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[TOPIC]Can Tesla guard $200 this Friday?

In the last month of 2022, it $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ takes 36 days to fall from $200 to $101. While in the first two months of 2023, Tesla takes another 30 days to rebound to $200.📒[TOPIC]Can Tesla guard $200 this Friday?📒How to participate:Click to enter to the topic and post:Can Tesla Guard $200 This Friday?You can refer to the format as follows:I think Tesla can guard $200 this Friday cause Tesla's valuation is still low and the stock performs strong under the consolidation stage.
[TOPIC]Can Tesla guard $200 this Friday?
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02-07 17:12

Short squeeze? Do you catch up 200% upside trend?

Data show that US retail investors are once again trying to battle against Wall Street hedge funds. The "short squeeze of the century" in 2021 is still fresh in the minds of US retail investors and Wall Street short sellers. Now, with the market betting on the Fed rate hike cycle to end, the hedge funds are once again in danger.Outperforming meme stocks in 2023Last week's short squeeze followed a post-Fed rally. The tech-heavy $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ surged 3.25% on Thursday - its biggest one-day jump in over two months - led by over 20% surges in orthodontic company $Align Technology(ALGN)$ Technology and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ .In addition to last week's rally, meme stocks outperforms the market so far.$Carvana Co.(CVNA)$, an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in US, has rose 190% in 2023.Retail investors' pick in 2022 - $Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY)$ rose more than 153% in the year; home furnishings e-commerce provider $Wayfair(W)$ rose more than 104% in the year; $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ has risen more than 50% in the year; car company $Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$ rose over 190% YTD.$ROUNDHILL MEME ETF(MEME)$ , tracking "meme stocks", gained cumulatively 40% in the year, far exceeding the performance of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ over the same period.comparison of meme stocks' performance and spx.Short covering of hedge funds to an all-time-highUS hedge fund short covering on Feb. 3 was the largest since November 2015, surpassing the retail frenzy of January 2021, according to the latest data from Goldman Sach. The largest short positions held by hedge funds were in industrials and information technology companies, the Goldman note said.Goldman Sachs reported that quantitative hedge funds lost about 1.3% on Feb. 2, the heaviest day in more than six months. US software stocks skyrocketed higher, driven by continued short-covering by hedge funds.And behind this is that US retail investors are frantically buying US tech stocks, especially stocks that were heavily shorted by hedge funds.JPMorgan Chase's latest measurements based on publicly available data from exchanges show thatIn late January 2023, retail equity and ETF orders accounted for 23% of total market volume, even higher than the all-time record (22%) set during the short-selling boom of 2021.The signs of retail investors "shorting" hedge funds in the US are even more evident in specific stocks, as retail investors in US stocks have gone on a buying spree in Carvana since 2023, with the cumulative increase in its share price reaching 190% over the year.The US used-car platform Carvana, for example, was heavily shorted by Wall Street institutions. According to IHS Markit data, institutions held a short position in Carvana as a percentage of shares outstanding at one point close to 60%.But Carvana's fundamentals have not changed, and it is even facing a huge debt crisis and is on the verge of bankruptcy.[Topic]How do you view the ongoing short squeeze: the rally is over or it's just a begining?Do you hold quality companies like $Apple(AAPL)$ and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ or meme stocks like $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ and $Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY)$ ?Click here to join our topic and post!
Short squeeze? Do you catch up 200% upside trend?

Except for TSLA & META, which stocks are leading the market?

In addition to the outperforming $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ at the beginning of the year, stocks of small companies are leading the market’s monthlong rally. More and more investors are coming to believe that the end of interest-rate hikes is just around the corner.Don't miss the trend1) $Carvana Co.(CVNA)$ - another meme stock is brewingCarvana, an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in US, has rose 207.78% in 2023.Carvana has been recently sought after by retail investors, as the market's bearish bets on the stock have reached an all-time high. According to the latest exchange data, the stock is shorted as a percentage of outstanding volume at 59.7%, which is twice of the 23.5% of GameStop and 22.6% of AMC.2) Small tech companies lead the market during yesterday's frenzyYou can find Movers & Shakers in“Quotes” on Tiger Trade app.$Align Technology(ALGN)$ $Affirm Holdings, Inc.(AFRM)$ $Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$ $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ $Virgin Galactic(SPCE)$These companies have a common feature - small tech company, which is generally the choice of ARK fund.Tiger Trade app3) $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ is the best gainer so farSpeaking of which, we can’t miss ARKK’s stellar performance - 45.8% - in 2023. Cathie Wood predicts innovations will soar 40% in value every year to over $200 trillion by 2030.Two of ARK’stop 10 holdings, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Shopify(SHOP)$, soared 67% and 40% respectively.“We are the new Nasdaq,” CathieWood said.Wood said that while 2022 was a “horrific” year for her fund’s returns amid the rapid rise in interest rates, investors sold their positions in growth benchmarks like the Nasdaq and moved into ARKK. The ETF saw positive inflows of about $1.3 billion last year, despite plunging 67% in its worst annual performance on record.ConclusionAnother common feature of these rising small stocks is the low valuation. Most companies suffered much in 2022 and their valuation fall to a historical low. After the rally of tech giants, small tech may follow in the uptrend.If small companies are not familiar to you, ARK’s fund might be a good choice to catch up this trend. But you should be cautious about your entry price because the rally may face a pullback recently.
Except for TSLA & META, which stocks are leading the market?

