AfraSimon
AfraSimon
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avatarAfraSimon
01-27 19:04

SOFI Earnings Friday: 5 Key Metrics That Matter

$SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ reports earnings on Friday! Here are 5️⃣ key metrics to pay attention to:🧵 1/ Members & Products $SOFI Member Ads in 2025: - Q1 800K - Q2 850K - Q3 905K Can they add 1M in Q4? 2/ ADJ EBITDA This is a key metric and a proxy for FCF. $SOFI guided for $1,035B for 2025. So far in 2025, they have earned $736M. $299M to reach the guide would imply 51% Y/Y growth. 3/ Lending Originations In Q3, $SOFI Originated: - $3.4B in Loan Platform Business - $4.1B in Personal Loans - $1.5B in Student Loans - $945M in Home Loans Strong LPB growth is required for the share price to increase. 4/ The Technology Platform This segment has been underperforming expectations for 3 years. - 12% Y/Y growth in 2023 - 12% in 2024 - 10.6% in LT
SOFI Earnings Friday: 5 Key Metrics That Matter
avatarAfraSimon
01-27 19:00

Which ticker is the most likely to 5x in 5 years?

Which ticker is the most likely to 5x in 5 years?
avatarAfraSimon
01-27 18:57

Names with a great start of the year

Names with a great start of the year
avatarAfraSimon
01-27 17:31

Copper Could Be the Next U.S. Strategic Play $FCX $IE $COPX

Copper is the second most used material by the DoD. Trump said on July 9th that "America will once again build a dominant copper industry". If the US gov't is building strategic positions in critical materials, copper seems like the next target. There are a couple of US-headquartered copper producers that I like, including: Freeport McMoRan, $Freeport-McMoRan(FCX)$ ...largest U.S. copper producer + deep DoD relevance, has domestic & global mines, + direct leverage to domestic supply chains. Ivanhoe Electric, $Ivanhoe Electric Inc.(IE)$ ..tech-driven mining model, fits the “next-gen mining” narrative + has high upside if US prioritizes new supply. $Global X Copper Mi
Copper Could Be the Next U.S. Strategic Play $FCX $IE $COPX
avatarAfraSimon
01-26 07:15

My Favourite Businesses

My Favourite Businesses
avatarAfraSimon
01-26 07:11

Top Rare Earth Picks

Rare Earths & Critical Minerals. This theme can make you rich, and it's only getting bigger with Trump + US gov't exposure... My top 8 favorite names to watch right now: Rare Earths... $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ …still the top U.S. rare earth pick; fully integrated from mine to magnet, Mountain Pass expansion + pentagon-backed supply chain narrative. $CRITICAL METALS CORPORATION(CRML)$ …one of the breakout names of 2026; overlaps rare earths + critical minerals; one of the cleanest dual-exposure plays in the space + heavy rare earth leverage. $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ …gaining traction fast; domestic processing and magnet ambitions make it a pure “america-first
Top Rare Earth Picks
avatarAfraSimon
01-26 07:09

HIMS From Distribution to Infrastructure

Peptides are the next major health trend. Haven’t seen google search interest accelerate this fast since pokemon go. This is a major part of the bull case for $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ . If $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ & $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ are the producers, then $HIMS is a distribution layer. But it's planning to be more than that. Roughly 1 year ago, HIMS acquired a US-based peptide facility. Meaning HIMS is not just selling peptides anymore...it's building infrastructure to manufacture + control them. It's emerging as one of the largest consumer distribution channels for GLP-1 drugs in the US. HIMS is building a GLP-1 business that's approaching $700M+ in
HIMS From Distribution to Infrastructure

Four Portfolios, Four Strategies — Which One Wins?

Four Portfolios, Four Strategies — Which One Wins?

TKO Joins the Trump Trade

Social arbitrage play setting up in the fighting world. UFC is hosting fight night at the White House on June 14th. And if there’s one thing Trump understands...it’s attention. The media cycle will only accelerate as this puppy gets closer too. Dana White calling it "an event unlike any in company history". UFC's parent company is traded under the ticker $TKO Group Holdings(TKO)$ . We've seen the "Trump basket" of $Intel(INTC)$ $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ go nuts...I think you can add TKO into that (adjacently). No brainer for the next two quarters. TKO is currently $204. For SG users only, W
TKO Joins the Trump Trade

$SWBI has delivered back-to-back earnings beats

Read to the end for my thesis on the connection between robotics and guns. Few months ago, my brother’s wife asked about buying a gun. She’s 4’11 and has never touched one in her life. My sister said the same thing a week later. I was thinking wtf is going on here...something's shifting. So I looked into it a lil bit. Around 2020 gun demand was a fear thing...covid, riots, politics. I believe there's a new (somewhat similiar) story in 2026, six years later. Lots of uncertainty creeping in again between election cycle coming, geopolitics, police, self defense...even ai. Google searches for "best gun" + similar searches are rising again quickly. SWBI crushed earnings in back to back quarters. Stock found a base and is making higher lows. And here's a very interesting question to chew on... D
$SWBI has delivered back-to-back earnings beats

$ANF Social Arbitrage: Culture Moves First, Markets Follow

If you want to learn social arbitrage, read this + bookmark. Back in Nov '25, my wife wanted some Abercrombie leggings. "What is it, 2010??" I asked her. She said everyone on TikTok had this hoodie, and the brand was cool again. Brings me to my point. Maybe this guy is joking, maybe not...but this is real. Observational & social data can be more powerful than technical & fundamental analysis. The edge for retail over wall st. The suits, living in high-rise nyc apartments, spending 20 hours/day in an office...they miss the real world. Back to the $Abercrombie & Fitch(ANF)$ example real quick...after she told me about Abercrombie, here's what I did uncover the social arbitrage opp. Went to Google Trends, which shows relative search demand
$ANF Social Arbitrage: Culture Moves First, Markets Follow

