To The Moon

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Global Exporters in Crisis: The Devaluation Race Begins The effects of America's trade war are now surfacing in unexpected ways, extending far beyond direct tariffs. Central banks worldwide are in a state of panic as the slowing U.S. economy leads to reduced demand for the dollar. Since Trump took office, the dollar has been steadily weakening, approaching its 2014 lows. This marks the third consecutive month of decline, with the trend likely to persist for at least another quarter. Because global trade is still primarily conducted in U.S. dollars, this depreciation creates a major problem for everyone. For the U.S., a weaker dollar means higher domestic inflation, as

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ The U.S. Economy’s Fragile Foundation If there’s a single, ultimate indicator of the health of the U.S. economy, we might have found it today. The economy often appears to be a complex system, but at its core, one simple equation holds true: U.S. deficits prop up economic growth. The Unsustainable Growth Model Last year, the U.S. ran a deficit of 6.4% to generate just 2.3% GDP growth—meaning every dollar of government spending produced less than 50 cents in real economic progress. This is clearly unsustainable. So, what happens if we pull the plug and dramatically cut government spending? We risk collapsing the primary driver of growth. Bessent’s Vision: A Controlled L

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ The U.S. Needs More Debt Buyers The economic outlook for the world’s largest economy is becoming increasingly grim. Since the onset of the trade war, projections have steadily worsened, and now, even the Federal Reserve’s own estimates suggest that the U.S. economy is contracting by 1.8%, a sharp reversal from the 2.3% growth recorded the previous year. This decline was inevitable—when government spending is cut amid a trade war, domestic consumption suffers. Americans are becoming increasingly concerned about their financial future, and consumer sentiment is plummeting back to its 2022 lows. The effects of this shift are being felt across the economy. As people tighte

$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ Evaluating Carvana’s Potential Carvana is an intriguing company to evaluate. It operates within the vast used car market but currently holds only about a 1% market share of this enormous opportunity. The used car market is also highly inefficient, which allows companies like Carvana and CarMax to step in and improve information transparency, easing concerns from potential buyers about purchasing used vehicles. However, the question remains: should long-term investors consider buying Carvana stock today? In this video, I will address that question by examining the company's revenue growth, profit margins, and returns on invested capital. I will also discuss recent strategic missteps that cost the company significantly post-pande

$Target(TGT)$ Today, I’ll be discussing Target stock, which has dropped over 22% year-to-date. It’s shocking to see such a well-regarded company trading at its five-year low, up only 11% over that period. I'll be analyzing whether this presents a generational buying opportunity for investors or if Target is simply a value trap to avoid. There's been a lot of interest in the stock, especially among dividend investors and users on X, so I want to share my thoughts. Earning Overview Strong Earnings Report, But A Weak Outlook Despite a solid earnings report—beating expectations with earnings per share of $2.41 versus $2.26 and exceeding revenue forecasts—the broader outlook for Target remains concerning. Sales and Revenue: Net Sales: $30.9 billion, a 3

$GoDaddy(GDDY)$ GoDaddy has experienced strong performance over the past six months, with its shares outperforming the S&P 500 by 8.7% last year but The stock is currently priced at $183.99, reflecting a drop of 13.8% increase. This boost can be attributed to its solid quarterly results, leading investors to consider their next steps in light of the company’s positive performance. Earning Overview For the quarter ending December 2024, GoDaddy (GDDY) reported revenue of $1.19 billion, marking an 8.4% increase compared to the same period last year. Earnings per share (EPS) were $1.42, up from $1.08 in the year-ago quarter. The reported revenue exceeded the Consensus Estimate by 1.38%, as the estimate was $1.18 billion. However, the reported EPS

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Intel(INTC)$ A High-Stakes Battle for Tech Dominance Let’s dive into the ongoing semiconductor battle between the U.S. and China—a high-stakes competition that could shape the future of technology. Over the past two years, the Biden administration has aggressively targeted China with sweeping sanctions, particularly in the semiconductor sector. The goal? To cut China off from cutting-edge chips made by U.S. companies like Nvidia and, ideally, cripple its tech industry. The Final Wave of Sanctions Divides the World Before leaving office, Bide

$Chewy, Inc.(CHWY)$ A Promising Online Pet Retailer Chewy has firmly established itself as a leading online pet retailer, providing pet owners with a wide range of products and services. Despite facing some challenges in recent years, such as a slowdown in revenue growth, Chewy remains an intriguing investment. While its revenue had been decelerating significantly since the economy reopened, there is renewed optimism about the company's future prospects. Management has indicated that they expect revenue to re-accelerate starting in 2025, with early signs of that rebound already visible in the latest financials. As Chewy continues to adapt to a post-pandemic environment, the company’s strategic focus on driving profitability and growth has the pote

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Amazon, the $2 trillion e-commerce giant that dominates nearly 40% of all online sales in the U.S., is raising alarms about a major economic downturn. Its latest quarterly report reveals troubling signs that even the most resilient companies are beginning to show cracks under economic pressure. With access to purchasing behavior data from over 200 million Prime members globally, Amazon has one of the most comprehensive views of consumer sentiment. Cautious Consumer Spending and Shifting Behavior During their Q4 earnings call, CFO Brian Oslovski highlighted that customers remain cautious about their spending, focusing more on value and essentials. Amazon's internal da

$Honeywell(HON)$ Introduction Honeywell International Inc. (HON) is a well-established U.S. industrial conglomerate with a market capitalization exceeding $100 billion. The company operates across multiple sectors, including aerospace, building technologies, performance materials, and industrial automation. While Honeywell is often viewed as a reliable long-term investment, its growth trajectory, valuation, and historical performance warrant closer examination. This analysis will assess Honeywell’s historical earnings trends, stock buybacks, valuation metrics, and potential future opportunities to determine whether it presents an attractive investment at current levels. Historical Earnings Trends & Cyclical As an industrial company, Honeywell’s