To The Moon

Investors awaited the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and key inflation data, semiconductors rose, and blockchain stocks plunged Monday as bitcoin prices had their worst day since August.

On the data front, a survey released by the New York Fed showed that consumers expected inflation to be 3.4 percent a year from now, down from 3.6 percent expected in October and the lowest since April 2021, as expectations for higher gasoline and lease costs eased. In addition, the inflation rate over the next three and five years is stable at 3% and 2.7%, respectively.

On the political and economic front, the super central bank week comes out, the global financial markets are closely watching the Fed's interest rate decision on the 13th, given that it is certain to stay on hold, the market will pay close attention to the press conference of Chairman Bauer and the interest rate dot chart released the prospect of interest rate cuts, and then Taiwan, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Switzerland and the European Central Bank will also follow the announcement of decisions.

The Bank of Japan will meet on the 19th, and the market may not see the BOJ turn eagle this month, the source said that BOJ officials see little need to rush to end the negative interest rate policy this month, they have not seen enough evidence that wage growth will support sustainable inflation.

The Biden administration gave the green light to Nvidia, but will take strong action to respond to Huawei's chip breakthrough. Commerce Secretary Raymond Mundo said Nvidia "can, will and should" sell artificial intelligence (AI) chips to China because many AI chips are used for commercial purposes.

In addition, the Wall Street Journal reported that the New York state government has partnered with a number of semiconductor companies, including IBM and Micron, to invest $10 billion in semiconductor research facilities at the State University of New York at Albany.

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FANNG option active

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Sell put options $AMZN 20240112 134.0 PUT$

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Sell put options $MSFT 20231215 405.0 PUT$

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Sell put options $NVDA 20231215 535.0 PUT$

Option buyer open position (Single leg)

Buy TOP T/O:

$SQ 20250117 70.0 PUT$ $CVX 20240119 165.0 PUT$

Buy TOP Vol:

$X 20240119 42.0 CALL$ $CZR 20231215 47.0 CALL$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant buy open position for options contracts in the market. The purchase of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying has upward momentum, and the purchase of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying has downward momentum. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Option seller open position (Single leg)

Sell TOP T/O:

$MSFT 20231215 405.0 PUT$ $PEP 20240119 185.0 PUT$

Sell TOP Vol:

$PFE 20240105 27.0 PUT$ $KO 20240119 62.5 PUT$

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screen is a significant sell open position for an option contract in the market. A sell of a call option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has peaked, and a sell of a put option means that the trader believes that the underlying trend has bottomed. These contract openings typically indicate significant activity in the underlying stock, including whether the trader is willing to accumulate a long or short option position.

Options portfolio open position

Note: This image data is from Tiger PC. This screening is a significant portfolio of options contracts in the market. Portfolio opening includes a variety of underlying trends, requiring traders to further master the basic knowledge of options for analysis and judgment.