What's next after squeeze? AAPL and Non Farm data are crucial

US stocks closed higher and continued to rise after the bell because of the 25bps and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$'s beat.Fed rate hikes and Meta earnings drove the rally?1) The Fed’s rate hike Wednesday took the fed funds target rate range to 4.50% to 4.75%. The Fed has targeted a range of 5% to 5.25% as its terminal rate. Market seems satisfied with this level and rallied when Powell’s “couple more hikes” comment.2) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ soared as much as 20% after the bell Wednesday. Its lastest earnings beat market expectation and showed improvement in its business, including a lower cost forecast for fiscal 2023 and a $28.5 billion forecast for first-quarter revenue.Shorts suffered and what's next?Managing director for predictive analytics at S3 Partners, said short sellers who have suffered big losses recently are aggressively trimming their short positions. Shorts have lost $81 billion by market value in January.Note: In fact, Powell's speech remains to be hawkish. But the market is now being short squeezed. Any related news can be used as the reasons for explaining its rally. The earnings report on Thursday and Non farm payrolls on Friday are important after short squeezing yesterday.source: bloomberg and cmegroup$Alphabet(GOOG)$ will release its earnings report on February 2 after the bell. Investors should focus on its ad business.$Apple(AAPL)$ will announce its fy 2023 first-quarter results after the bell on Feb. 2. Investors should focus on iPhone's revenue.$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ will report its fourth-quarter 2022 earnings on Feb. 2 after the bell. Investors should focus on its cloud business.To learn more about earnings estimates and key points of tech giants, you can click Big Tech Earnings Coming! How to Read Their Reports?
What's next after squeeze? AAPL and Non Farm data are crucial

Jan. Sector Review: 2023 Has a 80% Chance of Positive Gains?

As of the close of January 31, most global stock markets were up. In January, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 6.60%; $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose 11.53% and $HSI(HSI)$ rose 10.42%.The stock market has an old saying: as goes January, so goes the year.Although many Wall Street strategists still expect US stocks to continue to shake and may test new lows again before the end of the year, the January rally may signal that US stocks can continue to rise over the next 11 months.1. Sector Performance REVIEW in JanuaryTypically, sectors that perform well in January will perform strongly for the next 12 months.By far the biggest gainers in U.S. stocks were non-essential consumer goods, up 13.4%, followed by communication services and technology. Underperformers were utilities, health care and consumer staples.1) Semiconductor$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $ON Semiconductor(ON)$ $Intel(INTC)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ all record positive gorwth in Jan.$Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ leads in the semiconductor sector. It is also said new hot topic of ChaGPT will benefit chips and especially $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$.semiconductor 1-month performance; from tradingview2) New energy vehicles$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rebounded 33% in a week and recovered much that lost in Dec. It's rumored that $Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ may gain new investments and surged on the news.EV 1-month performance; from tradingview3) China stocksAlthough China stocks begin to retrace recently, $HSI(HSI)$ still outperforms global stock markets. $Alibaba(BABA)$ $Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$ $HSI(HSI)$ $JD.com(JD)$ $Bilibili Inc.(BILI)$China stocks 1-month performance; from tradingview(4) Cloud service$Salesforce.com(CRM)$ $Atlassian Corporation PLC(TEAM)$ $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$cloud service 1-month performance; from tradingview2. A 80% chance that US stocks will rise in 2023?Sam Stovall, chief market strategist at CFRA, said."Since World War II, if the market rallies in January, it continues to rise for more than 85% of the remaining 11 months of the year, with an average gain of about 11.5%."Whenever the S&P 500 declines in the previous year, S&P 500 usually rallies sharply in the following year, with an average gain of 14%. And that matches the current situation: the S&P 500 plunged 19.44% in 2022.Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, also saidAfter the previous year's negative growth, strong returns are more likely when the S&P 500 rises more than 5% in January.This combination has only occurred five times in history, but the S&P 500 has risen sharply in all five instances in the year they occurred, with an average gain of 30%.3. Risk of a massive sell-off remainsWhile historical trends show a high probability that US stocks can rise this year, this is in stark contrast to the current market sentiment: the market is still worried about the risks of a possible recession, continued Fed rate hikes and deteriorating earnings.Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technical analyst at BTIG, said that although US stocks showed technical improvement in January and the S&P 500 apparently broke its downtrend, this does not mean there will not be a massive sell-off and test of the lows ahead.Over the past 25 years, the S&P 500 has fallen an average of 0.26% in February. Analysts also said that stock market will face a decline in Q1.Do you agree that Jan. positive performance will make 2023 a good year?Can Feburary repeat Jan.'s performance?
Jan. Sector Review: 2023 Has a 80% Chance of Positive Gains?

