Market Highlights π‘ - 17 May 2024
* Wall Street retreats on mixed corporate earnings forecasts; Hang Seng cheers on housing policy
πΊπΈ S&P 500: -0.19% π
πΊπΈ Nasdaq: -0.25% π
πͺπΊ Stoxx 600 Index: -0.09% π
π―π΅ Nikkei 225 Index: 1.39% π
ππ° Hang Seng Index: 1.60% π
π¨π³ CSI 300 Index: 0.39% π
* U.S. stocks fell, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite down -0.2% and -0.3%, respectively, as investors adjusted interest rate cut expectations in response to slowing inflation and strong corporate earnings data.
* U.S. jobless claims fell by 11,000 to 222,000 in the week ended May 11, beating estimates of 219,000, suggesting the labor market remains quite tight and is finding a delicate balance.
* Asia-Pacific stocks rose, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng rising 1.6% to a nine-month high and China's CSI 300 rising 0.4%, driven by supportive measures to support the housing market and expectations the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates after weak inflation data. . The Nikkei gained 1.4% as investors were pleased with slowing U.S. inflation.
* Japan's preliminary first-quarter GDP fell -2% quarter-on-quarter, missing expectations of -1.5%, as a weak yen continued to hit consumers, posing new challenges for the Bank of Japan to further raise interest rates and stimulate the economy.
π‘ Future events: π‘
At the end of the week we will see the release of China's annual industrial production and unemployment rate, and the final EU CPI annual rate.
π‘ Things you need to know today: π‘
1. Applied Materials $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ reported better-than-expected third-quarter results of $6.65 billion, but shares fell as demand for its semiconductor tools was strong but it failed to meet investors' high expectations. The company, which supplies chipmaking tools to Samsung and TSMC, reported that 43% of its total second-quarter revenue came from China.
2. Walmart $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ shares hit a record high after raising its full-year forecast and reporting better-than-expected quarterly results, confident that easing inflation will drive strong sales of groceries and discretionary items such as clothing and electronics.
3. Deere & Co. $John Deere(DE)$ reported $13.6 billion in equipment sales and despite better-than-expected earnings of $8.53 per share, the company cut its full-year net income guidance to $7 billion, sending its shares plummeting. The company's earnings have been falling along with lower agricultural prices, as corn and soybean prices have fallen by about 22% and 13%, respectively.
4. Hefei said it would provide home buyers with subsidies equal to 2% of the value of the homes they purchased, while Hangzhou announced plans to buy existing homes and rent them out as affordable housing, all in an effort to ease the economic downturn and reduce inventory, To address developers' liquidity issues and restore homebuyer confidence.
5. Chinese online retailer JD $JD.com(JD)$
β KEY POINTS:
Following a slew of key data this week, markets now expect the Fed to cut interest rates twice this year, by a quarter of a percentage point each time, with a 70% chance of a first cut in September.
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Based on the market highlights for May 17, 2024:
Wall Street: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both experienced a decline of -0.2% and -0.3% respectively. This was attributed to investors adjusting their expectations for interest rate cuts due to slowing inflation and strong corporate earnings data.
U.S. Jobless Claims: Jobless claims in the U.S. fell by 11,000 to 222,000, surpassing estimates of 219,000. This suggests that the labor market remains tight and is finding a delicate balance.
Asia-Pacific Stocks: Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region saw gains, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng rising 1.6% to a nine-month high and China's CSI 300 rising 0.4%. These gains were driven by supportive measures to boost the housing market and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve following weak inflation data. The Nikkei also gained 1.4% as investors were pleased with the slowdown in U.S. inflation.
Japan's GDP: Japan's preliminary first-quarter GDP fell by -2% quarter-on-quarter, missing expectations of -1.5%. The weak yen continued to impact consumers, and companies like John Deere cut their full-year net income guidance due to falling agricultural prices.
Housing Market Support in China: Hefei announced subsidies for homebuyers equal to 2% of the value of the homes purchased, while Hangzhou plans to buy existing homes and rent them out as affordable housing. These measures aim to address the economic downturn, reduce inventory, and restore homebuyer confidence.
JD.com's Earnings: Chinese online retailer JD.com reported first-quarter revenue that exceeded market expectations. Price cuts and discount coupons helped boost sales, which had been affected by cautious consumers. JD.com's net profit increased by 3.4% year-on-year to 8.9 billion yuan, and revenue increased by 7% year-on-year to 260 billion yuan.
Overall, the market sentiment was influenced by adjusting interest rate cut expectations, strong corporate earnings, and supportive measures in the housing market. Investors are now anticipating two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with a 70% chance of the first cut occurring in September.
Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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Great article