TRADE PLAN for Wednesday π Both $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ tried to break lower today after CPI but the dip was bought up the second half of the day. If SPX stays above 7400 and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ bases above 661 into the end of the week, The bottom may be in... It's still too early to tell but the price action has looked better since last Thursday. We've seen higher lows on the daily chart for both SPX and QQQ. There's 3 things we need to see next. 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ bottom out above 160. 2. Memory stocks lead a bounce-
Nebiusβs $27 Billion Selloff Meets Its Q3 Earnings Test: 120 Is the Line to Hold
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ lost $27 billion market cap in five weeks without reporting a single number. Thursday morning it finally gets to talk. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ is at 134, down from a 250 close on Oct 6 and 56% off the 299.86 high. Last Thursday flushed to 113.30, Monday bounced 9% to 141, and today gave most of it back. Options are pricing a 17% move on the print, which puts 110 and 155 in play by Friday. Key Catalysts Q3 print: Street wants about $906M in revenue, up 55% from $582M last quarter. June's run rate alone covers roughly $750M of that, so the bar is low. ARR guide: Management has held $7B to $9B ARR by
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ announces earnings after the closing bell today. Expected move is ~17%. Post-IPO bottom is between 33-34. No man's land beneath that. Overhead volume resistance around 90. Am π that 30 strike for a put-write trade, and π that 90 strike for naked calls. 2 Looks like we're doing this ... submitted the application to play the Anthropic IPO. Just gonna limp in to see what happens.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 Anyone writing puts on $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ to play earnings today? Am thinking of writing CSPs, laddering strikes from OTM ($3) to ATMish ($6). Would take assignment for a speculative long play on $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$ recovery as well as AI HPC pivot. Also, am gonna write naked calls on $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ ($80 strike) and $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ ($40 strike) Nov 13 expiration to play earnings today. 2 Closed out the
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Trade Ideas Bullish: Nov 11 665C Trigger: 661 β Bearish: Nov 11 650P Trigger: 653 β QQQ has dropped 15% from the all time highs. It dropped 6.5% last Thursday alone. Usually when we see this type of price action like last Thursday, a bottom will start to form over the next week. Letβs see if QQQ backtests 637 then moves higher. If QQQ can reclaim 661 and hold this level for 3-4 trading days we should see a move higher to 700 this month. QQQ 630-637 range should be the bottom if we see one more dip this week. 2 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Trade Ideas Bullish: Nov 11 7500C Trigger: 7450 β Targ
By Lawrence G. McMillan Once the election was over, traders figured the market would be able to finally break out of the trading range -- and it did, although not in the way that many had envisioned. By the time the dust settled, $SPX was down 335 points on November 5th. This was a clear downside breakout from the previous trading range. The decline reached the rising 200-day Moving Average of $SPX, and a bounce is underway today. This is a return to, and almost complete traverse of, the prior trading range that had existed from May through July of this year. The lower end of that range is 7200-7250. That should be support. Overhead resistance is heavy in the 7550-7600 area now. Equity-only put call ratios have been rising since their last sell signals (marked with a green "S" on each char
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ announces earnings after the closing bell today. This market sell-off is such a big overblown reaction to data-centers. IREN will probably drop for earnings, but even we'd be surprised if it went all the way down to 5 (or 3) by mid-December. Taking a put credit spread trade in contract volume - Dec 18 expiration, $5/$3 spread. Seller beware.
