OptionsBB

Options volatility

    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·04-12 21:56

      Options Spy | Nasdaq short-term gains limited; The S&P 500 outlook is cautiously optimistic

      Producer Price Index Lower than Expected, Investors Buy on Dips, Tech Stocks Rebound - NVDA Up Nearly 4%, Apple Has Best Single-Day Performance in 2024The options market has divergent views on the short-term trajectory of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, but remains cautiously optimistic about the medium-term outlook. However, it is more pessimistic about the performance of individual stocks like Morgan Stanley.The S&P 500 options market is slightly bullish, but the high open interest in put options reflects market divergence over future movements.The major S&P 500 options contracts indicate the index is expected to stay below 522 until next Monday, while a more conservative outlook projects it will remain above the 100-day moving average of 491 by June 21.For the Nasdaq 100, new option
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      Options Spy | Nasdaq short-term gains limited; The S&P 500 outlook is cautiously optimistic
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·04-11 21:44

      Forwards continue to be bearish; Chip stocks unexpectedly bullish; Bank stocks under pressure

      U.S. March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showed persistent inflationary pressures, and U.S. stocks opened lower and trended lower on Wednesday (April 10). The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell more than 1.6%, the worst performer. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.559% on Wednesday, the highest closing level since November last year and the biggest single-day gain since September 2022. Investors are maintaining a cautiously optimistic attitude toward the overall stock market, remaining relatively optimistic about technology and growth stocks but more cautious about cyclical stocks such as banks. Markets are expected to maintain a range-bound trading pattern in the short term.SPY option composite trading data showed a slightly bullish bias, but a large number of put options w
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      Forwards continue to be bearish; Chip stocks unexpectedly bullish; Bank stocks under pressure
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·04-10

      Options Spy | SPY options suggest that the volatility pattern is difficult to break

      The latest U.S. inflation data came in broadly higher than expected, reinforcing speculation that the Federal Reserve won't be rushing to cut interest rates. This poured cold water on market expectations for a potential Fed rate cut as soon as June. Major U.S. indices opened lower and declined, with the 10-year Treasury yield spiking close to 4.5%. The hotter-than-expected inflation weighed on stocks amid diverging investor views on the Fed's policy outlook.The S&P 500 futures (SPY) options market showed an overall slightly bullish trading bias, with call option open interest rising further, but put open interest remained elevated above its 52-week average level.Due to key CPI data and Fed minutes releases this week, new options positioning was mainly concentrated in options expiring t
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      Options Spy | SPY options suggest that the volatility pattern is difficult to break
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·04-09

      Options Spy | Options focus on this week's blockbuster data

      Due to investors awaiting the upcoming release of March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes, the stock market traded in a volatile range closing flat. Elon Musk stated that Tesla will launch its Robotaxi in August, driving Tesla shares up nearly 5%. Blockchain concept stocks also outperformed the broader market, following the rise in Bitcoin prices. The options market showed divergence and caution towards the future outlook for the S&P 500 and financial stocks, but with a slight bullish bias as call options had a relative edge. However, institutions have also implemented some defensive positioning in the near-term, leaving room for a moderate bearish outlook.The S&P 500 futures (SPY) options market showed a slightly bullish overall trading
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      Options Spy | Options focus on this week's blockbuster data
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·04-08

      Options Spy | Option market cautious on short-term stock volatility

      U.S. stocks rose, though bets grew that the U.S. central bank might delay cutting interest rates this year, with higher Treasury rates limiting gains in major indexes. Swap rates suggest the Fed will cut rates by about 60 basis points this year, so two cuts are the most likely outcome. On Friday, the odds of three rate cuts remained above 50%.According to the latest trading data in the options market, investors are taking a wait-and-see approach to equities in the near term and remain cautiously optimistic about the next month or two.For the S&P 500ETF SPY, overall market sentiment is slightly bearish, with put options outnumbering call options by open interest. The largest volume increase was in put options expiring on May 17 with a strike price of 494, with the main direction being b
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      Options Spy | Option market cautious on short-term stock volatility
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·04-03

      Options Spy | Big bets on a 3.6% drop in the S&P 500 Put options are far more bullish

