Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 Wrote the $115 put strike on $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ today, March 27 expiry. Folks are hoping that the $130 support holds this week. Thought about taking that strike, but am not gonna be that aggressive. Will take a lower strike to cushion the downside risk, and then roll up to capture more premium if it looks like 130 will hold. 2 $Chime Financial, Inc.(CHYM)$ announces earnings before the opening bell on Wednesday this week. Expected move is ~11%. Am 👀 the $17 strike (at strong volume support & point-of-control) for a put-write trade. 3 Was gonna play
Pay attention to $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ right now. This setup doesn't come around often. 👇 📌 THE PLAN: $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ hold of 161 Day Trade: 4/2 165C Swing Trade: 4/17 170C Reasoning Behind the Trade: $161 acted as hard resistance for 2 consecutive weeks. Today price broke above and closed near there. What makes this significant is Palantir closed at the highs while the broader market showed weakness. If the market shows strength tomorrow, Palantir is likely to lead the move higher. Growth Story: Enterprise AI Expansion: Companies increasingly deploying AIP to integrate AI into internal operations Government Partnerships: Deepening relationsh
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ +74 to close the day. SPX needs to get back above 6600 to test 6640-6660 range again. IF SPX breaks todays lows at 6565 it can retest 6520. SPX March 25 6660C is best above 6600 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ very close to a 30 pt breakout above 600. If it holds 600 the next 3 days.. 636 in play by next week META March 27 615C is best above 600 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ all about 600 this month, needs to get back above to run to 614-618. For now Let's see if QQQ can defend the Nov 21 low at 580. QQQ March 25 590C is best above 587 Good luck tmrw everyone!! 🫡 For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today a
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Trade Idea: Mar 27 380C Trigger: 369 ✅ Targets: 383, 390 🎯 Stop: 360 🛑 Dropped from 403 to 364 last week. If TSLA can hold near 369 early this week we can see a bounce back to 383. Calls can work above 369. TSLA under 358 can drop to 343, 336. It’s possible we see one more dip near 358 before a bottom forms. 2 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Trade Idea: Mar 27 610C Trigger: 600 ✅ Targets: 613, 627 🎯 Stop: 590 🛑 META dropped from 636 to 587 last week. 583 is a key support level for META. If META can hold near here we can see a push back to 613-627 this week. Calls can work above 600.
Hello! Everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 WOW Has anyone been paying attention to $SolarEdge(SEDG)$ ??? Am looking to play this with naked calls and a put credit spread. - Naked calls to take advantage of this pump and bet that it runs out of steam (highly risky if it does not and continues going up, safer move would be to do a call credit spread). - Put credit spread to play the down move with the hedge and then turn the trade into a CSP on the short side (and if it doesn't drop, then we simply just keep the premium). the Apr 17 expiry $60 call strike and 35/30 put strikes (but might do 37.5/32.5 for a bit more premium). Strong volume cluster in the 30-37 range with point-of-control at 35. 2
$SPY$ When is it time to buy the dip? Not now. Simple reason: the current drop is pricing in the impact of surging oil prices — but what about earnings season? With triple witching (March 20) behind us, we're now three weeks out from Q2 earnings. Last quarter, spending was the main driver for stock moves. Spending up → stocks down. So if spending slows, does that mean stocks go up? Not so fast. Slower spending would signal that big tech is cautious on AI — which would almost certainly trigger a valuation reset. That's why I'm not surprised to see May puts targeting 600–625 on SPY. That's deeply pessimistic. Still, a bounce next week is possible. Put expirations are skewed further out than calls. So the market could swing violently either way — but options are expensive. Buying premium is a
Option Stratgies: 7 Reasons I Only Trade 3-5 Tickers
