AUDmain (Australian Dollar - main 2406)
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avatarKon How
2023-07-11

Why does a weaker dollar lead to inflation?

1. Import prices:A weaker USD makes imports more expensive. When the value of the US dollar decreases, it takes more dollars to buy the same amount of goods or services from other countries. As a result, the prices of imported goods and raw materials increase. This increase in import prices can contribute to inflation because businesses may pass on the higher costs to consumers.2. Cost-push inflation:A weaker USD can also lead to cost-push inflation. When the value of the US dollar declines, it becomes more expensive for businesses to purchase imported inputs, such as raw materials or machinery. These higher costs can lead to an increase in production costs, which may be passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices for goods and services.3. Commodity prices:Many commodities, such as
Why does a weaker dollar lead to inflation?
avatarexpertrader
2023-02-23

Bitcoin vs. US Dollar: Key Differences and Their Impact on Value

Bitcoin and the US dollar are two different currencies with unique characteristics. Learn about the differences between Bitcoin and the US dollar, how they impact their values, and which may be better for your needs.Courtesy of Pexels.comBitcoin and the US dollar are two very different types of currency with unique characteristics that impact their values.In this article, we will explore the key differences between Bitcoin and the US dollar and how these factors affect their respective values.One of the most significant differences is centralization.Bitcoin is a decentralized currency, meaning that any central authority or government does not control it. On the other hand, the US dollar is centralized, with the Federal Reserve controlling its supply and distribution.This is why t
Bitcoin vs. US Dollar: Key Differences and Their Impact on Value
avatarKon How
2023-01-25

Silver prices could touch a 9-year high in 2023 — with a bigger upside than gold

Silver could hit a nine-year high of $30 per ounce this year and become a better performer than gold.Insufficient supplies of silver — as well as its tendency to be a better performer than gold in periods of high inflation — are the reasons. Silver is a material commonly used in the manufacturing of automobiles, solar panels, jewellery and electronics.Spot silver prices notched a record high of $49.45 in 1980 against the backdrop of a 13.5% inflation rate, up from around $4 in 1976, when the rate of inflation was cooler at 5.7%.Precious metals can also be considered as a currency, against the USD when the faith and trust in the fiat currency is diminishing.The real danger will be with the continuous rise in interest rates and yet the dollar starts weakening, just like the pound. The dollar
Silver prices could touch a 9-year high in 2023 — with a bigger upside than gold
avatarDiegoM1
2023-01-15

Technical Analysis of TLT& US Dollar

TLT is showing insider buyers into this etf... showing inflation might have peaked and bonds will be worth invest now... levels on chart... INSIDERS buying it.  $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ Us rates are getting weaker and showing that rates might be at least peak and need correction.. but just follow trend.. not predicting it.  $Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund(UUP)$ Brazilian real is getting stronger against usd... so the trend was broken time to get short on it.  $Australian Dollar - main 2303(AUDmain)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Technical Analysis of TLT& US Dollar
avatarKon How
2023-01-12

US Markets| Thoughts on US Dollar

How is it possible for a higher U.S. interest rates and yet a weaker Dollar?Some countries are also beefing up gold reserves helping to push up prices. That effort has become easier in recent months as the value of the dollar has weakened, making it cheaper for countries outside of the United States to buy gold.“We are seeing a lot of physical buying of gold from central banks. Not surprisingly, a lot of it is from Russia and China, countries that are keen to reduce their dependence on the US dollar,”Question: How is it possible for a higher U.S. interest rates and yet a weaker Dollar?Answer: When inflation exceed interest pay-out, investors will flock to inflation hedge asset like Gold. Current inflation rate at 7.1% and interest rate at 4.5%.The real danger will be with the con
US Markets| Thoughts on US Dollar
avatarDiegoM1
2022-12-25

US Stocks| US Dollar is Stronger

For moment gbp is having some problems... for moment its down... dollar getting stronger!   $Australian Dollar - Dec 2022(AUD2212)$ Uk gilts has been sold for the last couple of days... for moment we got news BCE will offer more gitls into markets in january,,,, for moment... critical levels for gilts.. moment sell.
US Stocks| US Dollar is Stronger
avatarKon How
2022-11-23

Dollar Rise Coming To An End?

