SmartReversals
SmartReversals
I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.
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11-14 10:53

$PLTR & $SNAP - The rally has been parabolic

1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ was recently listed in the $.SPX(.SPX)$ : The rally has been parabolic. Is that sustainable?Technically: The chart is quite overheated, and the evening star above the weekly Bollinger band has been a consolidation signal.Fundamentally: The analysis is in the latest publication, get access in my profile's link⬆️This is technically comparable with $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ , is it the case at fundamental level as well? Image2. $Snap Inc(SNAP)$ - Why this capture my attention for a Fundamental analysis?Just look at those swings in the weekly chart: A partially managed long/short approach stud
$PLTR & $SNAP - The rally has been parabolic
avatarSmartReversals
11-14 10:50

$SPX - Retest of the 5DMA + Bearish Cross in Stochastic

$.SPX(.SPX)$ - Retest of the 5DMA + Bearish Cross in Stochastic: At this point the indecisive candle precedes a fall, which it is the most likely scenario for tomorrow.There is a contrarian indicator though, the Put/Call Ratio is too bearish. For that reason a wait and see approach is valid. $5957 is the key level that must be defended by bulls tomorrow. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ ImageSo the note about Put/Call ratio refers to the fact that the indicator is quite low, and it is usually a contrarian indicator.
$SPX - Retest of the 5DMA + Bearish Cross in Stochastic
avatarSmartReversals
11-13 08:41

$NVDA - All eyes at the 5 Daily Moving Average

1. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ - All eyes at the 5 Daily Moving Average Not a market to short, but conditions are rising caution flags. The bearish crossover in Stochastic is something to watch with caution. $AAPL and $MSFT falling are the other major giants to watch.Image2. $.SPX(.SPX)$ - The decline was supported by the 5DMA, so far nothing has happened in terms of short term uptrend.Anyway be mindful about the bearish Stochastic crossover and the usual visit to the next moving average when the 5DMA is breached. The 10DMA is the closest at $5,862.Image3. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - Bearish Crossover in Stochastic: Probable nothing, unless the usual pullback announ
$NVDA - All eyes at the 5 Daily Moving Average
avatarSmartReversals
11-12 09:43

$NVDA - All eyes at the 5 Daily Moving Average

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ - All eyes at the 5 Daily Moving AverageNot a market to short, but conditions are rising caution flags. The bearish crossover in Stochastic is something to watch with caution. $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ falling are the other major giants to watch. $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Na
$NVDA - All eyes at the 5 Daily Moving Average
avatarSmartReversals
11-12 09:37

$QQQ - Indecision candle and volume is showing exhaustion

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ - Indecision candle and volume is showing exhaustion: Bollinger, candle, and Stochastic are quite similar to the previous post for $.SPX(.SPX)$ : This is not a market to short, but it is a market to manage riskThe key levels to watch for QQQ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ are open for everyone through the link in bio with a complete paper raising awareness about the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ CPCE, Momentum and the weekly chart for SPX. It is open, just click⤴️.Image
$QQQ - Indecision candle and volume is showing exhaustion
avatarSmartReversals
11-12 09:36

$SPX - Indecision Candle - RSI Nearing 70

$.SPX(.SPX)$ - Indecision Candle - RSI Nearing 70Can the market continue moving up? sure, but be mindful of several conditions that were presented for everyone in the latest free publication (link in profile⤴️).The red circles highlight moves after reaching the higher Bollinger band, and the oscillator curling down at overbought zone suggests caution. The key level to watch for $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ is open for you: link in profile⤴️.Make sure to enlist for future free publications.Image
$SPX - Indecision Candle - RSI Nearing 70

$IWM - Significant Breach to the Higher Band

$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - Significant Breach to the Higher BandYou like💚, I deliver.In addition to the daily gap presented in a previous post for small caps, and an overbought condition relative to the Bollinger bands, the situation is more significant in the weekly timeframe. Observe previous occurrences highlighted, one more green week is the maximum continuation than this overbought condition can sustain before a healthy pullback.The sooner the better: When there has been a second weekly candle above the bands the pullback has been significant, and this beast travels from band to band, or at least from band to 20 weekly average.For the cup with handle lovers, it's time for the handle.Let me know if interested in an explanation of the cup
$IWM - Significant Breach to the Higher Band

