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08-22 08:49

Grok 5 Could Redefine the AI Race

Grok 5 could be a very different kind of frontier model. Musk has said Grok 5 is targeted for the end of 2026, while reported roadmaps have pointed to a model potentially reaching 10 trillion parameters. But the bigger story may not be the parameter count. Grok 5 is expected to train on Colossus and incorporate $SpaceX(SPCX)$ ’s massive engineering dataset, giving SpaceXAI access to something most AI labs simply don't have: decades of real-world engineering knowledge. Musk has already said SpaceX's engineering data will be used to improve Grok's engineering capabilities. That could create a very different AI moat. Instead of building another model primarily optimized for language, coding or general knowledge, SpaceXAI could be buil
Grok 5 Could Redefine the AI Race
avatarAfraSimon
08-22 08:47

Follow Earnings Reactions to Find the Next Big Winner

One of the best ways to spot the next big market winner is to watch how stocks react after earnings. Strong earnings are important, but the market's reaction can be even more telling. When a stock delivers solid results and attracts aggressive buying, it can signal that a larger trend is starting to develop. Here are some of the biggest earnings reactions I've been watching: 🤖 AI Infrastructure $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $SiTime Corp(SITM)$ $FormFactor(FORM)$ $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ $AXT Inc(AXTI)$ $Silicon Motion Technology(SIMO)$ 💻 Software
Follow Earnings Reactions to Find the Next Big Winner
avatarAfraSimon
08-22 08:41

The Next Big Theme Could Be Drones

Good morning,Tigers! ☀️ The market is in a super weird spot right now. Crypto is suddenly back from the dead, while $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ remains choppy and directionless. There’s no clear macro trend, and investors are being pulled in different directions by everything from Trump’s comments on Hyperliquid to the latest healthcare breakthroughs. And the calendar isn’t helping. Midterms are approaching, Jackson Hole is next week, and $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings are coming up. It feels like the market has a lot on its mind at once. That’s why, for me, this remains a theme picker’s market. When the major indexes lack a clear direction, I’d rather focus on individual themes that have their own catal
The Next Big Theme Could Be Drones
avatarAfraSimon
08-21 06:46

Best-Performing S&P 500 Stocks YTD

The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 's biggest winners this year are being led by semiconductors, AI infrastructure, memory, and energy. 🔥 Top Performers $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ +561% $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ +491% $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ +248% $Micron Technology(MU)$ +228% $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ +202% $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ +179% $Western Digital(WDC)$ +168% $Intel(INTC)$ +151%
Best-Performing S&P 500 Stocks YTD
avatarAfraSimon
08-21 06:42

Moderna’s 177% Surge: Breakthrough or Market Euphoria?

Yesterday, $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ jumped an extraordinary 177%, sending its market cap from roughly $25B to $72B in a single session. The catalyst was strong Phase 3 data for Moderna’s individualized mRNA cancer vaccine. In a pivotal study involving 1,137 patients with high-risk melanoma, patients receiving the personalized vaccine plus Keytruda achieved better outcomes than those receiving Keytruda alone. The combination helped patients stay cancer-free longer and reduced the risk of the cancer spreading. That is a major result—and potentially a turning point for personalized cancer treatment. 🧬 If the technology can eventually prove effective across multiple cancer types, the commercial opportunity could be enormous, potentially creating a multi-
Moderna’s 177% Surge: Breakthrough or Market Euphoria?
avatarAfraSimon
08-21 06:39