The dollar has shed more than 4% so far this quarter, falling back from a two-decade high it reached in September. Last week, investors turned bearish on the greenback for the first time since July 2021.What are the reasons and the risks of a weaker dollar?3 Reasons:1. Dial down interest rate hikeSurprised inflation data in the United States, which showed that prices rose more slowly than expected in October. That bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve could dial down interest rate hikes soon.2. Optimism in China & EuropeChina could be preparing to ease coronavirus restrictions and Europe’s warmer fall lead to slightly more optimistic economic forecasts. If these economies perform better than expected other currencies could look appealing again.3. Sanction effectWith the wider
Dollar Rise Coming To An End?
avatarKon How
2022-10-03

5 Signs the World is Heading for a Recession

1. The mighty US dollar 2. America’s economic engine stalls 3. Corporate America tightens its belt 4. Welcome to bear territory 5. War, soaring prices and radical policies collide There’s now a 98% chance of a global recession, according to research firm Ned Davis. The mighty US dollar – It creates destabilizing effects for Wall Street, as many of the S&P 500 companies do business around the world. By one estimate from Morgan Stanley, each 1% rise in the dollar index has a negative 0.5% impact on S&P 500 earnings. America’s economic engine stalls – The No. 1 driver of the world’s largest economy is shopping. And America’s shoppers are tightening their belts with inflation. Corporate America tightens its belt – For eg. Apple is scrapping plans to increase iPhone 14 production after
5 Signs the World is Heading for a Recession

How Strong Dollar Changes Company Performance?

Under most circumstances, equity investors are not sensitive to currencies, but since the second half of this year, almost all currencies in the world have depreciated to US dollars, which may "unexpectedly" affect the performance of Q3.Fed's interest rate increase is one reason, major economies except Japan (the Bank of Japan has adopted extensionary monetary policy) are actually following. Why their currencies still clapse?Russia-Ukraine crisis would be another reason, then why commodity currencies like Canadian dollar and Australian dollar can't get rid of the decline neither?Degree of depreciation of major currencies against the US dollar this yearThe pivotal reason&n
How Strong Dollar Changes Company Performance?
avatarStopHunter
2022-08-10
$Australian Dollar - main 2209(AUDmain)$strength / weakness linked and correlated to commodities & China. Especially strong $Copper - main 2209(HGmain)$correlation in the longer term (see attached line chart). China produces about 40% of the worlds Copper but also imports between 50% to 60% of the rest of the worlds production. Why is this important to know? Well, Copper is used in all sorts of infrastructure projects / tech etc - one of the most used industrial metals and if China are doing well they will need more and more of the metal. So Copper and Chinas performance can be used as an economic bellweather and be used to ascertain the strength and weakn
avatarStopHunter
2022-08-08
The week ahead 08/08/22: UK morning update - Stockmarkets CAC, DAX, FTSE all positive - probably due to continued good earnings results in Europe. In US NASDAQ100 +0.74% / S&P500 +0.61% stronger. In FX US Dollar bit weaker. $Australian Dollar - main 2209(AUDmain)$ looking the pick of the stronger major currencies. JPY giving up some recent strength. (SEE CURRENCY STRENGTH CHART attached)Commodities: Gold +0.25% 1795, $Light Crude Oil - main 2208(CLmain)$ -1.11% at 88.01, Lumber -4.16% at 479.2, NatGas -2.85% at 7.835, Palladium +3.8% at 2191Trending on social media: PEGY, HKD, AMTD, KRKR, ILAG, BQ, VRAX, BBBY, AMC, SOFI, BP. , TSMC, CRWD, ETSY,US
avatarPensive N.
2022-05-12

Macro Trading Opportunities: Strong Dollar, More Pain

Macro Edge #37Originally posted on thepensivenugget.comRisk assets beware! Global USD shortages have begun, signaling a turn in the global economic cycle. Stagflation, if not outright deflation, is now likely.Risk Assets Beware: Global USD Shortages Have Begun The USD is broadly stronger against a whole host of currencies, with global USD funding conditions clearly tightening Global USD funding conditions are critical to how far financial contagion spreads, and how deep the recession gets USDCNY is crashing, having moved from 6.4 to 6.75 in just 3 weeks. Stress levels in USD funding markets are obviously high, and are still increasing CNY’s shift, and it being one of the last to weaken vs the USD, heralds a shift in the global cycle - this does not bode well for economic growth and risk a
Macro Trading Opportunities: Strong Dollar, More Pain