7 reasons I only trade 3-5 tickers: You learn how each one moves. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ isn't $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ isn't $MU. Every ticker has a personality. Fewer options means fewer excuses to overtrade. Your focus goes deeper instead of wider. You stop spreading risk across things you don't fully understand. One great trade beats 10 mediocre ones every time. Mastery comes from repetition. You can't repeat what you keep changing. Discipline gets easier when the decision is already made. Pick your tickers. Learn them. Stick to them. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ popped up almost 60 points on Iran news. If SPX gets back through 6640 tomorrow we can see a squeeze to 6700 SPX March 20 6670C is best above 6640$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ to 800 coming fast, It still moved higher even with $MU lower after earnings. SNDK 1000 possible by May. SNDK March 20 800C can work above 775$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ watch 597 tomorrow if it comes.. 600 possible by the end of the day. We need to see more positive news involving Iran to see a sustained bounce. Good luck tmrw everyone!! For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ every Thursday the past few months has been a red day. If this Trend continues SPX could break 6600 and drop to 6500-6520 by Friday. SPX needs back above 6700 to look more bullish this week. Be careful trading the upside, every pop has sold back lower the past 2 months. $Apple(AAPL)$ is back near a key support level at 250, if this level fails we could see a dip back to 240-242 AAPL March 27 245P is best under 250 tomorrow $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ needs back above 600 to look more bullish this week. I'd stay bearish under 600. QQQ to 580 in play if it fails to hold 589. Good luck tmrw everyone!! 🫡 For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and en
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 $FedEx(FDX)$ announces earnings after the closing bell tomorrow (Thursday). Expected move is ~8%. Not sure how we want to play this. We're 👀 the 280 strike for a put-write trade, expiration date tbd. 2 $Planet Labs Pbc(PL)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Thursday. Expected move is ~22% ... that's a big EM! Am surprised that IV isn't over 200%. 🤔 ... could there be some mis-alignment here between EM and IV. If so, that means there is an opportunity for an #Optionselling trade. Am 3 Here we go ... $Micron Technology(MU)$ to hopefully sav
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ all about 6800 this week, if it gets back through it'll set up for 6880-6900 again. For now, the price action is still pretty weak. SPX under 6700 more bearish tomorrow. Puts can work under 6700 All eyes on MU earnings tomorrow. IF MU can have a positive reaction it can gap through 500. MU March 20 500C best as an earnings lotto $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ setting up for 800+ in the next few weeks. Once it gets though 725 we'll see more momentum for the upside SNDK March 20 800C best above 725 Good luck and wait until AFTER Powell starts talking to consider a trade tmrw. 🫡 For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is on the verge of a 50 pt breakout and I’m looking for two key things to confirm it ✅ 1. COIN break above 212, 2. BTC break and hold above 76k, IF these 2 things align here’s my trade plan: COIN above 212 Day Trade: 3/20 215C Swing Trade: 4/17 250C Coinbase has been basing between 188-212 the last 10 sessions in conjunction with $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$. If COIN gets thru 212 with $BTC above 75k, buying pressure will increase squeezing price to 230 very quickly. Future Growth Drivers Operating Leverage: COIN runs a largely fixed-cost model, meaning incremental tradi
A while back, we asked a simple question about $DLocal Limited(DLO)$ to so-called FinTwit "experts" heading into an earnings release. Well, DLO is announcing earnings on Wednesday after market close, so we'll pose the same question ... "what makes this stock so great now versus before ... why is this time different?". The response from Rose Celine Investments was dismissive — basically telling us that if we were asking, we shouldn’t own the stock. That’s not analysis. It’s a deflection. The market has repeatedly signaled skepticism, and any responsible analysis should try to understand why, not rudely dismiss someone for asking a valid question. Since 2023, DLO has had multiple rallies into $17–$20, each followed by a sharp sell-off — and the curre
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ held the gap up today but failed to close near the highs. SPX needs to get through 6740+ after FOMC to see a run to 6800. I'd be more cautious trading calls if SPX stays in the 6665-6740 range. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ through 725 can run to 800+ . SNDK 1000 in play if it gets through 800 this year. SNDK March 20 800C can work above 725 $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$ setting up for 80k if it can breakout above the 74k resistance. $COIN to 215-220 if BTC pops up 2-3k more above 74k. COIN March 20 210C is best above 200 FOMC coming up on Wednesday, Good luck tmrw everyone!! 🫡 For SG users only, Welco
