Market Highlights πŸ’‘ - 25 September 2024

China's new stimulus measures boost global stock markets

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ S&P 500: 0.25% πŸ“ˆ

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Nasdaq: 0.56% πŸ“ˆ

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Stoxx 600: 0.65% πŸ“ˆ

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Nikkei 225: 0.57% πŸ“ˆ

πŸ‡­πŸ‡° Hang Seng Index: 4.14% πŸ“ˆ

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ CSI 300: 4.33% πŸ“ˆ

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¬ Straits Times Index: -0.43% πŸ“‰

The U.S. stock market continues its upward trend, despite a disappointing consumer confidence index. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose by 0.3% and 0.6%, respectively, buoyed by heavyweight stock Nvidia.

Amid growing concerns over the job market, the U.S. CB Consumer Confidence Index fell to 98.7, below the market expectation of 103.9, although more people plan to purchase homes in the next six months.

Germany's Ifo Business Climate Index dropped from last month's 86.6 to 85.4 in September, reaching its lowest level since January.

On Tuesday, the Asia-Pacific markets rallied, with the Hang Seng Index and CSI 300 rising by 4.1% and 4.3%, marking the best performance in months, following new economic stimulus measures from the People's Bank of China. $Alibaba(BABA)$  $TENCENT(00700)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$  

πŸ’‘ Upcoming Events: πŸ’‘

The U.S. will release GDP quarterly rate, unemployment claims, and durable goods orders on Thursday.

Investors will look forward to Friday's release of the U.S. Core PCE Price Index, personal income and spending, as well as the revised University of Michigan consumer confidence and inflation expectations.


πŸ’‘ Things to Know Today: πŸ’‘

1. The People's Bank of China announced a series of support measures, including a 50 basis point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, a 20 basis point cut in the seven-day reverse repurchase rate to 1.5%, a 30 basis point reduction in the medium-term lending facility, and an average mortgage rate cut of 50 basis points.

People's Bank of China

2. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained the cash rate at 4.35% during its September meeting, marking the seventh consecutive meeting without changing borrowing costs, while still viewing inflation as too high.

RBA

3. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman was the only policymaker to dissent on last week's 50 basis point rate cut:β€œI lean towards a smaller initial rate cut given that the U.S. economy remains strong and inflation is still a concern. I cannot rule out the risk that inflation progress may continue to stall.”

Michelle Bowman

4. According to a new regulatory filing, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$   has completed the sale of stock in the chipmaker, cashing out over $700 million according to a pre-arranged plan. Following the news, the stock rose by 4.0%.

Jensen Huang

5. Visa's $Visa(V)$  stock fell 5.5% on Tuesday after the U.S. Department of Justice filed a lawsuit, claiming the company engaged in anti-competitive behavior through intimidation and financial incentives to limit competition.

Visa

βœ… Key Takeaway:

Encouragingly, Beijing appears to recognize the growing economic pressures and social tensions, leading to the announcement of a series of stimulus measures, but the government may need to take further actions to revitalize the economy at its roots.

@Daily_Discussion  @TigerStars  @Tiger_comments  @TigerGPT @ASX_Stars  

# πŸ’° Stocks to watch today?(25 Oct)

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  • TigerGPT
    Β·09-25
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    Alibaba (BABA)

    Business Overview: Alibaba is a Chinese multinational conglomerate specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology. It operates various platforms including Alibaba, Taobao, Tmall, and AliExpress, serving customers globally.  

    Earnings Forecast: For the fiscal year 2027, the forecasted earnings per share (EPS) is 79.28 CNY, with a forecasted gross income of 1177.98 billion CNY and a forecasted EBIT of 185.34 billion CNY. The EPS is expected to grow in the coming years.  

    Analyst Recommendation: There are 14 recommendations for this stock, with 26 analysts recommending a buy and 8 recommending to hold.  

    Analyst Target Price: The average target price estimated by 42 analysts is 107.89475 USD, with a low estimate of 79.7 USD and a high estimate of 146.0 USD.  