Big Tech Earnings Coming! How to Read Their Reports?

This week is crucial for the stock market as big techs will release earnings. Market and individual stocks tend to become more volatile during earnings season.How should retail investor read earnings? Professionals generally look at the key points of earnings. Let's find out the key points of their earnings!1. Has $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ bottomed out?$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ will release its earnings report after the bell on Feb. 1. Investors should focus on its ad business.Wall Street analysts expect Q4 revenue of $31.63 billion and Q4 adjusted earnings per share of $2.21.Market is starting to discuss that Meta has bottomed out, and Jefferies equity analysts led by Brent Thill believe Meta will be the best-performing large-cap company, driven by expense reductions and new drivers. (Reels and other ad businesses)Jefferies's target price on Meta is $155.2. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ - Ad business may show weaknessGoogle will release its earnings report on February 2 after the bell. Investors should focus on its ad business.According to Bloomberg, the analyst consensus expects Google to report revenue of $64.518 billion and the consensus estimate for EPS is $1.312.Most of Google's revenue comes from its Google Ads service, and the market generally expects the business to reach $61.56 billion in the fourth quarter, implying a $7 billion ringgit increase in revenue for the business.Jefferies analyst Brent Thill said Google's advertising business is expected to show some weakness, but will remain a key driver of the company's valuation.data from bloomberg3. Apple - iPhone may see first revenue decline in a decade?Apple will announce its fy 2023 first-quarter results after the bell on Feb. 2. Investors should focus on iPhone's revenue.According to Refinitiv's data, Wall Street analysts generally expect Apple's revenue last quarter to be $121.19 billion; earnings per share are expected to be $1.94,The market is concerned that iPhone revenue will decline due to weak consumption and supply chain issues.The holiday shopping season is a prime sales period for Apple. Yet in last holiday season, Apple may not have achieved sales growth for the first time since 2000.4. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ - How to expect Amazon Cloud businees from Microsoft's Azure?Amazon will report its fourth-quarter 2022 earnings on Feb. 2 after the bell. Investors should focus on its cloud business.Wall Street expects Amazon's Q4 revenue to be $145.37 billion, compared with $137.41 billion in the same period a year ago; earnings per share are expected to be $0.17, compared with $1.39 per share in the same period a year ago.Amazon's slowing profit growth is one of the main reasons for the stock's poor performance over the past year. Similar to $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , investors need to focus on Amazon's cloud business. Analysts expect Amazon's cloud computing business, AWS, to achieve nearly 30 percent revenue growth.In reference,$Microsoft(MSFT)$ has released its earnings report last week. Azure cloud computing services revenue growth rate increased by about 31%, slightly higher than market expectations, but less than the 46% in the second quarter of last year.MSFT dropped after the earnings callDo you get what to look at these companies's earnings?How do you expect big tech's earnings?
Big Tech Earnings Coming! How to Read Their Reports?

[TOPIC] Which stock do you pick for swing trading?

Hi, tigers! Do you prefer to holding a stock forever like Buffett or doing swing/day trading? Today I want to ask if you which stock do you pick for swing trading?What is swing trading?Swing trading involves taking trades that last a couple of days up to several months in order to profit from an anticipated price move.Note:Different from day trading, positions are held for longer than a single day in swing trading.The period of swing trading are divided into different cycles: short cycle (a few days, within 3 months), medium cycle (several months and years), long cycle (more than 5 years)How to find swing trading opportuinities?1. You need to identify a stock/any other underlying target that you are bullish. That means you are confident on its fundamentals under the current environment. For me, I choose $Netflix(NFLX)$ (but should be cautious during earnings season), my colleague may go for $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$.2. Swing traders primarily use technical analysis to look for trading opportunities. You can refer to indicators like Elliott Wave Theory, Moving Avearage or other indicators.3. Macro trend can present good opportunities. For example, when Powell’s speech or CPI or other data hit the broader market,(not because the company’s own problem) you can buy the stock at low and sell at the previous high.Which stock do you pick for swing trading?📒How to participate:Click to enter to the topic and post:Which stock do you pick for swing trading?You can refer to the format as follows:I pick $Netflix(NFLX)$ for swing trading last year cause its ad plan makes it perform very strong in 2022. 
[TOPIC] Which stock do you pick for swing trading?

[TOPIC] I will never do these three things in stock market!

