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From a Historical View: Bearish or Bullish on Israel Conflicts?
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Some argue that wars can create economic instability, leading to bearish trends in the stock market, while others contend that certain sectors, like defense and technology, might experience bullish growth during times of conflict. The war bulls list the wars and index performance. It seems that 4 out of 5 presented upward momentum after the war broke out. The bears compare the price trend of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and oil prices $WTI Crude Oil - main 2311(CLmain)$ Let’s look at the recent war in 2022: The first chart shows that $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rebounded soon after Russia-Ukraine conflicts broke out on 24th Feb, 2022. However, for a longer period, the index kept going down with oil prices at a high level. But it’s hard to determine whether the stock market is affected by the war or other factors, especially with the complicated high inflation and rate hike cycle. Are you bullish or bearish towards the war? Will the war drive Sep. CPI up? More impacts on rate hike decision or not? Leave your comments and repost to win tiger coins~
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