$AMD & $QQQ- The 20 Monthly Average Keeps it Simple

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ - Weekly Belt Hold Candle: In previous cases this has been followed by bullish continuation, but here is the catch: in previous cases the candle has come as the initiation of a bounce from the 40MA zone and the oscillator has printed a bullish crossover in an oversold zone.This time the oscillator is overbought preparing a bearish crossover, and the bullish candle came in a mature bull leg, starting from the 10MA.More details based on the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ chart in the Weekly Compass (link in profile⤴️). $.SPX(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $iShares Russell
$AMD & $QQQ- The 20 Monthly Average Keeps it Simple

$SPX - Extreme Fear in Market Momentum

$.SPX(.SPX)$ - Fear in the overall Fear & Greed Index - Extreme Fear in Market MomentumMarket momentum is a component of the Fear and Greed index, it tracks the price distance from the 125 moving average, the most significant peaks have ranged from 6.4% to 11.4% gap between the S&P and this line.Current status: 8.3% gap with technical exhaustion.Why the Fear and Greed is not at extreme level? because the McClellan summation index is falling, setting a divergence.Can the index move up for another 2% gap? Maybe, but the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ looks bouncy, and if it happens without a healthy pullback, the seatbelts should be fastened.Image
$SPX - Extreme Fear in Market Momentum

$AAPL Reversal candle at the 20DMA zone, $GDX Suggests a new bounce

1. $Apple(AAPL)$ - Reversal candle at the 20DMA zone.In recent occurrences when Apple has presented indecision candles in the 20DMA zone, price has retested the lower Bollinger band.Different this time? A significant stock to consider in the middle of the euphoria. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Image 2. $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ - From Bollinger low to Bollinger high and vice-versa, using Stochastic RSI crossover and 5DMA as validation for trend changes once it is crossed.The latest bullish reversal candle had volume validation, so this pattern suggests a new bounce is in formation.Image
$AAPL Reversal candle at the 20DMA zone, $GDX Suggests a new bounce

$SMH - Retesting key resistance zone

$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ - Retesting key resistance zone$262 is a resistance that must be conquered to consider bullish continuation. It's good that the oscillator is not overbought, but the two indecisive candles with a gap below them is not a picture with conviction, in addition the the Bollinger joined the resistance force.Two gaps below, one gap above, which will be filled first? $.SPX(.SPX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Regarding the higher one, I think that a little sooner. Even if it is in 2027.Image
$SMH - Retesting key resistance zone

$TSLA - Is that sustainable?

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ - Volume validates the bullish candles, and after a +29% ride during the week price action is completely above the Bollinger band. Is that sustainable?There was another ride above the bands in July, this beast can stay above them like $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ . Anyway it's worth considering the overbought RSI and the latest 4 hours shooting star.Entering long positions here can be considered a laggard and risky move for the very short term.Image
$TSLA - Is that sustainable?

$NDX - Evening Star in Progress?

$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ - Evening Star in Progress?The indecision candle above the Bollinger band suggests that a healthy pullback is coming. An open below the low of today would add validations next week. If in doubt of a decline, check the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ chart open for everyone in the latest publication⤴️ (Link in profile).Check the VIX chart, it looks like a bullish chart that just bottomed.The gaps are very close and price is not starting a bounce, oscillators are overbought.The MACD is bullish, is it a laggard confirmation? or an indication of more rally ahead?Image
$NDX - Evening Star in Progress?

