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07-26 18:07

"August Curse" Hit Early in July? Possible Rebound in August?

In the past 35 years, August has been the second-worst performing month for $S&P 500(.SPX)$, $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ and $DJIA(.DJI)$. History also shows that if the U.S. stock market performs well in the first half of the year, the likelihood of the "August Curse" increases.Has the August Curse arrived too early this year? As of July 25th, the S&P 500 index has fallen by 1.12%, and the Nasdaq index has dropped by 3.11%. Looking back at the average monthly returns of the SPX from 1950 to 2023, July has been the best-performing month over the past 20 years, followed by November and April. In the past 10 years, July's performance has been second only to November.
"August Curse" Hit Early in July? Possible Rebound in August?
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07-25 22:20

Nasdaq -3.64%: DCA or Invest Heavily During the Drop?

$NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ plunged 3.64% yesterday and continued to decline after today's opening. Do you think dollar-cost averaging into index ETFs $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ or buying during the dip is better? As earnings reports are released, investors are beginning to question whether the high valuations for star companies are justified, sparking concerns about the health of global tech companies. Current data shows that the P/E ratio of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ constituents is 21.4 times, compared to the historical average of 15.9 times.DCA or invest heavily during the pullback?How do you view?Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~
Nasdaq -3.64%: DCA or Invest Heavily During the Drop?
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07-24 22:20

How to Gain the Courage to Invest in a Downtrend?

In previous articles, we discussed good ways to endure a downturn. Tiger @BenjiFuji mentioned that he/she wouldn't endure but celebrate, as it's finally a buying opportunity. However, as an ordinary investor, I worry about buying at the beginning of a downtrend.So how do you gain the courage to bottom fish?Is it the power of belief we discussed yesterday? We need to believe not only in ourselves but also in the stock or CEO turning things around. Some say, if you believe $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ will ultimately solve FSD (Full Self-Driving), then any time is not a selling opportunity.If you find it hard to believe in people, would you trust technical indicators?Nowadays, many use AI for trading an
How to Gain the Courage to Invest in a Downtrend?

Is it Important to Believe You Will Succeed in Investing?

Do you believe that investing can help you become a millionaire? Previously, we discussed that 70% of cryptocurrency investors believe they will become billionaires. Many might think these investors are daydreaming. However, in the recent market adjustments, only Bitcoin appears to be a relatively secure investment opportunity. The Ether ETF will begin trading tonight. As cryptocurrency prices have risen to their highest levels in over a month, Bitcoin ETF investment products saw an inflow of $1.27 billion, marking the fourth consecutive week of inflows for such ETFs. If you, as a Bitcoin investor, have been steadfastly investing for the past ten years, you might indeed become a billionaire. The Law of Attraction suggests that if you firmly believe something will happen, it is more likely
Is it Important to Believe You Will Succeed in Investing?

Who Would You Nominate to Run for US President?

Biden announced his withdrawal from the race and endorsed Harris as the new Democratic presidential candidate. Harris has a unique background. If elected, she would be the first female, Black, and South Asian Vice President in U.S. history. The U.S. election situation has become even more unpredictable. Netizens have also started discussions recommending their preferred candidates for the US presidency. $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ 1. My Ragdoll cat is suitable to run for US President.My cat is an American cat, so it meets the eligibility requirements.My cat was raised by an Asian family, so it has a diverse background.My cat is both black and white, meeting the criteria of political correctness in America.My cat is very young and can clearly and loudly
Who Would You Nominate to Run for US President?

Good ways to endure a market downturn?

This week, the market has been volatile and has started to pull back. Interest rate cuts, elections, and earnings reports have changed the market direction. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ have dropped %1.97 and 3.65%, respectively. The semiconductor sector, which benefited the most from the previous rally, has suffered significant losses in this week's trading. What do you think is the best way to endure a market downturn?Check the community to see how much other tigers have lost. If you see that others have also lost a lot, or even more than you, it might provide some psychological comfort.Turn off the display of gains and losses in your holdings to avoid the stress of seeing them.Tiger
Good ways to endure a market downturn?

Q2 Repeats the April Play? How to Trade?

Earnings season has just begun, and big companies exceed expectations but still decline in stock price. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has hit new highs multiple times this year and exceeded the target price of 5600 points set by major banks before the correction began. This scenario seems familiar, doesn’t it? In April this year, the market hit new highs, and when earnings season began, companies reported strong earnings but then plunged. It appears that in an environment of repeated new highs, analysts’ expectations keep getting higher.If Q2 repeats April’s trend, how would you trade?Consider Inverse ETFsRecently, stocks with high gains are all inverse short ETFs. However, note that leveraged ETFs are not suitable for long-term holding. If you have relate
Q2 Repeats the April Play? How to Trade?