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed +119 on the day and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ closed at +6.5. SPX tested 7700 a few times but couldnt get through today. Once we see SPX through 7700 and QQQ above 700 the market should be bottomed. Wait for these levels to line up. There was a significant amount of weakness in semiconductor and Datacenter stocks today. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ closed right at 200 and we saw $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ drop almost 9%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ down 7%,
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ gapping higher after earnings today and its lifting up the semiconductor and AI stocks after hours so far... Mid term elections are TONIGHT. The 12 month performance of the stock market AFTER mid terms has been positive the past 19 elections. That DOESN'T mean go all in on Wednesday. It means find the best companies in each sector and start buying over the next 2-3 weeks and hold for at least 6-9 months. The market has been more sensitive to positive news the past few days. It's looking for a reason to pop higher. Let's see if QQQ close can close above 700 and $SPX above 7620 by Friday. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ to 170 in play,
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 Wrote this Iron Condor on $Palantir(PLTR)$ to play earnings. If price action holds steady where it is now into the open tomorrow, then will close this position out for profit (assuming IV crush does its thing on both sides). Definitely gonna close the call spread. Will see what the naked 130P and 125/115 PCS show on the premium tomorrow. 2 Writing puts on $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ looks tempting for this week. Nov 6 expiration, put strikes around 115. 3 Gonna write puts to play $Palantir(PLTR)$ for earnings today. Am targeting that gap at 127, so will wr
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! Just wait until after Midterms to go long. Oil dropped massive today but stocks didn't go up. WAIT until the reaction to the mid term elections first and see if the market dumps further. The bottoming process doesn't happen in one day. We need to see if $S&P 500(.SPX)$ breaks 7500 and drops to 7400 and if $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ fails at 676 and tests 661 next. The market is still in hard mode and no signs of strength in Chip/AI/memory stocks. let it all drop π«‘ When the bounce comes we'll be ready for it.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Trade Idea: Nov 6 410C Trigger: 400 β Targets: 410, 414 π― Stop: 395 π Closed at 399.81 on Friday. TSLA can run to 453 by December if we see the market bottom with in the next 5-7 trading days. It has shown relative strength with AI/Chip stocks selling off. Calls can work above 400 this week. The next big resistance is near 414. 2 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Trade Idea: Nov 13 210C Trigger: 206 β Target: 212 π― NVDA dropped from 243 to 200 since October 6th. If NVDA can start to bottom above 200 it can push back to 212 in the next 2 weeks. Calls can work above 206 this week. NVDA under 200 can s
By Lawrence G. McMillan The market as measured by $SPX continues to trade in a narrow range between roughly 7600 and 7800. A clear breakout of that range would generate a momentum trade. Considering that the range is only about 3% of $SPX's value, it's amazing that it has lasted as long as it has. The broad market is presenting a different picture, and we'll get to that in the next article. $SPX rallied earlier this week, but that was mostly a bounce off the latest test of the 7600 support level last Friday. That rally barely brought $SPX back up to its declining 20-day Moving Average. Now, after poor earnings by AMZN and INTC, $SPX is selling off again and is right back in the support range of 7580-7620. Equity-only put-call ratios continue to rise, and that is bearish for stocks. As long
By Lawrence G. McMillan The Cboe (followed by other exchanges) has extended the trading hours for certain stocks and ETFs. This has already taken place, although not every option trading platform has implemented its trading for the new hours. The morning extended session runs from 7:30 a.m. (Eastern time) to 9:25 a.m. Then regular option trading begins at 9:30 a.m. The extended afternoon session runs from 4:00 p.m. to 4:15 p.m. That isnβt as much of an extension, but does give one the opportunity to trade for a short while after the NYSE closes. At one time in the past, options on most stocks traded until 4:10 p.m., but that was discontinued after large institutions complained that they were sometimes forced to mark their position in a stock with a 4:00 p.m. price (NYSE close), while optio
$VIX$ By Lawrence G. McMillan As time drags on, $SPX continues to trade within the trading range that has lasted since late July. This is marked in figure 1 by the box on the upper right. The current box has support at 7580-7620, which has been tested several times and is being tested again today. There is some resistance at 7750-7760 (the highs of several recent trading days), with more substantial resistance at the all-time highs, 7820-7840. Let's look at the individual indicators. They are still mixed reflecting the trading range environment. Equity-only put-call ratios are both on sell signals. Countering the negativity of the put-call ratios is an improvement in breadth. Breadth was nicely positive on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week.
Put-Write Trades on Bloom Energy Earnings: Nov 20 110β150 Strikes Eyed Amid Market Bloodbath
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 Anyone taking an optionselling trade on $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ to play earnings today, amidst this market bloodbath? Was π put-write trades on the Nov 20 expiration, strikes in the 110-150 range. 150 is volume point-of-control, and there looks to be a decent volume support cluster in that range.
