JPM Expects Apple to Beat! Can Strong iPhone 17 Demand Offset Margin Pressure?

JPMorgan Chase expects Apple to beat market expectations in FY26 Q1, citing stronger-than-expected iPhone demand and lower operating expenses. The bank reiterated an Overweight rating and raised its price target to $315 from $305 ahead of Apple’s earnings on Thursday. Can strong iPhone 17 demand offset margin pressure from higher memory costs? If Apple beats expectations, is this enough to reverse recent underperformance?

avatarLanceljx
01-27 22:52
$Apple(AAPL)$   1. Can strong iPhone 17 demand offset margin pressure from higher memory costs? Positive factors supporting this view JPMorgan expects stronger-than-expected iPhone 17 demand to be a key driver of Q1 2026 revenue and earnings, and has raised its price target to $315 with an Overweight rating ahead of the earnings release. It also anticipates lower operating expenses than guidance, which should help margins.  Other analysts are similarly noting robust iPhone 17 sales as the primary engine of revenue growth for the quarter.  Challenges from memory cost inflation A broad set of market intelligence indicates that memory chip prices have risen sharply globally, driven by strong AI demand and supply tightness, and thi
avatarMrzorro
01-27 07:33
Apple Sees Strong Demand for Insurance in Case of Downturn $Apple(AAPL)$   is seeing strong demand for put options that can serve as insurance against a potential share slump in case the company's profit takes a huge hit from rising memory prices.  An active buyer paid a premium of almost $8 million for put options that give their holder the right to sell 800,000 Apple shares in the next 142 days. That strike price is more than $10 below the current stock price.  Shares have fallen 6.7% this month as investors await word from Apple executives on the impact of rising memory prices on the production cost for iPhones and iMacs when the company reports its fiscal first quarter results on Friday. 
1. iPhone 17 Demand vs. Margin Pressure JPMorgan's Samik Chatterjee is betting that volume and mix will win the tug-of-war against rising component costs JPMorgan via AppleInsider. The "Beat" Logic: While memory (NAND/DRAM) prices are rising, Apple’s shift toward the iPhone 17 Pro/Pro Max and the rumored high-end iPhone 17 "Air/Slim" allows for higher Average Selling Prices (ASPs). Cost Control: Apple is famously aggressive with suppliers. JPM notes that lower operating expenses (OpEx) will act as a secondary buffer, helping protect the bottom line even if gross margins face a slight "memory headwind" Nasdaq. 2. Is a Beat Enough to Reverse Underperformance? Apple has been a laggard compared to the "Magnificent 7" recently, but a Q1 beat could be the catalyst for a trend reversal for two re
avatarxc__
01-26 23:10

Apple's Brutal 8-Week Tumble: Time to Scoop Up Shares Before Earnings Fireworks? 📉🚀

