To The Moon

While it's quiet I wanted to get a little discussion topic in like this. Watching people panic over markets lately honestly reminds me a lot of recovery and rebuilding life. A couple years ago I was destroying my life through addiction. Now I’m training for the Melbourne Marathon, rebuilding my future, and learning that discipline matters more than motivation ever will. A couple years ago I was destroying my life through addiction. Alcohol, bad decisions, zero discipline, constantly escaping reality instead of facing it. I had no consistency, no direction, and honestly no belief in myself anymore. Now I’m training for the Melbourne Marathon. Not because I think running magically fixes life but because it taught me something that applies to investing, business, and life in general: Small de

Space sector still feels super speculative but long term I think RKLB has one of the better risk/reward setups compared to a lot of the hype names.

NVDA numbers are honestly insane at this point. The hard part isn’t whether it’s a great company, it’s figuring out how much future growth is already priced in. Seriously one to keep a close eye on.

AMD still feels like one of the safer AI catch-up plays to me. NVDA owns the space right now, but any pullback in AMD gets bought aggressively. Wouldn’t chase a huge green candle though.

PLTR is one of those stocks people love at ATHs and hate during pullbacks. If you believed in the AI/government narrative at $40+, you should probably still like it lower. I’d rather average in slowly than try pick the exact bottom.

AMD is getting more interesting after this drop, but I still think people are way too quick to label every selloff a buying opportunity. The first reason is simple: lower price does not automatically mean low risk. Strong names can stay weak for longer than people expect, especially when sentiment turns and traders start forcing bottom calls too early. Second, AMD is still one of the key semiconductor names, so sub-$400 is naturally going to attract attention. If buyers really believe the AI and chip story still has legs, this is the kind of zone where that conviction should start showing up. Third, I think the next move matters more than the drop itself. If AMD starts holding support and rebounds with strength, then this could end up looking like a healthy reset. But if every bounce gets

NVIDIA’s pullback ahead of earnings looks more like a healthy reset than a broken story to me. The first reason is expectations were getting stretched again. When a stock runs that hard into earnings, even bullish names often need a shakeout before the next move. Second, the core AI story still looks intact. The market is still rewarding scale, pricing power and real demand, and NVIDIA is still the name most people measure the whole trade against. Third, this kind of weakness matters less to me than how buyers react on dips. If pullbacks keep getting bought, that tells me conviction is still there. If rallies start failing and sellers control every bounce, that’s when I’d get more cautious. The obvious risk is that expectations are now so high that even strong numbers may not be enough if

The memory / AI hardware story still feels bigger than one headline to me. That’s why I keep coming back to names like MU and SNDK. When price starts getting choppy, the real question becomes whether the long-term setup changed, or whether sentiment just moved too fast again. If supply stays tight and AI demand keeps building, these pullbacks can end up looking more like resets than breakdowns. But if the market starts demanding perfect execution from already crowded themes, then buying every dip gets harder from here. Do you think memory names still have another leg higher, or is this theme getting overheated for now?

On a bit of a post frenzy this morning... however... one thing I keep noticing. The market still looks strong on the surface, but it feels a lot more selective underneath. Earlier in the move, it felt like almost anything with momentum could work. Now it feels more like leadership is narrowing and the market is forcing people to be more precise. That’s why I’m not automatically bearish here. But I also think this is the stage where chasing random names gets a lot harder. I still respect the trend. I’m just paying much closer attention now to which names are actually leading and which ones are only moving because liquidity is still strong. Does this still feel like a broad risk-on tape to you, or more like a leaders-only market now?

PLTR is interesting to me here because this is where the argument gets harder. It’s easy to like the story when the stock is flying. The real test is whether conviction stays the same when the price action gets more mixed and people start questioning entry again. I still think the business is one of the more interesting long-term stories in software. The harder question is whether this is finally a better risk/reward spot, or whether patience still wins. I’m not bearish on PLTR. I’m just a lot more focused now on what kind of entry actually makes sense. Would you be buying PLTR here, or waiting for a cleaner reset?