Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro

After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.

Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid

$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$   $Futu Holdings Limited(FUTU)$  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $HSTECH(HSTECH)$ $Mini HKEX USD/CNH - main 2306(MCNHmain)$   Yes I know this is a sensitive topic. But I believe I still have to make it a point to emphasise that no country will ever want to run itself the risk of having too many dollars assets and end up having its assets confiscated in an unlikely event of war or hostile situation. Further, with the immense liquidity situation due to the vast USD printing, countries need an alternative to USD. This is not meant to repl

Foreign exchange futures has come,  and they are very, very useful USD/RMB futures $Mini HKEX USD/CNH - main 2205(MCNHmain)$ If you have been involved in foreign exchange trading for a long time, you will not be unfamiliar with the currency pair between US dollar and YUAN. Due to some well-known reasons, the US dollar has risen recently, while the YUAN exchange rate has fallen. The trend of the dollar/yuan exchange rate is as follows: ​​ ​You will find that the US dollar index and the futures trend of US dollar against YUAN are the same, and they are all rising. Do you feel strange? In fact, it is not surprising that with the value of US dollars is increasing, One dollar can be exchanged for more yu