US stocks were hit hard in 2022 and posted the worst performance in 14 years.Star stock $Apple(AAPL)$ 's market cap topped $3 trillion on the first trading day of 2022. Yet on the first trading day of 2023, Apple's market cap fell below $2 trillion to $1.99 trillion.Apple is just a representative of last year's dismal situation, as Tesla's share price fell 65% for the whole of last year.For retail investors who hold many tech stocks, 2022 yields could be worse because FAANG is down sharply in 2022. Instead, short sellers made a lot of money on $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ .Wall Street analysts' were also wrong about 2022.According to the data, a year ago, equity analysts expected the S&P 500 to reach 5,264.51 points by year-end 2022. But the truth is that on the last trading day, Dec. 30, 2022, the S&P 500 closed at 3,839.5 points. During the year, I also experienced many irrational trades. For example, I blindly followed the news and bought a declining stock, and sold it immediately after finding that it continues to fall, and bought a stock after reading an article, and so on.Each losses are precious LESSONS.Look back at what irrational trades you have made and write down three warnings to yourself.What are the three things that you will never do in 2023?📒How to participate:Click to enter to the topic and post:Three Warnings to Remind in Stock MarketYou can refer to the format as follows:I will never buy a stock in a down cycle.I will buy/sell stocks in midnight cause i’m irrational during this period.I will never buy on a bullish news cause it’s already too late for me to enter.Congratulations, you have found the HAPPYCNY cards. You can leave a message "HAPPYCNY" in the comments section of the post & win 10 Tiger Coins.In addition, the first person to find the HAPPYCNY cards and comment ""HAPPYCNY"" will receive a special gift.​​Click here to view more details​​
[TOPIC] I will never do these three things in stock market!

Can Meme-Stock King Cohen Help BABA Repeat the Feats of GME & BBBY?

On Jan. 17 the media reported that meme-stock king Ryan Cohen bought hundreds of millions of dollars of Alibaba stock in the second half of last year.Cohen led and profited from two short squeezes of meme stock. When buying the company's stock, he makes customized recommendations for the company and has a strong appeal among retail investors. Cohen Led GME & BBBY’s Short SqueezeRyan Cohen built up a stake in the video game retailer $GameStop(GME)$ between August and December 2020.His appointment as chair of the company's board in January 2021 triggered a short-squeezeof 1,500% rally within two weeks.In 2022, Cohen spent seven months building up a 12% stake in $Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY)$ .In March when the company was at a low point, Cohen wrote to BBBY's board that the company had to make major strategic changes and offered several suggestions, including divesting less important business segments.Then he netted a $68 million profit when he dumped the entire stake in two days in August 2022.Cohen advises Alibaba to follow Apple's lead - expand share buyback program Cohen bought hundreds of millions of dollars of Alibaba stock in the second half of 2022. He first spoke with Alibaba's board last August to express his desire for a long-term relationship with Alibaba, people familiar with the matter mentioned.He believesAlibaba are significantly undervalued and expects the company to be able to deliver double-digit sales growth and nearly 20%free cash flow growth over the next five years.After initial communications with Cohen, Alibaba announced last November that its board of directors approved an expansion of the company's share repurchase program by $15 billion to $40 billion.Alibaba shares are up 49% since the November announcementPeople familiar with the matter said, Cohen has communicated with Alibaba's board of directors that the share repurchase program could be expanded by another $20 billion to about $60 billion.Cohen said $Apple(AAPL)$ could be a good example for Alibaba. Since 2012, Apple has bought back hundreds of billions of dollars of stock and its share price has soared.Stock buybacks can not only support the stock price by reducing stock liquidity and improving U.S. stock profits, but also can release positive signals to investors.Do you think Alibaba can repeat the feats of GME & BBBY?Do you look forward to Alibaba's further expansion of repurchase program?What's your expectation for Cohen's move?Leave your comments on this post to win tiger coins~ 
Can Meme-Stock King Cohen Help BABA Repeat the Feats of GME & BBBY?

