Market Turnaround! Is the Crisis Over?

After another black monday overnight trading, us stocks closed up as trump taco. Is the crisis over? Have you bought the dip?

avatarKYHBKO
03-13 21:43

Which banks and private credit deny withdrawals (13Mar2026)

Summary of Financial Institutions Restricting Withdrawals in Private Credit As of March 13, 2026, several major players in the $1.8-2 trillion private credit industry have imposed restrictions on investor redemptions or related lending amid surging withdrawal requests, driven by concerns over liquidity mismatches, credit quality in sectors like software, and market dislocation. These measures primarily affect private credit funds rather than standard bank accounts, with no widespread bank run confirmed.  Key institutions include: BlackRock: Capped withdrawals at 5% for its $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund after requests reached 9.3% ($1.2 billion), fulfilling only $620 million. bloomberg.com Morgan Stanley: Limited redemptions to 5% for its $7.6-8 billion North Haven Private Inc
Which banks and private credit deny withdrawals (13Mar2026)
avatarGagan Rajpal
03-13 00:51
## Market Turnaround: Is the Crisis Over? The global market has been experiencing a rollercoaster ride, with investors wondering if the crisis is finally over. The S&P 500 Index has shown signs of resilience, with a current price of 6706.80, up from its 52-week low of 4812.20 ¹. ### Key Factors Influencing the Market - *Private Credit Market Concerns*: Robert Kiyosaki warns of a potential market crash in 2026, citing risks in the private credit sector, particularly involving BlackRock's private credit fund. - *Geopolitical Tensions*: The escalating war in the Middle East has investors questioning some of 2026's most popular trades and themes, with global equities slumping and the dollar jumping. - *Economic Indicators*: The US economy remains strong, with corporate profits trending pos

Hormuz Half Shut, Markets on Edge: Why This Week Is Make or Break

Last week, we were expecting the situation in the Middle East to stay within a relatively controllable range and, as a result, for financial markets to remain broadly stable. However, judging from last Friday’s and early this week’s surge in oil prices, even though there are still no clear signs that the war has formally widened, the risk of it spinning out of control is already on the table. If, at this critical juncture, Trump still cannot come up with a credible exit plan, both financial markets and geopolitics may be hit by a new tsunami. The impact of oil prices on the global financial system and on people’s daily lives via inflation is self-evident. Yet in just a little over a week, we’ve seen a 60% spike in prices, while the key Strait of Hormuz remains in a state of abnormal, semi‑
Hormuz Half Shut, Markets on Edge: Why This Week Is Make or Break
avatarJC888
03-09

Inflation kills US Market tis week, like US Jobs ?

The escalation of US-Iran conflict and subsequent spike in oil prices have been, the primary causes for US market's volatility last week. (see below) For week ending 06 Mar 2026: Dow: -2.87% (-1,403.28 to 47,501.55). Its biggest decline since early April 2025. S&P 500: -2.06% (-141.60 to 6,740.02). Its biggest weekly percentage loss since mid-October 2025. Nasdaq: -1.59% (-361.18 to 22,387.68). Objectively speaking, there were other underlying economic and technical factors that ‘aided’ to exacerbate the decline. (see below) Other Reports. Below were US economic reports for last week: (1) Jobless Claims. (a) Weekly claims. For week ending 28 Feb 2026, US weekly jobless claims came in ‘flat’ at 213,000 vs market consensus of 215,000 vs previous week claims of 213,000. (see below) Despit
Inflation kills US Market tis week, like US Jobs ?
avatarKYHBKO
03-08

(Full Article) Preview of the week (09Mar2026) - War, Earnings & Layoff

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 09Mar2026) Housing Market Data Existing home sales data for February will be released this week. The forecast stands at 3.9 million units. This figure serves as a good reference for evaluating the health and trends within the home real estate market. Inflation Reports, PCE Data and the Federal Reserve’s Perspective The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, along with the Core CPI, will be published in the coming week. The forecast for month-on-month CPI growth is 0.2% for February. If the actual CPI growth deviates from this forecast, increased volatility can be expected in the financial markets. The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for January is scheduled for this week. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge,
(Full Article) Preview of the week (09Mar2026) - War, Earnings & Layoff

Weekly: Negative Catalysts, Oil Price & VIX Spike, US Dallor & Yields Reversals

Last Week's Recap 1. The US Market - Geopolitical Shockwaves Drive Flight to Safety The geopolitical tensions between the U.S., Israel, and Iran, along with the resulting spike in oil prices, have significantly influenced market dynamics. Safe-haven assets like gold and silver also saw increases as investors sought refuge from the uncertainty. Negative catalysts: The U.S. indexes fell for the second week in a row. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ finished down 2.9% on a total return basis, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ retreated 2.0%, and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ ended 1.2% lower. Emerging market sell-off: Risk-off sentiment hammered international equities; the
Weekly: Negative Catalysts, Oil Price & VIX Spike, US Dallor & Yields Reversals

Cute puppy relax moves while S&P sell off how we navigate to keep the damage lesser SGD 688 Cash Vouchers* up for grabs

🐶📉 Options Puppy Weekly: Is a Sell-Off Coming After the S&P 500 Failed 6800? Markets love drama. And this week the stage is full: missiles in the Middle East, oil prices jumping, inflation whispers returning, and traders wondering whether the rally just ran out of fuel. The Options Puppy doesn’t panic though. 🐶 Let’s sniff through the macro bones and see what might happen next week. ⸻ 🛢️🔥 Middle East Tension: The Oil Shock Bone The biggest headline shaking markets right now is the escalating conflict involving the US, Israel, and Iran. The scale of attacks and retaliation surprised many investors, and the market’s first reaction was simple: oil spiked. Why? Because roughly 25–30% of global oil trade passes through the Strait of Hormuz. If that route is disrupted, the world suddenly wor
Cute puppy relax moves while S&P sell off how we navigate to keep the damage lesser SGD 688 Cash Vouchers* up for grabs
avatarKYHBKO
03-08