8 AI Infrastructure Stocks to Watch as the AI Buildout Accelerates

Good morning, Tiger friends! 👋 AI doesn’t just need better models. It needs an enormous amount of infrastructure to run them. ⚡️ From advanced chips and foundries to memory, optical connectivity, AI data centers and even space-based infrastructure, the AI buildout is creating a much broader investment opportunity. Here are 8 infrastructure names worth following: 🧵 1. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ Drawdown -21% 2028 Revenue CAGR: 153% 2028 ADJ EBITDA CAGR: 318% FWD P/S: 10 2. $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ Drawdown -12% 2028 Revenue CAGR: 23% 2028 Net Income CAGR: 34% 2028 FCF CAGR: 29% FWD P/E: 32 3. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Drawdown -6% 2028 Revenue CAGR: 26% 2028 Net
8 AI Infrastructure Stocks to Watch as the AI Buildout Accelerates
avatarAfraSimon
08-21 06:34

🚀 The Stocks Leading the Market Right Now

Good morning, Tigers! 👋 Here’s a fresh list of stocks showing strong market leadership right now. I’m grouping them into three buckets: established leaders, emerging leaders, and higher-risk speculative names with greater upside potential. 📈 🔥 Market Leaders $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $Lumentum(LITE)$ $NetApp(NTAP)$ $Everpure(P)$ $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Quanta(PWR)$
🚀 The Stocks Leading the Market Right Now

$NBIS Is Holding Back Capacity to Chase Higher AI Revenue

$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ is taking a different approach to the AI infrastructure boom: instead of selling every MW years in advance, it is deliberately keeping some capacity available for higher-paying customers. 👀 CEO Arkady Volozh said the company could sell its entire 2027 capacity under current terms, but is choosing not to. The reason is simple — shorter-term demand can command a much higher price. 📈 The numbers show why: Earlier 2026 long-term deals → ~$12M per MW Q2 2026 contracts → >$20M per MW Potential later capacity → >$40M per MW Short-term auction opportunities → up to $50M per MW That makes the economics dramatically more attractive. By holding back capacity, Nebius can avoid locking itself into today's rates and instead monetize scarce
$NBIS Is Holding Back Capacity to Chase Higher AI Revenue

$NU ARPU Surges 40% as the Growth Story Gets Stronger 🤯

$Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ 's monetization engine is accelerating. 💰 Monthly ARPU has reached $17.1, up 40% YoY and 7.5% QoQ, marking a major reversal from Q1 2025 when ARPU fell 1.8%. That earlier decline triggered concern among Nu investors, but the weakness was largely explained by rapid customer acquisition in Mexico and Colombia, where many new users were still under-monetized. 📈 The thesis is now playing out. As Nu expands its product offering and deepens its presence in both markets, those newer customers are generating more revenue, helping drive ARPU higher. And the bigger picture is striking: Two years ago 👥 Customers: 105M 💵 ARPU: $11 📊 Net income: $1.5B 💲Share price: $14 Today 👥 Customers: 139M 💵 ARPU: $17 📊 Net income: $3.6B 💲Share price: $
$NU ARPU Surges 40% as the Growth Story Gets Stronger 🤯

Nvidia’s 800VDC Power Shift Is Here

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ’s next-generation 800VDC power architecture is set to begin rolling out this year, creating a new opportunity across the AI data-center power chain. The ecosystem spans power semiconductors, power supplies, electrical equipment and infrastructure, with key partners including: 🔌 Power & Semiconductors MediaTek · $STMicroelectronics NV(STM)$ · $Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$ · $Power Integrations(POWI)$ · Infineon · $Texas Instruments(TXN)$ · $Monolithic Power(MPWR)$ · $Alpha &am
Nvidia’s 800VDC Power Shift Is Here

IREN’s AI Revenue Inflection Is Coming

$IREN Ltd(IREN)$ has barely moved in 2026 while other AI infrastructure stocks have exploded. The market’s skepticism has centered on several issues: 💰 $6B ATM offering and dilution concerns 🏀 $50M Warriors sponsorship, seen by some as questionable capital allocation 🤝 No major new hyperscaler contract announced yet 🤖 AI revenue is still tiny ₿ Bitcoin is down ~27% YTD, weighing on the legacy business From a current income statement perspective, $IREN is still largely a Bitcoin company. AI revenue was only $34M in Q1, versus roughly $400M for $NBIS. But that could be about to change. 🔥 IREN has now started servicing its ~$2B-a-year Microsoft contract, setting the stage for a sharp acceleration in AI revenue. As Microsoft cash starts flowing in, IR
IREN’s AI Revenue Inflection Is Coming