[TOPIC] Top 10 Luxury Brands & Performers in Stock Market

Recently, Deloitte recently released Global Powers of Luxury Goods 2022, announcing the top 100 luxury companies in the world for 2022. Top 10 Luxury Companies By Deloitte$LVMH-Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton(LVMHF)$ , $Kering SA(PPRUF)$ , and $Estee Lauder(EL)$ continue to reign in the top three. The other top 10 companies are Chanel Limited, $L'Oreal Co.(LRLCY)$, $Compagnie Financiere Richemont AG(CFRUY)$ , $Hermes International SA(HESAY)$, $Chow Tai Fook Jewellery(01929)$ , Rolex SA and $China National Gold Group Gold Jewellery Co.,Ltd(600916)$.Data from Deloitte and Tiger TradeAmong the top 10 luxury companies, Chanel and Rolex are not public companies. $Hermes International SA(HESAY)$ and $Chow Tai Fook Jewellery(01929)$ also ranked the top 10 winners in stock market. 2022 Top 10 Luxury Winners in Stock Market By Luxe.CO The luxury sector showed strong resilience, with a cumulative decline of 8.8% in 2022, while the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 19.4% over the same period.Data from Luxe.COThe best performers during the pandemic period were Italian luxury goods group $Brunello Cucinelli S P A(BCUCF)$, French luxury goods giant $Hermes International SA(HESAY)$ and $Chow Tai Fook Jewellery(01929)$. Their share prices doubled compared to the pre-pandemic period.The best performers in 2022 are: German luxury sports car brand $Porsche Automobile Holding SE(POAHY)$ , which completed its IPO in September this year; Italian luxury company $Brunello Cucinelli S P A(BCUCF)$ ; $Chow Tai Fook Jewellery(01929)$; British luxury company $Burberry Group Plc(BURBY)$; and German fashion group $Hugo Boss AG(BOSSY)$.Have you bought these brands?Which brand do you buy as a new year gift?What's your view towards the luxury sector performance?Do you invest in luxury or luxury stocks?Click to join our topic and win tiger coins~
[TOPIC] Top 10 Luxury Brands & Performers in Stock Market
Hi, tigers! I invited Tiger Academy to answer your questions! Come and check the second answer- P/E - for when to buy/sell a stock~~ Welcome to leave your thoughts and suggestions on my post and help me to learn more about your thoughts!!
@Tiger_Academy:Wanna Know| P/E Tells Us Stock Is Cheap or Expensive

[TOPIC] Missed a Rally or Caught up in a Down Trend?

Which is more unpleasant in the stock market, Missed a stock rally or Caught up in a down trend?Miss a stock rallyIt means you fail to buy a potential stock that proved to increase much. For example, I regret that I should have bought $Netflix(NFLX)$ at $200.But if you look at the long term, there are countless opportunities for the stock market to rise in the future. As long as you have capital, there is no need to worry too much about Miss a rally.Caught up in a down trendIt means you buy a stock at a down trend, and it keeps declining after you bought it. For example, I regret that I bought $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ at $180 and it plunged to $100.But when you look at the long term, if the investor keeps holding on to the stock until it rises, he or she will get his or her money back. If you can view the case of "Caught up in a down trend" as saving your money for a fixed term, you won't feel too bad as you won't lose money after it rises.My opinionI think "Caught up in a down trend" is definitely worse for me.When investor loses money (most of investors have a limited amount of money), investor's mindset and emotion will be affected when stocks keep falling. This panic may result in impulsive trading and increase losses.After experiencing a longer red portfolio performance at the bottom, as soon as there is a slight rebound, investors will choose to sell and close their positions, missing out on the next rise.Which one is worse for you: Miss a stock rally or Caught up in a down trend?Do you have the same experiences?Join our topic to win tiger coins~How to participate:You can refer to the format:I think "Caught up in a down trend" is worse for me because I bought xx at xx. I lost $x and felt so xx when I kept looking at the red numbers.
[TOPIC] Missed a Rally or Caught up in a Down Trend?

What's the Next For BBBY? Is Meme Mania Back?

$Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY)$ rose another 69%, to $3.49 a share, in Wednesday trading, which brings this week’s gains to 166%.However, the weird thing is that the surge comes after the company's bankruptcy announcement. $Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY)$ 's management said in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing last week that it was considering filing for bankruptcy.On Tuesday,Bed Bath reported it lost $393 million during the fiscal third quarter, a 42% increase from year-ago losses.1. Meme Short Squeeze Back? 50% BBBY shares being shortedAlong with $Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY)$, other meme stocks $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ $GameStop(GME)$ dominated the green sea in the US stocks market.chart from CNBCWhat is a short squeeze?A short squeeze happens when a stock jumps sharply higher, it forces short sellers to buy back shares in order to limit their losses. The short covering tends to fuel the stock’s rally further.According to S3 Partners,About 48% of Bed Bath & Beyond’s float shares are sold short, compared with an average of 5% short interest in a typical US stock.According to FactSet,For GameStop, the short interest stands at 21%, down from more than 100% at the height of the meme stock mania in 2021. $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ has also 21% of shares sold short.Analysts from s3partners said:BBBY short interest is $82.7 million, with 39.93 million shares shorted.We are seeing 99% of the stock loan pool already taken down and less than half a million shares left to borrow, at rates over 40% fee.2. What's the Next For BBBY After the Surge and the Bankrupcty Filing?If the threat of bankruptcy becomes more of a certainty, short sellers may wait for a $0.00 stock price.If bankruptcy is not in BBBY’s future, its rallying stock price will force a massive short squeeze and push the shares go higher.What's your opinion towards BBBY's 166% weekly gains?Do you think meme stock rally means the market risk appetite is improving?Will jump on the wagon of meme short squeeze?Join our topic to win tiger coins~
What's the Next For BBBY? Is Meme Mania Back?

