Shyon
06-18
I think the market is entering a tougher phase. Earlier this year, investors focused on AI growth and rate cuts, but now inflation, interest rates, and valuations are back in focus. I don't believe the bull market is over, but future gains may be harder to achieve.

A September Fed hike is possible, though not my base case. The labor market remains strong, inflation is still above target, and higher energy prices could keep pressure on policymakers. Unless inflation rises again, I expect the Fed to remain cautious.

I remain bullish on AI long term, but valuation concerns are becoming more important. The key question is whether earnings growth can justify today's expectations. Going forward, profits and execution matter more than AI hype alone.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub

Reversal After Hawkish Fed Selloff! Resilience or a Fake Bounce?
The Nasdaq QQQ rebounded 2.51%, recouping yesterday's hawkish Fed-driven losses, as chip stocks staged a sharp counterattack — leveraged ETF SOXL spiked 19.43%. The rally was driven by stock-specific catalysts — Apple's memory price warning and Trump's Intel endorsement — not a macro shift, as hawkish Fed Governor Warsh's tightening stance remains unchanged. One day selling tech, the next day rushing into chips — is this rally genuine resilience, or another theme-driven fake bounce?
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