SBET Up 140% in July: 3–4× MSTR-Style Upside Left?

$Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ took four years to teach the market the “digital gold” story; $Ethereum(ETH.USD.CC)$ is now staging the new narrative of “digital reserve assets” in just 90 days.

I. From $9 to 20:SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$’s July “rocket curve”

On July 1, $SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ was still hovering around $8.5; by July 15 it spiked intraday to $20.4, a 140 % gain in half a month.

Volume exploded—daily turnover leapt from 3 % to 23 % in two weeks, options open interest (OI) doubled twice, and implied volatility hit 110 % as short-term capital piled in.

II. The 140 % fuel: SBET’s balance sheet has gone “ETH-native”

Corporate purchase timeline

• May: bought 163,000 ETH via a $425 million PIPE.

• July 7–11: added another $413 million, scooping up 75,000+ more, for a total of 280,706 ETH.

• At $3,000 per ETH, the stash is worth ~$840 million—over 90 % of SBET’s market cap—prompting Wall Street to label it “MicroStrategy for Ethereum.”

Staking cash flow

95 % of the ETH is staked on Lido, Rocket Pool, etc., generating ~322 ETH daily (~$960 k), an unlevered 7–8 % annual yield for the company.

III. Ethereum narrative 2.0: corporate treasuries + ETF twin engines

  • Institutional grab The Block shows U.S. listed firms added 545 k ETH worth >$1.6 B in June–July alone.

  • ETF relay U.S. spot ETH ETFs saw a record $890 million net inflow in the second week of July; Hong Kong’s first batch of spot ETH ETFs began trading July 11.

  • Price mirror ETH rebounded from a June low of $2,100 to $3,000—up 42 % versus Bitcoin’s 18 %. Options desks see a surge in open interest for $3,500 calls expiring end-August, betting ETH will retest its $4,800 high.

IV. From “Bitcoin Beta” to “Ethereum Beta”

2020–2024: $Strategy(MSTR)$ turned 214 k BTC into a market cap run from $1.5 B to 100B.

2025: $SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ repeats the playbook with 280,706 ETH—plus staking yield for extra alpha.

MSTR’s market-cap-to-BTC ratio ≈ 4.7×; SBET’s market-cap-to-ETH ratio ≈ 1.2×—assign the same premium and SBET’s theoretical upside is still 3–4×.

Bitcoin spent four years teaching the “digital gold” story; Ethereum is now delivering the “digital reserve asset” sequel in 90 days. SBET’s 140 % surge is only the prologue—once ETF and corporate coffers converge, ETH’s “Bitcoin Beta 2.0” move may have just begun.

V. Some related ETFS

U.S. Spot Ethereum ETFs (Direct ETH Holdings)

ETF Name

Exchange

AUM\*

Expense Ratio

Notes

$iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$

NASDAQ

≈ US\$2.1 B

0.25 % (0.12 % waiver on first US\$2.5 B for 12 mo.)

Issued by BlackRock

$Fidelity Ethereum Fund(FETH)$

Cboe BZX

≈ US\$0.81 B

0.25 %

Issued by Fidelity

$Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHE)$

NYSE

≈ US\$5.25 B

2.50 % (planned cut to 1.50 %)

Converted from trust

$Vaneck Ethereum ETF(ETHV)$

NASDAQ

≈ US\$0.26 B

0.20 %

Issued by VanEck

NYSE

≈ US\$0.24 B

0.21 %

21Shares / ARK

$Franklin Ethereum Etf(EZET)$

Cboe BZX

≈ US\$0.08 B

0.19 %

Issued by Franklin Templeton

$Invesco Galaxy Ethereum ETF(QETH)$

Cboe BZX

≈ US\$0.06 B

0.25 %

Invesco & Galaxy

2. Hong Kong Spot Ethereum ETFs (HKD Trading)

ETF Name

HKEX Code

Expense Ratio

Notes

$ChinaAMC Ether ETF(03046)$

03046.HK

0.50 %

First batch of HK-approved spot ETH ETFs

VI. Risk Disclosures

  • High token-price volatility: A 20 % pullback in ETH would shrink SBET’s net assets by roughly US$1.8 billion, and leverage would amplify the downside.

  • Regulatory uncertainty: The U.S. SEC has not issued clear guidance on whether staking rewards constitute securities.

  • Liquidity risk: With daily turnover already exceeding 20 %, a sudden exit of short-term funds could trigger sharp corrections.

# What Should You Watch When Investing in Crypto Stocks?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • MSTR will get passed the $450 resistance tomorrow. Week will end at $470. It held really well considering the BTC pull back, equity offering and a sell rating reiteration. This should have been down at least 10%,

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  • SBET is going above $50 easily….

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    • jamesbai
      I'm holding it tight!

      07-16
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  • Impressive growth
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  • popzy
    ·07-15
    Wild ride
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  • [微笑][微笑]
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