To The Moon

Puts on puts on puts 

S&P 500 to end 2023 up 17% but little gains seen between now and year end: Reuters pollh S. stocks will eke out only marginal gains between now and year end, according to strategists in a Reuters poll on Wednesday, who said inflation and higher interest rates were among the biggest risks for the market. The benchmark S&P 500 index (.SPX) was forecast to end the year at 4,496, about 2.2% above Monday's close of 4,399.77 and up about 17% from end 2022, according to the median forecast of 41 strategists in an Aug. 9-22 Reuters poll. The latest prediction was higher than the 4,150 year-end target in a May poll. Some expect optimism over artificial intelligence that has driven a sharp rally in technology stocks this year to support further market gains, while they said a cooldown in the

Hopefully the S&P index will end higher , ensuing the bullish trend

$Vanguard ETF(VOO)$ ftw! Been on an upwadd trend

s&p500 has increased some 26% year to date. After the recent Fed's announcement on rate cuts, it is anticipated that s&p will continue its bull run and hit all time high by year end.

1. **Cheaper Borrowing, Higher Spending**:  💰 As central banks, including the Fed, lower interest rates, borrowing money becomes cheaper. This sparks increased consumer and business spending and investments, fostering a positive environment for asset prices to thrive.$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$$Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ Bullish 2. **Impact on Earnings and Stock Prices* *: 📉 Higher interest rates typically have a negative impact on earnings and stock prices, but with rates expected to remain low in 2023, this potential hurdle for the S&P index is minimized$Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$  3. **Quick Impact on Stock Mark

I expect the s&p to close at all time high 

Entering into 2023, US Fed rates were standing at 4.5%, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ at 3800s, with major players predicting that we were all heading into recession and an economic slump. End 2023, US Fed rates are now at 5+%, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ up about 20%, with recession not in sight and the market still performing at its highest levels. I myself is also guilty of such predictions, slowly selling down as interest rates rose, and losing out on about 10% gains that I could have had should I have held on to the stocks that I sold. Here's some lessons that I learned from this year: 1. Take predictions with a pinch of

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Even though the bears of the US stock market in 2023 have been beaten up badly, the bulls have to admit that the Christmas rally, which started in November and continues so far, is a little crazy.For the time that has no emotional baggage and just keeps moving forward, the festival don't mean much, but the operation cycle of human beings since ancient times makes the festival really have the significance of market nodes.In 2024, almost no one dares to be bearish on the US stock market anymore. Even Mike Wilson, the famous Wall Street strategist at $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ who was a big bear on US stocks, was forced to admit his mistakes: "I was wrong all year. Powell didn't stop the easing of financial conditions, and the US stock market got a green lig

$DJIA(.DJI)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The Dow Jones recently broke through its all-time high.My prediction is that at least for the short term, there is a correction ahead of the Dow Jones.After correction, you can think about buying in the specified areas.Long at current prices is very very dangerous, Take care.US30: Probably correction is waiting for Dow Jones

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ History Says the Nasdaq Will Surge in 2024.Going back to 1972 -- the first full year the Nasdaq traded -- in every year after a market recovery, the tech-heavy index has continued its upward trend, rising 19%, on average, which suggests that 2024 will be another good year for investors!!

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Markets overbought on indexes, -ve div on weekly and daily. Also losing momentum. Caution warranted. May retrace to 4677 or at best stay flat. Question - which sectors will give up - Value & cyclicals which are overbought or some mega techs which have good setups. Chose your plays wisely and not fall for value traps. Value stocks are value for a reason. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 index exhibited continued strength by rising above our Completed Inner Index Rally 4713 with the violent retreat on Wednesday to this strategic price level. The main target is our central Key Res 4800 and Outer Index Rally 4807, completed on June 4th, 2022. However, some concerns about a market squeeze from the newly created Mean Res 4769 might cause a pullback to Mean Sup 4700. This level of support is considered a strong support level for the index and can allow traders and investors to make a suitable entry decision.

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Last week, we mentioned that one of the important factors supporting the continued rise of the US stock assets in 2024 is the nearly $6 trillion idle cash reserves (cash assets). Currently, this portion of funds is enjoying a money market yield of over 5%. US Treasury yield curveIf the expectation of a Fed rate cut begins, the short-term benchmark yield of this portion will decrease, and investors may start reallocating this huge amount of funds to other asset categories. The performance of the current interest rate curve indicates that this situation has already begun to emerge.The change in financial liquidity is also a key force influencing the trend of the US stock market, and may even determine whether the Fed needs to cut rates early. This should not be overlooked, especially since w

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Yesterday's Market Activity The markets rebounded yesterday, recovering from the losses of the previous day. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ increased by 1%, nearing its record high, while the Dow Jones rose by 0.9%, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ gained 1.3%. This resurgence was widespread, with 459 S&P 500 stocks closing in positive territory. Consumer discretionary (+1.44%) and health care (+1.20%) outperformed the broader market indices, while utilities (+0.13%) and energy (+0.39%) underperformed. Intel (+2.88%) and $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ (+2.69%) led the Dow (+0.87%) higher; Cisco Systems (-0.20%) and $Apple(AAPL)$ (-0.08%) we