The Pullback is Finally Here! Did You Shop on Sale?

Yesterday, led by the semiconductor sector, $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ had its worst day since 2022. $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ plummeted by 21%, while $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ surged by 21%. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ shares fall 6.6%, market value evaporates $205.9 billion overnight.Chip stocks were hit by actions from both the Biden and Trump administrations. The Biden administration had previously informed allies that it would consider imposing strict restrictions on certain chip companies.Following the S&P 500's record-breaking 38 highs this year, the US stock market is now e
The Pullback is Finally Here! Did You Shop on Sale?

Gold up 20% YTD! Will You Invest Futures/ETFs or Gold Bars?

Starting in March of this year, $Gold - main 2408(GCmain)$ began to skyrocket. It quickly broke through $2200, $2300, and $2400 in 2024. Following a period of consolidation between $2300 and $2400 from mid-April to June, gold prices surged again in July.Today, $Gold - main 2408(GCmain)$ reached a new high of $2487 per ounce. Gold have increased by about 20% so far this year.After the skyrocketing rally, big banks give higher target price for this precious metal.Bank of America predicts that within the next 12-18 months, gold prices could rebound to $3000.A Citigroup report suggests that in the second half of 2024, spot gold trading could reach a record $2400-$2600 per ounce, with a mid-2025 target
Gold up 20% YTD! Will You Invest Futures/ETFs or Gold Bars?

Rising from Adversity: Will You Follow Vance's Stock Picks?

If Trump is elected, Vance will become one of the youngest vice presidents in US history.Young writer, venture capitalist and politician: Vance is the perfect choice!Vance has an impressive resume.The 39-year-old Vance is known for his bestselling memoir, Hillbilly Elegy, which details his upbringing in a poor family. Vance is the true MAGA spirit leader!Read more>>J.D. Vance, From VC to VP🌟, Why Donald Trump Chose Him? 🤔Hillbilly Elegy: A Memoir of a Family and Culture in CrisisVance previously worked at Mithril Capital, founded by Peter Thiel (founder of $PayPal(PYPL)$ and $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$). His experience in
Rising from Adversity: Will You Follow Vance's Stock Picks?

Will You Join "Trump Trade" Tonight?

No matter what the truth of this assassination attempt is, both the election and the stock market will not disappoint Trump.Trump's probability of winning the November election has now reached nearly 70%.Will you buy related concept stocks?1. $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ soars 70% in the premarket trading.If you don’t want to chase $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$ at a high level, you can consider shorting volatility at high levels, selling straddles, selling strangles, or using iron condors.2. Over the weekend, Trump-related cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin surged rapidly. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ surged 6% in the premarket trading. Earlier, it was conf
Will You Join "Trump Trade" Tonight?

Mag 7 Hit Hard: Plan Dip Buying Amid Corrections?

Yesterday, $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell by 1.95%; and $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped by 0.88%; $DJIA(.DJI)$ rose by 0.08%. The market finally experienced the anticipated/worrisome pullback. Magnificent 7 hit hard. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ announced that the release of their Robotaxi will be delayed, plunging 8.44%.Jim Covello, Head of Equity Research at Goldman Sachs, pointed out that the current AI bubble might be more severe than the internet bubble. $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$’s decline led to a drop in the semiconductor sector, with $Direxion Daily Semicond
Mag 7 Hit Hard: Plan Dip Buying Amid Corrections?

Are You Living the Fear of Unstoppable Rise in US Stocks?

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose by 1%, surpassing 5,600 for the first time, exceeding major banks' target prices.This year, US stock market only saw a 4% correction in April, while all other months have been up. Despite constant market warnings that the gains are dangerous and driven by a few star stocks, Nvidia's pullback has spread gains to other big tech companies and small-cap stocks. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$The biggest problem now is that there are too many rising companies, making it unclear which is the better investment.$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rose 27% last week, erasing all its losses for the year. Many investors who bought below $200 have taken profits and
Are You Living the Fear of Unstoppable Rise in US Stocks?

Tesla 10 Consecutive Gains! Do You Believe in Self Driving?

