10Y Treasury yield surged! Rate cut in mid-year?
@Tiger_comments：
Affected by lower rate cut expectations, 10Y Treasury yield surpassed 4% on Wednesday. In December, US retail sales rose by 0.6% compared to the previous month, exceeding estimates of 0.4% and doubling the November increase of 0.3%. The comprehensive data indicates robust demand of consumption during the holiday season. Many traders have further retreated from betting on rate cut in March. Analyst from BlackRock commented, "I believe the current data is not sufficient to give the Fed confidence to cut rates in the short term. The rate cut may occur later in the year than in March." However, the surge also means higher premium of $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ put options. Would you sell put of TLT during the crash? How do you view the rate cut? In March or later? Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins!
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