To The Moon

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares(PLTU)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🚨⚙️🧠 $PLTR in Motion: Gamma Fuse at $157, Wedge Apex Loading 📈🔥

17 June 2025, NZST 🇳🇿

Palantir Technologies Inc. ($PLTR) has carved a distinct arc through the market, a trajectory that demands scrutiny beyond surface-level observation. At $144.085 as of mid-December 2024, its ascent from $45 in early October reflects not just momentum but a confluence of technical precision, macroeconomic currents, and fundamental resilience. I’ve been dissecting its path, and what emerges is a story of calculated potential, neither blind optimism nor rote scepticism, but a measured view of where this stock might lead us. Below, I’ll unpack its technical setup, contextualise its rise within broader economic forces, and weigh recent developments, all while offering actionable clarity for the road ahead.

⚡ Technical Analysis: The Wedge and the Yellow Horizon ⚡

The 6-hour chart of Palantir presents a rising wedge pattern, a structure that’s both disciplined and dynamic. This isn’t mere line-drawing, it’s a signal of impending resolution. The price, now at $144.085 (up 4.01% daily), presses against the wedge’s upper boundary, with a yellow-shaded target zone spanning $154 to $172. This range isn’t speculative, it’s anchored by:

📐 Fibonacci Extensions: The 1.618 level at $157.62 (weekly) sits squarely within this zone, while the 1.236 at $142.76 has been surpassed, signalling bullish follow-through

📊 Support and Resistance: Prior ceilings at $114.86 and $104.44 have solidified as support, with $135.50 now the critical daily close to watch. Resistance at $145.70 looms as the next hurdle, a break here could ignite acceleration

📈 Volume Trends: Activity has swelled since late November, with bars thickening as price climbs. This isn’t a fading rally, it’s a surge with conviction

🧲 Momentum Signals: While RSI or MACD aren’t visible, the chart’s annotation of momentum “curling upward” suggests a potential vertical stretch

💸 Options flow reinforces this narrative. Call buying has spiked at $150 and $160 strikes, reflecting trader anticipation of a push into the yellow zone. Short interest, hovering at 10% of the float, adds a layer of tension, a breakout could trigger a squeeze, amplifying upside pressure.

🌍 Macro-Economic Context: AI as the Structural Engine 🌍

Palantir’s rise isn’t an isolated event, it’s tethered to tectonic shifts in the global economy. The Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in late 2024 have loosened monetary conditions, funnelling capital into growth sectors like technology. Palantir, with its AI-driven data analytics, rides this wave as enterprises and governments prioritise digital infrastructure. Geopolitical fractures, think data sovereignty debates and defence modernisation, further elevate its relevance, particularly in its government contracts, which accounted for 45% of Q3 revenue. Palantir brought in $487 million from government and allied contracts last quarter alone, up from just $118 million in Q1 2020, a fourfold increase that underscores how deeply embedded it has become in U.S. and partner-state infrastructure.

💾 The AI sector itself is a furnace of activity. NVIDIA’s recent earnings beat and AMD’s supply chain strength signal robust demand for the hardware underpinning Palantir’s software. This isn’t a bubble, it’s a structural re-rating of firms positioned at the nexus of computation and decision-making. Yet, inflation lingers at 2.6%, and any hawkish Fed pivot could cap this rally. For now, the macro wind blows favourably.

🧪 Recent Events: Resilience Under Scrutiny 🧪

Palantir’s fundamentals have faced tests and emerged sharper. Its Q3 2024 earnings, released in November, posted 35% year-over-year revenue growth, beating consensus by 3%. Commercial revenue surged 54%, a sign its private-sector pivot is gaining traction. Yet, its valuation, 73x forward sales, raises eyebrows. That’s a multiple typically reserved for speculative biotech, not a firm with $1.2 billion in quarterly revenue. Trivariate’s Adam Parker calls it “fundamentally awesome” despite the sticker shock, a nod to its sticky contracts and high margins (36% adjusted operating margin).

