To The Moon

$Royal Caribbean Cruises(RCL)$ Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) is currently trading around $246.28 per share, with a market capitalization of $66.2 billion. Over the past year, the stock has experienced a significant 115% increase. Looking at the last five years, pre-pandemic prices were around $133, and the stock dropped by 80%, but it has since rebounded, surpassing pre-pandemic levels by 92%. Today, I will analyze whether Royal Caribbean is a buy using multiple valuation methods: the discounted free cash flow model, the comparable company model, the dividend discount model, and the Ben Graham formula for intrinsic value. To begin, entering the ticker RCL into my automated stock valuation spreadsheet loads the latest financial data, allowing for a

$BP PLC(BP)$ $Total SA(TTE)$ $SHELL PLC(RYDAF)$ $Eni SpA(E)$ $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ China Reducing U.S. Oil Imports Welcome back from Xmas holiday. Today, we're focusing on the escalating energy crisis that threatens both Europe and the United States as major commodity consumers and producers. This is largely fueled by the G7 disruptive moves against China-Russia, starting with China's significant withdrawal from U.S. energy imports. For years, China was a major buyer of U.S. crude oil. In 2023, they imported a staggering 450,000 barrels daily—more than double their 2022 volumes—becoming

$Global Net Lease(GNL)$ As of December 27, 2024, GNL's stock closed at $7.20, which is approximately 43% below its all-time high closing price of $12.74 on June 2, 2021. The stock had drop for continues 9 strait year!!! How come still have people buying this stock. The stock's 52-week low is $6.52, indicating that while it has approached this low recently, it has not yet reached a new all-time low. The decline in GNL's stock price can be attributed to several factors, including high leverage and under performance relative to its peers. Additionally, the company has been undergoing a deleveraging strategy, involving asset dispositions to reduce debt, which has influenced investor sentiment and stock performance. Company Overview GNL owns a diversifi

A Cost-Effective Approach to US Economic Exposure Large-cap US companies often operate on a global scale, making their revenues more sensitive to the global economic environment. In contrast, small- and mid-cap companies are generally more focused on domestic markets, providing investors with more direct exposure to US economic performance. Given the current high valuations of large-cap stocks, small- and mid-cap stocks present a more cost-effective alternative for investors seeking to benefit from the robust US economy. As illustrated in Figure 1, the price gap between small and large caps highlights that gaining or increasing exposure to US economic strength does not have to come with a high price tag. Key Trends Favoring Small- and Mid-Cap Stocks While small- and mid-cap stocks have tra

$Global Net Lease(GNL)$ $Agree(ADC)$ In today's article, I'll discuss the darker side of the Real Estate Investment Trust sector and highlight two REIT comparison and what REITs that you should avoid at all costs. Internally or Externally managed REITs The REITs to avoid is externally managed REITs. It's important to understand that REITs can be either internally or externally managed, and while this may seem like a small detail, it's actually a big deal. Internally managed REITs have dedicated management teams that work directly for the REIT, with their compensation often tied to performance metrics such as growth and returns. This creates better alignment between management and shareholders, as well as ec

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ When it comes to stock trading, the debate between money and passion is a common one. Both are important, but they serve different purposes in a trader's journey. Money is often the primary motivator for many traders. The potential for profit is what draws people to the stock market in the first place. After all, trading is about generating wealth, and without the desire for financial gain, there's little incentive to take on the risks involved. However, focusing solely on money can lead to emotional decision-making, impulsive trades, and ultimately, losses. Passion, on the other hand, can be a more sustainable driver. A passion for learning about markets, understanding the intricacies of different stocks, or developing stra

$Mapletree Log Tr(M44U.SI)$ Merry Xmas investors! Today we are going to discuss Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT)—and for good reason. MLT is a compelling REIT, benefiting from the booming logistics sector and driven by a proactive management team that continuously recycles capital into higher-quality assets. Despite its growth focus, MLT has maintained an attractive dividend yield, making it appealing to income-oriented investors. However, I’m never overly attached to any REIT. My approach is to evaluate continuously and exit those that no longer align with my long-term goals. Recently, I noticed signs of potential risks spreading within MLT’s portfolio, which got my attention. While the ongoing challenges in China were expected, Hong Kong now a

$Polestar Automotive(PSNY)$ Once a Multi Billion Market Cap company fall from 27 Billion to 2.2Billiion…The MEME Story Continue Earning Overview Polestar, the Swedish electric vehicle manufacturer, reported delivering approximately 11,900 cars in the third quarter of 2024, bringing total deliveries for the first nine months of the year to 32,300, down from 41,844 during the same period in 2023. Fundamental Analysis Shares of Polestar, an electric vehicle (EV) company, have dropped over 93% since the IPO year in 2021, bringing the stock price to approximately $0.50-1 per share. The company currently has a market capitalization of $2.2 billion, with $668.91 million in cash on hand. However, it also carries $57.96 billion in liabilities. Polestar’s f

$Nike(NKE)$ Today is my update on Nike stock, so let’s dive into it. The stock has been a significant disappointment, experiencing a consistent downtrend since its peak around $170–$175 per share in 2021. As shown in the chart, this decline has been relentless. I’ve discussed Nike stock extensively in my previous article since 2022, when it was trading between $120–$130 per share. My fair price has consistently around $65 per share, and now the stock is edging closer, currently trading at $76. However, I’ve noticed some recent developments that make me cautiously optimistic. I’ll break down Nike’s latest earnings report, provide a simple valuation model, and share my updated opinion on whether Nike presents a generational buying opportunity or rema

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Brookfield Corp(BN)$ $CapitaLandInvest(9CI.SI)$ Hello investors! There's a popular saying in investing: Focus on the downside, and the upside will take care of itself. That’s why I’ve been keeping a close eye on the risks associated with rising interest rates and, more recently, the implications of a slower pace of rate cuts on REITs. However, today I want to discuss something different—something that’s been keeping me awake at night. It’s a risk I believe every investor should consider, particularly in the current market climate. The concern? Valuations. You might be thinking, Aren’t REIT valuations still near historical lows based on price-to-ne