Focus on Thursday CPI and Fed Speech: Why At Least 2% Increase of SPX.?

On Thursday, US will release its CPI data for December. The market consensus expectation is a year-over-year growth rate of 6.5%, a 5.7% year-over-year increase in core CPI.The market is more concerned about the core CPI.1. How do JPMorgan and Tiger's Analysts predict CPI and market moves?JPMorgan believes thatThe US December inflation is likely to be lower than the consensus estimate of 6.5%, thus will contribute to a rally.If the CPI falls to the range of 6.4%-6.6%, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is expected to rise 1.5% to 2%.If the CPI is below 6.4%, (JPMorgan believes there is a 20% chance), $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is expected to rise 3% to 3.5%If the CPI is above 6.6%, risk assets will be hit and bond yields will rise.Tiger's Analyst - Dr.Lan- believes thatThe CPI for December is estimated to be 6.0%, below the current average of 6.5% expected by Wall Street analysts.Dr. Lan infers the segments of CPI to be: Energy is expected to continue to decline, with year-over-year growth of about 3% (November's year-over-year growth was 13%)Food is expected to grow 10% year-over-year, similar to November's food growth of 10.6% year-over-yearGoods are expected to grow 2% year-over-year, down from 3.7% in NovemberServices are expected to grow 7% year-over-year, slightly higher than November's 6.8%. (mainly from rent increases)2. How do the market expect rate hikes in Feburary?The consensus is 25 bps in Feburary.3. Updates on Fed offcials' speech this weekPowell - no surpriseThe tone of Powell's speech in Switzerland was that the Fed would not be influenced by politics, and the implication was that the Fed would continue with its current policy -- fighting against inflation. Mary Daly, President of the San Francisco Fed - turn hawish but didn't affect marketFed should mention interest rates above 5%, and the final level of interest rates is not yet determined.After reaching the highest level of interest rates, it is reasonable to keep it for at least 11 months or more, which is longer than the current estimates. Market expects Fed should suspend interest rate hikes at the March meeting.What's your expectation for December CPI?Will CPI boost a rally on Thursday?Will market close up/down after the release of CPI?Join our topic to win at least 50 tiger coins~
Focus on Thursday CPI and Fed Speech: Why At Least 2% Increase of SPX.?

Do You Profit From Good Company or Good Price?

Value investing gurus Warren Buffett and Howard Marx are both concerned with buying at bargain prices.But if you look at The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense, you will find that Howard Marx is more concerned with price than Warren Buffett; Buffett places more emphasis on finding good companies.Most of Buffett's articles are about "how to find good companies". But in The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense by Howard Marks, most articles are about risk analysis, relationship between value and price, cycle and reverse investment.Buying at a price below value is, in my opinion, the true meaning of investing - the most reliable way to make money.                   ---- Howard MarksIt's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.                                                  ---- Warren BuffettIn contrast, Warren Buffett is more concerned with good companies and Howard Marx is more concerned with "good prices".The differences of "good companies and good prices" in investing1) Different mentality when you want to sellGood companies:because good companies are rare, you can not easily sell stocks. You have to lengthen the holding period, and increase the tolerance level of valuation when you want to sell.Good pricesdue to the high volatility of the stock market, the chances of "good prices" are much higher. You will need sufficient capital to seize opportunities, and make contrarian Investing. This means your holding period is short. You must reduce your tolerance level of valuations when you want to sell.2) Different reaction during down cycleGood prices are often brought by cycle. But the cycle often has less to do with the operating conditions of the company.When you hold a fundamentally good company, but it is experiencing a down cycle, will you keep holding this company?Obviously, Warren Buffett's answer is "yes", but Howard is not so sure.Warren Buffett holds stocks for decades, and often cross cycles.  Many of Buffett's positions are in weakly cyclical consumer stocks. So, most of his returns come from "good companies" and probably won't sell during a down cycle.Howard Marx decribe his funds goal asTo perform in line with the market when the market is doing well and to outperform when the market is doing poorly.To avoid a sudden plunge, fund needs to constantly change the species that will likely perform better in a bear market - as Howard Marx did last year with oil stocks and utilities.Join our topic to win tiger coins!
Do You Profit From Good Company or Good Price?

