To The Moon

$TSLA$
Key News:

• Analyst Canaccord Genuity raised Tesla's target price to $551 (from $482). FactSet survey shows average rating "Hold," average target $421.59.

• Stock up 28% since November lows, driven by CEO compensation plan reinstatement and autonomous driving progress.

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is extremely high, indicating expectations for sharp price swings. Sentiment leans bullish, but institutions have hedged at key levels.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected high-volatility range: $475–$500.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand to $470–$510.

• Key Support: $480–$485 – $480 is recent technical support; $485 is a massive Put OI zone, forming a key defense line.

• Key Resistance: $500 – a crucial psychological and historical high, with institutional sell call blocks creating strong resistance.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put (Delta < 0.25)
Sell $TSLA 20260102 440.00 PUT$ 
Rationale: Higher time premium; strike well below current price; suitable for lower-risk profiles.
Stop: Close if stock breaks below $470 (support level).

$NVDA$
Key News:

• NVIDIA plans to deliver H200 series GPUs to the China market in mid-February 2026.

• GB300 AI server cabinet shipments expected to grow 129% to 55k units in 2026; market optimistic on AI demand.

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is at historical lows, suggesting expectations for mild near-term volatility. However, call trading is very active; sentiment strongly bullish.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected range with potential rebound: $175–$190.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand to $170–$195.

• Key Support: $170 – both a recent technical low and a concentrated Put OI defense line.

• Key Resistance: $190 – the recent high and a dense Call OI zone, forming strong resistance.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put (Delta < 0.25)
Sell $NVDA 20260102 165.0 PUT$ 
Rationale: Low IV with strong bullish sentiment; selling put collects premium with low probability of breaching strike.
Stop: Close if stock breaks below $165.

$PLTR$
Key News:

• Palantir is viewed favorably by analysts due to AI business expansion and strong government contracts (e.g., $10B Army deal), with potential $1T market cap in 2–3 years.

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is extremely high, indicating expectations for sharp volatility. Overall sentiment bullish but beware high-volatility risk.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected wide range: $185–$200.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand to $180–$205.

• Key Support: $180–$185 – $180 is a dense Put OI zone; $185 is the focal support this week.

• Key Resistance: $200–$205 – $200 is this week's dense Call resistance; $205 is next week's target.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put (Delta < 0.25)
$PLTR 20260102 175.0 PUT$ 
Delta |0.065| < 0.25, ITM Probability 6.71%.
Rationale: Deep OTM, high time premium; OI 1,803 provides liquidity.
Stop: Buy to close if stock breaks below $173.

$AAPL$
Key News:

• Multiple institutions like Morgan Stanley and Jefferies raised 2026 forecasts, expecting strong iPhone sales; price target $305.

• India iPhone exports hit a monthly record of $2B, supporting earnings growth.

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is at historical extremes (low), indicating expectations for very stable prices. Call trading active; sentiment strongly bullish.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected narrow range: $270–$275.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand slightly to $265–$280.

• Key Support: $270 – the most important "iron floor," formed by massive Put OI.

• Key Resistance: $275–$280 – $275 is a dense Call OI zone; $280 is recent high resistance.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put (Delta < 0.25, High Liquidity)
Sell $AAPL 20260102 260.0 PUT$ 
Rationale: Strike well below current price ($272.36); low Delta, limited risk; OI 4,014 (good liquidity); bullish sentiment and low IV support high win rate.
Stop: Close if stock breaks below $255.

$AMD$
Key News:

• Alibaba considering purchasing 40k–50k AMD MI308 AI chips (potential order value tens of billions).

• AMD released Zen 6 architecture details optimized for data centers, enhancing tech outlook.

• CEO Lisa Su recently visited China, strengthening market cooperation.

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is elevated, indicating expectations for significant price swings. Call trading active; sentiment positively bullish.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected wide range: $210–$220.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand to $205–$225.

• Key Support: $200–$210 – $200 is psychological support; $210 is key support for this week's range.

• Key Resistance: $220 – this week's dense Call OI zone, creating overhead resistance.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put
$AMD 20260102 200.0 PUT$ 
Rationale: Delta ~ -0.03 (<0.25); strike well below current price; OI 3,330 (moderate liquidity). Higher time premium suits short-term volatility.
Stop: Exit if stock breaks below $202 or premium loss exceeds 50%.

$AMZN$
Key News:

• Rumors of Amazon investing $10B in OpenAI at $750B valuation.

• Amazon launched next-gen in-house chip Trainium 3 with performance improvements.

• NVIDIA adjusted cloud strategy, abandoning challenge to AWS, benefiting Amazon.