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1. Not a lot of folks probs took this trade by the looks of the engagement on the quoted post. Oh well. 🤷🏻♂️ Closed this $Dollar Tree(DLTR)$ trade out for a quick $200+ in profit. 🤑 Image 2. $Semtech(SMTC)$ announces earnings after the closing bell today. Expected move is ~13%. Not really sure where to play this for a put-write trade. Might target a strike just below the 200EMA at 68. Was also thinking of strangling this with a call-write trade at 125. March 20 expiration for both sides. Image Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK,
$NVDA$ High probability: range-bound snoozefest. Low probability: total meltdown. War’s not over. Everyone’s waiting for Trump to drop the hammer. If he does — buy the crash. If peace breaks out instead? Short squeeze goes vertical. Usually selling calls here is risky. But for NVDA — and the rest of Mag 7 — squeeze potential is capped. Market’s glued to Q2 capex. No upside till earnings. Pick a strike with room, hedge it. Call spreads are fine. Institutions ran it back: same 185–190 spread as last week $NVDA 20260320 185.0 CALL$ $NVDA 20260320 190.0 CALL$ . 170 puts $NVDA 20260320 170.0 PUT$&
$S&P 500(.SPX)$I've been profitable every single year since I started trading. Not a single red year. Here's the only reason that's possible: Luck. But not the luck you're thinking of. Luck isn't random. Luck is what happens when you've done the work and the opportunity finally shows up. I spent years preparing before the market rewarded me. Here’s exactly how I prepared for profitability: - Review every trade - Mark your levels every Sunday - Be at your desk before the open - Size down until the process is automatic - Write down your plan before you sit down to trade - Know which 3-5 tickers you're watching before the market opens Do this every day for as long as it takes. I'm also wired to win. Losing a trade doesn't break me
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you! 1 $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ Trade Idea: Mar 20 725C Trigger: 661 ✅ Targets: 700, 725 🎯 Stop: 640 🛑 SNDK ran form 517 to 671 last week. If SNDK can close above 678 it can run to 700, 725. SNDK through 725 can push to 800 quickly. Calls can work above 661 next week. 2 $Micron Technology(MU)$ Trade Idea: Mar 20 470C Trigger: 425 ✅ Targets: 455, 475 🎯 Stop: No SL 🛑 MU closed at 426 on Friday. MU to 455 in play after earnings this week. There’s a 46 pt move priced in for this earnings. If MU gets through 455, it can run to 500. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1. $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ announces earnings this week on Tuesday after the closing bell. Expected move is 12-13%. Price action is currently trading at a very strong volume support level. There isn't much support below until the 60-70 range. Not really sure what optionselling trade to take here. Am looking at the 110-120 area for a put-write trade, March 20 expiration. Image 2. $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday. We'll probs write a bunch of cash-secured puts at $35 strike for March 20 expiration (assuming there is premium available on Tuesday at that strike). 35 is the lowest we can currently g
TRADE PLAN for LOTTO Friday 📈 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ price action much more bearish the past 2 days. SPX failed to show any signs of strength today. SPX to 6636 in play next. If SPX breaks this level 6520 in play. SPX March 13 6635P can work under 6670 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ dropped from 612 to 597 today the past 2 days. IF QQQ breaks 597 it can drop to 589 and down to 580. QQQ Under 580 can cause a longer term downtrend to 540. QQQ March 13 595P can work under 597 $Micron Technology(MU)$ held up decent today with the market selling off. MU held the 400 support level. MU through 415 can move back to 425-430. Wait for 415 for
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 Wrote the $115 put strike on $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ today, March 27 expiry. Folks are hoping that the $130 support holds this week. Thought about taking that strike, but am not gonna be that aggressive. Will take a lower strike to cushion the downside risk, and then roll up to capture more premium if it looks like 130 will hold. 2 $Chime Financial, Inc.(CHYM)$ announces earnings before the opening bell on Wednesday this week. Expected move is ~11%. Am 👀 the $17 strike (at strong volume support & point-of-control) for a put-write trade. 3 Was gonna play