    Capital Flow Data (5 Day): On September 17, there was a net inflow of 10,354.34 thousand units (K). On September 18, there was a net outflow of 4,320.42 thousand units (K). On September 19, there was a net inflow of 58,455.6 thousand units (K). On September 20, there was a net outflow of 42,019.33 thousand units (K). On September 23, there was a net inflow of 65,212.07 thousand units (K).  

    Stock Price: The stock price as of September 25 is 97.19 USD.  

    Tencent (00700)

    Business Overview: Tencent is a Chinese multinational conglomerate holding company specializing in various internet-related services and products. It operates platforms such as WeChat, QQ, and Tencent Video, providing social networking, gaming, and online media services.  

    Earnings Forecast: For the fiscal year 2025, the forecasted EPS is 24.88 CNY, with a forecasted gross income of 718.60 billion CNY and a forecasted EBIT of 255.62 billion CNY. The company's earnings are expected to grow in the coming years.  

    Analyst Recommendation: There are 23 recommendations for this stock, with 31 analysts recommending a buy, 1 recommending a hold, and 1 recommending a sell.  

    Analyst Target Price: The average target price estimated by 45 analysts is 469.31086 HKD, with a low estimate of 317.0 HKD and a high estimate of 540.0 HKD.  

    Capital Flow Data (5 Day): On September 17, there was a net inflow of 26,977.28 thousand units (K). On September 19, there was a net inflow of 406,414.96 thousand units (K). On September 20, there was a net inflow of 92,630.18 thousand units (K). On September 23, there was a net inflow of 112,655.1 thousand units (K). On September 24, there was a net inflow of 946,000.92 thousand units (K).  

    Stock Price: The stock price as of September 25 is 402.6 HKD.  

    NIO-SW (09866)

    Business Overview: NIO is a Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer. It designs, manufactures, and sells smart and connected electric vehicles, as well as provides related services such as charging infrastructure and battery swapping.  

    Earnings Forecast: For the fiscal year 2025, the forecasted EPS is -6.19 CNY, with a forecasted gross income of 99.12 billion CNY and a forecasted EBIT of -13.54 billion CNY. The company is expected to improve its earnings in the future.  

    Analyst Recommendation: There are 6 recommendations for this stock, with 8 analysts recommending a buy, 6 recommending a hold, and no sell recommendations.  

    Analyst Target Price: The average target price estimated by 18 analysts is 50.12957 HKD, with a low estimate of 34.0 HKD and a high estimate of 72.0 HKD.  

    Capital Flow Data (5 Day): On September 17, there was a net inflow of 10,877.92 thousand units (K). On September 19, there was a net inflow of 10,103.42 thousand units (K). On September 20, there was a net inflow of 10,695.15 thousand units (K). On September 23, there was a net inflow of 33,927.13 thousand units (K). On September 24, there was a net inflow of 7,385.19 thousand units (K).  

    Stock Price: The stock price as of September 25 is 43.35 HKD.  

    NVIDIA Corp (NVDA)

    Business Overview: NVIDIA is an American technology company that designs and manufactures graphics processing units (GPUs) for gaming, cryptocurrency, and professional markets. It also provides system-on-a-chip units (SoCs) for autonomous machines and artificial intelligence.  

    Earnings Forecast: For the fiscal year 2027, the forecasted EPS is 4.71 USD, with a forecasted gross income of 211.35 billion USD and a forecasted EBIT of 137.23 billion USD. The company's earnings are expected to grow in the coming years.  

    Analyst Recommendation: There are 21 recommendations for this stock, with 38 analysts recommending a buy and 5 recommending to hold.  

    Analyst Target Price: The average target price estimated by 50 analysts is 145.217 USD, with a low estimate of 56.01 USD and a high estimate of 200.0 USD.  

    Capital Flow Data (5 Day): On September 17, there was a net outflow of 235,000.57 thousand units (K). On September 18, there was a net outflow of 44,448.54 thousand units (K). On September 19, there was a net outflow of 70,346.61 thousand units (K). On September 20, there was a net inflow of 1,902,079.61 thousand units (K). On September 23, there was a net inflow of 208,655.21 thousand units (K).  

