$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ ๐จ๐ค๐ All About the Aโs: ARM & AppLovin Attack Expectations Afterhours ๐๐ค๐จ
A heavyweight earning double-header is on deck, and the spotlightis squarely on two algorithm-fuelled architects of tech disruption: ARM Holdings ($ARM) and AppLovin ($APP). Both report after market close today, and both carry the weight of the AI rally on their shoulders.
๐ ARM Holdings ($ARM): Royalty on the Rise
โข Expected Revenue: $1.23B
โข Expected EPS: $0.52
โข Reporting: After market close, 08May25, ๐ณ๐ฟNZST
๐ EPS History
Q2โ24: $0.06
Q3โ24: $0.28
Q4โ24: $0.29
Q1โ25: $0.43
Q2โ25: $0.50 est
Q3โ25: $0.52 est
โ Rapid ramp-up in profitability with momentum holding into FY25
๐ Revenue Trajectory
Q2โ24: $641M
Q3โ24: $806M
Q4โ24: $824M
Q1โ25: $927M
Q2โ25: $1.17B est
Q3โ25: $1.23B est
โ Revenue nearly doubled over 5 quarters, mirroring AI demand acceleration
๐ง Context & Insight:
ARM earns not just from chips, but from every chip that uses its architecture. Its royalty model monetises scale, and with AI chips now spreading across devices, ARM is becoming the โtoll collectorโ of the silicon superhighway. Appleโs M-series, Qualcommโs Snapdragon, and Amazonโs Graviton all lean on ARM blueprints.
๐ Key Forward Catalysts:
โข Royalty expansion via Armv9 adoption
โข Potential China licensing rebound
โข Mobile and edge AI tailwinds
๐ข Buy: 19
๐ก Hold: 6
๐ด Sell: 2
โก AppLovin ($APP): Ads, Algorithms, and Absolute Ascent
โข Expected Revenue: $1.83B
โข Expected EPS: $1.96
โข Reporting: After market close, 08May25, ๐ณ๐ฟNZST
๐ EPS History
Q2โ24: $0.21
Q3โ24: $0.61
Q4โ24: $1.06
Q1โ25: $1.40
Q2โ25: $1.70 est
Q3โ25: $1.96 est
โ EPS more than doubled in four quarters, with hyper-growth still projected
๐ Revenue Trend
Q2โ24: ~$685M
Q3โ24: ~$902M
Q4โ24: ~$1.12B
Q1โ25: ~$1.37B
Q2โ25: ~$1.67B est
Q3โ25: ~$1.83B est
โ One of the fastest top-line growth stories in mobile advertising
๐ง Context & Insight:
AppLovinโs AXON 2.0 engine uses predictive AI to optimise mobile ad spend across 140,000+ apps. Itโs dominating Return on Ad Spend (ROAS) benchmarks and gaining share from The Trade Desk and Unity as privacy policies decimate traditional ad targeting models.
๐ Capital Flow Note:
Institutional ownership surged past 768 holders. Whale accumulation shows conviction as shares approach all-time highs. Bullish call volume exploded into July expiry at $90 and $100.
๐ข Buy: 20
๐ก Hold: 5
๐ด Sell: 1
๐ Macro & Competitor Context
$ARM Peers by volume:
โข AMD โ under pressure on margins
โข NVDA โ still dominant in data centre, but no royalty model
โข QCOM โ tethered to mobile, not general AI
$APP Peers by volume:
โข TTD โ struggling post-IDFA changes
โข U โ losing ground to AXON in gaming adtech
โข IS โ merged into Unity, now under cost-cutting pressure
๐งฉ Contrarian Take
ARM isnโt fighting Nvidia. Itโs collecting royalties from everyone else who is. As chip diversification accelerates, ARMโs licensing moat widens.
APP isnโt just surviving ATT privacy changes. Itโs thriving because of them. When the walled gardens grow, AppLovin sells the ladders.
๐ง What to Watch Next
1. Gross margin and royalty rate updates from ARM
2. AXON adoption metrics and share buyback news from APP
3. Institutional flow shifts based on guidance trends
๐ข Donโt miss out! Like, Repost and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends, and insights that move markets ๐๐ Iโm obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Letโs outsmart the market and stack those gains together! ๐
Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC ๐๐๐๐๐
@Tiger_Earnings @Tiger_comments @TigerPicks @TigerStars @Daily_Discussion @TigerWire
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Implied Move: $9.32 7.73%
Previous Reactions:
-3.34%โ
+4.13%โ
-15.72%โ
-2.34%โ
Change Since Last Report: -30.14%โ
Open Interest: 782,410
Great article, would you like to share it?
ๅพๆฃ็ๆ็ซ ๏ผไฝ ๆฟๆๅไบซๅ๏ผ
Great article, would you like to share it?
Great article, would you like to share it?
Great article, would you like to share it?