The Federal Reserve just delivered one of the most closely watched policy shifts of the year, cutting interest rates by 0.25% and signaling that more easing is on the horizon. For stock market investors, this is no small event. Beyond the headlines, the Fed also laid out its updated expectations for inflation, unemployment, economic growth, and interest rates extending into 2026 and 2027.
Stocks are rallying to new record highs following bolstered rate cut expectations
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ are all up, led by a 1.5% gain in the Information Technology sector. Highlights include:
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : +3.26%
$Intel(INTC)$ : +26.54% after a significant equity stake announcement
$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Russell 2000: Outperforming with a 1.4% gain, signaling broad market optimism for smaller-cap names.
How will the new rate cut cycle affect mega stocks，small caps, gold and comminidites, even Cyptos assets？
How is your assets performances after rate cut?
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1. @nerdbull1669 on $S&P 500(.SPX)$ influences
Key Points:
Where Could $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Be in 3 Months / 6 Months? Here are plausible scenarios:
These ranges of course depend on macro inputs: inflation trajectory, Federal Reserve follow-through, labor market strength, and global risks (e.g., supply shocks, trade, political risks).
2. @xc__ on small-cap stocks comments
Key Points:
Historically, easing cycles have driven stock market gains of 15-20% in the initial rebound, especially if GDP growth climbs to 1.6%.
The opportunities are numerous: Buy on dips in interest rate cut-friendly stocks like financials and cyclical stocks. If the $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ reclaims 2200, consider a rotation into small-cap stocks, or consider cryptocurrency crosses to boost blockchain stocks.
Here is a list of tickers worth watching with potential upside catalysts: $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ $Kopin(KOPN)$ $Vertiv Holdings LLC(VRT)$
3. @TechnicalHunter: MAG7 Usually Rallies After Rate Cuts
Key Points:
Rate Cut Comes, How will MAG 7 Performed After the Decision?
Looking back at the start of the interest rate cut cycle in 2019, the "Mag7" stocks achieved impressive gains within 3 to 12 months, and quickly recovered and increased their valuations.
MAG 7 % Change in Interest Rate Cut Cycles | ||||||
Stock | % in 2024 Interest Rate Cut Cycle | 2019 Interest Rate Cut Cycle | ||||
1 Month | 3 Months | 12 Months | 1 Month | 3 Months | 12 Months | |
-3.10% | 93.10% | 73.80% | -6.60% | 30.30% | 492.20% | |
19.40% | 11.50% | 53.90% | -0.60% | 19.20% | 152.40% | |
8.40% | 14.50% | 8.50% | -1.70% | 17.20% | 101.90% | |
1.10% | 18.00% | 22.10% | -4.90% | -4.80% | 69.50% | |
3.90% | 0.70% | 18.10% | 1.50% | 5.60% | 52.30% | |
7.50% | 11.40% | 41.20% | -4.40% | -1.30% | 30.60% | |
2.60% | 18.40% | 51.80% | -2.30% | 3.30% | 22% | |
4. @Barcode on 🥇 Gold & Commodities
Key Points:
The $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ candlestick chart shows a clean breakout to $340.09 with RSI above 75. Momentum is confirmed on the technical overlay. Commodities positioning visuals indicate a building case for a supercycle if $Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ weakness persists.
5. @nerdbull1669 talk about effect on crypto assets
Key points:
Cryptocurrencies tend to be highly sensitive to liquidity cycles and real yields, so the Fed's slower path of rate cuts will have a subtle impact.
Implication for crypto:
Bullish medium term: lower rates = reduced opportunity cost of holding BTC/ETH (non-yielding assets).
But slower pace = less explosive upside → caps speculative froth.
2. Bitcoin / Ethereum
BTC: Still likely to benefit as “digital gold” hedge in a gradual easing cycle. The halving earlier in 2025 adds structural tailwind.
ETH / alts: More sensitive to liquidity cycles → risk of underperformance if Fed cuts aren’t aggressive enough to reignite speculative flows.
3. Stablecoin & DeFi
Higher-for-longer real yields = stablecoin demand (as USD proxy) could stay strong, but DeFi borrowing/lending growth may lag until cuts are deeper.
Stocks in focus： $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ , $Strategy(MSTR)$ , $Riot Platforms(RIOT)$ , $MARA Holdings(MARA)$ and $CleanSpark, Inc.(CLSK)$.
Questions for you:
What’s your top holdings after Fed rate cut？
Do you have special strategy for following 2025 investings？
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Comments
It is a classic "buy the rumour, sell the news".
Will Gold consolidate or pull back?
Short term: Gold surged on rate cut expectations but now that the Fed has delivered a modest 25bps cut with cautious guidance, there is some profit taking.
The US dollar firmed up post announcement which puts pressure on gold prices.
I expect consolidation around the USD 3,600 to USD 3,700/oz mark.
Long Term :
Central banks are still buying Gold.
Geopolitical tensions linger. Interest rates remain low.
Analysts see potential for Gold to test USD 3,750 to USD 3,800 by year end if further cuts materialise.
I believe that Gold may wobble in the short term but the long term narrative still shines.
@TigerClub @CaptainTiger @TigerStars @Tiger_comments
Outside equities, I like gold and crypto. $GLD$’s breakout signals strength, and lower yields support precious metals. BTC remains “digital gold,” while ETH and blockchain plays could see gradual upside as liquidity builds.
My top holdings are TSLA, SOXL, plus GLD and BTC for balance. My 2025 plan is to keep dollar-cost averaging, take partial profits on rallies, and rotate into small caps or cyclicals if cuts deepen. Flexibility will be key in this setup.
@TigerClub @Tiger_comments @TigerStars