To The Moon

$TSLA$

Key News:
Tesla Model 3 is under investigation by U.S. regulators for emergency door defects, which could lead to recall risks and impact short-term stock price.
FSD v14 system passes the physical Turing test, indicating progress in autonomous driving technology.

Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is at historically extreme lows, suggesting the market expects very stable price movement. Call option trading is active, indicating positive sentiment.
This Week (12/26): Expected to trade within a mild range of $475 - $495.
Next Week (1/2): The range may widen slightly to $480 - $500.
Key Support: $480. This is a recent technical low and a key defensive line for short-term bulls.
Key Resistance: $490 - $495. $490 is a concentration area for call option (CALL) open interest; $495 is the upper bound of this week's range.

Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put $TSLA 20260102 440.0 PUT$ 
Reason: Delta 0.063 (deep out-of-the-money), high time premium, moderate liquidity (open interest 3,154 contracts).
Stop-Loss Suggestion: Close the position if the stock price falls below $450.

$NVDA$

Key News:
NVIDIA announces a $20 billion all-cash acquisition of AI chip startup Groq, the largest deal in company history, aiming to strengthen competitiveness in the AI inference market.
Analysts believe this move eliminates a potential threat and is beneficial for the long-term moat, but may cause short-term volatility.
Cantor Fitzgerald report states NVDA valuation is at a historical low, with a forward P/E below 25x, and expects it to outperform the market in 2026.

Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is at historically extreme lows, suggesting the market expects very stable price movement. Call option trading is active, indicating bullish sentiment.
This Week (12/26): Expected to consolidate narrowly within $185 - $192.
Next Week (1/2): The range may widen to $180 - $195.
Key Support: $180. This is the most critical defensive line, with massive put option (PUT) open interest providing strong support.
Key Resistance: $190 - $192. $190 is a recent high; $192 is the upper bound resistance of this week's range.

Options Strategy Reference:
Recommended Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25), offering low risk and high win rate:
$NVDA 20260102 170.0 PUT$ 
Reason: Delta ≈ 0.15, offering higher time premium. Stop-loss: Close the position if the stock price falls below $175.

$MSTR$

Key News:
MSTR stock price closely tracks Bitcoin price (correlation coefficient 0.98), holding approximately 193,000 Bitcoins (over 90% of total assets).
Recent Bitcoin volatility has caused the stock price to drop over 60% from its yearly high ($457), currently trading near $158 (close to the yearly low of $155).
Financially solid (cash reserves over $2.1 billion), but faces index exclusion risk, which could trigger passive fund selling.

Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is extremely high, suggesting the market expects significant price swings. Options trading volume is slightly cautious, indicating bearish sentiment.
This Week (12/26): Expected to experience large swings within $150 - $170.
Next Week (1/2): The range may widen to $145 - $175.
Key Support: $150 - $155. $150 is a concentration area for put option (PUT) open interest; $155 is a recent low. Together they form a strong support band.
Key Resistance: $165 - $170. $165 is a psychological level; $170 is a short-term technical resistance.

Options Strategy Reference:
Recommended Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25), utilizing high volatility to collect premium with a high win rate.
Sell Put $MSTR 20260102 150.00 PUT$ , option price $2.56, strike $150.00, direction sell.
Reason: Delta < 0.25, high time premium, open interest 2602 contracts (good liquidity).
Stop-Loss Suggestion: Close the position for a stop-loss if the stock price falls below $148 (next week's support area).

$AAPL$

Key News:
Apple benefits from market expectations and the boost to tech stocks from the US-China trade deal.
Warren Buffett continues to reduce his Apple holdings (sold 41.79 million shares in Q3).

Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is at historically extreme lows, suggesting the market expects very stable price movement. Call option trading is active, indicating positive sentiment.
This Week (12/26): Expected to consolidate narrowly within $270 - $276.
Next Week (1/2): The range may widen slightly to $267 - $277.
Key Support: $270. This is an important psychological and technical support level.
Key Resistance: $275 - $280. $275 is the core battle line for options open interest; $280 is the resistance near the recent high.

Options Strategy Reference:
Recommended Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25). Deep out-of-the-money offers high safety margin, suitable for the current low-volatility environment.
Sell Put $AAPL 20260102 265.0 PUT$ 
Reason: Delta -0.089 (< 0.25), ITM probability 1.73%, open interest 1,773 contracts; offers higher time value and is safer below the $270 support.
Strategy Stop-Loss Suggestion: Immediately close the position for a stop-loss if the stock price falls below the strike price minus the option premium (e.g., $265 - $0.02 = $264.98).

$NKE$

Key News:
Apple CEO Tim Cook invested $3 million to buy Nike stock, boosting market confidence.
Citi forecasts a low single-digit revenue decline for Q3 FY2026, with Greater China sales plummeting 16%.
Cook's increase is a short-term positive, but performance risks remain.

Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is at a historical low, suggesting the market expects very stable price movement. Bullish and bearish forces are roughly balanced; large institutional orders show no pessimism towards a decline.
This Week (12/26): Expected to oscillate narrowly within $58 - $62.
Next Week (1/2): The range may widen to $57 - $65.
Key Support: $57. This is the most critical defensive line, formed by massive put option (PUT) open interest.
Key Resistance: $62 - $65. $62 is a recent high; $65 is a stronger monthly resistance level.

