To The Moon

Markets rally prompted by good earnings. Big Tech took turns proving the bull case, recovering March's tariff-driven selloff. How's everything going so far? $Alphabet(GOOG)$ surged +10% in a single session after Cloud revenue grew +63.4%, killing the "Google is losing the AI race" narrative. $Apple(AAPL)$ +2.56% post-earnings on a record March quarter. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ posted $23.9B in operating income, a 14% beat. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ delivered +28.7% ad revenue growth but lost 9% due to capex concerns. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ is worse, still the worst performer among mag 7

April's final session: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at all-time highs (+1%), $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ +0.89%. Full month: S&P 500 +10.4%, Nasdaq +14.8% — the strongest single-month return since the post-COVID rebound in 2020. Based on historical data, if multiple new highs are reached in April, the subsequent market performance is usually relatively strong. But Goldman and BofA Are Both Flashing Yellow Goldman Sachs Macro (April 30): S&P rallied 14% from the late-March low to record highs, but the median S&P 500 constituent is still 13% below its 52-week high — market breadth is at its narrowest in decades outside the Dot-Com Bubble. The Momentum factor is up +25% YTD, with hedge fund Momentum net expos

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ rallied after-hours. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ dropped -2%, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ loses 9%. Four companies combined committed up to $725B in 2026 CapEx — more aggressive than the market expected.📊 Scorecard: Actual vs. Estimates1. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ blowout earnings! All beats and increases dividends.On April 27, the board of directors approved a 5% increase in the quarterly cash dividend to $0.22 per share, which will be distributed on June 15, 2026, to all share

Tonight at 2 PM ET, the FOMC will announce its decision. Rates are expected to remain unchanged at 3.5–3.75%, marking the third consecutive pause, which is almost fully priced in. What’s really keeping the market on edge is not the number itself, but the Fed’s forward stance. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Will Powell Stay on as a Governor? Powell’s term as Chair ends on May 15. He has hinted that he could remain as a Fed Governor until January 2028 after stepping down as Chair. Today, the Senate Banking Committee will vote on Kevin Warsh’s nomination, and the key procedural hurdles have already been cleared. This could be Powell’s last press conference as Chair. The market is waiting for one signal: Will he stay, or leave entirely? Goldman Pushes Back: Market

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ rose +4% yesterday, becoming the first company in the world to surpass a $5 trillion market cap, while also breaking out of a 10-month consolidation range. At the same time, the Nasdaq hit a new all-time high, but $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ fear index rose to 18 (from a low of 13.38 earlier this month), and market breadth deteriorated to the second worst level in history — this rally has been almost entirely driven by NVDA alone. Top 5 market caps NVDA is already the most valuable company in the world, but on a PE basis, it is actually the cheapest among the Mag-7. BofA releases the new research report: PT at $300, +44% upside CY27 revenue forecast: $360B (+66.7% YoY) CY27 EPS: $8.11 (+78.

In the last two days of April, the most concentrated earnings window for the tech sector has arrived. $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Alphabet(GOOG)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ will all report after market on April 29, followed by AAPL on April 30. This is not just a quarterly data update — it is a collective test of one core question: Has AI spending actually translated into real revenue? 1. $MSFT: Can Azure justify a $24B capex surprise? Azure Q3 growth expectation: ~38% Citi & Morgan Stanley modeling: 39% The gap looks small, but the real “powder keg” is Q4 capex guidance. Citi expects $40B cap

This week, both $Intel(INTC)$ and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ surged, stealing the spotlight from the previously hot memory sector. Although SK Hynix delivered very strong earnings, SanDisk in the memory sector declined yesterday. Why has CPU replaced memory as the new favorite? Agentic AI workloads (task scheduling, state management, I/O control) are overwhelming GPUs alone — CPUs are now critical infrastructure again, not just supporting hardware. Over the past two years, the market has been used to a single chain: capex up → GPU orders up → HBM up → advanced packaging up. In this chain, CPUs were just a supporting role — “one extra chip bundled in the server,” and were given low valuation weight. M

Yesterday, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ surged 7%, finally reaching the much-anticipated $300 level. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ also rose 2% to $337, while $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ held strong, closing above $200. As the broader market rebounds, the AI theme is flourishing across the board — but some are starting to question NVIDIA’s leadership position. AMD breaks $300: will AMD be the next NVIDIA? Why Is the Market Re-rating AMD? CPU is back in focus. In the era of Agentic AI, task scheduling, state management, and I/O control flows are making CPUs central to the data center again, no longer just a supporting role for GPUs. At the same time, AMD’s Instinct GPUs can continue to ab

Big tech earnings are around the corner! Let’s see how institutions focus on this earnings season!Citi: S&P 500 Q1 earnings growth is expected at +13.1% YoY, with the tech sector taking the lead.Tech earnings growth forecast: +45%, highest across all sectorsPositive surprise probability: 90%, leading the second place (consumer staples at 70%) by 20 percentage pointsOverall Q1 beat rate: 62%, the second-highest quarter since 2022Three key themes wall street is betting on: will earnings season validate them?📌 AI Cloud ( $Microsoft(MSFT)$ / $Alphabet(GOOG)$ )Citi:Azure Q3 expected at +39% cc, 1pp above company guidance . FY27 expected at 41% vs consensus 37%Google Cloud +57.5% vs consensus +46.8% (11pp g

On Monday, $Apple(AAPL)$ officially announced that Tim Cook will step down as CEO effective September 1 this year and transition to the role of Executive Chairman. His successor will be John Ternus, Apple’s current Senior Vice President of Hardware Engineering. This is Apple’s first CEO transition since 2011, and the timing—right before earnings season—makes it especially intriguing. Cook’s 15 Years: 2322% Gain in Apple On August 24, 2011, just six weeks before Steve Jobs passed away, Cook took over the CEO role. At the time, Apple’s market cap was under $400 billion. There was no Apple Watch, no AirPods, no Vision Pro, and no services business as a major growth engine. Fifteen years later, Apple’s market cap has surpassed $4 trillion. Its stock h