    Stock Price: The stock price as of September 25 is 120.87 USD.  

    Visa (V)

    Business Overview: Visa is an American multinational financial services corporation that facilitates electronic funds transfers throughout the world. It provides payment solutions, including credit, debit, prepaid, and commercial products, to merchants, financial institutions, and individuals.  

    Earnings Forecast: For the fiscal year 2025, the forecasted EPS is 11.07 USD, with a forecasted gross income of 39.35 billion USD and a forecasted EBIT of 26.93 billion USD. The company's earnings are expected to grow in the coming years.  

    Analyst Recommendation: There are 11 recommendations for this stock, with 22 analysts recommending a buy and 8 recommending to hold.  

    Analyst Target Price: The average target price estimated by 35 analysts is 307.77886 USD, with a low estimate of 251.0 USD and a high estimate of 340.0 USD.  

    Capital Flow Data (5 Day): On September 17, there was a net inflow of 22,107.73 thousand units (K). On September 18, there was a net inflow of 14,603.94 thousand units (K). On September 19, there was a net outflow of 7,854.23 thousand units (K). On September 20, there was a net inflow of 343,594.41 thousand units (K). On September 23, there was a net inflow of 17,827.63 thousand units (K).  

    Stock Price: The stock price as of September 25 is 272.78 USD.  

    Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Investing in stocks involves risks, and stock prices can fluctuate due to various factors.

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    • TigerGPTReplying toShyon:Β 

      The recent correction in Chinese stocks may have been influenced by several factors. Here are some key points that may have contributed to the movement:

      China's Stimulus Measures: China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), announced a series of support measures, including a reduction in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR), a cut in the seven-day reverse repurchase rate, a reduction in the medium-term lending facility, and a mortgage rate cut. These measures were aimed at bolstering equities and the economy. The announcement of these stimulus measures may have contributed to the positive performance of Chinese stocks.

        

      Market Sentiment: Positive sentiment from the stimulus measures and expectations of further economic support measures may have boosted investor confidence in Chinese stocks.

        

      International Market Performance: The global stock markets, including the US, Europe, and Japan, experienced gains in response to the news of China's stimulus measures. This positive sentiment and broad market rally may have had a spillover effect on Chinese stocks.

        

      Capital Flow: It's important to note that capital flow plays a significant role in stock market movements. Flows of funds into or out of specific stocks can impact their prices. Analyzing the capital flow data can provide insights into the movement of stocks.

        

      It's worth mentioning that these factors are based on available news and market analysis. It's important to conduct thorough research and consider multiple factors before making any investment decisions.

      Please note that the information provided is for reference purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investing in stocks involves risks, and stock prices can fluctuate due to various factors.

      09-25
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    • Shyon:Β 
      And so fast today market shows correction for Chinese stocks
      09-25
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    • TigerGPTReplying toShyon:Β 

      The recent surge in Chinese stocks, including the CSI 300 index, can be attributed to a combination of factors, including China's new stimulus measures and positive market sentiment.

      China's new stimulus measures, announced by the People's Bank of China, have provided a boost to the economy and investor confidence. These measures include a reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, a cut in the seven-day reverse repurchase rate, a decrease in the medium-term lending facility, and a mortgage rate cut. The aim of these measures is to support economic growth and stimulate investment in various sectors.

      Additionally, positive market sentiment towards Chinese stocks has also contributed to the recent surge. Investors are optimistic about the potential for economic recovery in China, especially with the support from government stimulus measures.

      It's important to note that the movement of stocks is influenced by various factors, and it's always recommended to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

      As for the specific movement of the CSI 300 index, you can refer to the following news article for more details: US-listed Chinese Shares Soar, Yuan Hit 16-Month High on China's New Stimulus.

      Please remember that investing in stocks involves risks, and it's crucial to carefully consider your investment objectives and seek professional advice if needed.

      09-25
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