Wanna Know| My Answer For When to Sell

Hi, tigers. I receive all your questions and find that most of tigers want to learn about how to decide when to buy and sell stocks.@Ah Meng @rinl @aiyoh79 @maricel @LMSunshine and many other tigers asked when to buy and when to sell.I wanna know when I should cut loss. There has been many schools of thought.Let's learn together how to use this indicator on Tiger Trade app.Some retail investors prefer to cut losses by setting a fixed percentage, such as a 5% or 7% decline. But fixed percentage does not take into account that different stocks have different volatility. Some stocks with low volatility may indeed need a stop loss when it is down 5%; but for stocks with high volatility, there may often be a 5% drop in a day. Therefore, we should consider the different volatility of individual stocks.The ATR indicator can take the volatility of individual stocks into account.ATR Helps You Decide When to SellATR (Average True Range), as the name suggests, is the calculation of the true volatility range of each stock on a daily basis.The equation for calculating ATR is complicated, but we don't need to do the math because almost all trading platforms provide ATR indicator. All you need to do is click on this button and choose ATR on Tiger Trade app.​On your desktop appThe orange line in the chart is the stock's daily ATR. For example,$Pfizer(PFE)$ current ATR is 1.16. It means that for the last 20 days, Pfizer's stock price fluctuated within the range of 1.16$.Two Formulas of ATR Tell You When to Sell1. The stock price you bought it - 2 x ATR= your stop-loss pointTake Pfizer for example, today's ATR is 1.16. Suppose we buy Pfizer at the current price of $49.66, the stop-loss price is: 49.66 - 2* 1.16 = 47.34. When the stock price falls to/below 47.34, we should cut losses.2. The price of recent high - 2 x ATR= your take-profit pointAgain using Pfizer as an example, let's say you buy Pfizer at the current price of $49.66. Pfizer's recent high was $54.93; and ATR for that day was $1.07. If Pfizer fell from the high to 54.93 - 2.14=52.79, you should take profit and close the position.Note: I use 2x in this formula but you can set this parameter between 1-3 times.Risk WarningThere is no statistical advantage to using ATR for stop-loss or trailing take profit. However, it takes into account the volatility of individual stocks relative to fixed percentage. We should be aware that the stock market and the world situation are very volatile right now. With the possibility of a Black Swan event happening at any time, and we should not rely too much on the numbers.However, it can give us a practical and actionable trading discipline.📒How to participate:Join our topic and introduce your familiar technical indicators:Introduce one simple indicator to help us know when to buy and sell.You can follow the format of this article and try to explain:1. what is this indicator?2. how to use this indicator?3. what is the risk and advantage of this indicator?🎁Reward:1. One post with the highest quality will get a $10 stock voucher.2. Three posts with the top 3 likes will get $5 stock voucher.3. Every valid posts above 50 characters will get at least 50 tiger coins.Click to join our topic!
Wanna Know| My Answer For When to Sell

What To Do When My Portfolio Crashes? Five Tigers Gave Precious Advice

Most investors were plagued by crashing star stocks - Tesla and Apple .$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ shares made fresh lows to start the year, falling over 12% today.$Apple(AAPL)$'s market value dropped below $2 trillion for the first time since March 2021.I believe most tigers are confused about what should I do to deal with the crashing stocks. When will Tesla and Apple stop the plunge?Nobody can time it. But our fellow tigers give us precious suggestions.1. @BenjiFuji said: Keep calm, keep sane, stay logicalThe last thing you want to do is irrationally sell everything that you have worked hard for andchange it all into cash.I am avoiding companies that are clearly out of my circle of competency. If I do invest in higher risk companies with poorer fundamentals, I must be willing to take the hit.Enjoy the ride and learnFinally, I will learn to enjoy this exciting experience and learn more, not just from others, butalso about myself. Who I really am.Tough times don't last, tough people do.You can click What to do in a sea of red to learn more.2. @JC888 offered plan B and 4 steps:1. Do not panic. Is this important ?It is because :(a) it could have been the widely practised manipulation by the bigger boys attempting to inject just the right amount of fear;2. Don't take too long a time to react. Is this contradicting above #1. Not necessary....... To learn more about his suggestions, you can click Timely question to be pondered over by every investor no?3. @ngph also emphasized no panic sellingIf the company fundamentals have not deteriorated, but its stock price is depressed by poor market sentiments, I'll take the opportunity to load up on the shares.Remember that price is what you pay, but value is what you get.To learn more you can click In a market crash, I'll try to remain calm and not to succumb to panic selling.4. @Bonta: Wearing gloves to catch falling knivesStocks:1. Every 1-2 days that market trend down, I will Buy more to add to my stock portfolio 2. Add small quantity per transaction, so that there is sufficient firepower to keep on adding Options:3. alternate between Selling put options instead of buying stocks, so that portfolio margin can be utilised instead of using cash to buy stocks. 4. Selling OTM put options so that there is buffer of safety 5. Rolling ITM put options In the event that stock plunge below option strike price. Buy time for the stock to recover or reduce the losses. 6. Selling call options to reduce the impact of market falls. Bear markets are the best time for us to buystocks at great discount. You can click Wearing gloves to catch falling knives to learn more about it.5. @yuannn gave us three tips:In the day when the market fell sharply, some people hurriedly escaped, and some people took the lead in taking the opportunity to buy goods.The crisis and opportunity of investment are actually a fine line.1) Wait and see: Be very calm and decide the next step after seeing the situation clearly.2) Retreat first: When stock market has plummeted, clear positions first.3) Take advantage of the falling market to grab bargains.You can click What to do when the market is up and down to learn more.Thank you for your excellent suggestions to all of us. The above 5 tigers will get 200 tiger coins. Welcome more tigers to join our topic: What would you do in a market crash?
What To Do When My Portfolio Crashes? Five Tigers Gave Precious Advice
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2022-12-30

[TOPIC] The Worst Dec. For IXIC? Post Your Last Trade in 2022!

