SmartReversals
SmartReversals
I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.
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avatarSmartReversals
01-27 17:26

$SPX Rallies $ORCL Breaks Out & $META Eyes $660

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$Positive resolution following two days of consolidation. The ideal completion of this move would be a test of the upper Bollinger Band, synchronized with an overbought Stochastic, mirroring the recent price action highlighted. 2. $Oracle(ORCL)$Price action suggests a breakout is now in play. The first bullish target for the week (posted in the premium chat) has already been reached.Get the key levels for monitoring continued momentum. Link in my bio. 3. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$META bounced toward the critical $660 monthly zone. With a gap below at $618.2 and above at $741, the daily oscillator isn't overbought, leaving room for bullish c
$SPX Rallies $ORCL Breaks Out & $META Eyes $660
avatarSmartReversals
01-26 06:56

SPY at 20DMA, AVGO Bearish but Bounce Possible

1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ The diagonal trendline was breached, confirming the MACD crossover posted last week. After bouncing from short-term oversold conditions on Wednesday, the price filled the 'bullish' gap and is now at the 20DMA with two indecisive candles. $685 will be decisive next week. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ The series of lower highs and higher lows had a bearish resolution. However, see that dragonfly at the very edge of the volume shelf. Don't rule out a bounce. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SG
SPY at 20DMA, AVGO Bearish but Bounce Possible
avatarSmartReversals
01-25 08:21

Navigating Earnings Waters - Week Ahead

U.S. stocks concluded a very volatile week with divergent performance, as strength in mega-cap technology shares counterbalanced broad-based weakness elsewhere. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ finished -0.35% for the week, the Nasdaq Composite $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ gained 0.3% for the week, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ retreated 0.6%. Investor sentiment remains anchored in neutral territory, with the Fear & Greed Index reading 52. The bearish move anticipated last week played out exactly as expected. The $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ hit its 20-week moving average with a -2.3% move, the
Navigating Earnings Waters - Week Ahead
avatarSmartReversals
01-25 08:05

NVDA Tests $185 as AAPL Nears Oversold Bounce

1. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA finished the week with a lower high and a shooting star. Tuesday’s selloff breached key moving averages. $185 is the key level to watch: a breach would validate the bearish star, while holding it could spark a bounce given the oversold oscillator highlighted. 2. $Apple(AAPL)$ Is the selloff a surprise? Not at all, overbought oscillators and indecisive candles warned. The price has scaled down since. Today, we have indecisive candles and oversold oscillators. Bulls will have a spike soon, the question is how sustainable it’ll be. Watching: $254. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and
NVDA Tests $185 as AAPL Nears Oversold Bounce
avatarSmartReversals
01-25 08:03

NDX Bounces, IWM Reverses — Tech Rotation?

1. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ NDX breached its lower Bollinger Band, the bounce makes perfect sense considering previous occurrences highlighted, the Stochastic curling up adds a technical milestone to the setup. Price action was indecisive on Friday but it managed to close above the 20DMA, also positive 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Bearish reversal again. The latest price action was a clear follow-through of Thursday's shooting star. With an overbought RSI suggesting the move isn't over and a breach of the 5DMA, this looks like a very weak setup for next week. Rotation back to tech? For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on
NDX Bounces, IWM Reverses — Tech Rotation?

Why Risk Management Wins When Direction Gets Tough

This past week was a key stress test for our Support and Resistance levels. It was a week characterized by a major move where the market finally reversed as anticipated in the Weekly Compass where I noted: “a breach of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Central Weekly Level (CWL) is the expectation” and for $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ it was anticipated: “the 20 weekly average is the likely target”. We anticipated the bearish direction, with NDX, $Apple(AAPL)$ , and $Alphabet(GOOG)$ all hitting their respective downside targets using the levels for this week (dropping -2.3%, -6.5%, and -2.1%). While the levels were correctly forecasted for t
Why Risk Management Wins When Direction Gets Tough

SPX bullish above 6937 confirms recovery

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Bullish continuation as the setup suggested, including the volatility. To confirm the recovery and eliminate the possibility of just a gap fill move, it’s important to overcome the level of $6,937 so bullish continuation can be considered for next week. As I said yesterday: The pattern is repeating: Breach of the lower band + Oversold oscillator. This bounce has lead to choppy price action in the days ahead. The rejection at the 20DMA suggests so, but the recovery of $6,836 is an encouraging sign. Mentioned yesterday: "most of the move is in". For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
SPX bullish above 6937 confirms recovery