Nebiusβs $27 Billion Selloff Meets Its Q3 Earnings Test: 120 Is the Line to Hold
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ lost $27 billion market cap in five weeks without reporting a single number. Thursday morning it finally gets to talk. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ is at 134, down from a 250 close on Oct 6 and 56% off the 299.86 high. Last Thursday flushed to 113.30, Monday bounced 9% to 141, and today gave most of it back. Options are pricing a 17% move on the print, which puts 110 and 155 in play by Friday. Key Catalysts Q3 print: Street wants about $906M in revenue, up 55% from $582M last quarter. June's run rate alone covers roughly $750M of that, so the bar is low. ARR guide: Management has held $7B to $9B ARR by
TRADE PLAN for Wednesday π Both $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ tried to break lower today after CPI but the dip was bought up the second half of the day. If SPX stays above 7400 and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ bases above 661 into the end of the week, The bottom may be in... It's still too early to tell but the price action has looked better since last Thursday. We've seen higher lows on the daily chart for both SPX and QQQ. There's 3 things we need to see next. 1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ bottom out above 160. 2. Memory stocks lead a bounce-
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ announces earnings after the closing bell today. Expected move is ~17%. Post-IPO bottom is between 33-34. No man's land beneath that. Overhead volume resistance around 90. Am π that 30 strike for a put-write trade, and π that 90 strike for naked calls. 2 Looks like we're doing this ... submitted the application to play the Anthropic IPO. Just gonna limp in to see what happens.
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Trade Ideas Bullish: Nov 11 665C Trigger: 661 β Bearish: Nov 11 650P Trigger: 653 β QQQ has dropped 15% from the all time highs. It dropped 6.5% last Thursday alone. Usually when we see this type of price action like last Thursday, a bottom will start to form over the next week. Letβs see if QQQ backtests 637 then moves higher. If QQQ can reclaim 661 and hold this level for 3-4 trading days we should see a move higher to 700 this month. QQQ 630-637 range should be the bottom if we see one more dip this week. 2 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Trade Ideas Bullish: Nov 11 7500C Trigger: 7450 β Targ
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 Anyone writing puts on $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ to play earnings today? Am thinking of writing CSPs, laddering strikes from OTM ($3) to ATMish ($6). Would take assignment for a speculative long play on $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$ recovery as well as AI HPC pivot. Also, am gonna write naked calls on $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ ($80 strike) and $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ ($40 strike) Nov 13 expiration to play earnings today. 2 Closed out the
By Lawrence G. McMillan Once the election was over, traders figured the market would be able to finally break out of the trading range -- and it did, although not in the way that many had envisioned. By the time the dust settled, $SPX was down 335 points on November 5th. This was a clear downside breakout from the previous trading range. The decline reached the rising 200-day Moving Average of $SPX, and a bounce is underway today. This is a return to, and almost complete traverse of, the prior trading range that had existed from May through July of this year. The lower end of that range is 7200-7250. That should be support. Overhead resistance is heavy in the 7550-7600 area now. Equity-only put call ratios have been rising since their last sell signals (marked with a green "S" on each char
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ announces earnings after the closing bell today. This market sell-off is such a big overblown reaction to data-centers. IREN will probably drop for earnings, but even we'd be surprised if it went all the way down to 5 (or 3) by mid-December. Taking a put credit spread trade in contract volume - Dec 18 expiration, $5/$3 spread. Seller beware.
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed +119 on the day and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ closed at +6.5. SPX tested 7700 a few times but couldnt get through today. Once we see SPX through 7700 and QQQ above 700 the market should be bottomed. Wait for these levels to line up. There was a significant amount of weakness in semiconductor and Datacenter stocks today. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ closed right at 200 and we saw $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ drop almost 9%, $Micron Technology(MU)$ down 7%,
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Trade Idea: Nov 6 410C Trigger: 400 β Targets: 410, 414 π― Stop: 395 π Closed at 399.81 on Friday. TSLA can run to 453 by December if we see the market bottom with in the next 5-7 trading days. It has shown relative strength with AI/Chip stocks selling off. Calls can work above 400 this week. The next big resistance is near 414. 2 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Trade Idea: Nov 13 210C Trigger: 206 β Target: 212 π― NVDA dropped from 243 to 200 since October 6th. If NVDA can start to bottom above 200 it can push back to 212 in the next 2 weeks. Calls can work above 206 this week. NVDA under 200 can s