      Treasury rates continued to rise after strong economic data and rising oil prices raised concerns that the Federal Reserve may need to keep interest rates higher for longer. The Dow and S&P posted their biggest one-day losses in four weeks.Overall trading in the S&P 500 options market showed a slightly bullish intent, but put open interest continued to grow well above call interest.Big players in the options market, mainly by taking long put options 460-500 spread portfolios, suggest they expect the S&P 500 to fall at least 3.6 percent over the next 24 days.Although the overall option trading intention is slightly bullish, the big users are clearly doing long-month put options and holding cautious and even bearish expectations for the future market.Details:SPY Option Evaluation
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      Options Spy | Big bets on a 3.6% drop in the S&P 500 Put options are far more bullish
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·04-02

      Options Spy | Bearish Pressure Persists on S&P 500

      With markets still cautious about the pace of the Fed's rate cut schedule this year and when it will be able to achieve its 2 percent inflation target, Treasury rates surged on Monday and major U.S. stock indexes were mixed. Trump Media plunged after reporting losses last year. Microsoft snapped a five-game losing streak. Micron is up more than 5%. Alphabet hits record high. Overall, investors remain cautiously bearish on the S&P 500 future market, but individual bullish forces have not completely left the field. There may be profit-taking in technology stocks.Overall volume of S&P 500 options shows that bearish sentiment prevails. Put open interest continues to grow, far outpacing call options.The second new call is the April 19 585 forward call, which is mainly a buy open positio
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      Options Spy | Bearish Pressure Persists on S&P 500
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·04-01

      Options Spy | Mixed Sentiment in Index Options, Aggressive Tesla Call Buying This Week

      U.S. economic indicators point to steady expansion, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to achieve a soft landing. The S&P 500 hit its 22nd record high this year, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average also set a new closing high record.The overall options trading on the S&P 500 index showed a slightly bearish bias. Open interest in put options far exceeded call options, with a surge in open interest for May options.The most actively traded new call option was the April 5th expiry with a $530 strike price, with 40,000 new openings, mainly buy-to-open orders, suggesting expectations of a 1.3% rise in the S&P 500 over the next week.For Tesla, due to the company raising prices on some vehicle models, options activity showed that the $187.5 call options expiring on April 5th w
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      Options Spy | Mixed Sentiment in Index Options, Aggressive Tesla Call Buying This Week
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·03-28

      Options Spy | Stocks Hit New Highs, Options Trading Signals Divergence

      Despite lower bond yields and the emergence of dip-buying in equities, major U.S. stock indexes rallied collectively, with the S&P 500 rising over 0.8% to set a new record high. Investors appear to be betting on a minor fluctuation in the overall stock market while also seizing opportunities in hot sectors like technology and semiconductors.An overview of S&P 500 index options suggests an overall bullish market sentiment. Short-term call options saw active trading, predominantly from sellers opening new positions, likely aiming to collect option premiums.Simultaneously, a considerable amount of capital bought into far-dated put options, particularly the June 498 puts, implying bearish bets on a 4.8% decline in the S&P 500 over the next 86 days.The semiconductor sector exhibited
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      Options Spy | Stocks Hit New Highs, Options Trading Signals Divergence
    • OptionsBBOptionsBB
      ·03-27

      Options Spy | Bearish sentiment in index options is strong; Mystery position Heavy bullish PDD

      U.S. consumer confidence fell less than expected in March, while major U.S. stock indexes closed lower on Tuesday ahead of further comments from Federal Reserve officials and a key inflation report later in the week. Investors tend to be cautious about the short-term outlook for stocks, but also have money to bet on the long-term upside potential of individual stocks such as technology stocks.S&p 500 options sentiment turned bearish, with call selling dominating. Investors are also betting on a 1.5 percent decline in the S&P 500 over the next 52 days by buying a portfolio of May far-month puts.The Nasdaq 100 options market is showing a similar pattern, with large money buying April puts, which are expected to fall 5 percent in the next 17 days. That reflects cautious optimism about
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      Options Spy | Bearish sentiment in index options is strong; Mystery position Heavy bullish PDD
       
       
       
       

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