Pay attention to $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ right now. This setup doesn't come around often. 👇 📌 THE PLAN: $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ hold of 161 Day Trade: 4/2 165C Swing Trade: 4/17 170C Reasoning Behind the Trade: $161 acted as hard resistance for 2 consecutive weeks. Today price broke above and closed near there. What makes this significant is Palantir closed at the highs while the broader market showed weakness. If the market shows strength tomorrow, Palantir is likely to lead the move higher. Growth Story: Enterprise AI Expansion: Companies increasingly deploying AIP to integrate AI into internal operations Government Partnerships: Deepening relationsh
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ +74 to close the day. SPX needs to get back above 6600 to test 6640-6660 range again. IF SPX breaks todays lows at 6565 it can retest 6520. SPX March 25 6660C is best above 6600 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ very close to a 30 pt breakout above 600. If it holds 600 the next 3 days.. 636 in play by next week META March 27 615C is best above 600 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ all about 600 this month, needs to get back above to run to 614-618. For now Let's see if QQQ can defend the Nov 21 low at 580. QQQ March 25 590C is best above 587 Good luck tmrw everyone!! 🫡 For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today a
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1 $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Trade Idea: Mar 27 380C Trigger: 369 ✅ Targets: 383, 390 🎯 Stop: 360 🛑 Dropped from 403 to 364 last week. If TSLA can hold near 369 early this week we can see a bounce back to 383. Calls can work above 369. TSLA under 358 can drop to 343, 336. It’s possible we see one more dip near 358 before a bottom forms. 2 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Trade Idea: Mar 27 610C Trigger: 600 ✅ Targets: 613, 627 🎯 Stop: 590 🛑 META dropped from 636 to 587 last week. 583 is a key support level for META. If META can hold near here we can see a push back to 613-627 this week. Calls can work above 600.
Hello! Everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 WOW Has anyone been paying attention to $SolarEdge(SEDG)$ ??? Am looking to play this with naked calls and a put credit spread. - Naked calls to take advantage of this pump and bet that it runs out of steam (highly risky if it does not and continues going up, safer move would be to do a call credit spread). - Put credit spread to play the down move with the hedge and then turn the trade into a CSP on the short side (and if it doesn't drop, then we simply just keep the premium). the Apr 17 expiry $60 call strike and 35/30 put strikes (but might do 37.5/32.5 for a bit more premium). Strong volume cluster in the 30-37 range with point-of-control at 35. 2
$SPY$ When is it time to buy the dip? Not now. Simple reason: the current drop is pricing in the impact of surging oil prices — but what about earnings season? With triple witching (March 20) behind us, we're now three weeks out from Q2 earnings. Last quarter, spending was the main driver for stock moves. Spending up → stocks down. So if spending slows, does that mean stocks go up? Not so fast. Slower spending would signal that big tech is cautious on AI — which would almost certainly trigger a valuation reset. That's why I'm not surprised to see May puts targeting 600–625 on SPY. That's deeply pessimistic. Still, a bounce next week is possible. Put expirations are skewed further out than calls. So the market could swing violently either way — but options are expensive. Buying premium is a
Option Stratgies: 7 Reasons I Only Trade 3-5 Tickers
7 reasons I only trade 3-5 tickers: You learn how each one moves. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ isn't $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ isn't $MU. Every ticker has a personality. Fewer options means fewer excuses to overtrade. Your focus goes deeper instead of wider. You stop spreading risk across things you don't fully understand. One great trade beats 10 mediocre ones every time. Mastery comes from repetition. You can't repeat what you keep changing. Discipline gets easier when the decision is already made. Pick your tickers. Learn them. Stick to them. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ popped up almost 60 points on Iran news. If SPX gets back through 6640 tomorrow we can see a squeeze to 6700 SPX March 20 6670C is best above 6640$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ to 800 coming fast, It still moved higher even with $MU lower after earnings. SNDK 1000 possible by May. SNDK March 20 800C can work above 775$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ watch 597 tomorrow if it comes.. 600 possible by the end of the day. We need to see more positive news involving Iran to see a sustained bounce. Good luck tmrw everyone!! For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1 $FedEx(FDX)$ announces earnings after the closing bell tomorrow (Thursday). Expected move is ~8%. Not sure how we want to play this. We're 👀 the 280 strike for a put-write trade, expiration date tbd. 2 $Planet Labs Pbc(PL)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Thursday. Expected move is ~22% ... that's a big EM! Am surprised that IV isn't over 200%. 🤔 ... could there be some mis-alignment here between EM and IV. If so, that means there is an opportunity for an #Optionselling trade. Am 3 Here we go ... $Micron Technology(MU)$ to hopefully sav
