🚀 Tesla : From EV Giant to AI – Why I’m Bullish for the Long Run
⚡ From Cars to Code: The Tesla Evolution
I've long admired Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Tesla
📉 The Sales Slump That Shook the Market
In the second quarter of 2025, Tesla reported a revenue decline of around 11–12%, with vehicle deliveries down roughly 13–13.5% year-over-year. U.S. EV market share also fell sharply, from the mid-70% range to the low-60s, reflecting intensifying competition from Chinese and legacy automakers. In fact, this marks Tesla's worst sales slump in over a decade. These numbers are sobering, but they also highlight why Tesla must transform its business beyond cars.
🤖 Betting Big on AI: FSD, Robotaxi & Optimus
Tesla's future is increasingly being pitched on the strength of its AI-led strategy. Its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system, the newly launched Robotaxi service in Austin (June 2025), and the humanoid robot Optimus are at the center of this pivot. Management has already guided that software and AI-driven services could start contributing meaningful revenue by late 2026. While still in early stages, the potential scale of these projects is staggering.
Tesla Robotaxi & Optimus Humanoid
🧠 Tesla's New Identity: An AI Company in Disguise
I see Tesla's narrative shifting decisively: its EV business may be pressured, but its valuation is increasingly based on autonomy and robotics. As Reuters pointed out, much of Tesla's sky-high valuation comes from robotaxis and robots it hasn't yet produced. During Q2 2025, Tesla itself emphasized that it's“transitioning from leading the electric vehicle industries to also becoming a leader in AI, robotics and related services.”To me, that's not hype—it's a clear roadmap.
👨🚀 Elon Musk – The Visionary Pilot at the Helm
Elon Musk remains the heartbeat of Tesla. His vision, risk-taking, and relentless innovation are what make me confident in the company's future. Recently, Musk predicted Tesla could eventually achieve a jaw-dropping $30 trillion valuation, driven not by cars but by AI and robotics. While such projections may sound bold, history shows that Musk often turns improbable visions into reality. With him on board, I believe Tesla will continue to create industries rather than just compete in them.
Elon Musk
📊 Charts Don't Lie: Bullish Technical Patterns Taking Shape
EMA-200 Bounce: Tesla's Strong Floor
Since June 2025, Tesla has rebounded 3–4 times off its 200-day EMA. This repeated support shows that institutional buyers are stepping in at these levels, reinforcing the stock's long-term foundation.
Green line represents EMA200
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout: Energy Ready to Explode
Tesla recently broke above a converging trend line, completing a symmetrical triangle breakout. This pattern often signals a strong continuation move once consolidation ends, suggesting bulls are regaining control.
Symmetrical triangle breakout pattern
VCP Setup: Calm Before the Storm
The Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) on Tesla's chart shows tightening ranges and reduced volatility before a breakout. This is a classic precursor to explosive upside moves, and it's another sign that momentum may be shifting in Tesla's favor.
VCP formation in Tesla share price
🌪️ Storm Clouds Ahead: The Short-Term Challenges
Despite the exciting long-term vision, I recognize there are near-term challenges:
# EV sales declines and reduced government incentives.
# Management turnover, with key service executives leaving.
# The shutdown of Tesla's Dojo supercomputer project, forcing a pivot in its AI infrastructure strategy.
These headwinds may cause volatility in coming quarters, but I see them as temporary hurdles, not permanent roadblocks.
Tesla Dojo
🕰️ Why Patience Is My Greatest Investment Edge
I believe patience will be the ultimate key to success in Tesla investing. Near-term weakness is undeniable, but the real revenue drivers—FSD subscriptions, Robotaxi, and Optimus—are only set to scale from 2026 onward. If I'm willing to look past the short-term noise, the reward could be enormous.
🚖 Robotaxi, Robots & Beyond: Tesla's Exciting Roadmap
Expansion of the Robotaxi network beyond Austin could unlock massive new mobility revenues.
Scaling Optimus humanoid robots, with thousands expected by 2026, opens an entirely new industry vertical.
Integration of AI services like Grok into Tesla's ecosystem, and the growth of its energy division through Megapacks for AI data centers, provide strong diversification.
Exciting future ahead for Tesla
💼 My Strategy: Hold, Add, and Leverage with TSLL
My approach is simple: hold tight to my Tesla position, add on key support levels, and use TSLL ETF $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 1.5X Shares(TSLL)$
$Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$
TSLL
🔑 Final Take: Short-Term Noise, Long-Term Opportunity
Tesla is no longer just an EV company—it's transforming into an AI powerhouse with groundbreaking projects in autonomy, robotics, and energy. The road ahead will be bumpy, but the long-term vision is extraordinary. The charts already hint at bullish momentum forming, while Elon Musk's leadership ensures Tesla keeps pushing boundaries. For me, it's simple: patience, conviction, and belief in the AI future are why I remain bullish on Tesla.
About me
As a retail investor, I focus mainly on the US and Singapore markets, combining a mix of technical trading and long-term investing strategies. I enjoy analyzing charts, spotting patterns, and making calculated moves based on both market sentiment and fundamentals. While I'm not a professional, I treat my portfolio seriously and continue to learn and grow with each trade. If you're also navigating the markets and enjoy discussing stocks, options, or market trends, feel free to follow me. Let's learn and grow together as a community.
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@Shyon Great sharing!