SPX & IWM: Price action shows signs of consolidation

$.SPX(.SPX)$ : Price action shows signs of consolidation considering the candle that presents an intra day retrace from the highs. Since this is the second day in a row above the higher Bollinger band, and the oscillator entered in overbought zone, the prospects of a visit to the 20DMA are higher. The gap is in the 20DMA zone.Did you miss the rally today? No worries the rally was only +0.38%Image $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - Also in the club of Bollinger rebelsAs presented before for $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ , price action is above the higher band, and Small Caps have the biggest gap of all the indexes. Will
SPX & IWM: Price action shows signs of consolidation

$DELL: Is this a good opportunity to sell?

$Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ : Price crossed the higher Bollinger band and the oscillator is overbought. It usually generates a pullback.Is this a good opportunity to sell?The latest Fundamental Analysis publication, linked in my profile, provides a deep dive into Dell, covering its business context, financials, key indicators, and potential bullish and bearish factors. Similar analyses for $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ are also included.Image $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ - Price Action Above the Bollinger BandAnd the two gaps below add risk to the picture. Risk is high for longs positions here, at least for the very short
$DELL: Is this a good opportunity to sell?

$SPX, $IWM & $GDX Daily Charts update

1. $.SPX(.SPX)$ - You can be as bullish as you want, but this candle completely above the Bollinger band suggests that buying here is extremely risky, at least for the very short term. Yes, the Stochastic is not overbought.Sometimes, the market falls the day after FOMC.Image2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - Two Indecision Candles in a RowUsually a reason to fill the gap, considering that price action is above the Bollinger range. High daily volume validates the indecision candles.Hanging man + Shooting star + Gap Up = ⚠️Image3. $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ - Bottom in, getting ready for $44.Bollinger bands and Stochastic has been a good combination to time this
$SPX, $IWM & $GDX Daily Charts update

$QQQ & $IWM - Breakout and Overbought Already?

$Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ - Breakout and Overbought Already?If I didn't use the Bollinger bands I'd say this is a strong buy, but the bands in big indexes are something to consider. A consolidation is very likely, as the first arrow indicates. A more significant top as the second arrow highlights is less likely considering more rate cuts ahead.The gap at all time highs adds references for the consolidation thesis.Image $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - As anticipated yesterday, a bullish setup indicated a bottom, the gap happened as expected, now the question is: How soon will the gap be filled? Technically speaking a hanging man validated by volume and above the Bollinger band suggests a consolidation or pullback
$QQQ & $IWM - Breakout and Overbought Already?

$SPX - Solid continuation, setting a new gap

$.SPX(.SPX)$ - Solid continuation, setting a new gapIn November 2020, there were also gaps after the elections, they're still open. The differences with the latest one:-Price were below the 20DMA, not at the higher Bollinger band-Fast oscillators were near overbought zone, not at that zoneFighting the trend is risky, and managing risk and FOMO is wise.Interestingly, $Apple(AAPL)$ didn't soar with the market, some macro elements are to be considered, they were mentioned in the latest Fundamental analyses, including $Microsoft(MSFT)$ and $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ Image
$SPX - Solid continuation, setting a new gap

$SPX, $QQQ & $IWM - Bounce from the lower Bollinger Band

$.SPX(.SPX)$ - Bounce from the lower Bollinger Band, and bullish crossover in Stochastic.This move was mentioned last Friday as a possibility, also yesterday for $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and the level to watch now is the 20DMA, which could set resistance given the weakness in breadth.Image2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ - As anticipated yesterday, the position of the candle and the shape of the Bollinger band suggested a bounce. The 20DMA set resistance today while the oscillators indicate the bullish move has just started.Image3. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ - Solid Breakout, 50DMA was the bouncer and the oscillator is turning bullish
$SPX, $QQQ & $IWM - Bounce from the lower Bollinger Band

$AMZN - Price came back to the Bollinger zone

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ - Price came back to the Bollinger zone and the move should end at the lower one. Few days ago people asked me about Bollinger Bands, Stochastic and other indicators. Access through the link in profile⬆️ to all the free publications with comprehensive descriptions. See.. outside of the bollinger bands is a very high probability of a reversal in a few days. Not saying it couldn’t continue in the same direction, but will always revert to the mean at some point.The one published today has weekly charts for $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$
$AMZN - Price came back to the Bollinger zone

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