SPX Bounce Turns Choppy, QQQ Needs 610+ to Stabilize

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The pattern is repeating: Breach of the lower band + Oversold oscillator. This bounce has lead to choppy price action in the days ahead. The rejection at the 20DMA suggests so, but the recovery of $6,836 is an encouraging sign. Mentioned yesterday: "most of the move is in". 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 15minutes: Technicals work the same across timeframes. Price retraced as oscillators hit overbought and indecisive candles met the the upper Bollinger Band.Bulls need a close today above $610 for considering a bounce; much better $613, which just acted as resistance. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading o
SPX Bounce Turns Choppy, QQQ Needs 610+ to Stabilize

SPX Tests Key Support as Bears Press

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Lower Bollinger Band + 50DMAMy note this morning regarding caution when chasing the selloff highlighted the strength of these two levels combined, not to mention the confluence of the weekly layer of $6,836 plus the CML at $6,837. This zone remains the primary focus today. If a bullish reversal hammer forms by the end of the day, a gap-fill attempt could follow shortly. Strong bearish conviction, the 50DMA was breached. The chart is bearish until proven otherwise. Worth noting: a) The recent candle breached the lower Bollinger Band and the W%R is oversold, similar to previous bottoms highlighted. Most of the move is likely in, but if we see bearish continuation tomorrow, the 100DMA is a strong support. For SG users only, Welc
SPX Tests Key Support as Bears Press

The Market Needed a Catalyst

Hello everyone,What a day. The market unfolded the move that has been brewing for recent sessions in a rapid fashion. We first saw the warning signs when technology began diverging from other sectors, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was grinding higher while tech megacaps showed underlying weakness.Over the past few weeks, I have occasionally shared free articles demonstrating how technical indicators validate momentum and anticipate reversals. We’ve covered $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ so far. My next free post will focus on Crypto, showing
The Market Needed a Catalyst

NDX, IWM & AAPL at a Crossroads: Fading Momentum and Key Support Tests

1. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ A big move is coming. The vanishing move on Friday, validated by volume suggests that the 20DMA could be breached after being tested several times during the last two weeks following the bounce. The lack of bullish conviction is notable. 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Pullbacks in the Small Caps have been preceded by one of two factors: an overbought RSI or indecisive candle structures. We are seeing a confluence of both, suggesting an imminent "breather" for this outstanding rally that outperformed both $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ recently. 3.
NDX, IWM & AAPL at a Crossroads: Fading Momentum and Key Support Tests

Cracks Under the Surface

Cracks Under the SurfaceWill Earnings Season Reverse the Weakening Technical Structure?Discipline, Precision, and Market NeutralitySuccess in the markets is built on disciplined technical analysis and the precise execution of price targets. This week, 7 of our 9 high-probability setups were successful, providing our subscribers with clear, actionable insights.A core tenet of our strategy is market neutrality. Upside momentum can be monetized through longs or call options, as well as downward moves via shorts and puts. Leveraged ETFs are also part of the equation for broader indices and specific mega-cap. Being truly neutral also considers rotation, finding opportunity wherever it emerges, whether in Tech, Retail, Finance, Pharma, Metals, Crypto, or Bonds. My only strict requirement is that
Cracks Under the Surface

$SPY Momentum Fades, Support Test Near $686 Likely

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The bullish momentum seen on Thursday and Friday mornings vanished by the close, printing a series of lower highs and a breach of the diagonal support. With the MACD curling downward, the structure suggests a test of $686.4 reinforced by the 20DMA next week. This seems to be exactly the opposite of the trend of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ :The hammer candle formed yesterday after bouncing from the 20DMA in confluence with $6,912 (one of the levels for this week) suggested a continuation for the bounce. The futures are suggesting the thesis is valid. Despite of the red day, breadth improved. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up
$SPY Momentum Fades, Support Test Near $686 Likely

Capturing Opportunity in a Muted Market

The stock market concluded the week on a soft note, leaving major benchmarks lower as investors weighed solid economic data against renewed policy uncertainties. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dipped -0.4% and the Nasdaq 100 $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ fell -0.9%, while Small-caps $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ rallied to secure a 2.2% advance. Overall volume remained subdued, reflecting a market in search of fresh catalysts.This price action mirrors what we saw in November and December 2025: indecisive days, dips that are quickly bought, and rallies that evaporate just as fast. Since then, I have emphasized the power of individual names during times of consolidation.
Capturing Opportunity in a Muted Market