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ closed up 3.71%, marking its tenth consecutive trading day of gains. Besides the Q2 delivery numbers exceeding expectations, recent factors driving Tesla's continued rise include the upcoming earnings report and the launch of robotaxis in August.Tesla skyrocketed after Q2 delivery because it managed to reduce its rising inventory. The decline in inventory also leads the market to be bullish on earnings report on July 23.Another very exciting piece of news is about autonomous driving. On April 28, Tesla CEO Elon Musk made an unexpected visit to China and received a green light regarding automotive data security. This means Tesla's FSD will be able to launch in China.Recently, $Baidu(BIDU)$
Tesla 10 Consecutive Gains! Do You Believe in Self Driving?

Is it better to know more or less in stock investing?

In our previous discussion of Did You Have Beginner's Luck in Trading?, most tigers mentioned that they did have beginners’ luck. But the knowledge is indeed more important than luck after the beginner protection period.When you start trading stocks, you inevitably hear about famous companies and classic buying strategies, and you tend to be more conservative. However, after years of trading, as you receive more information and learn more strategies, you might actually end up losing money. When you have more options, it also means there are more opportunities to lose money. $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ Is it better to know more or less when it comes to investing in stocks?Leave your c
Is it better to know more or less in stock investing?

Did You Have Beginner's Luck in Trading?

Beginner's luck is often seen in various chance-based activities. Some attribute this to beginners being more cautious due to their lack of information, while others believe luck is only about chance and probability.Did you experience beginner's luck when you started trading? Some believe beginner's luck is genuine because it’s based on guidance. New traders often buy stocks based on advice, hold them, see profits, and sell.What role do you think luck plays in trading?Some believe luck plays a significant role in trading, particularly for beginners. Stock trading is like a game of probability, similar to a casino. The more attempts you make, the higher the probability of losing money.Did you have beginner's luck when you started trading?Leave your comments and also post to win tiger coins~
Did You Have Beginner's Luck in Trading?

Can you outperform the market in a bull market?

If you can't beat the market this year, would you choose to invest in $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ and $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has risen 16% YTD and achieved a 24% gain in 2023.In 2006, Warren Buffett bet $1 mln that an $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index fund would outperform any five hedge funds (actively managed funds).In 2007, Wall Street hedge fund Protégé Partners accepted the challenge.The bet began on January 1, 2008, and concluded on December 31, 2017.Over the 10-year period, Buffett won decisively, with a return of 125.8% compared to Protégé Partners' 36.3%.If you can’t beat the bull market, will you
Can you outperform the market in a bull market?

Have you ever sold a stock as soon as it broke even?

Tigers who heavily invested in $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ might have finally broken even or made substantial profits during the recent surge.On April 22, Tesla touched its lowest point of the first half at $138, down 44% from $250 at the beginning of the year.However, some say they could withstand a 50% loss but couldn’t hold on to a 50% gain.Most steadfast Tesla holders likely didn’t sell at the low point, but they might have sold after Tesla rose to broke even.Endure a 50% loss without selling or to hold on to achieve a 50% gain? Which one is it harder for you?For me, if I bought at a relatively high price, I would probably sell once I broke even. Holding onto a loss for an extended period makes me lose patience, and I worry that such a rebound is tem
Have you ever sold a stock as soon as it broke even?

What skill do you most recommend other tigers must learn?

In our previous discussion on Stock Trading: Do Talents or Skills Matter More?, most tigers believed that acquired skills are more important than talents in stock trading.What do you think is the most important skill in stock trading?Some people think that getting market information promptly and understanding the timely changes in companies, such as $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Q2 data released yesterday, is very important. Others identify Tesla's successful breakout through technical analysis. Or, adhering to good trading strategies and principles.I think having a good mindset is very important because I always end up buying high and selling low, unable to resist the urge to chase hig
What skill do you most recommend other tigers must learn?

Ready to Seize Over 40% Profit From Mag 7? What's Your Pick?

Top 10 stocks, esp. Magnificent 7, contribute the most gains in stock market.This year’s rally, led by $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ , has paused slightly, but it’s worth noting that Nvidia’s YTD gain is already at 150%. Besides, $Apple(AAPL)$ hit a new high yesterday. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ , $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ , and $Microsoft(MSFT)$ have repeatedly breaking new highs this year. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ surged 10% yesterday, leaving only a 7% gap to recover this year's losses.Have you earned from Magnificent 7’s rally this year?If you are not sure abou
Ready to Seize Over 40% Profit From Mag 7? What's Your Pick?

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