Elon Says Memory Is AI’s Biggest Bottleneck

Elon Musk recently said memory has become the biggest bottleneck for AI development, putting renewed attention on the memory sector. Against that backdrop, $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ ’s latest investor day offered an especially bullish outlook. SanDisk is targeting a 75% adjusted operating margin and 50% FCF margin by 2030. More importantly, the company is moving away from the traditional commodity cycle by locking in multi-year volume and pricing agreements. It has already signed deals with eight major customers, including three hyperscalers, representing roughly $94 billion in total contract value. The bigger picture is that memory demand is still growing, while valuations remain surprisingly low. Forward P/E ratios are around 6x for
Elon Says Memory Is AI’s Biggest Bottleneck

$NBIS Surges 30%: AI Demand Is Getting Insane

$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ just released an EXCELLENT earnings report, sending the stock up 30%! Here are 5️⃣ most important things you need to know: 1. Capacity guidance increased from 4GW ➡️ 5GW. This is a 5x increase in guidance since August 2025! The increase comes from Nebius announcing new data centers in the UK, Estonia, and Finland. "We are raising, actually, the contracted power to 5 GW now, by the end of 2026... Our future capacity pipeline effectively makes Nebius one of just a few companies in the world able to build more than 1 GW of new capacity a year, and we plan to do so in 2027." Arkady Volozh, CEO, Q2 2026 Earnings Call Essentially, he confirmed that they plan to add over 1GW in new capacity in 2027 and will continue doing so in the future.
$NBIS Surges 30%: AI Demand Is Getting Insane

Nu Q2 2026: Profits, ARPU and Strong Customer Growth

Yesterday $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ reported earnings, and they were, as always, excellent! Most importantly, it seems the market is no longer selling off. It seems that the FOMO AI trade of selling quality and buying AI could be nearing the end. Nu’s stock is now up 13% in after-hours! The company continues to execute on all its objectives, yet the market is not rewarding it. Last quarter I said that this is because of the AI FOMO trade. Sell quality to buy AI stocks! As a result, Nu trades at just 16x FWD P/E. I find this valuation to be extremely attractive for long-term-minded investors, especially considering Nu posted such strong financial results: Total revenues $5.5B +50% Net income $1.06B +66.4% EPS $0.22+ 65.4%, Beating analyst estimate of
Nu Q2 2026: Profits, ARPU and Strong Customer Growth

$MRDN’s Hidden Growth Engine Is Scaling Fast 🚀

Expanse Studios is the creative core of $Meridian Hldg(MRDN)$ This segment focuses on building online casino games. In Q2 2026, Expanse continued to grow its global presence. Its games are now available on 1,881 different operator sites, which is 362 more than at the end of last quarter. The studio launched 18 new proprietary games this quarter, bringing its total collection of titles to 95. Additionally: - The number of players grew by 67% - Revenue grew by 138% - Pay-ins grew by 143% - Gross gaming revenues grew by 90% It is clear that this segment is delivering explosive growth. Furthermore, one of the most important moves this quarter was a new partnership with Bragg, a leading distributor in North America, and a deal with Flutter’s Serbian su
$MRDN’s Hidden Growth Engine Is Scaling Fast 🚀

