In his August speech at Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell shifted focus from inflation to the labor market, hinting at last month’s 50-basis-point rate cut. However, Fed officials later clarified that they expect to move forward with smaller cuts of 25 basis points.Recently, the U.S. economy has surprised many with unexpected strength. From the impressive employment report earlier this month to last week's higher-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI), the momentum is undeniable. If the Fed is data-driven, they might conclude that the economy is stronger now than it was in early October.Last Thursday, retail sales data came in, showing a 0.4% month-over-month increase, surpassing the expected 0.3%. Even more impressive was a 0.5% rise in "core" retail sales, significan
More 50bps! Which "Rate-Cut" Assets Will You Invest In?
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari commented to the media that he agrees a 50-basis-point rate cut is appropriate, although he could also support a 25-basis-point cut. Kashkari believes that it may be necessary to cut rates by another two 25-basis points by the end of the year. With the 50bps rate cut confirmed, can TLT start a new uptrend? Additionally, the rate cut might benefit small and mid-cap growth stocks. Will you choose IWM or ARKK?
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