To The Moon

Last Week's Recap 1. Moderating Market -The S&P 500 and the NASDAQ recorded their sixth consecutive weekly gains Upward momentum — as stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings growth lifted, The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ finished up 4.51% for the week and the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ added 2.33%. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ lagged, posting a fractional gain. Earnings juggernaut — S&P 500 Q1 earnings growth surged to 27.7% from 13.1% at end-March, the strongest since Q4 2021, per FactSet. Jobs improvement — Back-to-back monthly gains: April added 115K jobs (above forecast) and March revised up to 185K; unemployment held at 4.3%. Style shift — Growth outpaced value for the 5th

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ surged 2.33% last week and closed at a new record high of 7,398.93, marking its largest one-week point and percentage gain since the week ending April 17, 2026, and extending its winning streak to six consecutive weeks. The index has now rallied 16.17% over the past six weeks — the largest six-week percentage gain since May 2025 — and sits 30.47% above the April 2, 2025 tariff-announcement lows.This was the 15th record close of 2026, with the index up 8.08% year-to-date.Industry leaders: OLED Concept (+11.60%) and Crypto (+11.50%) dominated the leaderboard, as Bitcoin reclaimed the $80,000 level and crypto-related equities rode the risk-on wave.Textiles (+11.21%) surged on tariff-exemption optimism and supply-chain re-ratin

Last Week's Recap 1. Moderating Market: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Add ~1% as April Momentum Cools Moderating market — S&P 500 and NASDAQ both added ~1% to fresh records; Dow edged up 0.5%, still 1.4% below its all-time high. Fed transition — Fed held rates unchanged; Kevin Warsh’s nomination to replace Powell cleared a Senate panel, teeing up a full Senate vote. Bullish April — NASDAQ +15.3% (best month since Apr 2020); S&P 500 +10.4% (best since Nov 2020); Dow +7.1% (best since Nov 2024). Earnings surge — S&P 500 Q1 EPS growth forecast jumped to 27.1% from 15.0% after mega-cap tech beats, per FactSet. GDP comeback — Q1 GDP grew at a 2.0% annual rate, up from 0.5% in Q4 2025. PC

Last Week's Recap1. NASDAQ +1.5% on Semis, but Consumer Sentiment Cracks Below 50: Weekly WrapSlowing down — U.S. indexes flattened after three straight weekly records. The NASDAQ rose 1.5% (semis-led), the S&P 500 edged up fractionally, and the Dow slipped slightly.Energy shocks — Middle East tensions pushed U.S. crude to ~$95/bbl (from ~$83), though still well below the April 7 peak of ~$113.Top-heavy earnings — The Magnificent Seven are expected to deliver Q1 EPS growth of 22.8% vs. just 10.1% for the rest of the S&P 500, per FactSet.Growth tops value — Growth stocks outran value for a fourth straight week, gaining 16% over the stretch vs. 8% for value, narrowing value’s YTD lead.Retail rebound — March retail sales surged 1.7% (fastest in 3+ years), but the jump was largely gaso

Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Major U.S. indexes jumped sharply on easing Middle East tensions and sliding oil prices V-shaped recovery – S&P 500 finished 4.5% higher, NASDAQ gained 6.8%, and Dow rose 3.2%. NASDAQ marked its 13th consecutive positive session (longest streak since 1992). Small-cap record – Russell 2000 climbed 5.6% to a record high, surpassing its prior peak set nearly two months earlier. Style shift – Growth stocks outpaced value for the third straight week; growth benchmark finished 6.7% higher versus a 2.4% rise for value. Oil sell-off – U.S. crude fell to ~$83/barrel from ~$96 a week earlier and an April 7 peak of ~$113; remains up 40% year-to-date. Yields fall – Treasury yields declined for the fourth week amid easing inflation concerns; 10-year yield f

Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Rally as Middle East tensions ease and oil plummets 13% Stock surge – Major U.S. indexes jumped 3–5% on easing Middle East tensions and a 13% weekly drop in oil prices. Two-week rebound – Nasdaq gained ~9%, S&P 500 ~7%, and Dow ~6%, erasing March losses. Inflation hot – CPI hit 3.3% YoY, well above the Fed’s 2% target. Oil plunges – Crude fell to ~$96/barrel (down 13% weekly) from a March 9 intraday peak near $119. Gold rallies – Prices rose for a second straight week to ~$4,800/oz, recovering March losses. GDP cut – Q4 growth revised down to 0.5% (from 0.7% in March and 1.4% initially). Sentiment drops – UMich consumer sentiment fell to 47.6 in April (from 53.3 in March). Earnings outlook – Q1 S&P 500 profit growth forecast lowered to 12.6

Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary: Stocks Snap 5-Week Slide as Oil Surges to $112 Relief rally: Major U.S. indexes gained 3–4% last week, snapping a five-week losing streak. Resurgent oil: U.S. crude climbed to ~$112/barrel Friday—highest since mid-2022—amid escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions. Golden rebound: $Gold - main 2606(GCmain)$ recovered March losses, rising nearly 4% to trade around $4,700 on last friday. Yields reverse course: Treasury yields slipped after four weeks of gains that pushed 10-year rates to eight-month highs. March decline: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell ~5% in March for back-to-back monthly losses;

Last Week's Recap 1. U.S. Market Summary Indexes Extend Losing Streak, Energy Leads Broad Weakness NASDAQ, Dow corrections: Major indexes fell for a fifth straight week. NASDAQ -3.2%, S&P 500 -2.1%, Dow -0.9%. Style reversal: Growth stocks underperformed value; growth -13% YTD vs value slightly positive. Small beats large: $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ +0.5% weekly, $iShares Russell 1000 ETF(IWB)$ -2.0%. Burst of energy: Energy stocks $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ +6% weekly; +13% since Mar 1, +41% YTD, supported by oil & gas price gains. Sentiment slips: U.S. consumer sentiment dropped to 2026 low, reversing recent improvements. Yields rise again

Good morning. Today’s session is best understood not as a routine macro update, but as a multi-asset repricing event. The Federal Reserve decision will anchor global liquidity expectations, while NVIDIA’s post-GTC price action and the RBA’s policy shift add important cross-market signals.The key to navigating today is simple: focus on transmission mechanisms, not headlines.🧭 1. FOMC Decision: “No Hike” Doesn’t Mean “No Risk”At 2:00 PM ET, the Federal Reserve is widely expected (Bloomberg, CME FedWatch) to hold rates at 5.25%–5.50%.However, the market is not trading the decision itself—it is trading the forward path of policy, which will be revealed through the Dot Plot and reinforced by Powell’s guidance.Current pricing implies:~3 rate cuts in 2026 (~75 bps)Neutral rate around 2.5%–2.75%Th

Good morning, traders and investors. If you feel like the market is getting harder to read lately—you’re not alone. Today’s macro and sector signals are unusually dense, and more importantly, deeply interconnected. What we’re seeing is not just noise, but a potential regime shift across AI, rates, and commodities. Let’s break down the five events that truly matter—and more importantly, how they connect. 🤖 AI Inflection Point: NVIDIA GTC and the Shift to Inference First up, all eyes are on NVIDIA’s GTC analyst session. This isn’t just another keynote—it’s a strategic pivot moment. CEO Jensen Huang is expected to address Blackwell Ultra and the longer-term Vera Rubin roadmap, but the real focus is elsewhere: AI inference monetization. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$