RR robotics setup small cap chart holding

The robotics trade is setting up. I continue to add to our position in $Richtech Robotics(RR)$ ...smaller name but this one is very interesting. Let's recap. - interesting tech relationship with $nvda - founder led - already deployed 450+ robots across restaurants, hotels, retail, and healthcare What's strange is the president of the company resigned just recently, per a recent 8K filing...👀 Leadership shakeup coming? Some big voices love this emerging theme: - musk is "excited about robotics" - huang said the “robotics era is just around the corner” - trump "considering order on robotics" At just $900M market cap, RR is a smaller company so there's some risk here, but I am intrigued. Chart holding well. RR now $4.40. For SG users only, Welcome to o
RR robotics setup small cap chart holding

LULU punished on noise smart money likely buying

Wait so $Lululemon Athletica(LULU)$ got yanked down -6% yesterday because a pair leggings was see-through? A single faulty product line (with zero structural revenue impact & was fixed in 72 hours) shaved off a billy in market cap...? I call bs. LULU is almost 80% institutionally owned...I think someone big wants more shares. - new CEO is coming. - hedge fund, elliot mgmt, is heavily involved + pushing for change - LULU is sponsoring team Canada at the olympics. + LULU is still in the early stage of international expansion, LULU is ~25% international while $Nike(NKE)$ is ~60%... Solid brand name too. LULU is currently $194, and when the board straightens up + hires a rockstar CEO...watch out above. For
LULU punished on noise smart money likely buying

Which stock will be the next to double?

Which stock will be the next to double?

$NFLX: Expanding Revenue Levers, Undervalued at $80.75

$Netflix(NFLX)$ is going through an identity crisis, but it's a good thing.Live events, gaming, original content, ad network, licensed content aggregator (via $Warner Bros. Discovery(WBD)$ deal), and more...Most companies could NOT pull this off.But NFLX can afford to do this because they already have the global distribution + attention.Concentration (movies/tv) to grow fast, diversification (everything above) to scale even bigger.NFLX isn't pivoting...it's adding revenue levers.Trying to find new ways to monetize the attention they've already earned.Let things settle for a week, but I'm *very confident* that NFLX is undervalued at $80.75Attention rules the world, and Netflix owns it...at scale.For SG user
$NFLX: Expanding Revenue Levers, Undervalued at $80.75

$BIDU Up 30% Pre-Chinese New Year; $200+ Potential

Chinese New Year starts on February 17th.Historically very bullish for the basket. $Baidu(BIDU)$ has been nothing short of impressive. Up almost 30% this month.BIDU is basically China's google, with AI + autonomous driving businesses on top.It's the clear leader heading into the Chinese New Year on February 17th.Earnings expected mid-February too.Big news out last week too...Just launched a fully autonomous commercial ride-hailing service in Abu Dhabi. Planning to scale to "hundreds of vehicles by 2026".Three catalysts in the next month(ish) for $BIDU. If the macro environment behaves, this can see $200+ again.BIDU is currently $157. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimit
$BIDU Up 30% Pre-Chinese New Year; $200+ Potential

10 stocks to buy and hold for the next 10 years

10 stocks to buy and hold for the next 10 years:1/ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ Iren is redefining data center infrastructure by building THE world’s most efficient platforms for powering AI compute with 100% renewable energy.As the CEO says, the industry is growing so rapidly, "They can't meet the demand". - 3GW Contracted Power- $9.7B $MSFT Contract- Next Hyperscaler deal is inevitable2/ $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ Nu Bank is a best-in-class fintech redefining smart banking for hundreds of millions of underbanked people.- 127M Customers- Path to 300M in a decade- Active in Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia- Expanding to the US- $38.8B in Deposits- $30.4B in Customer Loans- 70% Growth in ARPU in 3 years.3/
10 stocks to buy and hold for the next 10 years

The Greenland Resource Bet — IRDM, UUUU & MP

Let's assume a complete purchase of Greenland happens.(emphasis on the "assume", but Trump seems to have his mind set)Here's how you can profit:Greenland has a total population of 57,000 people...more people (67,227) were at the Indiana/Miami college football game yesterday...Just a little perspective for ya.So what's so attractive?Well to start, maybe the ~1M square miles of land.Or possibly the 1.5M metric tons of rare earth metal reserves. Reserves alone could be valued at $5T...Venezuela's oil ($15T) + Greenland's rare earths ($5T)?$20T worth of resources targeted...but why?Potentially a century-defining, high stakes move to secure dominance for a new version of the "space race".The AI & emerging technology race.And winning it requires enormous amounts of energy, rare earths, urani
The Greenland Resource Bet — IRDM, UUUU & MP

Why IREN Could Become a $100B Infrastructure Giant

By now, everyone and their grandmother knows that the world is experiencing a once-in-a-century AI-driven technological revolution. However, if we want AI to be able to do more than just create silly cat videos, it needs to be properly trained on lots of high-quality data.Furthermore, for this data to be processed, the world needs to build more data centers than it has ever built before!Researchers at McKinsey forecast that by 2030, data center capex will reach $7T and data center capacity will almost triple to 219 GW!To meet this insatiable demand for computing power, capacity will come from clever and previously overlooked places. And increasingly, a trend has emerged of bitcoin mining companies turning into AI data center businesses.For years, aspiring crypto entrepreneurs built ever la
Why IREN Could Become a $100B Infrastructure Giant

Which ticker is the most likely to 10x first?

Which ticker is the most likely to 10x first?

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