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Trade Idea: October 21 705P Trigger: 711 β Targets: 705, 700 π― Stop: 715 π QQQ dropped 7.2% the past 2 weeks. QQQ dropped from 762 to 707. If We see another pull back this week itβs possible QQQ drops to 685-693. This will be the buy zone assuming we see more weakness in the market. Iβd be careful with any gap up moves or intraday rallies especially if QQQ can get back above 722. 2 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Trade Ideas Bullish: Oct 21 7750C Trigger: 7700 β Targets: 7750, 7772 π― Stop: 7669 π Bearish: Oct 21 7600P Trigger: 7669 β Target: 7600 π― Stop: 7700 π SPX had a sharp sell off after CPI
By Lawrence G. McMillan The market as measured by $SPX continues to trade in a narrow range between roughly 7600 and 7800. A clear breakout of that range would generate a momentum trade. Considering that the range is only about 3% of $SPX's value, it's amazing that it has lasted as long as it has. The broad market is presenting a different picture, and we'll get to that in the next article. $SPX rallied earlier this week, but that was mostly a bounce off the latest test of the 7600 support level last Friday. That rally barely brought $SPX back up to its declining 20-day Moving Average. Now, after poor earnings by AMZN and INTC, $SPX is selling off again and is right back in the support range of 7580-7620. Equity-only put-call ratios continue to rise, and that is bearish for stocks. As long
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ gapping higher after earnings today and its lifting up the semiconductor and AI stocks after hours so far... Mid term elections are TONIGHT. The 12 month performance of the stock market AFTER mid terms has been positive the past 19 elections. That DOESN'T mean go all in on Wednesday. It means find the best companies in each sector and start buying over the next 2-3 weeks and hold for at least 6-9 months. The market has been more sensitive to positive news the past few days. It's looking for a reason to pop higher. Let's see if QQQ close can close above 700 and $SPX above 7620 by Friday. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ to 170 in play,
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 Wrote this Iron Condor on $Palantir(PLTR)$ to play earnings. If price action holds steady where it is now into the open tomorrow, then will close this position out for profit (assuming IV crush does its thing on both sides). Definitely gonna close the call spread. Will see what the naked 130P and 125/115 PCS show on the premium tomorrow. 2 Writing puts on $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ looks tempting for this week. Nov 6 expiration, put strikes around 115. 3 Gonna write puts to play $Palantir(PLTR)$ for earnings today. Am targeting that gap at 127, so will wr
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! Just wait until after Midterms to go long. Oil dropped massive today but stocks didn't go up. WAIT until the reaction to the mid term elections first and see if the market dumps further. The bottoming process doesn't happen in one day. We need to see if $S&P 500(.SPX)$ breaks 7500 and drops to 7400 and if $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ fails at 676 and tests 661 next. The market is still in hard mode and no signs of strength in Chip/AI/memory stocks. let it all drop π«‘ When the bounce comes we'll be ready for it.
By Lawrence G. McMillan The Cboe (followed by other exchanges) has extended the trading hours for certain stocks and ETFs. This has already taken place, although not every option trading platform has implemented its trading for the new hours. The morning extended session runs from 7:30 a.m. (Eastern time) to 9:25 a.m. Then regular option trading begins at 9:30 a.m. The extended afternoon session runs from 4:00 p.m. to 4:15 p.m. That isnβt as much of an extension, but does give one the opportunity to trade for a short while after the NYSE closes. At one time in the past, options on most stocks traded until 4:10 p.m., but that was discontinued after large institutions complained that they were sometimes forced to mark their position in a stock with a 4:00 p.m. price (NYSE close), while optio
October Dips and Midterm Years: The 2026 Buy-the-Dip Playbook for the S&P 500
Everyone wants to buy the dip until itβs time to buy the dip π€ October hands traders a dip almost every year. So do midterm years. In 2026 they land on the same calendar, and some of the most valuable companies on Earth are trading well off their highs THE CRASHES 1929: Dow -12.8% on Oct 28, then -11.7% the next day 1987: Dow -22.6% on Black Monday, still its worst day ever 2008: S&P -16.9% for the month as the Lehman fallout spread A speculative bubble, a market-structure meltdown, a credit crisis. Different causes, same month, and every one of them eventually became a buying window THE OCTOBER STATS Typical recovery: about 4 months Midterm Octobers: +3.0% average, green 73.7% of the time Nobody buys the exact low, and nobody needs to. Every rebound $SPX has historically paid the peop
$VIX$ By Lawrence G. McMillan As time drags on, $SPX continues to trade within the trading range that has lasted since late July. This is marked in figure 1 by the box on the upper right. The current box has support at 7580-7620, which has been tested several times and is being tested again today. There is some resistance at 7750-7760 (the highs of several recent trading days), with more substantial resistance at the all-time highs, 7820-7840. Let's look at the individual indicators. They are still mixed reflecting the trading range environment. Equity-only put-call ratios are both on sell signals. Countering the negativity of the put-call ratios is an improvement in breadth. Breadth was nicely positive on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week.