orsiri

Mystical Stock Wizard

    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-28 11:21

      The Landlord, Not the Tenant

      Most investors still talk about Broadcom as if it were simply another beneficiary of the AI boom, a sort of well-positioned tenant riding Nvidia’s coattails. I think that framing is not just lazy, it is structurally wrong. Broadcom is no longer competing for floorspace inside the AI data centre. It increasingly owns the land, writes the zoning laws, and collects rent whether the buildings are fashionable or not. That distinction matters enormously when valuations start to feel uncomfortable. Broadcom isn’t renting space — it’s writing the zoning laws What makes $Broadcom(AVGO)$ interesting in 2026 is not raw compute performance but architectural control. This is an infrastructure story masquerading as a chip story, and the market is only just begi
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      The Landlord, Not the Tenant
    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-24

      From Veins to Volume: Aris Mining’s Boring Turn Into Something Valuable

      The Porphyry Pivot: How Aris Mining Is De-Risking Colombian Gold Through Industrial-Scale Underground Mining While analysts still tend to file Aris Mining under ‘high-risk Colombian juniors,’ the company is quietly doing something far less exciting—and far more valuable. It is building an underground gold operation designed to behave less like a prospecting venture and more like a factory. The market loves romance in mining. What it often struggles to price correctly is repeatability. That mismatch matters, because $Aris Mining(ARMN)$ no longer resembles the speculative profile it is routinely assigned. With a market capitalisation around US$4 billion, nearly US$770 million in trailing revenue, and operating margins above 40%, this is not a story
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      From Veins to Volume: Aris Mining’s Boring Turn Into Something Valuable
    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-23

      The Toll Booth with No Traffic Accidents

      How Erie Indemnity quietly collects its cut while others wrestle the wreckage A Strange Beast in a Familiar Zoo Most insurance stocks behave exactly as you would expect. They obsess over weather maps, argue with regulators about rate filings, and spend earnings calls explaining why ‘this year was unusual’. Erie Indemnity does none of that, largely because it does not actually insure anyone. Erie sells tickets while others wrestle the storm That makes it a strange creature indeed. $Erie Indemnity(ERIE)$ lives inside the insurance ecosystem but outside its danger zone. It does not price risk, reserve for losses, or pay claims. Instead, it runs the machinery—distribution, systems, administration—for Erie Insurance Exchange and collects a management f
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      The Toll Booth with No Traffic Accidents
    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-23

      Running the Numbers, Not the Catwalk

      From Trainers to Operating Leverage: Why I Think On Holding Is Being Valued Like a Platform, Not a Brand $On Holding AG(ONON)$ rarely gets discussed in the same breath as software platforms, yet that is exactly how Wall Street is beginning to frame it. I find that intriguing, because on the surface this is still a Swiss sportswear company selling trainers, apparel and the occasional sharply priced jacket. Look closer, however, and the market’s enthusiasm starts to make sense—this isn’t fashion infatuation, it’s a numbers-driven bet on operating leverage. Not a shoe story—an operating system in premium apparel form The share price tells a familiar growth-stock story. After peaking above 64, the stock has pulled back into the mid-40s, leaving it dow
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      Running the Numbers, Not the Catwalk
    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-21

      Fibre With Teeth: Why Lumen Is Becoming AI’s Toll Bridge

      I am not revisiting $Lumen Technologies(LUMN)$ because I have suddenly developed a soft spot for telecom turnarounds. That story is well worn and usually ends with investors discovering that leverage and secular decline make poor travelling companions. What interests me in early 2026 is something far more specific and far less nostalgic. Lumen is quietly positioning itself as a control point in the physical flow of AI data, at precisely the moment when data movement is becoming as strategically sensitive as compute itself. This is not a comeback story. It is a bottleneck trade. Data flows everywhere—except where Lumen controls the route Control beats capacity The prevailing narrative around Lumen’s AI pivot focuses on selling fibre to hyperscalers
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      Fibre With Teeth: Why Lumen Is Becoming AI’s Toll Bridge
    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-21

