To The Moon

My biggest trading weakness is letting emotions override my plan. When a stock runs, I feel the urge to chase, and during volatility, I sometimes take profits too early. I usually start the day with a clear plan, but once the market moves fast, I don’t always execute it the way I intended. To improve, I’ve focused on process over outcome—predefining entries, exits, and risk before the trade. I also size positions smaller so I can stay disciplined, and I keep a simple journal to track when and why I deviate. Most of my mistakes still come down to the same triggers: FOMO and the fear of giving back profits. What’s helped most is accepting that missing a trade is better than forcing one. I now wait for confirmation instead of chasing momentum, and I treat risk management as my real edge. It’

I see this week’s move as more of a sentiment-driven reset rather than the start of a deeper breakdown. The selloff was triggered by oil and geopolitical headlines, and the quick rebound shows dip-buying is still present. However, without a Fed “put,” the market is more fragile and reactive to news. The AAII data showing over 50% bearish is historically contrarian and can signal a near-term bottom. But I’m cautious—oil-driven inflation and a hawkish Fed are the bigger constraints, and they could keep pressure on valuations and limit upside. In that context, 6500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ may act more like resistance than strong support. Overall, I’m not aggressively buying the dip. I see this as a tradeable bounce in a volatile environment rather than

This week’s pullback in $TENCENT(00700)$ and $Alibaba(09988)$ feels more like a reset in expectations than a breakdown in fundamentals. I see the selloff driven mainly by concerns over rising AI capex, while their core businesses—Tencent’s gaming and ads, and Alibaba’s AI-driven cloud—remain strong. That said, near-term risks are real. Both companies are ramping up investments, which will pressure earnings growth, and Alibaba’s weaker profitability plus losses in its “All Others” segment are a concern. Tencent’s lower buybacks also reduce downside support, so I expect volatility to continue as the market digests overcapex fears. From a valuation standpoint, the dip is becoming more attractive. Tenc

My stock in focus today is $NamCheong(1MZ.SI)$ , as I see it well-positioned to benefit from the current strength in energy markets. With oil prices holding at elevated levels, typically above the $70–80 range, major oil companies are more likely to increase capital expenditure. Nam Cheong’s core business in building and managing offshore support vessels puts it right at the center of this trend. As drilling activity picks up, we should see higher fleet utilization and improved day rates, which could translate into stronger revenue and potentially better margins. This makes the company a leveraged play on sustained energy demand. While geopolitical tensions create uncertainty across many sectors, they often reinforce the need for energy securi

The recent drop in gold doesn’t surprise me—it’s more of a rate-driven repricing than a structural breakdown. With the Fed turning more hawkish and real yields rising, assets like $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ and $Gold Trust Ishares(IAU)$ naturally come under pressure. The speed of the move shows how crowded the “rate cuts” trade was. That said, I’m not bearish on gold structurally. Rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions are rebuilding the inflation narrative, which supports gold over time. This is a push-pull between higher real rates short term and inflation risk in the medium term, and I’m watching how gold holds the $4,700–$4,800 range. From a positioning standpoint, I’m staying selective—avoiding hi

The most interesting chart to me is the style rotation between $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ . The breakout above 2024 highs is a big deal—it’s not just noise, it confirms a real shift from growth to value as higher rates start biting into tech valuations. What this tells me is the market is repricing risk. With the Fed signaling “higher for longer,” future earnings (which tech relies on heavily) are getting discounted more aggressively, while energy names benefit from immediate cash flows and strong commodity pricing. This is why we’re seeing capital rotate rather than the whole market moving in one direction. For my positioning, I’m leaning into this trend by favoring ene

I’m betting on the Energy sector to lead today. With oil above $110, the setup is just too powerful — we’re looking at pure free cash flow expansion, stronger buybacks & improving balance sheets. Names like $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ and $Chevron(CVX)$ are no longer “old economy” plays; they’re capital return machines in a high-rate world. For my “hidden gem,” I’m watching Schlumberger $SCHLUMBERGER(0SCL.UK)$ . While the majors get the spotlight, SLB is the real picks-and-shovels play — it directly benefits from increased global drilling activity as oil companies ramp capex. As the cycle accelerates, service pricing power kicks in, & that’s where margins ca

I’m picking O&M (Offshore & Marine) as the top-performing SGX sector. With oil holding above $110, the tailwind is just too strong — capex cycles are restarting, and capital is clearly rotating into energy-linked plays while rate-sensitive sectors like REITs remain under pressure. One stock on my radar is $YZJ Shipbldg SGD(BS6.SI)$ . My thesis is simple: it’s sitting at the sweet spot of the cycle with a strong multi-year order book extending to 2028, and earnings visibility is extremely high. If oil stays elevated, offshore demand should accelerate, and that directly feeds into new orders and margin expansion. I also like the asymmetric setup here — downside is supported by its solid balance sheet and existing contracts, while upside

Today I’m focusing on United States Oil Fund (USO) as my main trade — momentum is clearly on the upside with oil above $110, but I’m cautious here since it’s entering overbought territory. I’m leaning toward a short-term tactical trade rather than chasing, watching for either a breakout continuation or a pullback entry. To hedge my individual stock exposure, I like pairing growth-heavy positions with defensive or macro ETFs like Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund and Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund. When rates stay higher for longer, these sectors tend to outperform and help offset drawdowns in tech-heavy names. Overall, I’m aligning with the current rotation — reducing exposure to long-duration assets like Invesco QQQ and increasing allocation toward value-driven sectors. If the Fed stays

I’m leaning slightly bullish on  $COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA(CBA.AU)$ — expecting it to close up, supported by “higher for longer” rates boosting net interest margins, though upside may stay limited due to domestic slowdown concerns. I’ll be watching intraday bond yield moves closely as a key driver. My ASX watchlist is $BHP GROUP LTD(BHP.AU)$ , $WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LTD(WDS.AU)$ , and $XERO LTD(XRO.AU)$ , using a barbell approach: overweight commodities for oil-driven cash flow, with a smaller position in tech for potential rebound. Overall, I’m focusing on financials + resources, favoring cash-g