Big-Tech’s PerformanceLast two weeks of 2023, market continued new highs, with big-techs taking turns to perform. Meta and Amazon reached new highs for the year this week.As of the close on December 21st, the performance of major technology companies in the past week showed the following changes: $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ +6.43%, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ +6.28%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$+4.35%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ +2.08%, and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ +1.32%, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ +1.37%,

$Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$  About 130% gain trading and swinging SPY calls from pullbacks. On Thursday, Wall Street rebounded into positive territory, following a brief dip experienced on Wednesday. ⚠️ Trading tips: looking at calls above 473.5 and dip buying around 470-471 after the PCE data releases at 8:30 am. Can we see the push back to 475 before breaking the all time high with Papa Santa next week? All eyes on PCE data next As expected, dip buyers caused the stock market to rally again in the early trade and is back to the low band of the resistance zone posted for the Tiger community on how to trade the price action. The chart shows a sell-off yesterday. The sell-off brought the stock market below the low ba

Last week, we mentioned that one of the important factors supporting the continued rise of the US stock assets in 2024 is the nearly $6 trillion idle cash reserves (cash assets). Currently, this portion of funds is enjoying a money market yield of over 5%. US Treasury yield curveIf the expectation of a Fed rate cut begins, the short-term benchmark yield of this portion will decrease, and investors may start reallocating this huge amount of funds to other asset categories. The performance of the current interest rate curve indicates that this situation has already begun to emerge.The change in financial liquidity is also a key force influencing the trend of the US stock market, and may even determine whether the Fed needs to cut rates early. This should not be overlooked, especially since w

[Miser]Hello Tigers[Smile]2023 is an extremely unusual year.Welcome to read: Remember what happened in 2023? Review the Top 10 Keywords!In 2024, markets, economies, and currencies are likely to experience the same ups and downs.Santa Claus RallyThe following are some institutions’ predictions on the factors and trends impacting US stock fundamentals, the US dollar, US bonds, gold, silver, bitcoin, and other asset prices.Key words：2024 US Stocks: Cool Inflation, Rate Cuts, & Election Pop!2024 Treasury Forecast Shimmers.USD Fades in 2024! Set to Weaken, with Second Half DiveBitcoin : Blasts Off in 2024? Buckle Up for a Wild Ride!Gold Glimmer & Silver Surge in 2024!Oil in 2024: Tightrope WalkSpecial Notes: This art

Even though the bears of the US stock market in 2023 have been beaten up badly, the bulls have to admit that the Christmas rally, which started in November and continues so far, is a little crazy.For the time that has no emotional baggage and just keeps moving forward, the festival don't mean much, but the operation cycle of human beings since ancient times makes the festival really have the significance of market nodes.In 2024, almost no one dares to be bearish on the US stock market anymore. Even Mike Wilson, the famous Wall Street strategist at $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ who was a big bear on US stocks, was forced to admit his mistakes: "I was wrong all year. Powell didn't stop the easing of financial conditions, and the US stock market got a green lig

In the fast-paced world of financial markets, a 1.5% decline in the S&P 500 on December 20, 2023, might seem like cause for concern for some investors. However, astute market participants understand that market fluctuations are par for the course, and such dips can present unique opportunities rather than reasons to panic. In this article, we’ll delve into the historical performance of the S&P 500, analyze the current year’s exceptional gains, and explore why this minor setback could be a strategic entry point for long-term investors eyeing quality companies like Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Tesla.$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  S&P 500: A Historical Perspective The S&P 500, often considere

Stocks surged and bond yields tumbled after the Federal Reserve signaled further interest rate cuts next year and Chairman Jerome Powell didn't push back against Wall Street's dovish trade. It's good news for capital-intensive industries such as tech and healthcare, as well as the initial public offering(IPO) market, which is trying to shake off a two-year lull.As the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ nears a new record, the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ and the $DJIA(.DJI)$ have already hit historic highs, and the stock market rally has broadened out from the so-called "Magnificent Seven" names to include other sectors such as small-cap stocks. Mark Schwartz, EY Americas IPO and SPAC Cons

1. **Cheaper Borrowing, Higher Spending**:  💰 As central banks, including the Fed, lower interest rates, borrowing money becomes cheaper. This sparks increased consumer and business spending and investments, fostering a positive environment for asset prices to thrive.$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$$Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ Bullish 2. **Impact on Earnings and Stock Prices* *: 📉 Higher interest rates typically have a negative impact on earnings and stock prices, but with rates expected to remain low in 2023, this potential hurdle for the S&P index is minimized$Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$  3. **Quick Impact on Stock Mark

