Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm - 22 March 2026 This week: technical check, inversion question, drawdowns, global tech, margin debt, valuations and positioning, earnings revisions, global macro pulse, stock return distributions, emerging markets... Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: Stocks are at a make-or-break point (major support level). Conditions are increasingly oversold. Sentiment and valuations have seen a partial reset. (albeit from an overvalued/excess-greed starting point) Pre-war, the global earnings/macro pulse was on a promising path. Overall, as noted, it’s a dangerous setup (clear technical deterioration from a starting point of overvaluation and excess-greed, with downside tail-risks for the global economy). But at the same time, if we’re going to get a reboun

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Trump says Iran’s military ‘decimated’. And yet, we still see Iran launching missiles and drones hitting the region. It clearly still has the ability to shut the Strait of Hormuz effectively. The US doesn’t want to strike Iran’s oil facilities due to fears of escalating oil prices further — but Israel went ahead and struck Iran’s South Pars gas field. Iran retaliated by firing at Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG facility, causing some damage. That sent oil prices above $100 and share prices down again. Then the latest development: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel acted alone on the bombing, and Trump has asked Israel not to carry out further attacks on oil facilities. This moderated oil prices — for now. The last time the S&P 500 broke below the 200DMA was during Trump’s uni

Here is the macro situation clearly. 1. Can S&P 500 safeguard 6500? 6500 is now a key technical and psychological support. If 6500 holds: Market likely enters sideways consolidation Rotation into energy, defence, commodities Tech pauses but does not crash If 6500 breaks: Next supports around 6300 → 6100 That becomes a proper correction phase So 6500 is a very important line. --- 2. Is the correction over? Probably not yet. Reasons: No rate cuts until possibly 2027 Oil above $100 → inflation risk Strong USD Geopolitical risk premium rising Tech valuations still high Most likely scenario now: > Not a crash Not a new bull run Range market / rolling correction Think time correction, not price crash. --- 3. Would tensions escalate to war? Base case: Proxy conflict, not world war. Why: Ma

$ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ(SQQQ)$ hope the dumping stops soon

Earnings Calendar (23Mar2026) I am interested in examining the forthcoming earnings reports for the following companies: Beyond Meat, Carnival, and AAR. Let us review the scheduled earnings release for Carnival. Earnings Overview and Stock Performance The earnings per share (EPS) for the stock is currently $2.0193, and it has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.45, which appears to be relatively affordable when compared to industry averages. From a technical analysis standpoint, there is a “Strong Sell” recommendation for the stock. However, according to analyst sentiment, there is a recommendation to “buy”, with a price target set at $37.35. This suggests a potential upside of 54.86% from the current price levels. Additionally, the stock price has experienced an increase of 15.19% over

Its a bit risky but this point in time its risky just keep sticking to your strategy and dont make any impulse decisions 

pocketed premium for naked call $SQQQ 20260320 80.0 CALL$ . Not sure if fortunate or not... SQQQ closed above $80 & I got assigned. However price stabilised to $78 post market. Now I'm positive on the shorted position, hopeful for everyone that SQQQ do not rise anymore next week

Buy the dip. Trump has once again claimed that the war will end soon, and if the market has learned, it is that he always speaks first without truly knowing if it will happen, anything to prop up the system. I think this will have big consequences: starting a fight that could not be wrapped up properly, and having to retreat... all while oil prices spiked and huge damage was done to production facilities for natural gas (further adding to energy price woes). The market would logically not be picking up easily and pessimism should rule.

Goldman Sachs warns of "more pain" ahead, eyeing a full 10% correction that would require another 5 percentage point drop from current levels. When that happens, I will deploy my dry powder to buy more at a discount. 😜

I believe is just half time. Need to further monitor

Whether the S&P500 can safeguard the 6500 support really depends on how the war pans out and the price of oil and gas. No one has any control of this and cannot predict if the war would escalate or de escalate. If the war escalates, fears of recession and inflation and even stagflation would rise and many might just sell and flee to safety. If the war successfully de escalates, I think a rebound will happen. I’m neutral at this point as I would prefer more price action before deciding. Although prices have slipped, it has not reached a compelling buy as it came down from relative highs. The Fed is not in a rush to rescue the market as inflation is expected to rise with the higher oil prices that influence not just energy but also other industries like the fertilisers. I would prefe

Not so optimistic. Market would probably give bigger discount when US is run by a mad king.

🌟🌟🌟It is a scary time in the markets with doom and gloom all over the news.  The S&P500 has erased all its 2026 gains following a brutal 1.5% Friday slide.  With the Nasdaq & Russell 2000 slipping into correcting territory, it is easy to feel scared. Buy the Dip or Follow the Trend? With 52% of investors now bearish, we are in "Extreme Fear" territory.  Warren Buffett's advice to be greedy when others are fearful suggests it is a good time to go bargain hunting. However with the Fed signalling a hawkish hold due to war driven inflation, the trend is currently your enemy until a policy pivot arrives. My Strategy?  I will continue to dollar cost average into $SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF(SPYM)$

S&P 500 has broken the 6580 support and is testing 6500 now with all the bad news. In the meantime, the Fear & Greed Index for the U.S. is in “Extreme Fear”. As energy prices surge, and no end in sight to the Iran conflict, the global stock markets are crumbling. Historically, extreme retail pessimism can be a contrarian "buy" signal. Buy the Dip selectivity. Be cautious. Do each trade with due diligence. Good luck to all Tiger friends. Thanks @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG @DailyTradingInsights @Daily_D

Bearish Sentiment: Jumped from 46.4% last week to 52%, hitting its highest level since May last year. Bullish Sentiment: Slipped from 31.9% to 30.4%, its lowest point since last September. Neutral Sentiment: Stands at a mere 17.6%, also at the lower end of the historical range. Current market sentiment has moved beyond "caution" and is now leaning decisively toward pessimism.

Yesterday, the market endured a violent V-shaped reversal. Oil prices $WTI Crude Oil - main 2605(CLmain)$ surged at the open, dragging $S&P 500(.SPX)$ down as much as 1%.