$S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 is showing historically weak momentum, with just 3 positive weeks so far this year—matching one of the worst starts on record. The index is also on track for its longest stretch below the 200-day moving average since 2025, reinforcing bearish technical pressure. Seasonality adds another layer of risk: historically, midterm election cycles have seen average drawdowns of over 18% before stabilizing, suggesting further volatility may lie ahead before a more durable bottom forms. 1.S&P 500 $SPX has only had 3 green weeks during the first 12 weeks this year, equaling the worst start to a year in history 🚨🚨🚨 2.S&P 500 $SPX on track for its 8th consecutive close below the 200-day moving average, the longest str

Markets are showing clear signs of stress. $META is deeply below its 200DMA, $SPX is heading for its worst month since 2022, and $UNH has erased key institutional levels. Meanwhile, $SNAP highlights long-term value destruction — a reminder that not all dips recover. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META has now fallen below its 200-day moving average by the largest margin since 2022 📉📉📉 2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 $SPX on track for its biggest monthly loss since September 2022 📉👻😱👀 3. $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ UnitedHealth $UNH has now plunged all the way back below Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway 2025 purchase price 📉💸 4.

5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ 1/ Huge Demand "We can't meet the demand fast enough," Dan Roberts There is a huge demand for AI computing power, as hyperscalers invest hundreds of billions of dollars. IREN is perfectly situated to meet that demand. 2/ Focus on Bare Metal over Colocation "Colocation would be a lot easier, but we don't feel that it is the best value-creating opportunity." Dan Roberts, $IREN CEO AI cloud (bare metal) services can generate roughly $10M per megawatt, whereas simply leasing data center space (collocation) only brings in about $1.5-2M. We can see these dynamics at play with the $MSFT contract. The deal involves a 200MW deployment and will generate $9.7B in 5 years. A colocation contract would have

After rising $1.5B using convertible notes, $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ ended 2025 with $6.8B in cash! Retail investors are not very patient, so for many months, Grab has been criticized for not putting its large cash balance to good use, and some even questioned why a profitable company would raise this much in the first place. However, the funds were clearly intended to purchase its biggest competitor in Indonesia, Gojek. While that deal has been rumored to be in the works for years, it seems Gojek will have to remain an independent company for longer, as any potential deal is stalled while Gojek goes through various scandals and government investigations. Grab was forced to pivot and find another M&A target, and they finally did. Grab is buying

Markets are showing clear divergence, with $SPY, $MSFT, and $GOOGL breaking down technically, while select high-beta names like $SRPT, $CORZ, and $FLY surge on strong momentum and catalysts. 1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY on track for its 5th consecutive close below the 200-day moving average, the longest streak since May 📉🤯👀 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft $MSFT on track to close below its 200-week moving average for the first time in more than 13 years 📉📉 3. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Alphabet $GOOGL has entered a technical correction after falling more than 10% from its February all-time high 📉📉📉 4.$Sarepta T

As Software stocks fall, they are resorting to BuyBacks in hopes to stabilise the share price. - $Dropbox Inc.(DBX)$ 31.7% - $Docusign(DOCU)$ 11.6% - $Adobe(ADBE)$ 10.5% - $Box(BOX)$ 10.2% - $Workday(WDAY)$ 9.4% - $Zoom(ZM)$ 7.9% - $Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$ 7.3% - $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ 6.6% - $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ 6% - $UiPath(PATH)$ 5.7% BuyBacks only increase EPS and share price

10 High-Growth Stocks to Hold Till 2040 1/ $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ $ONDS is developing an autonomous military infrastructure platform that combines AI-driven drones and robotics with advanced wireless networks. Furthermore, $ONDS is also actively expanding through M&A, consolidating the fragmented military drone and robotics industries. In the context of the Iran War, the demand for its capabilities has become especially clear. The company is moving beyond the technology validation stage and shifting into the rapid execution and deployment phase. It is securing new contracts for its drones and robotic systems almost every week. 2025 revenues are up 605% Y/Y, whilst 2026 guidance was increased to $375M, up from $180M Consensus estimate. Fol

This week, key markets show a mix of weakness and resilience. $SPY and $MSFT are testing critical 200-day moving averages, while $SLV extends its losing streak. Meanwhile, $GLD is bouncing off its 200-day MA, hinting at potential upside. Investors should watch these levels closely as volatility remains elevated. 1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY closed below its 200-day moving average for 4 consecutive days, the longest streak since May 📉 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft $MSFT is now trading below its 200-day moving average by the largest margin since the Global Financial Crisis 📉🤯👀 3. $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ Silver on track for its 10th conse

Markets show mounting stress: $SPY hits its lowest in 4 months with a fourth straight red week, $VIX remains elevated above 25, $GLD faces record outflows, and $TSLA dips to multi-month lows. 1. $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ Gold $GLD ETF has seen an outflow of $5.5 Billion this month, on track for its largest monthly outflow since April 2013 🚨🚨 2. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ CBOE Volatility Index $VIX posts 3rd consecutive weekly close above 25 🚨🚨 This is only the 2nd time that's happened since 2023 🤯👀 3. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY suffers 2nd consecutive close below the 200-day moving average for the first time since May 📉📉 S&P 500 $SPY on trac