A while back, we asked a simple question about $DLocal Limited(DLO)$ to so-called FinTwit "experts" heading into an earnings release. Well, DLO is announcing earnings on Wednesday after market close, so we'll pose the same question ... "what makes this stock so great now versus before ... why is this time different?". The response from Rose Celine Investments was dismissive — basically telling us that if we were asking, we shouldn’t own the stock. That’s not analysis. It’s a deflection. The market has repeatedly signaled skepticism, and any responsible analysis should try to understand why, not rudely dismiss someone for asking a valid question. Since 2023, DLO has had multiple rallies into $17–$20, each followed by a sharp sell-off — and the curre
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ every Thursday the past few months has been a red day. If this Trend continues SPX could break 6600 and drop to 6500-6520 by Friday. SPX needs back above 6700 to look more bullish this week. Be careful trading the upside, every pop has sold back lower the past 2 months. $Apple(AAPL)$ is back near a key support level at 250, if this level fails we could see a dip back to 240-242 AAPL March 27 245P is best under 250 tomorrow $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ needs back above 600 to look more bullish this week. I'd stay bearish under 600. QQQ to 580 in play if it fails to hold 589. Good luck tmrw everyone!! 🫡 For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and en
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is on the verge of a 50 pt breakout and I’m looking for two key things to confirm it ✅ 1. COIN break above 212, 2. BTC break and hold above 76k, IF these 2 things align here’s my trade plan: COIN above 212 Day Trade: 3/20 215C Swing Trade: 4/17 250C Coinbase has been basing between 188-212 the last 10 sessions in conjunction with $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.HKCC)$. If COIN gets thru 212 with $BTC above 75k, buying pressure will increase squeezing price to 230 very quickly. Future Growth Drivers Operating Leverage: COIN runs a largely fixed-cost model, meaning incremental tradi
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ all about 6800 this week, if it gets back through it'll set up for 6880-6900 again. For now, the price action is still pretty weak. SPX under 6700 more bearish tomorrow. Puts can work under 6700 All eyes on MU earnings tomorrow. IF MU can have a positive reaction it can gap through 500. MU March 20 500C best as an earnings lotto $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ setting up for 800+ in the next few weeks. Once it gets though 725 we'll see more momentum for the upside SNDK March 20 800C best above 725 Good luck and wait until AFTER Powell starts talking to consider a trade tmrw. 🫡 For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up
$NVDA$ High probability: range-bound snoozefest. Low probability: total meltdown. War’s not over. Everyone’s waiting for Trump to drop the hammer. If he does — buy the crash. If peace breaks out instead? Short squeeze goes vertical. Usually selling calls here is risky. But for NVDA — and the rest of Mag 7 — squeeze potential is capped. Market’s glued to Q2 capex. No upside till earnings. Pick a strike with room, hedge it. Call spreads are fine. Institutions ran it back: same 185–190 spread as last week $NVDA 20260320 185.0 CALL$ $NVDA 20260320 190.0 CALL$ . 170 puts $NVDA 20260320 170.0 PUT$&
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with you! 1. Not a lot of folks probs took this trade by the looks of the engagement on the quoted post. Oh well. 🤷🏻♂️ Closed this $Dollar Tree(DLTR)$ trade out for a quick $200+ in profit. 🤑 Image 2. $Semtech(SMTC)$ announces earnings after the closing bell today. Expected move is ~13%. Not really sure where to play this for a put-write trade. Might target a strike just below the 200EMA at 68. Was also thinking of strangling this with a call-write trade at 125. March 20 expiration for both sides. Image Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK,
Israel-Iran Conflict: Is the Risk Fully Priced In?
