What are the markets expecting two weeks before the Fed meeting
Speaking at the ECB's annual forum on Thursday, Powell did not rule out a series of rate hikes. "The only thing we decided was not to raise rates at the June meeting... You know, I wouldn't rule out doing it in successive meetings." "The committee clearly believes that there is more work to be done and that more rate hikes may be appropriate."
Now, the market expects that the Federal Reserve has an 80% probability of raising interest rates in July, and the probability of a second rate hike is 50%, which can be said that the market has fully digested the expectation of two rate hikes.
That's not my judgment, that's the judgment of the agency:
sell put, 8,000 lots, and the strike price is within the money, and any veteran trader knows what that means. The agency's margin for this order is $150 million. For two weeks, Apple shares will be flat, or even slightly higher.
After Apple's "anchor" is determined, the overall trend of the market will not be much different. This means that there is a high probability that the market will be stable in the two weeks before the FOMC meeting. I've seen a lot of panic headlines today, but don't believe them. The real deal depends on the actual punters at the table.
Intel also saw a large call spread order:
No matter how Intel loses, the chip manufacturing technology threshold is still placed here, as long as the chip market as a whole is thriving, that Intel has no reason not to rise.
SNOW finally has a leap call, a long-term bullish big order. Cooperation with Nvidia and Microsoft is undoubtedly a long-term positive, long-term bullish stock price.
I didn't expect a second episode of $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 's series.
Yesterday's article introduced the story of a trader who bought a call before closing a position and then buying. Then I looked at U's options today, and it is a familiar operation, three times to buy the recent out-of-price call, each volume of 2500, and then a check even the exchange are the same, that must be the trader did not run.
Compared with yesterday, this buddy is a lot of stability, three transactions are bought, probably seeing the rising trend after the feeling of missing the first day of heavy position opportunity very regret, so very stable intraday three heavy position to buy to try to reduce the cost of holding.
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