Shyon
06-19 17:47
I think trading has become harder because markets can no longer rely on clear Fed guidance. Warsh’s approach introduces more uncertainty, which means investors will react more aggressively to economic data and policy signals.

I’m also not convinced rate hikes are guaranteed. If oil prices continue falling and inflation cools, the market could reverse some of its current hawkish expectations. Energy prices will be one of the key indicators to watch.

As for $SpaceX(SPCX)$ , I see this pullback as a healthy correction after a huge post-IPO rally rather than a broken story. I remain bullish on AI and innovation long term, but I would stay selective and manage risk carefully in this more volatile environment. Volatility often creates the best opportunities for patient investors. For now, I am more focused on long-term execution than short-term price swings, especially in AI-related leaders.

@TigerStars @Tiger_comments @TigerClub

Fed Chair Warsh’s Debut: What Happens When Fed’s “Script” Changes?
New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh made his first FOMC appearance this week, and his hawkish tone immediately poured cold water on markets, triggering a sharp repricing across global assets. The policy rate itself did not change. The Fed kept rates unchanged at 3.5%–3.75% for the fourth consecutive meeting, with a unanimous 12-0 vote. Has trading become harder in the second half of the year? Was this just a false alarm, or the beginning of a more volatile regime? Do you think rate-hike expectations will be reversed if oil prices continue to fall?
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