🗞️ News flow has been a crucible. A December New York Times piece revisited Palantir’s surveillance roots, yet the stock shrugged it off, gaining in six of seven sessions post-publication, including a 5.2% jump. Rep. James Comer’s $PLTR stake, bought post-Trump’s January 2025 inauguration, is up 96%, a quiet endorsement from a political heavyweight. At $320 billion, Palantir now ranks #25 in the S&P 500, overtaking Coca-Cola, a milestone that underscores its gravitational pull.

🏗️ Futurum AI Fifteen: Stacking the Infrastructure 🏗️

Palantir sits at the heart of the Operating Layer in my Futurum AI Fifteen framework. This multi-tiered stack highlights where the real infrastructure and value creation lie across the AI landscape:

🧠 Control Layer: $AMD, $ARM, $TSM, $AVGO, $ASML, $QCOM, $MU, $CSCO

🔧 Operating Layer: $PLTR, $NOW, $ORCL, $SNOW, $IBM, $CRWD, $PANW, $NET, $CRM

🌱 Expansion Layer: $OKLO, $MDB, $ALAB, $AD

If Palantir is overpriced, so is the core operating fabric of AI. This isn’t just one ticker on a run, it’s a signal that smart capital is consolidating around the structural stack.

🧩 Hedge Fund and Analyst Views: The Price Spectrum 🧩

Institutional confidence is palpable. Coatue Management upped its stake by 15% in Q3, while Tiger Global added 1.2 million shares. Analysts are split but leaning bullish:

🏦 Goldman Sachs: $140 target, citing “execution risks” at current multiples

🏦 Morgan Stanley: $180, praising Palantir’s “unmatched AI positioning”

🏦 Wedbush: $165, blending optimism with valuation caution

The consensus range of $140 to $180 frames the yellow zone as a plausible near-term ceiling, though sentiment on trading platforms tilts toward $172+ if momentum holds.

🔭 Forward-Looking Watchlist: Scenarios and Peers 🔭

Palantir’s next moves hinge on technical and market catalysts. Here’s what I’m tracking:

1️⃣ Upside Breakout: A close above $145.70 with volume could propel it to $157.62. If $157 cracks, $172 is in play, fuelled by gamma and short covering

2️⃣ Sideways Digestion: Consolidation between $140 and $150 might precede the next leg, a pause to reload momentum

3️⃣ Downside Risk: A daily close below $135.50 flips the script, targeting $120, a 16% drop but still above key support

🧵 Related Stocks:

🚀 $NVDA: AI hardware leader, up 8% post-earnings, a bellwether for Palantir’s ecosystem

🛡️ $CRWD: Cybersecurity peer, testing $400, offers sector diversification

🔩 $TSM: Foundry backbone, its $30 billion capex signals AI’s long runway

🎯 Conviction and Current Positioning 🎯

I’m holding $PLTU long from $65.04 with unrealised gains of +6.33%, targeting that yellow zone wedge apex. This is not a swing trade, it’s a high-conviction setup with structural confluence.

🔥 Swinging $PLTR from $138.79 with +3% gains. Price action’s coiling, volume’s rising, and gamma’s ready to ignite.

I’m still staying bullish on $TSLA overall. I will keep buying the dips and we will continue to win. When I see companies like $PLTR, $ORCL, $AVGO and others making all-time highs, there is no reason for me to be bearish at this point.

🧠 Actionable Insights and Conclusion 🧠

Palantir stands at a vertex, technically poised, fundamentally fortified, and macroeconomically aligned. My approach is surgical:

📌 Buy Signals: Enter on a $145.70 breakout or a $135.50 dip if support holds

📌 Risk Control: Stop below $135.50 caps exposure

🎯 Targets: $154 to $172 is the prize, with $157.62 as the pivot

This isn’t a fleeting rally. Palantir’s entrenchment in AI, spanning defence, healthcare, and beyond, positions it as a structural winner in a digitising world. The yellow zone isn’t an end but a waypoint. As capital concentrates and conviction builds, I see a stock not just breaking records but redefining its orbit. For those willing to navigate its volatility, the rewards could be substantial. The data points to ascent, now it’s about execution.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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