Market Pullback Begins? Sell or Hedge?

After reaching a high of 5341, the market began to pull back, closing at 5266 points last night. ---------------------------- Having reached the target ahead of schedule, what will happen in the market in the next 7 months? Following the new high in May, where will the market retrace to next? Will you sell stocks to take profit or hedge? Or will you hold firm?

avatarBarcode
09-04
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Verizon(VZ)$ $Visa(V)$  🤢🤮🎯👩‍🏫🎯 When the Market Goes Red, It’s Time to Put on the Green-Tinted Glasses! 🎯👩‍🏫🎯🤮🤢 Kia ora Tiger traders! Not a great start to the month, eh? 🥴 The S&P 500 heat map looks like it took a detour through a chilli factory! 🌶️ The market’s feeling hotter than a Tui in the midday sun, with NVDA and AVGO dropping like they’re auditioning for the next extreme sport, base jumping without a parachute! 🚀🪂 But fear not! This could be the perfect time to dust off those green-tinted glasses a
avatarBarcode
07-25
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  📉 Market Mayhem: SPY Breaks Its 357-Day Streak Kia ora Tiger traders, The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) saw a significant drop today, closing down more than 2% for the first time in 357 trading days, thus ending its longest winning streak since 2007. The SPY fell by $12.61 (2.28%), ending at $541.41, with a slight after-hours gain of $0.24 (0.04%). The market shed over $1 TRILLION in market cap today. Tech in Turmoil: The Magnificent 7 lost nearly $2 TRILLION in market cap over the past 10 days. Today's Performance: - S&P 500: -2.3% - Nasdaq: -3.6% - Russell 2000: -2.1% - Dow Jones: -1.3% - Bitcoin: +0.5% - Bank Index: -0.8% - VIX: +25%, front-month futures VIX: +14% - Gold: -0.3% Fun Fact: 📅 The last time SPY av

Are Stocks Approaching a Correction? Fear Back, Topping Pattern Expected?

The stock market continued to fluctuate on Tuesday and Wednesday, with the S&P 500 index gaining 0.02% compared to last Friday’s closing price. Wednesday (29 May), we saw declined 0.74%. Last Thursday, the market sold off after a higher open, despite NVDA stock rallying by over 9% following its earnings release. On last Friday, the market rebounded, and since then it has been basically moving sideways. I would see this as part of consolidation process after series of good run, but are we seeing fear back in the market? If so, then, is it a topping pattern? S&P 500 Staying Within A Consolidation We saw the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closing back below the 5,300 level, after losing 0.74%. Last week Friday’s rebound was retraced. Last week, investor
Are Stocks Approaching a Correction? Fear Back, Topping Pattern Expected?

Count Dell's pump&dump on Manegement Team!

Formerly $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ eighteen years First quarterly Miss, sparking market speculation of AI cloud demand saturation, after-hours on May 30 $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ also followed the plunge by not quite meeting investors' high expectations.$dellThe same is, both riding the wind of AI, by investors reported great enthusiasm, in just six months have considerable gains, but also therefore was racked on the "high above the cold" expectations.The difference is that Salesforce is not keeping up on the revenue end, and is properly exceeding expectations on the profit and cash flow end, whereas Dell is strong on revenue as expected, but slightly weaker on earnings than the market expects, and the ro
Count Dell's pump&dump on Manegement Team!

For those who love detail: Breakdown of April supercore PCE

The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure moved in line with expectations in April. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Friday that the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE) rose 0.3% in April from the previous month, higher than expected, following increases of 0.3% and 0.3% in March and February, respectively. The year-on-year change in the PCE price index was 2.7%. The Fed's annual inflation target is 2%. The core PCE price index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% month-on-month in April and 2.8% year-on-year.For those who love detail: Breakdown of supercore PCE.PCE Supercore: modestly eases to 3.429% from 3.482% previously. Housing & utilities, health care, other services & transportation services all modestly slowed. Financial services &
For those who love detail: Breakdown of April supercore PCE

NVIDIA's Stellar Q1 2025 Earnings: Data Center Dominance and Future Outlook

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ reported its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025 after the U.S. stock market closed on May 23rd, Beijing time (as of April 2024) Overall Performance: Revenue and Gross Margin Reach New Heights. NVIDIA achieved a revenue of 26.04B usd, an YoY increase of 262%. The company also achieved a gross margin (GAAP) of 78.4%, exceeding market expectations (76.6%). The record high gross margin was mainly driven by the strong performance of the data center business, which has lifted the overall gross margin. The net profit for this quarter was $14.9 billion, a 628% year-over-year increase, marking another historical high.Core Business Update: Data Center Business Continues to Grow. The data
NVIDIA's Stellar Q1 2025 Earnings: Data Center Dominance and Future Outlook
avatarTiger V
05-31