$Apple(AAPL)$ Whoa, folks—Apple's stock just wrapped up its eighth straight losing week, the longest skid since May 2022! 😱 Shares have plummeted from a peak near $288 down to around $248, shedding over 13% in a brutal sell-off. With fund outflows hitting Apple harder than any other Magnificent 7 giant since last July, and AI-driven memory prices spiking 40-50%, margins are under siege. But hold up—is this the ultimate dip to buy, or a sneaky value trap? Let's dive deep into the chaos, crunch the numbers, and see if Goldman's bold call to load up before January 29 earnings is spot on. 💥 First off, the pain is real. Persistent selling pressure has hammered AAPL into the mid-$240s, fueled by worries over rising hardware costs for iPhones and beyond.
Apple's Brutal 8-Week Tumble: Time to Scoop Up Shares Before Earnings Fireworks? 📉🚀
avatarzhingle
01-26 22:58
$Apple(AAPL)$   🍎 APPLE SLIDES FOR 8 STRAIGHT WEEKS — CAPITULATION OR VALUE TRAP? Apple has now fallen eight consecutive weeks, its longest losing streak since May 2022 📉 Fund flows have quietly turned negative, making AAPL one of the least-loved names within the Mag 7 since mid-last year — a rare position for the market’s former safety blanket. The big question now: Is this finally a capitulation low… or just the market repricing Apple’s AI gap? ⸻ 🔄 Why Apple Is Lagging While Big Tech Rallies While Nvidia, Microsoft, and Meta ride the AI capex wave 🚀, Apple is stuck in an uncomfortable middle ground: 1️⃣ AI Without the Hype (Yet) • Apple’s AI strategy remains opaque • Focus is on on-device AI, privacy-first architecture • Powerful, yes
avatarhighhand
01-27 13:00
$Apple(AAPL)$  yes.. usually after big tech drop for a prolong period, it's because accumulation is happening. Big whales, institutions, funds are buying.. after they have loads up, they want the price to go up. Then it's time to raise target price and "overweight" You need to follow the trend to win. Of cos , it must also be a stock you would like to hold too.
After eight consecutive down weeks, it is difficult to definitively call a capitulation bottom for Apple's stock. While Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish "Buy" rating and a $320 price target ahead of the earnings report on January 29, 2026, other analysts remain cautious due to potential margin pressures and unproven AI execution.  Nearing a Capitulation Bottom? The stock's eight-week losing streak, the longest since May 2022, and persistent fund outflows suggest strong selling pressure and high investor caution. The current price of around $248 is a notable drop from its 52-week high of over $288 in December 2025.  Whether this marks a "capitulation bottom" is debatable: Bullish View: Goldman Sachs argues the dip is a buying opportunity, forecasting an 11% YoY revenue growth for
avatarECLC
01-26 09:45
After sliding 8 weeks, Apple may soon reach bottom attractive enough for buy-the-dip. Not Apple fan and noted it has underperformed among Mag7.
avatarWeChats
01-09
$Apple(AAPL)$   ​Apple’s 7-Day Bleed: The ‘Trap’ Every Trader Needs to See Before Earnings ​Is the "iPhone Supercycle" already over, or is this the ultimate bear trap? ​Apple ($AAPL) has just clocked its seventh consecutive session of losses, shedding over 4% in a single week. For a mega-cap defensive stock, this kind of consistent selling pressure is rare. ​The timing is suspicious. We are weeks away from the FY2026 Q1 earnings print—expected to be the first full quarter showcasing the impact of the iPhone 17 lineup and the new iPhone Air. Analysts are projecting record highs in revenue and shipment volumes, yet the price action suggests Smart Money is heading for the exit. ​Is this a classic "Buy the Dip" setup, or is the market pricin
Current Trends Affecting Apple's Stock Performance 1. Stock Price and Performance Apple's stock (AAPL) closed at $258.21 on January 15, 2026, with a daily change of -1.75 (-0.67%). The 52-week trading range for AAPL is $168.63 to $288.62. While Apple's stock has rallied impressively in recent months, jumping 58% since hitting a 52-week low in the first week of April, it has underperformed the broader market and its "Magnificent Seven" peers over the past year. Year-to-date, Apple's stock has lost nearly 5%. 2. Global Smartphone Shipments and Market Position Apple led the smartphone space in 2025, holding a 20% market share. Shipments of Apple devices saw a 10% year-over-year jump, driven by expanding presence in emerging and mid-sized markets and a stronger product mix, including robust ad
Apple (AAPL) Market Trends and Factors Analysis Smartphone Market Leadership Apple reclaimed the top spot in global smartphone shipments in 2025, marking the first time since 2011, with a 20% market share for the year and a record 25% in Q4 2025. The iPhone 17 series and continued strong demand for the iPhone 16 played a significant role in this growth, particularly in emerging and mid-sized markets. This leadership position is expected to contribute positively to Apple's first-quarter financial results for 2026. However, the global smartphone market is projected to slow in 2026 due to DRAM/NAND flash shortages and rising component costs, as chip manufacturers prioritize AI data centers. Despite this, Apple's strong supply chain and premium market positioning may allow it to remain resilie

Amazon's overbought signal appears, can it still rise?

$Amazon (AMZN) $The stock price has shown an upward trend in recent days. On 2026-01-07, it rose 3.08% intraday, and closed at 246.29 USD on 2026-01-09, up 1.96% from the previous day).Amazon's strategic actions in the field of AI have become a key driving force. For example, the company plans to invest US $10 billion in OpenAI to strengthen AI technical barriers, which is seen by the market as a signal to improve long-term competitiveness. At the same time, the Bank of America Securities report predicts that 2026 will be the "first year of independent AI", and Amazon is listed as one of the leading stocks due to its layout in cloud services (AWS) and smart commerce.Amazon is currently facing technical overbought, rising short pressure, uncertainty i
Amazon's overbought signal appears, can it still rise?
$Apple(AAPL)$ well, buy the dip or investment trap? Let me think. To buy a dip, it must be a dip. And to understand if it's a dip, I think you need to do ALOT of DD to find out. So let's go there with apple, from a personal users perspective. Buckle up tiger friends cause it's story time. So in 1988, I started my journey towards a university degree in business. One of the first papers I did was called computer systems. three quarters of the course was learning on an IBM (no compatibles then, just IBM). The last quarter was learning apples.  After I completed the course, it was like black and white. Dos, Edlin and Joe spreadsheet and the green screen absolutely sucked. Apple on the other hand, grey and white screen, an operating syst
$Apple(AAPL)$   1. What is driving the recent pullback Apple has now traded lower for seven consecutive sessions, with the stock down roughly 4–5 per cent from recent highs. This streak is the longest in many months and reflects broader sentiment turning cautious.  Key near-term drivers include: • Profit-taking and seasonal weakness after strong gains late last year and into early January.  • Investor caution over growth sustainability, especially in smartphone markets where demand is moderating in China and elsewhere.  • Concerns about margin pressure from rising component costs, notably memory prices, which could weigh on gross margins.  • Sector rotation from mega-cap growth stocks into value or cyclicals in the cu
avatarCayChan
01-09