      From Hot Trade to Hard Wiring

      When Bitcoin Stops Behaving Like a Trade and Starts Acting Like Infrastructure This Is Not a Price Call, It’s a Plumbing Inspection Asking where Bitcoin trades next quarter is the wrong question—possibly even a boring one. The more relevant question is how it is now being used. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF has quietly crossed a threshold from speculative access point to something closer to financial infrastructure. An asset once explained with memes is now explained with risk committees, which may be the clearest sign of maturation yet. Bitcoin’s wiring is now being installed into mainstream portfolios IBIT is no longer behaving like a vehicle for excitement. It is behaving like a component. Components are not bought for thrills; they are installed, monitored, and only discussed when they fail.
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      From Hot Trade to Hard Wiring
    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-20

      Flash, Not Flair: Why SanDisk Owns the AI Bottleneck

      When AI Hits the Storage Wall For the past two years, AI investing has felt like a talent show judged exclusively on compute. Faster chips, bigger clusters, louder earnings calls. Storage, meanwhile, was expected to sit quietly in the background and do its job. SanDisk’s recent surge suggests that assumption has finally collapsed. When a stock climbs more than seventy percent in the first eleven trading days of the year, crossing $400 in the process, something more structural than enthusiasm is at work. AI’s speed meets storage’s choke point—SanDisk holds the gate My view is that SanDisk’s real edge is not AI excitement, but control over a narrow and suddenly irreplaceable choke point in the data-centre buildout. Intelligence without memory is not just useless; in AI training environments,
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      Flash, Not Flair: Why SanDisk Owns the AI Bottleneck
    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-19

      AI Without the Hype: IBEX’s Quiet March From Headsets to Hard Cash

      From Call Centres to Cognitive Infrastructure: Why IBEX Is Quietly Becoming an AI Cash-Flow Compounder Most AI investment narratives still orbit the same celestial bodies: chips, clouds, and code. I find $IBEX Ltd.(IBEX)$ interesting because it lives somewhere far less glamorous and far more accountable. It operates at the execution layer of customer experience, where AI is no longer judged on promise or demos but on whether it actually lowers costs, improves outcomes, and shows up in margins. In today’s environment, that distinction is everything. AI quietly replacing call centres, one customer interaction at a time IBEX is not selling AI as a concept. It is selling operational results. Enterprises have largely moved past the experimentation phas
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      AI Without the Hype: IBEX’s Quiet March From Headsets to Hard Cash
    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-17

      Driving Boring on Purpose: Kodiak AI’s Quiet Bid to Own the Motorway

      From Science Project to Supply Chain Infrastructure: Why I See Kodiak AI Crossing the Commercial Rubicon I have grown increasingly sceptical of autonomous vehicle stories framed as moonshots. They tend to promise robo-everything, everywhere, all at once, and then quietly collide with reality. Kodiak AI feels different, not because its technology is flashier, but because its ambition is deliberately dull. I do not see $Kodiak Robotics(KDK)$ as an autonomous vehicle company chasing a sci-fi future. I see it as a nascent piece of freight infrastructure, inching its way into the most economically dense arteries of global trade. That distinction matters more than most investors realise. Autonomy succeeds when it becomes infrastructure, not spectacle Aut
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      Driving Boring on Purpose: Kodiak AI’s Quiet Bid to Own the Motorway
    • orsiriorsiri
      ·01-15

      Scarcity Is the New Moat at Intel

      Intel’s Quiet Repricing: Why Scarcity, Not Sentiment, Is Driving the Next Leg of the Turnaround Intel’s resurgence has been widely misunderstood. This is not a forgiveness rally, nor a nostalgic bet on past dominance. The market is not suddenly convinced Intel has become the most elegant chip designer in the room. What is happening instead is far more pragmatic. $Intel(INTC)$ is being repriced because it can ship at scale in a world where scale has quietly become scarce. When supply matters more than stories, scarcity builds a moat That distinction matters. Scarcity, unlike sentiment, is stubborn. It does not care about old narratives, only about who can deliver when demand arrives. Right now, demand is arriving in bulk. When ‘Sold Out’ Stops Bein
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      Scarcity Is the New Moat at Intel
     
     
     
     

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