Investment Reflection: AI Vertical Put Option Strategy

Overview of the Strategy On May 15, 2024, I executed a vertical put spread strategy involving AI $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$  stock. This strategy entailed selling a put option at a strike price of USD 22 and simultaneously buying a put option at a strike price of USD 21, both with a maturity date of June 21, 2024. The initial trade resulted in a net credit of USD 25. This vertical put spread was chosen with the expectation that AI stock would remain above the higher strike price of USD 22, allowing the options to expire worthless and enabling me to retain the premium collected. Execution and Market Conditions The trade was well-timed as AI stock surged following its earnings announcement. On May 30, 2024, AI's stock price rose to USD 28.57, signifi
Investment Reflection: AI Vertical Put Option Strategy

Analysis of the "slight rate cut" strategy for US economy and asset allocation

Economic resilience analysisThe United States economy started the year on a strong note, but growth has slowed over time. Nonetheless, the economy's domestic momentum remains strong, thanks largely to:Household Balance Sheet: Since 2009, U.S. households have continued to deleverage, with debt burdens falling to historic lows and household net worth increasing for four consecutive quarters.Labor Market: Market adjustment may be over and wage growth is trending back up.Real Estate Market InsightsThe real estate market shows strong support:Home Price Trends: New Home Sales Pick Up Year-Over-Year, Signaling a Rebound in Home Price Growth.Demographics: Young and middle-aged population growth in the U.S. is supporting home prices, with the upward trend expected to continue through 2033.Manufactu
Analysis of the "slight rate cut" strategy for US economy and asset allocation
avatarTiger V
05-24

Coca-Cola: A Refreshing Investment Choice?

Overview of the Markets: The global markets are currently navigating a landscape characterized by a mixture of optimism and caution. While economic recovery from the pandemic continues, challenges such as inflationary pressures, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuating interest rates persist. In this environment, investors are seeking stability and growth potential, making established companies like Coca-Cola $Coca-Cola(KO)$   an attractive consideration. Market Expansion in China: Swire Coca-Cola Ltd, a major bottler of Coca-Cola, has embarked on constructing a new factory in Guangdong, South China, with an investment of 1.25 billion yuan. Spanning 128,000 sq m, this facility will feature 11 new beverage produ
Coca-Cola: A Refreshing Investment Choice?
avatarMrzorro
05-30
Stock Market Rally Puts S&P 500 on Track for Best May Performance Since 2009 This may not have been the year to "sell in May." The S&P 500 index SPX was up 4.6% for the month to date through Tuesday, on track for its best May performance since a 5.3% rise in 2009 when the stock market rallied off the worst levels of the financial crisis set on March 9 of that year. The S&P 500 averages a decline of 0.1% usually in May, according to Dow Jones Market Data, which noted that May is typically the second worst-performing month of the year. That historical performance helps explain the popular Wall Street adage, "Sell in May and go away." The period from May to November is historically the weakest for the market, though analysts and investors have argued that it oversimplifies the phe

I would suggest $TSLA investors to support today’s low (173.93)

I would suggest $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ investors to support today’s low ($173.93) cause if we do go slightly lower we would be really testing investors patience This Bulls Pennant truly needs to hold up if you want to see 183+ anytime soon but once again If you see these levels being supported by $TSLA Bulls $173.93 - 175.06 - 175.60 - 176.47 - 177.30 this is a Signal to buy calls & we can expect a bounce towards 186.88/187.06 AT LEAST Breaking below $174.93/$173.14 = Bearish & this is a signal to cut calls & buy puts Cause I would be very impressed if we don’t breakdown towards $171.84 - 167.75Image
I would suggest $TSLA investors to support today’s low (173.93)

Watching Closely for the Market $SPY to Defend the 20SMA

I'll be watching closely for the market to defend the 20SMA and the $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $520 level today. $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ DELL has Earnings tonight and I think its possible they also do a share buyback. The market needs to cross over $527 then it can head towards $530. PCE data tomorrow will determine the strength of this move. The market isn't looking very strong perhaps their is some buyer exhaustion. I'm still focused on $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ $SPDR S&P 500
Watching Closely for the Market $SPY to Defend the 20SMA
avatarTiger V
05-22

FOMC Minutes: A Catalyst for New Market Highs?

Overview: Federal Reserve policymakers have expressed caution about cutting interest rates, indicating the need for several more months of consistent inflation data before considering such a move. This stance has contributed to market expectations for potential rate cuts later in the year, which could propel markets to new highs. Equities: Optimism Amid Patience U.S. equities have shown resilience as investors interpret the Fed's cautious approach as a signal of potential rate cuts on the horizon. This sentiment has bolstered market confidence, leading to firm expectations of a reduction in borrowing costs by September, with a second cut anticipated by December. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  and Nasdaq
FOMC Minutes: A Catalyst for New Market Highs?

How Walmart Set Up To AHT?

$Walmart (WMT)$ announced its Q1 earnings report After that, the stock went straight up to new highs.Q1 key performanceRevenue of $161.51 billion was up 5.8% year-over-year, beating market expectations of $159.42 billion.Adjusted EPS came in at $0.60, beating estimates of $0.53.U.S. same-store sales increased 3.8 percent and Sam's Club same-store sales increased 4.4 percent.E-commerce sales grew 22% year-over-year, driven by third-party sellers and in-store pickup/delivery services.New businesses such as advertising and membership service Walmart+ contributed about one-third of the operating income growth.Revenues from the global advertising business grew 24%, with the U.S. up 26%.The number of third-party sellers grew by 36%, with mor
How Walmart Set Up To AHT?