Options Strategy Reference:
Recommended Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25) to earn premium, with controllable risk in the low IV environment.
$NKE 20260102 57.00 PUT$ 
Reason: Delta = -0.065 (ITM probability 6.40%, win rate ≈ 93.60%), open interest 1,381 contracts. Offers higher time premium and greater profit potential.
Stop-Loss: Immediately close the position if the stock price falls below $56 (strike price - $1).

$NFLX$

Key News:
Acquisition Update: Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) board rejected Paramount's hostile takeover bid; NFLX edged up 0.2%. NFLX plans a $25 billion financing round to bid for Warner assets.

Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is at a moderately low level, but market sentiment is very pessimistic, with put option (PUT) trading dominating.
This Week (12/26): Expected to fluctuate within $92 - $95.
Next Week (1/2): The range may widen slightly to $91 - $96.
Key Support: $92. This is the most critical "floor," formed by substantial put option open interest and large buy orders.
Key Resistance: $95. This area has dense call option (CALL) open interest, creating strong pressure.

Options Strategy Reference:
Sell Put $NFLX 20260102 90.0 PUT$ 
Reason: Offers higher premium and time premium advantage, with strong support at $90.
Stop-Loss: Close the position if the stock price falls below $90.

$MU$

Key News:
Micron Technology hits a new all-time high of $286.68, driven by explosive AI demand and supply-demand imbalance in memory chips.
Market expects 2026 net profit to reach $35-40 billion, with a target price of $300.

Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is very high, suggesting the market expects sharp price swings. Call option trading is active, indicating bullish sentiment.
This Week (12/26): Expected to swing widely within $280 - $295.
Next Week (1/2): The range may widen to $275 - $300.
Key Support: $270 - $280. $270 is a concentration area for put option (PUT) open interest; $280 is the lower bound of this week's range.
Key Resistance: $295 - $300. $295 is resistance near the recent high; $300 is a concentrated resistance area for call option (CALL) open interest.

Options Strategy Reference:
Recommended Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25) to earn premium, suitable for beginners. Low Delta indicates deep out-of-the-money with a high win rate.
Sell Put $MU 20260102 250.0 PUT$ 
Reason: Safe strike price ($250), Delta ≈ 0.10, open interest 1,644 contracts. Relatively high premium, suitable for capturing time value.
Stop-Loss: Close the position if the stock price falls below $250.

$AMZN$

Key News:
Morgan Stanley maintains "Overweight" rating with a $315 target price, optimistic about its high-margin businesses (Advertising, AWS) and cloud growth.
Citi warns AI cycle risks could exacerbate market volatility, affecting tech stocks.

Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is at a historical low, suggesting the market expects very stable price movement. Call option trading is extremely active, indicating strongly bullish sentiment.
This Week (12/26): Expected to move moderately within $220 - $245.
Next Week (1/2): The range may widen slightly to $215 - $250.
Key Support: $220 - $230. $220 is an important technical support; $230 is a concentration area for put option (PUT) open interest.
Key Resistance: $235 - $240. $235 is a recent high; $240 is a concentrated target for call option (CALL) open interest.

Options Strategy Reference:
Recommended Sell Put strategy (Delta < 0.25) to collect premium, suitable for low IV environments. For expirations this week and next, choose deep out-of-the-money strikes (far from current price) with high liquidity:
Sell Put $AMZN 20260102 225.0 PUT$ 
Reason: Delta -0.031 (< 0.25), profit probability 96.68%, offers higher time premium, suitable for short-term gains.
Stop-Loss Suggestion: Close the position for a stop-loss if the stock price falls below $222.

$INTC$

Key News:
Reportedly acquiring AI chip company SambaNova Systems at a $1.6 billion valuation to strengthen AI accelerator offerings and compete in the market.
Rumors that NVIDIA (NVDA) has paused testing of Intel's 18A process technology, raising market concerns about technical progress.

Options Analysis:
Current Implied Volatility (IV) is relatively high but option prices are relatively cheap. Market sentiment is slightly bullish. $35 is the key "Max Pain" support level.
This Week (12/26): Expected to swing widely within $34.5 – $37.5.
Next Week (1/2): The range may widen slightly to $34 – $38.
Key Support: $35. This area has extremely concentrated put option (PUT) open interest, acting as a strong "floor" against declines.
Key Resistance: $38. This is a recent high and also the maximum open interest resistance zone for call options (CALL).

Options Strategy Reference:
Choose ultra out-of-the-money put options (Delta < 0.25) to profit from high IV premium, with a win rate > 85%. Employ strict stop-loss for risk control.
Sell Put $INTC 20260102 34.00 PUT$ 
Win Rate ≈ 87.11% | Stop-loss triggered: Stock price falls below $33.5 (-7.4%)
Reason: $34 is below current support; acquisition news may cushion downside risk. Offers higher premium and manageable time decay.
Stop-Loss Suggestion: Immediately close the position for a stop-loss if the stock price falls below the strike price minus $0.5. Control maximum loss within 200% of the premium received.