$AVGO Target Hit, Reversal Confirms Gain Capture

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ The CWL of $343.5 was conquered on Monday morning suggesting a clean entry, by Tuesday the target was reached, securing a 3.3% gain. The chart shows a bearish daily shooting star candle that suggested exhaustion and a likely reversal considering the confluence of resistance levels, starting from our target, the upper Bollinger band, and the volume shelf. Locking gains was wise, the recent selloff is not a technical surprise, and considering the breach of $343.5, there is an invalidation of the bullish setup for now, but we made a decent 3.3% gain.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
$AVGO Target Hit, Reversal Confirms Gain Capture

$JPM Bearish Setup Plays Out, Oversold Bounce Likely

$JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ The Weekly Compass called it as bearish last Saturday. Note the precision of the selloff following Friday’s daily shooting star candle and the subsequent loss of the $324 Central Weekly Level (CWL). When price opened below the CWL on Monday, it validated a high-conviction short position. (As a reminder: investors can profit from downward moves through shorting just as they do from upward moves through long positions). JPM hit our initial targets of $323, $317.7, and $310.8 in rapid succession. When a level is breached with such conviction, you can navigate the move by trailing your stops lower, using the “support-turned-resistance” levels as a guide. Today JPM has reached oversold levels with an indecisive candle validated by
$JPM Bearish Setup Plays Out, Oversold Bounce Likely

$COST Bullish Target Hit, Consolidation Likely

$Costco(COST)$ After breaking out from oversold conditions last week, the price action signaled a bullish continuation (as noted in the latest Weekly Compass considering additional indicators) with a target of $950.8 (+2.8%). Since the price held above the $905.8 Central Weekly Level (CWL), the bullish path was clear by Monday morning. Today, a trader might choose to lock in gains at the target or navigate the move by trailing their stop higher. The daily timeframe now reaching overbought levels relative to the Bollinger bands and the Stochastic oscillator suggests some consolidation. Not to mention the precision of our target set before the week started!For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SG
$COST Bullish Target Hit, Consolidation Likely

$AMZN Bounce Setup After Bollinger Reversal

1. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Shooting stars at the upper Bollinger Band provide reversal signs. Price reversed following Monday’s signal, pulling back and bouncing off the confluence of the 20DMA and the volume shelf. The price action in the last two candles opens a path for a potential bounce. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2.ETHOne of my top high-probability setups for this week, rallying +9.2%✅. As anticipated in last night's update, consolidation is in play at the 100DMA. Bullish continuation is likely even if there is a healthy pullback. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy acce
$AMZN Bounce Setup After Bollinger Reversal

$SPX Bounce Holds, $LLY Setup Plays Out, $NVDA Tests Key Support

1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The hammer candle formed yesterday after bouncing from the 20DMA in confluence with $6,912 (one of the levels for this week) suggested a continuation for the bounce. The futures are suggesting the thesis is valid. Despite of the red day, breadth improved. 2. $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ Each week I post high-probability setups. Eli Lilly was on the list with a $1,020 target (-4% move). The setup is playing out. Neutrality: I was bullish for several weeks and capitalized on the momentum. The reversal was anticipated again🎯 3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA is a textbook case of why chasing premarket rallies is risky. The rally faded completely to print a shooting
$SPX Bounce Holds, $LLY Setup Plays Out, $NVDA Tests Key Support

PYPL vs PLTR:Why Fundamentals Alone Don’t Explain Stock Moves

While some investors believe stock prices are driven solely by fundamentals, price action often tells a different story. Fundamentals are undeniably important, but they do not always correlate with immediate price trends. $PayPal(PYPL)$ is a prime example of this divergence. Despite boasting robust fundamentals and over $8 billion in revenue, the stock has been excessively punished. Five years after being a market favorite, it currently trades at just one-sixth of its 2021 peak. This illustrates why relying on fundamentals alone is often insufficient.There are entirely valid fundamental reasons to buy PayPal. You could justify an investment based on its P/E ratio of 11, or the fact that Transaction Margin Dollars (gross profit) have grown +6-7% fo
PYPL vs PLTR:Why Fundamentals Alone Don’t Explain Stock Moves

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