(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse - of layoffs, Dubai, war and private credit (09Mar2026)

My Investing Muse Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies U.S. layoffs are now at numbers worse than the 2008 Great Financial Crisis. - X user The Patriotic Blonde South Korean battery maker SK On lays off 958 US employees - Reuters 92,000 people just lost their jobs in one month in The US. Just a regular Tuesday in 2026. And Anthropic released a report this morning saying the jobs AI can't kill are plumbers, farmers, and electricians. Your office job is not safe. The economy is confirming what AI companies already told you. The guy who learned to fix pipes in 6 months has more job security than you. - X user Tuki Morgan Stanley laying off 2,500 employees across all divisions amid economic challenges - MacroEdge Amazon cuts jobs in robotics division - MacroEdge Kuehne+Nagel to layoff 2,000 wor
(Part 5 of 5) My investing muse - of layoffs, Dubai, war and private credit (09Mar2026)
avatarhighhand
03-12 06:31
whatever happens, average bear market is 18 months.  multi year bear market unlikely.. we only want multi year bull.
🔥📈 Iran Conflict 2026 - Understand the Pattern and Score in Crisis using Market Rotation Geopolitical events often trigger sector rotation in financial markets. The 2026 Iran war has quickly reminded investors of a classic pattern: ➡️ Capital rotates away from high-growth tech stocks ➡️ Into energy, defense, and security sectors This rotation is already visible across global markets. 🔔 Disclaimer. The article here is for education purpose. It is not an investment advice nor I am a stock advisor. Always do you due diligence and ask your financial advisor for advise. 🛢Oil prices surged after disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz, a passage responsible for about 20% of the world's oil supply.  At the same time, defense companies are seeing strong inflows as governments increase militar
avatarShyon
03-10
From my perspective, a spike in the Cboe Volatility Index $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ above the mid-20s during geopolitical tension often reflects fear-driven volatility rather than a structural bear market. Markets usually react quickly to headlines, so I focus on whether stress spreads to credit markets or if oil surges sharply. When volatility rises, I prefer option structures instead of aggressive directional bets. Richer premiums make strategies like a bear call spread on Invesco QQQ $Invesco QQ
avatarShyon
03-10
From my perspective, the recent volatility shows how fragile sentiment can be when technical levels and macro risks collide. When the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ hovers around a key level like 6,800, the options market can amplify moves quickly. In a negative gamma environment, once that level breaks, selling pressure can feed on itself, which also explains the sharp spike in the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ . That said, I don’t immediately see every sharp drop as the start of a long bear trend. Historically, early March tends to be a
avatarShyon
03-10
February reminded me how quickly market narratives can shift. Early in the month the focus was AI momentum, but geopolitical tensions quickly pushed investors toward safe-haven assets. It reinforced the importance of portfolio balance—having some exposure to assets like gold or commodities can help cushion sudden volatility. The reaction to NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ was also a good lesson. Even with strong results, the stock dropped because expectations were already very high. In fast-growing sectors like AI, sentiment and positioning often matter as much as fundamentals. For me, the priority is protecting profits and staying diversified. If geopolitical risks per
A close below 6,800 on the S&P 500 is technically significant because that level had acted as a multi-month support. When strong support breaks while the S&P 500 volatility gauge CBOE Volatility Index jumps above 30, it typically signals that the market has moved from a correction phase into a risk-off regime. However, it does not automatically mean a prolonged bear market. Historically there are three common paths: 1. Panic flush then rebound (quite common) When VIX spikes above 30–35, forced selling and hedging often peak quickly. Markets sometimes stage a sharp relief rally within 1–2 weeks. 2. Retest lower support If macro catalysts remain negative, the index may drift toward the next zones around 6,550–6,600 before stabilising. 3. Trend breakdown (less common but possible) If
avatarKYHBKO
03-08

(Part 1 of 5) Economic Review (09Mar2026)

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 09Mar2026) Housing Market Data Existing home sales data for February will be released this week. The forecast stands at 3.9 million units. This figure serves as a good reference for evaluating the health and trends within the home real estate market. Inflation Reports, PCE Data and the Federal Reserve’s Perspective The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, along with the Core CPI, will be published in the coming week. The forecast for month-on-month CPI growth is 0.2% for February. If the actual CPI growth deviates from this forecast, increased volatility can be expected in the financial markets. The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for January is scheduled for this week. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge,
(Part 1 of 5) Economic Review (09Mar2026)
avatarSPOT_ON
03-10

ADOBE SUPER UNDERVALUED WITH 41% UPSIDE TARGET PRICE $ 399

With forward p/e : 12 And a remarkable ROE > 40% Accumulate  !
ADOBE SUPER UNDERVALUED WITH 41% UPSIDE TARGET PRICE $ 399
The first green in weeks  gteaftuk 
avatarTLim
03-10
Don't believe it is really over. Trump words can't really be trusted unless all the 3 countries involved in the war officially say it's over. Cannot believe Taco man's words. https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/09/politics/trump-iran-war-contradictions
The United States is trying to use extreme pressure to stabilize the global energy artery Back to normal ,expecting
avatarKYHBKO
03-08

(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook for the week 09Mar2026

Market Outlook of S&P500 (09Mar2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is on a downtrend, implying a bearish outlook. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated below the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bearish trend in the short term, and a bullish long-term outlook. Both the 50 MA and the 200 MA lines are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bearish outlook. The 3 lines have converged, and we may see a trend change. Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) currently registers at 0.23
(Part 3 of 5) S&P500 outlook for the week 09Mar2026