we will have a presidential rematch between biden and trump. this is one of the intangible assets of djt. another one is trump's fame even if he doesn't win the election.  short sellers for djt have to pay very high fees to borrow shares to short. the other way to short is to buy puts.  djt behaves like meme stocks. the recent $Reddit(RDDT)$ and $VinFast Auto(VFS)$ listings were very volatile. vfs ended in a meteor shower... djt may have more upside above 95 as intangible assets are hard to measure and depends on subjectivity do apply automatic investment system
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      donald j trump
    • melsonmelson
      ·03-27 10:41

      tsla

      $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  has been on a bear trend. recently the rocket launch was hailed a success but the rocket went missing. cathie wood doubled down on tsla as tsla share price trends down.  looking at tsla's pnf, it is heading towards 158 to form a double bottom before rebounding to 243.  tsla is the leader of the ev industry. ev industry growth is declining. tsla is trying very hard to maintain market share by cutting prices. a price war in the ev industry is raging. this eats into profits and even causes huge losses in small ev stocks. some ev stocks went bankrupt.  the ev industry is heavily affected by the fed interest rate. borrowing cost went from easy money to sky high. the recent fomc meeting
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      tsla
    • melsonmelson
      ·03-26

      agm

      $Apple(AAPL)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  meta were hit by eu probe digital market act. this may lead to huge fines. previously, the rumor has it that aapl might adopt googl's generative ai. soon after the probe was announced.  aapl has potential to run up to 220 according to Fibonacci retracement applied to pnf chart. however, it might pullback to 166 before rebounding up. googl has potential to go up to 190 according to Fibonacci retracement applied to pnf chart. however, it has probably recently jumped up just to clear the gap down from 151.19. the recent jump up also resulted in a gap up from 143.18. looking at the lost in mome
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      agm
    • melsonmelson
      ·03-25

      spy

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  is the etf for $S&P 500(.SPX)$  . according to the pnf for spy, it has potential to hit 550. that translates to about 5500 for spx. it should be able to hit this level by end of this year. in the midst, it will most likely be punctuated with consolidation, pullbacks, corrections, etc.  the bull trend normally lasts for 4 to 10 years. the bear trend can last 1 to 2 years. if you examine the pnf chart, you can see that spy is mostly on an uptrend.  another important indicator to track is $FTSE 100(.UKX.UK)$ , it is the leading indicator o
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      spy
    • melsonmelson
      ·03-24

      Guess the winner,Earn Tiger Coins

      Find out more here:Guess the winner,Earn Tiger Coins Come and participate in the“ Guess the winner,Earn Tiger Coins” event, find the trade master and invite friends to get up to 250 tiger coins. merci @koolgal pour l'invitation. come join mes amis @Aqa  @Asphen  @BenjiFuji  @DiAngel  @Fenger1188  @GoodLife99  
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      Guess the winner,Earn Tiger Coins
    • melsonmelson
      ·03-22

      clearing gap up

      $FTSE China Bull 3X Shares(YINN)$ fell after china kept its 1 year loan prime rate at 3.45%. economists have expected a cut as this will help lower corporate borrowing costs. previously, the 5 year loan prime rate was cut to 3.95% from 4.2%, a larger than expected cut to stimulate the ailing property market. Hong Kong even scraped its property curbs to revive its property market.  yinn jumped after fed's dovish stance even though inflation showed resilience. however, this jump was short lived. yesterday, the jump was almost erased and overnight trading today suggests it is heading lower to close the gap up from 18.104.  analysis of yinn's pnf shows that the uptrend is still intact and it has legs until 28.  yinn is the leading
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      clearing gap up
    • melsonmelson
      ·03-21

      fed led rally

      here's a summary of last night's fomc meeting Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference suggested that the Fed is on track for a rate cut in June and 3 rate cuts this year. ☀️ Powell's remarks indicate that the Fed wants to cut rates as soon as it is responsible to do so. The Fed is waiting for greater confidence in inflation reaching the 2% target before cutting rates. There is some uncertainty about whether the rate cut will happen in June or July, The Fed signaled a more gradual path of rate cuts overall, starting in June. ☀️The Fed may slow down the pace of balance-sheet runoff as soon as May. this is the equivalent to a rate cut off 25 to 50 bps depending the size of tapering. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 
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      fed led rally
    • melsonmelson
      ·03-19

      sell the news

      after the much awaited gtc, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  sold off during overnight trading. inflation data came in hotter than consensus. this is making the fed push back plans to cut rates in the second half of the year. looking at the pnf chart of nvda, it is a long pole up. this signals that there will be a period of consolidation. the price will fluctuate in a trading range for a long period of time before making new high. this will occur when the majority laggards join the generative ai craze or when the fed signaled interest to cut interest rate.  nvda has potential to run up to 966, but it would take about a year. the consolidation phase will take about 6 months or more. 
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      sell the news
    • melsonmelson
      ·03-15

      inflation resilience

      recent ppi data released yesterday came in at 0.6% twice the consensus of 0.3%. in jan, ppi came in hotter at 0.9% versus 0.6% estimate. cpi came in hotter at 3.2% vs 3.1% estimate. feb pce came in at 2.8% as expected.  ppi - producer price index cpi - consumer price index pce - personal consumption expenditure the inflation data so far suggests inflation resilience. this is making the fed hesitant to cut rates. cutting the rates too early will result in the rebounding of inflation. cutting too late will result in recession as borrowing costs are too high to sustain economic activity.  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  and $HSI(HSI)$  both pulled
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      inflation resilience
    • melsonmelson
      ·03-14

      ppi rebounding?

      feb ppi out tonight. this is missing from economic calendar of tiger? in jan, ppi came in hotter at 0.9% versus 0.6% estimate. cpi came in hotter at 3.2% vs 3.1% estimate. feb pce came in at 2.8% as expected.  ppi - producer price index cpi - consumer price index pce - personal consumption expenditure the inflation data so far suggests inflation resilience. this is making the fed hesitant to cut rates. cutting the rates too early will result in the rebounding of inflation. cutting too late will result in recession as borrowing costs are too high to sustain economic activity.  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  is jittery in the short term as the fed rate decision will be coming soon 21 mar. in the long run,
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      ppi rebounding?
     
     
     
     

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