Goldman Sachs: 7 Stocks Riding the $1T AI Investment Wave

Goldman Sachs estimates that AI investment will exceed $1T in 2026! Here are 7 companies benefiting from this investment: 🧵 1. $Micron Technology(MU)$ Drawdown -35% 2028 Revenue CAGR: 43% 2028 Net Income CAGR: 54% 2028 FCF CAGR: 78% FWD P/E: 6 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Drawdown -5% 2028 Revenue CAGR: 40% 2028 Net Income CAGR: 32% 2028 FCF CAGR: 45% FWD P/E: 23 3. $Lumentum(LITE)$ Drawdown -12% 2028 Revenue CAGR: 61% 2028 Net Income: $5.1B 2028 FCF CAGR: 98% FWD P/E: 43 4. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ Drawdown -14% 2028 Revenue CAGR: 46% 2028 Net Income CAGR: 63% 2028 FCF CAGR: 56% FWD P/E: 26 5. $Taiwan S
Goldman Sachs: 7 Stocks Riding the $1T AI Investment Wave

Nebius 2030 Valuation Model!

In this want I want to calculate $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ price at which the stock could be trading in 2030. After this quarter, I realised that I need to update my assumptions as the company gave more details about pricing and its new asset-light AI segments. I am not gonna make you wait too long: I see 530-690% upside to Nebius stock by 2030! This is who I get there: First, Nebius' 2026 contracted power target is 5GW, which means that Nebius expects to have agreements with utilities to supply them with 5GW of electricity on 31 December 2026. Yet, to bring all this capacity online as active IT power, Nebius will need years, as they have to construct the building and install all the electrical, GPUs, cooling, networking, and other equipment. Thus, I am mode
Nebius 2030 Valuation Model!

$NBIS Q2 AI Cloud Demand Is Accelerating

$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ just delivered a Q2 report that goes well beyond a simple earnings beat. Revenue reached $582.3M, ahead of the $575M estimate, while adjusted EBITDA came in at $236.2M, well above the $173M consensus. But the bigger story is what the numbers say about AI cloud demand, customer contracts and the economics of building capacity. 🔥 1. 5GW of Contracted Capacity $NBIS reiterated its 2026 ARR target of $7B–$9B, while raising its contracted capacity guidance to 5GW. At the same time, average contract value is climbing rapidly: Q1: $12M Q2: $20M Q3: $40M That's a dramatic increase in the size of customer contracts. And $NBIS made an eye-opening comment: “We could sell our entire 2027 capacity on these terms today.” In other words, the compa
$NBIS Q2 AI Cloud Demand Is Accelerating

$SOFI: Is There a Better Full-Service Fintech Growth Story Right Now?

Is there a better full-service fintech growth story in the market right now than $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ ? There are certainly plenty of reasons to debate the stock. Investors can argue about fair-value accounting, credit risk, potential dilution, or whether the Tech Platform has fully lived up to expectations. But focusing exclusively on those issues may miss the bigger story unfolding inside the company. Bull Case in one photo! Products per member: - 1.46 - 1.47 - 1.48 - 1.51 - 1.54 Notice how it's accelerated in the last few quarters. This is as in Q2 2026, 51% of new products were opened by existing customers. SoFi is transforming from a primarily lending-focused business into a full-scale financial ecosystem. The strategy is straightfo
$SOFI: Is There a Better Full-Service Fintech Growth Story Right Now?

AI Stocks: Wall Street’s Price Targets Reveal Where the Biggest Upside May Be

Wall Street remains broadly bullish on the AI trade, but the latest price targets show that analysts are not treating every AI stock equally. Across a group of major AI beneficiaries — from memory and semiconductors to AI infrastructure and space-based computing — the average analyst targets imply meaningful upside, with several names carrying expectations of 70% or more. The dispersion between low, average and high targets is equally important. It shows not only where Wall Street sees potential upside, but also where expectations — and therefore risk — are especially elevated. 🧠 Memory: Micron and SK Hynix Lead the Bull Case $Micron Technology(MU)$ stands out with one of the most aggressive analyst outlooks. Low target: $1,100 Average target: $1,60
AI Stocks: Wall Street’s Price Targets Reveal Where the Biggest Upside May Be

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