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is relatively low, indicating expectations for stable prices. Call trading very active; sentiment strongly bullish.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected mild range: $225–$235.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand slightly to $220–$240.

• Key Support: $225–$230 – $230 is a dense Put OI zone; $225 is this week's lower bound.

• Key Resistance: $235–$240 – $235 is strong Call resistance this week; $240 is next week's target.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put
Sell $AMZN 20260102 220.0 PUT$ 
Rationale: Low Delta, limited risk, high time premium; Delta = -0.076 (<0.25), win rate ≈92%.
Stop: Close if stock breaks below $215.

$MU$
Key News:

• Target raised: Argus raised from $210 to $320. FactSet average analyst rating "Buy," average target $308.16.

• Earnings beat: FY26Q1 revenue and profit exceeded expectations; AI driving HBM & DRAM demand surge, margin expansion; stock up >20% in three days, market cap added >$400B.

• Institutional optimism: Huatai Securities maintains "Buy," target $360, emphasizing strong AI demand.

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is high, indicating expectations for sharp volatility. Call trading active; sentiment bullish.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected wide range: $265–$285.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand to $260–$290.

• Key Support: $265–$270 – $270 is this week's key Put OI support level.

• Key Resistance: $280–$285 – $280 is this week's resistance; $285 is a concentrated Call resistance area.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put (Delta < 0.25)
Sell $MU 20260102 250.0 PUT$ 
Rationale: Higher premium; sufficient time buffer; OI 1,644.
Stop: Close if stock breaks below $260.

$META$
Key News:

• Zuckerberg bets heavily on AI, shifting to closed-source models (e.g., Avocado project), using Alibaba's Qwen for optimization, but causing internal turmoil; Chief AI Scientist Yann LeCun departed.

• Q3 earnings show net profit plunging 83%, stock down sharply due to >$70B AI spend.

• EU launched antitrust investigation targeting WhatsApp's new AI rules.

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is relatively low but could see near-term swings. Call trading active; sentiment bullish.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected range: $650–$680.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand to $640–$690.

• Key Support: $650 – both a recent technical low and a dense Put OI zone, forming key support.

• Key Resistance: $680 – area of substantial Call OI, the main overhead resistance.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put (Delta < 0.25)
Sell $META 20260102 640.00 PUT$ 
Rationale: Delta 0.135 (<0.25); OI 1,290; higher time premium.
Stop: Close if stock breaks below $650 (key support).

$NFLX$
Key News:

• Netflix initiated a $59B syndicated loan refinancing for potential acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, enhancing market competitiveness.

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is moderate, indicating expectations for significant price swings. Overall sentiment bullish, but institutions are hedging downside risk.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected wide range: $90.7–$96.3.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand to $88.7–$98.3.

• Key Support: $90–$91.33 – $90 is a dense Put OI zone; $91.33 is a recent technical low.

• Key Resistance: $95–$98 – $95 is this week's Call pressure; $98 is next week's target.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put (Delta < 0.25)
$NFLX 20260102 85.00 PUT$ 
Rationale: Higher time premium; Delta < 0.1; solid support.
Stop: Close if stock breaks below $88.0.

$AVGO$
Key News:

• Insider selling: CEO Tan Hock Eng sold 130k shares on Dec 18, ~$42.38M, reducing holdings to 595.6k shares, raising near-term concerns (source: SEC filing).

• Analyst ratings: New Street raised target to $420 (from $400), maintains Buy; Huatai Securities maintains Buy, target $388.35, based on Q4 earnings beat (revenue & profit growth).

• AI business positive: AI backlog reaches $73B; AI sales expected to reach $50B/$100B in FY26/27, supporting long-term growth (source: BofA report).

Options Analysis:

• Current IV is elevated, indicating expectations for sharp volatility. Call trading very active; sentiment strongly bullish, but insider selling and institutional hedging show divergence.

• This Week (Dec 26): Expected wide range: $336–$362.

• Next Week (Jan 2): Range may expand to $330–$375.

• Key Support: $340 – both a recent technical low and a key Put OI defense line.

• Key Resistance: $360 – the recent high and important upper bound resistance this week.

Strategy Idea: Sell Put (Delta < 0.25)
Sell $AVGO 20260102 305.00 PUT$ 
Rationale: Delta = -0.003 (<0.25), win rate ≈98.0% (ITM probability 2.00%); OI 1,134. AI backlog supports medium-term price; $305 is strong support (near historical lows).
Stop: Exit if stock breaks below $315 (key support).
Advantages: Collects premium, limited risk (low Delta); stop based on technical level controls loss.