Alphabet, the parent company of $Alphabet(GOOG)$ , saw its stock rise by over 3% in early trading on Wednesday, and despite a general market downturn at closing, it still ended up with a 1.24% increase. This was mainly due to a leak from Information, indicating that the company is planning to restructure its advertising sales department to make more efficient use of automation technology.Google's advertising business has increasingly relied on machine learning this year, allowing customers to purchase ads on its search engine, YouTube, and other platforms.Why is this move worth noting? Because in the 2023 layoffs, Google only cut 6% of its staff. In contrast, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and

Entering into 2023, US Fed rates were standing at 4.5%, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ at 3800s, with major players predicting that we were all heading into recession and an economic slump. End 2023, US Fed rates are now at 5+%, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ up about 20%, with recession not in sight and the market still performing at its highest levels. I myself is also guilty of such predictions, slowly selling down as interest rates rose, and losing out on about 10% gains that I could have had should I have held on to the stocks that I sold. Here's some lessons that I learned from this year: 1. Take predictions with a pinch of

S&P 500 to end 2023 up 17% but little gains seen between now and year end: Reuters pollh S. stocks will eke out only marginal gains between now and year end, according to strategists in a Reuters poll on Wednesday, who said inflation and higher interest rates were among the biggest risks for the market. The benchmark S&P 500 index (.SPX) was forecast to end the year at 4,496, about 2.2% above Monday's close of 4,399.77 and up about 17% from end 2022, according to the median forecast of 41 strategists in an Aug. 9-22 Reuters poll. The latest prediction was higher than the 4,150 year-end target in a May poll. Some expect optimism over artificial intelligence that has driven a sharp rally in technology stocks this year to support further market gains, while they said a cooldown in the

[Stock market's sharp sell-off looks like 'profit taking,' says Fundstrat's Tom Lee] Tom Lee, Fundstrat, joins 'Closing Bell' to offer his bullish take on the markets as the rally begins losing steam. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$

Swooshed. $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$  When it comes to markets, there hasn't been much to complain about for the last two months. Stocks on Friday capped their eighth-straight week of gains. For the S&P 500, it's the longest weekly winning streak since November 2017.  This morning, investors got more good news about inflation, with the personal consumption expenditures index, or PCE, declining by 0.1% from October to November. It's the first month-to-month decline in the index since April 2020. The core version of the PCE, which excludes food and energy and is closely tracked by the Federal Reserve, was up 3.2% from a year ago, below economists' forecast for a 3.4% rise.  A muted reaction from s

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ I trimmed my overweight in $WisdomTree U.S. Quality Dividend Growth Fund(DGRW)$ and some Covid gains in $EnLink Midstream LLC(ENLC)$ . I’ve doubled my cash position and cash has also gone from 1% to 2% of my portfolio (but 6% in mmf). (Saving some for taxes and new Roth IRA contribution). I’m a DGI investor with a 4.8% portfolio yield. I’m usually about 5-6% cash, but gains naturally lower an idle cash position on an allocation percentage.When a market spikes higher like this one, there’s data that shows it finishes the 12 months later up doub

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ The official inflation data from BLS lowballs real inflation by at least 33-50% from looking at goods & services data for last 2.5 decades[real world prices].Which is why you have to have all your money in hard assets[real estate, stocks, commodities]or you will be wiped out in debasement! The BLS and FED have made 14 changes to how it measures inflation since 1981 [and every change to get official inflation number lower]. No dou

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 index exhibited continued strength by rising above our Completed Inner Index Rally 4713 with the violent retreat on Wednesday to this strategic price level. The main target is our central Key Res 4800 and Outer Index Rally 4807, completed on June 4th, 2022. However, some concerns about a market squeeze from the newly created Mean Res 4769 might cause a pullback to Mean Sup 4700. This level of support is considered a strong support level for the index and can allow traders and investors to make a suitable entry decision.

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ is about 10% of the SPY which is the S&P 500 and $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ . The Federal Government has over 6 million employees (Civil Service, Postal and four military branches) that are participants in the Federal Retirement TSP Plan. Every participant contributes 5 to 15% of their gross salary into the TSP every two weeks with the Federal Government matching an additional 5% of salary. Although there are several investments to choose from the overwhelming majo

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ $Nasdaq100 Bear 3X ETF(SQQQ)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Good to know that one of the very few analysts who correctly called the bull market is also recognising that the market is perhaps getting a little too greedy at the moment. I share the same view, still bullish, but am certainly paying more attention to valuations and themes for 2024 rather than just buy-and-hold.Lots of money still sitting in money market funds too. Certainly possible that markets could go higher.I am thinking mayb

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Markets overbought on indexes, -ve div on weekly and daily. Also losing momentum. Caution warranted. May retrace to 4677 or at best stay flat. Question - which sectors will give up - Value & cyclicals which are overbought or some mega techs which have good setups. Chose your plays wisely and not fall for value traps. Value stocks are value for a reason. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$