Big Tech Divorce: GOOG New High, Meta Slide! How Do Banks View Post-Earnings?

Tiger_comments
04-30 19:16
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$Alphabet(GOOG)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ rallied after-hours. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ dropped -2%, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ loses 9%. Four companies combined committed up to $725B in 2026 CapEx — more aggressive than the market expected.

📊 Scorecard: Actual vs. Estimates

1. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ blowout earnings! All beats and increases dividends.

On April 27, the board of directors approved a 5% increase in the quarterly cash dividend to $0.22 per share, which will be distributed on June 15, 2026, to all shareholders of record across all share classes.

Despite a significant expansion in capex, the company still generated $45.8 billion in operating cash flow in the first quarter, with free cash flow of approximately $10.1 billion.

2. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ divergence after hours, but AWS comforts the market

- Revenue: $181.5B (+17% YoY), beat Street +2.4% (above guidance high end); - Q2 Revenue guidance: $194-199B vs. Street $188.9B → midpoint +3% above

3. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ drops -2% due to uncertainty on Q4 Azure guidance window

- Revenue: $82.9B (+18% YoY), beat +2%; - Azure: +40% YoY (cc +39%) vs. guidance 37.5%

4. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ loses 9%, earnings in-line, capEx raised by +$10B

- Revenue: $56.38B vs. est $56.3B → +0.4%, in-line; - Family DAPs: 3.56B (+4% YoY), -2% below estimates

How do banks view post-earnings?

- Citi on $GOOG$ (Buy, PT $405): Cloud reacceleration is the headline. TPU + Gemini demand driving upside. PT based on 29x 2027E GAAP EPS of $13.92 — premium justified by Cloud trajectory.

- GS on $AMZN$ (Buy, PT $275): Across-the-board beat. Q2 guidance high end above consensus. Awaiting AWS revenue backlog disclosure in the 10-Q to fully size the AI demand pipeline.

- GS on $MSFT$ (Buy, PT $600): Azure +40% is solid, but the -2% AH reaction reflects Q4 guidance uncertainty. Watch for Fairwater facility capacity ramp commentary and Azure growth trajectory over the next 4 quarters.


- Citi on $META$ (Buy, PT $850): Ad growth + CapEx raise in the same report underscores AI monetization confidence. Next catalysts: Muse Spark, agentic commerce, Business AI Agent.


How do you view GOOG's super earnings again?

Is Meta a buy after earnings dip? Or time to exit?

Are you bullish on Amazon aws acceleration?

Are you team with $Alphabet(GOOG)$/ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ or $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$/ $Microsoft(MSFT)$?

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Big Tech Earnings: The AI Trillion-Dollar Reckoning — How Do You See It?
Big tech will report in unison this week in the market's first comprehensive, simultaneous audit of AI capex ROI — the five giants have collectively deployed over $100 billion in AI infrastructure over the past two years. Two thematic lines dominate: cloud growth rates (Azure vs. AWS vs. GCP) and ad ARPU efficiency (META vs. GOOG). AAPL's supply chain risk and Ternus succession uncertainty remain standalone downside variables, decoupled from the broader AI narrative. Five scorecards due simultaneously — whose AI investment will be the first to convert into tangible margin improvement?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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Comments

  • Lanceljx
    14:31
    Lanceljx
    My pick right now:

    🥇 Google
    Super quarter. Cloud growth accelerated, Gemini monetisation is gaining traction, and Search remains a cash machine. Rare mix of growth + profitability + AI upside. US$400 is realistic if momentum holds.

    🥈 Amazon
    AWS acceleration looks real. Anthropic tie-up + Trainium + enterprise AI demand give Amazon strong infrastructure leverage.

    🥉 Meta
    I would buy dips, not exit. Core ads remain elite, but US$145B capex shocked markets. Risk is ROI timing, not business weakness.

    4️⃣ Microsoft
    Still strong, but Azure expectations are very high.

    Team GOOG + AMZN for cleaner near-term risk/reward.

  • Cadi Poon
    08:54
    Cadi Poon
    On April 27, the board of directors approved a 5% increase in the quarterly cash dividend to $0.22 per share, which will be distributed on June 15, 2026, to all shareholders of record across all share classes.
  • Shyon
    04-30 22:19
    Shyon
    This quarter confirms to me that AI CapEx is real and accelerating. When Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms guide ~$725B in 2026 spending, I see strong upstream demand visibility — which reinforces my bullish view on $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ & $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ as key AI data beneficiaries.

    For $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , I see this as a durable, high-quality beat. Cloud growth at 63% shows real AI monetization, and strong cash flow despite higher CapEx removes margin concerns. I’m comfortable assigning a premium multiple here.

    On $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , I’m not exiting — the drop looks like sentiment-driven, not fundamental. I’d lean toward buying weakness. Meanwhile, I stay bullish on $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , as AWS acceleration and margins confirm one of the strongest AI monetization stories right now.

    @TigerClub @TigerStars @Tiger_comments

  • koolgal
    17:13
    koolgal
    🌟🌟I am amazed with $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Q1 26 earnings.  By delivering USD 109.9 billion in revenue, up 22% Google has proved that its AI investments are not just a cost - they are a high speed engine for profit.

    The most staggering number wasn't the total revenue.  It was the explosive growth of Google Cloud.  It reached a revenue milestone & surpassed USD 20 billion for the first time, growing a massive 63% year over year.

    The cloud backlog nearly doubled to USD 462 billion, providing an almost unbelievable level of guaranteed future income.

    Cloud operating income tripled to USD 6.6 billion, showing that Google finally knows how to scale this business profitably.

    Despite AI disruption fears, Search revenue grew 19% to USD 60.4 billion with queries hitting all time highs.

    Wall Street responded with a collective roar of approval.  With a market cap of USD 4.6 trillion, it is only a matter of time before it joins the USD 5 Trillion Club.

    @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG

  • 北极篂
    15:48
    北极篂
    总结一下,如果一定要站队,我更偏向GOOG + AMZN这一边——一个开始兑现,一个还在扩张;而MSFT和META,更像是高预期下的“容错率下降”。
  • 北极篂
    15:48
    北极篂
    至于Meta Platforms,这次下跌我反而觉得有点意思。广告业务没问题,CapEx上调说明它在All-in AI,但市场不买账,是因为短期看不到回报。如果你相信AI商业化(比如广告+Agent),这里反而是可以慢慢看的位置,但波动会很大。
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