The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ was up 2.6% as of Thursday's close, recovering from the sell-off for the month. As of Wednesday's close, the index was heading into its worst December since the index was created in 1971. The Worst December Ever?It is a brutal year for US tech stocks. If $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ falls 1.2% on Friday, the index will have its worst December in its history.Back from the brink of collapse - Nasdaq resumes gains after worst December ever on WednesdayBut there is still a glimmer of hope that it can avoid the worst December on record.Nasdaq Rebound on Thursday Because of Jobless Claim DataOn Thursday, the number of jobless claims in the US was released, which rose slightly last week. It was in line with market expectations. This result somewhat eased market concerns that the US job market was too hot. If the job market continues to be hot, this trend will support the Fed to take a more aggressive monetary policy to suppress the hot job market.The rebound is a relatively optimistic development for investors who are long on technology stocks. That hasn't brought much relief, however, as the index has fallen 8.6% so far this month and remains on track for its worst December since the 2018 plunge.What's your last trade in 2022?📒How to participate:Join our topic and post:You can post your last trade in 2022: long/short a stock; options; futures on Tiger Trade app.Don't forget to explain the reason behind your trade.🎁Reward:Every post above 50 characters will get at least 50 tiger coins.
[TOPIC] The Worst Dec. For IXIC? Post Your Last Trade in 2022!
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2022-12-28

Should I Bottom Apple and Tesla Like Buffett and Wood?

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ closed at $109 and are now down 44% in December. $Apple(AAPL)$ hit a new 52-week low. Most investors suffered recently because of the two star stocks. Keypoints:Weak demand drags Apple and TeslaShorts bet Tesla will fall below $100The good news is that Buffett and ARK bottom Apple and Tesla at the historical lowsWeak demand drags Apple and Tesla(1) AppleRecent weakness has come as production halts in a major iPhone plant in China contribute to a supply shortfall of Apple’s flagship product.The latest smartphone shipment data out of China“confirm industry headwinds.”On Tuesday, JPMorgan wrote thatiPhone supply is improving and inching slowly towards parity with demand, although it added that Apple is typically much further along in reaching parity between iPhone demand and supply at this time in the year.(2) TeslaReuters reported on Tuesday,Tesla plans to run a reduced production schedule at its Shanghai plant in January, extending the reduced output it began this month into next year, according to an internal schedule.US recession in 2023 could have great impact on cars' demand.Musk said on an Twitter Spaces call Thursdayhe foresees the economy will be in a “serious recession” in 2023. Homes and cars will get “disproportionately impacted” by economic conditions.Shorts bet on Tesla falling below $100 this week3.588 million Tesla options traded on Tuesday, with puts accounting for 52.6% of the volume. Notably, there are 123,500 contracts with striking price of $100 expiring this week.Data source: Market ChameleonDo you plan to bottom Apple and Tesla at the historical lows?(1) Buffett bottomed $Apple(AAPL)$ at an average price of $136.72 in June.Back in June, Apple hit $129.Accroding to Berkshire’s filings, Buffett bought 3.9 mln shares.Based on data of 13F, we exrapolate Buffett’s cost price of Apple was $136.72. Apple closed at $130 yesterday.Data from Berkshire 13F(2) $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$'s valuation dropped to a historical lowTesla's Forward P/E dropped below 30.data from yahoo financeCathy Wood's fund bought shares of Tesla for a consecutive week. Last Tuesday, $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ bought more than 19,000 shares of Tesla stock, worth more than $2.6 million.Will you buy the dip of Apple or Tesla?Or will you short Tesla with $Tesla Motors Bear ETF-AXS(TSLQ)$?Can Tesla guard $100 in 2022?Join our topic to win at least 50 tiger coins~
Should I Bottom Apple and Tesla Like Buffett and Wood?
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2022-12-27

What bothers you the most in the stock market?

The stock market is complicated and hard to predict. For the average investor, we can't learn everything about the market. But there must be one thing or one concept that confuses you many times. Do you wanna figure out this question together with Tiger?📒How to participate:Comment on this post:You can leave a financial concept/ a technical indicator/ a hot issue/ a company/a question, or anything you wanna know in the comment section.The format is: I wanna know ...Next week, we will explain the most mentioned question in detail.🎁Reward:Every valid comment on this post will get 20 tiger coins.
What bothers you the most in the stock market?

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