First, let's look at this week's large orders from the "Put Buyer." Sell Puts: $ORCL 20260306 116.0 PUT$ : 85,000 contracts sold to open $SMH 20260306 350.0 PUT$ : 26,000 contracts sold to open However, the play on AMD was different — Buy Puts: $AMD 20260306 160.0 PUT$ : 42,000 contracts bought to open Implied volatility (IV) on out-of-the-money semiconductor puts remains extremely elevated. This isn't due to bearish AI commentary, but rather the macroeconomic risk-off sentiment stemming from the Israel-Iran war, fueling expectations of a broad market pullback. It's crucial to note that t
$NVDA$ Tuesday's put flow suggests the panic has cooled — at least for this week. But institutions aren't letting their guard down. 40k of the March 20th 170 puts were bought to open $NVDA 20260320 170.0 PUT$ . If oil's reaction is any guide, we're likely in for the scenario I laid out yesterday: chop into triple witching. So NVDA grinds 180–190 into next week. $USO$ USO saw big blocks in puts — mostly longer-dated. Two strike buckets: 100 and 90. Means the market sees a stalemate near-term. Probability of a major drop in the next two weeks? Low. $TSLA$ First medium-term bullish call in a while: 510 calls bought $TSLA 20260515 510.0 CALL$ — 15.9k contr
Hello everyone! Today i want to share some option strategies with you! 1. $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ announces earnings this week on Tuesday after the closing bell. Expected move is 12-13%. Price action is currently trading at a very strong volume support level. There isn't much support below until the 60-70 range. Not really sure what optionselling trade to take here. Am looking at the 110-120 area for a put-write trade, March 20 expiration. Image 2. $Oklo Inc.(OKLO)$ announces earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday. We'll probs write a bunch of cash-secured puts at $35 strike for March 20 expiration (assuming there is premium available on Tuesday at that strike). 35 is the lowest we can currently g
$SPY$ SPY's path lower is becoming clearer — steadily grinding toward the 200-day moving average at 655. Notable flows: Weekly put spread: buy 655 $SPY 20260313 655.0 PUT$ , sell 635 $SPY 20260313 635.0 PUT$ . April put spread: buy 657 $SPY 20260402 657.0 PUT$ , sell 590 $SPY 20260402 590.0 PUT$ . Moral of the story: don't try to catch the knife before the 200-day MA. Whether we go sub-655? Hard to say. Trump's tweets aren't running the show anymore. $USO$ Oil and oil ETFs look like they'll resolve direction by March 20. C
A Thought: All the Tension Gets Unleashed After Triple Witching
$NVDA$ I’m starting to think Trump is running the same playbook as last year — stall through March, let things get ugly in early April, then bounce. Monday saw 62k of the April 2nd 160 puts open $NVDA 20260402 160.0 PUT$ . Meanwhile, weekly 165 and 167.5 puts got closed out. Bearish flows are still there, but the consensus is breaking down compared to last Friday. One collar trade caught my eye: sell 180 call $NVDA 20260717 180.0 CALL$ , buy 2x 130 puts $NVDA 20260717 130.0 PUT$ . The 180 call premium? ~$20. The trader’s view: NVDA won’t break 200 by July. Selling the call funds the pu