$SPX B Wave Strength May Be Setting Up a Bigger Move
Deep retracements lead to extended waves.
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ just retraced 78.6% of the decline.
Bulls see strength.
I see a B-Wave loading the SPRING.
The deeper B goes — the longer C tends to run.
Primary targets:
110% → primary
127.2% → high probability
161.8% → extension in play
The channel is drawn. The count is set.
A 161.8% C-Wave would MIRROR the 2025 extension.
History doesn’t repeat. It extends.
And every time $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ tags the upper channel stretching back to the 2009 bottom —
It gets REJECTED.
2011.
2014.
2018.
2022.
2025.
Five touches.
Five rejections.
Zero exceptions.
You know what follows every single one?
Mean reversion to the channel midpoint - at MINIMUM.
2026 just became touch #6.
Number six won't be different.
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