How the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report Impacts the Stock Market

📈📉 The U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is one of the most closely watched economic indicators in global financial markets. Released on the first Friday of every month, it measures the change in the number of employed people in the U.S., excluding farm workers, private household employees, and non-profit organizations. Despite its simple definition, the NFP report often triggers significant volatility across stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies. Why NFP Matters to the Stock Market At its core, the NFP report provides a real-time snapshot of the health of the U.S. economy. Employment growth drives consumer spending, corporate earnings, and overall economic expansion. For stock investors, this data directly influences expectations around: • Corporate profits • Federal Reserve intere
How the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report Impacts the Stock Market
avatarCayChan
01-09
How the NFP Report Really Affects the Stock Market Every first Friday of the month, markets around the world pause for one key number: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). Even investors who don’t trade U.S. stocks feel its impact. Futures jump, charts spike, and suddenly everyone is asking the same question: “Is this good or bad for the market?” The answer is rarely simple. ⸻ What Is NFP — in Plain English The NFP report tells us how many jobs were added or lost in the U.S. economy over the past month. It excludes farm workers and a few other categories, but what matters is this: NFP is the clearest snapshot of how strong (or weak) the U.S. economy is right now. A strong job market means people have income, spend more, and support business growth. A weak job market suggests the opposite. But her
avatarIsleigh
01-10

Apple Down Seven Days: Buy-The-Dip or Value Trap?

$Apple(AAPL)$   Apple has fallen seven sessions in a row, down more than 4% this week. That alone is enough to make dip-buyers itchy. What makes this move uncomfortable is the contradiction: FY2026 Q1 is expected to be one of Apple's strongest quarters iPhone 17 and iPhone Air just launched Shipments and revenue are projected to hit record highs So why is the stock selling off? This is not panic. This is a repricing debate. The Sell-Off: What the Chart Is Really Saying Seven red days rarely happen in Apple without a reason. Technically, this looks less like capitulation and more like: Position trimming after a s
Apple Down Seven Days: Buy-The-Dip or Value Trap?

$AAPL Is Not $GOOGL 2025 — Expensive, AI-Dependent, and Strategically Behind

" $Apple(AAPL)$ stock in 2026 is what $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ was in 2025."Dan Ives is bullish on APPL and is supportive of its recent Gemini deal with $GOOGL.I don't see the comparison, though. At the 2025 lows, GOOGL traded for a P/E of 17, despite 10%+ Revenue growth.Today, APPL trades for a P/E of 37, despite only 8% top line growth estimates.AAPL is a zero in AI, and it seems they are throwing in the towel and will just partner with the best provider, and today that might be Gemini.This seems like a shortsighted decision to me.Yes, they are saving billions in R&D and capex today, but at the cost of possibly hundreds of billions of future revenues.I don't believe that depending on GOOGL for such a crit
$AAPL Is Not $GOOGL 2025 — Expensive, AI-Dependent, and Strategically Behind
avatarL.Lim
01-19
$Apple(AAPL)$  I am amazed by all the excuses people can make for apple and their decision to collaborate with google's gemini as their AI solution for Siri (which has been struggling to keep up). Talking how it cuts down costs and all, but it raises the issue that this aspect will not be fully done in-house. Siri looked like a competent assistant at Inception, but apple seemed to not keep working on it, a surprising approach, considering apple either goes all out or brutally amputates the limbs that do not flourish (look at the production of their own in house chips for their macbooks, it not only phases out intel as an external supplier, but boosts performance while using lesser power). Choosing to work with s
$Apple(AAPL)$  Apple: Has the stock formed a durable bottom? After six consecutive weekly declines, Apple is showing early stabilisation signals, but not yet a confirmed durable bottom. Why a short-term bottom is plausible Positioning reset: Sentiment and positioning have materially de-risked. Many fast-money sellers are already out. Fundamental floor: Services margins, buybacks, and cash flow remain intact, limiting downside compared with prior hardware-led drawdowns. Smartphone leadership regained: Shipment leadership supports revenue stability, even if unit growth remains modest. Why patience may still be required Earnings revisions have not turned: A durable bottom typically coincides with stabilising or rising forward EPS. AI monetisatio