Earnings Movers: PATH, AAL, NTNX Fall Short of Guidance Estimates

1. $UiPath(PATH)$ plunged more than 30% after announcing CEO Rob Enslin's resignation, effective June 1.The company's fiscal first-quarter earnings report showed:Revenue: $335 million, beat estimates of $333 million.Adjusted Earnings per Share: 13 cents, beat estimates of 12 cents by 8.33%.However, UiPath lowered its full-year revenue guidance to between $1.405 billion and $1.41 billion, down from the prior quarter's guidance of $1.55 billion to $1.56 billion, citing elongated sales cycles for larger deals and increased deal scrutiny.2. $American Airlines(AAL)$ stock fell 13.54%, marking its worst day since June 2020. It dropped sharply in midday trading after announcing the departure of Chief Commercial O
Earnings Movers: PATH, AAL, NTNX Fall Short of Guidance Estimates
avatarTiger V
05-31

Market Turbulence Amid Salesforce Slump and Inflation Concerns

Overview Global markets presented a mixed performance on Thursday. While US indices faced a downturn led by a significant drop in Salesforce shares, European markets showed resilience with modest gains, shaking off earlier pressure from rising bond yields. US Market: Salesforce Plunge and Inflation Worries - **Dow Jones:** -330.06 pts to 38,111.48 - **S&P 500:** -31.47 pts to 5,235.48 - **Nasdaq Composite:** -168.53 pts to 16,737.00 US stocks closed lower as Salesforce $Salesforce.com(CRM)$  experienced its worst trading day in nearly two decades, plunging 19.7% due to missed revenue expectations and a bleak fiscal outlook. The Dow Jones Industrial Average $DJIA(.DJI)$ 
Market Turbulence Amid Salesforce Slump and Inflation Concerns
avatarTiger V
05-29

Mixed Markets Amid Inflation Data Focus

Overview: Global stock markets exhibited mixed performance on Tuesday as investors shifted their focus to upcoming inflation data. While US markets saw varied movements, European and Asian markets closed mostly lower, reflecting caution among investors. US Markets: Dow Jones Falls, S&P 500 Steady, Nasdaq Rises US stocks showed a mixed trend on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average $DJIA(.DJI)$  fell by 216.73 points, or 0.5%, closing at 38,852.86. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$   remained relatively unchanged, adding just 1.32 points to close at 5,306.04. In contrast, the Nasdaq Composite $NASDAQ(.IXIC)
Mixed Markets Amid Inflation Data Focus
avatarTiger V
05-21

Fed Minutes Awaited: Market Sentiment Uncertain

Overview: Asian stocks saw a slight decline while the dollar maintained its strength on Tuesday as investors awaited the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's latest policy meeting. The key focus remains on understanding the potential timing and extent of interest rate adjustments this year. Gold retraced from Monday's record high, and crude oil prices dipped amid concerns over the possibility of prolonged high U.S. interest rates, fueled by the Fed's cautious stance despite recent inflation easing. Market Segment: Interest Rate Expectations: Currently, markets are pricing in approximately 41 basis points of Fed rate cuts for the year, with a quarter-point reduction fully anticipated for November. Traders have rushed to recalibrate their expectations following April's data showing
Fed Minutes Awaited: Market Sentiment Uncertain
avatarKYHBKO
06-02

S&P500 outlook for the coming week (03Jun24) - using 20+ technical indicators

Market Outlook of S&P500 - 03Jun24 Observations: The MACD indicator has completed a top crossover and we should expect the down trend to continue. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has crossed the zero line in the middle which implies an uptrend. There is more buying volume than selling. For the index to drop, the selling volume needs to be more than the buying volume. Moving Averages (MA). Both the MA50 line and the MA200 line are on an uptrend. The last candle is above both the MA 50 line and the MA 200 line. Thus, it could be read as bullish for the long term and the mid-term. With the current trend, the candle should cut the MA 50 line soon. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The 3 EMA lines are on an uptrend. The lines are converging and should do so in the coming days. I have replaced Sto
S&P500 outlook for the coming week (03Jun24) - using 20+ technical indicators
avatarTiger V
05-24

Market Stumbles Amid Interest Rate Concerns

Overview of the Market Global markets experienced significant volatility, with declines in major indices across the US and Asia, and mixed performances in Europe. Strong economic reports from the US led to fears of prolonged high interest rates, affecting investor sentiment and stock prices. US Markets: Interest Rate Woes - **Dow Jones:** -605.78 pts to 39,065.26 - **S&P 500:** -39.17 pts to 5,267.84 - **Nasdaq Composite:** -0.4% to 16,736 US stocks tumbled on Thursday, driven by strong economic data that suggested interest rates might remain high for an extended period. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 1.5%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.7%, and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.4%. European Markets: Mixed Reactions - **German DAX:** +0.1% to 18,691 - **French CAC:** +0.1% to 8,102 -
Market Stumbles Amid Interest Rate Concerns