Before every trade, I do a "thesis invalidation" writeup. Basically a breakdown of where & why I would exit if wrong. Here's what it looks like (6 parts): 1) technical...if the stock [blank], I'm out: - breaks a key level - loses prior breakout level - hits my stop - fails to hold higher low structure - re-enters prior range (failed breakout) - stock loses relative strength vs $spy 2) fundamental...if the stock's [blank], I'm out: - narrative breaks (no longer strong "story”) - sector / theme loses momentum - insiders start selling aggressively - macro shifts directly hurt the business - leadership starts showing cracks 3) thesis…if the [blank], I’m out: - reason I entered changes - news/narrative shifts - earnings/catalyst invalidates original idea - leaders break down 4) risk…if my [

The market is showing broad weakness, with $BABA and $META under pressure, $SPX testing its 200-day moving average, and $SLV extending a multi-day losing streak, though dip-buyers in AI and cloud names are starting to step in. 1. $Alibaba(BABA)$ $BABA earnings miss sends shares lower (rev/EPS light), yet 1-yr chart shows epic rebound from chart bottoms + volume spikes. AI/cloud dip-buyers piling in? 📉🚀 Alibaba $BABA getting pounded to its lowest price since August 📉📉 2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 $SPX headed for its first close below the 200-day moving average since May 📉📉 3. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META has traded below its 200-day moving average sinc

The global financial services industry is currently undergoing a period of rapid change, driven by the intersection of AI, changing consumer preferences, and the rise of digital-first banking. At the center of this change is $Klarna Group plc(KLAR)$ ! Everyone loves shopping, but nobody loves paying, especially Gen Z. What if you could buy now, but pay later? If that sounds appealing to you, you are not alone, as Klarna has attracted over 188M customers to its BNPL business. The company’s primary mission is to provide a fairer and more transparent alternative to traditional credit cards, which often trap consumers in cycles of high-interest debt. By using advanced technology to lower costs and improve service, Klarna is attempting to rebuild the r

My Position Sizing, a Guide: (position sizing = what % of your account you risk on a trade) I personally use a combination of conviction-based sizing and pyramiding, meaning I sized based on how strong my thesis is + add size as the trade works. Here's a loose version of my style, as it applies to a+ setups. To start, I have zero problem putting 35%+ of my account into a high conviction, thematic long idea in a strong market environment. So let's say we have one of those situations in front of us. I have a $100K account, and I am putting up $35K for this trade. Starter position is typically 10-25% of full position, with entry during a basing of price or a retest of prior breakout at key levels. Stoploss is a daily candle close below those predetermined levels, usually around <5% on comm

The market shows mixed signals this week. Volatility remains elevated as $VIX is poised for a rare third consecutive weekly close above 25, reflecting persistent uncertainty. Broad indices face pressure: $SPX is approaching its 200-day moving average, while $SPY risks a third weekly close below its 20-week MA, echoing last year’s tariff-driven weakness. Among individual stocks, $CPB and $AMC have hit multi-year and all-time lows, highlighting ongoing downside risk, whereas $MU reacts sharply post-earnings with potential large market-cap swings, and $SNDK continues its streak with eight consecutive green months. The divergence between beaten-down names and resilient performers underscores a selective, cautious market environment as traders navigate macro and sector-specific headwinds. 1.

I think there is a fundamental misunderstanding about the purpose of Neo-Cloud $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ and $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ capital raises. It's not about what IREN and NBIS can directly do with the $6B and $4B raises, but what they enable. To build a data center, companies use: - Customer Pre-Payments - Bank Financing - Vendor Financing - Revolving Credit Lines - Asset Backed Loans However, these funding sources rarely cover 100% of the costs, companies need the remaining 10-20% in cash. Moreover, customers won't pre-pay, banks won't provide financing, vendors won't delay payments, and creditors won't take assets as collateral if you are broke. All funders must have the trust that you will keep your end of the ba

I have read the new $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ short seller report. 1) I miss DataDInvesting I guess this is why they hired Chris, as he could be writing a detailed response right now. 2) Fundamentally, this comes down to the trust in the management. The short report made some serious allegations, and I am not going to recite all of them as many have already done so. But if they are 100% true (they aren't), then the CEO Anthony Noto and CFO Chris Lapointe committed FRAUD. The allegations don't simply involve aggressive accounting, but clever and sophisticated legal manoeuvring to deceive the SEC, DOJ, lenders, credit investors, shareholders, convertible note investors, and the public. This would imply lawsuits and prison time. I have been foll

I made a "should I be trading?" dashboard. Scores the market across 5 pillars: - volatility (put/call ratio, vix, positioning) - trend (spx vs 20d, 50d, 200d ma's) - breadth (advancing/declining, nas highs/lows) - momentum (sector leaders, laggards, % participation) - macro (fomc, rates, geopolitics) Each is weighted, combined, and averaged to give me a score for the current environment. Basically a yes, no, or stay small. Sometimes I just need someone (or something) to remind me to stay out. Happy to share the prompt if you guys want it...but I made this with perplexity_ai's Computer. here is the prompt I used on perplexity_ai max (Computer)...feel free to mess around with the weightings, etc. PROMPT: Build “Should I Be Trading?” — Bloomberg Terminal-Style Market Dashboard Build a live, a