Monday, 14 September 2026 US equities rebounded on Friday as oil prices eased, but stronger-than-expected monthly core CPI reinforced expectations of a Fed rate hike this week; over the weekend, calls to slow frontier AI development and OpenAI’s decision to rule out a 2026 IPO added uncertainty for technology stocks. S&P 500: +0.86% Dow Jones: +0.98% Nasdaq Composite: +0.96% Performance for Friday, 11 September. Market recap US 2-year Treasury yield rose approximately 7 basis points to 4.63%. Data US 10-year Treasury yield rose approximately 1 basis point to 4.96%. Data Treasury figures use daily constant-maturity yields and may differ slightly from late-session trading quotes. News 1.) Annual core CPI falls to a five-and-a-half-year low, but firmer monthly inflation prompts Goldman Sa

Thursday, 10 September 2026 Escalating US–Iran tensions pushed Brent crude above US$100, while inflation concerns and a US Treasury bond buyback plan that fell short of some investors’ expectations weighed on stocks and bonds; AI applications and new technology products continued to provide catalysts for individual stocks. S&P 500: −0.48% Dow Jones: −0.77% Nasdaq Composite: −0.64% Source: Reuters market wrap US 2-year Treasury yield: Up approximately 3 basis points to 4.42% US 10-year Treasury yield: Up approximately 3 basis points to 4.84% Source: WSJ bond market report News 1.) China’s prices recover as AI demand lifts storage equipment prices; DeepSeek price cuts and IPO developments attract attention * According to the supplied report, China’s August CPI rose 0.8% year on year, acc

Wednesday, 9 September 2026 Escalating Middle East tensions and Brent crude approaching US$100 weighed on US stocks amid inflation and interest-rate concerns, while major AI chip and fibre deals continued to support the technology supply chain. S&P 500 fell 0.58% Dow Jones fell 1.18% Nasdaq fell 0.32% US 2-year Treasury yield rose approximately 3 basis points to 4.408%. US 10-year Treasury yield edged up approximately 2 basis points to 4.795%. News 1.) Middle East conflict spreads to energy facilities and oil tankers, pushing Brent towards US$100 * Houthi attacks on Saudi energy facilities heightened concerns over Middle Eastern oil supplies, pushing Brent crude towards US$98 intraday. * Iranian media reported that a US missile struck an Iranian oil tanker near Kharg Island, intensifyi

7 September 2026, Monday US employment growth in August significantly exceeded expectations, pushing up the probability of a September Fed rate hike and Treasury yields. US stocks generally declined last Friday, while US–Iran tensions escalated further over the weekend. S&P 500 fell 0.4% to 7,718.60 Dow Jones fell 0.5% to 53,414.25 Nasdaq fell 0.3% to 26,506.99 US 2-year Treasury yield rose by approximately 3 basis points to 4.37% US 10-year Treasury yield rose by approximately 1 basis point to 4.78% News 1.) Chinese AI companies enter Tmall as token services expand into the consumer market * Zhipu AI opened its official flagship store on Tmall on 2 September, selling AI subscription packages such as the GLM Coding Plan. * The product is similar to a ChatGPT Plus subscription but is pr

3 September 2026 U.S. equities rebounded, led by technology stocks, as weak ADP employment data eased some interest-rate pressure. However, escalating U.S.–Iran tensions, elevated oil prices and Broadcom’s volatile after-hours reaction continued to limit risk appetite. S&P 500 rose 0.46% to 7,666.63 Dow Jones rose 0.56% to 53,061.89 Nasdaq rose 0.45% to 26,217.83 Reuters U.S. 2-year Treasury yield was unchanged at 4.39% U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was unchanged at 4.79% U.S. Treasury ⸻ News 1) U.S. and Iran engage in their largest exchange of attacks in months, raising risks around the Strait of Hormuz * The U.S. launched a new round of strikes against Iran’s southern coast, targeting air-defence and radar systems, maritime assets, communication facilities and mine-laying capabilities.

2 September 2026 Renewed US-Iran hostilities and attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices sharply higher. Rising inflation and rate-hike concerns pushed Treasury yields up and dragged US equities lower for a third consecutive session. S&P 500 fell 0.71% to 7,631.47 Dow Jones fell 0.79% to 52,766.88 Nasdaq fell 1.03% to 26,099.77 US 2-year Treasury yield rose approximately 5 basis points to around 4.39% US 10-year Treasury yield rose approximately 5 basis points to around 4.80%, its highest level since January 2025 (AP, Reuters) ⸻ News 1) US launches fresh strikes on Iran as tanker attacks drive oil and inflation risks higher * The US launched a new round of airstrikes against Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz. * President Trump warned that Iran would face

📅 SEPTEMBER 2026 MARKET WATCHLIST “Sell in May and buy in September” does not mean investors should automatically buy on 1 September. Historically, September has been one of the market’s more volatile and weaker months. However, that volatility may also create better entry opportunities ahead of the traditionally stronger October–April period. 🔴 KEY MACRO DATES • 4 Sep: U.S. Jobs Report • 10 Sep: Producer Price Index • 11 Sep: Consumer Price Index • 16 Sep: Retail Sales + FOMC decision • 30 Sep: PCE inflation + Q2 GDP These events will shape inflation expectations, Treasury yields, Fed policy and equity valuations. 📊 EARNINGS CATALYSTS • 2 Sep: Broadcom • 3 Sep: Zscaler + Lululemon • 8–14 Sep: Oracle — TBC • 10 Sep: Adobe — TBC • 24 Sep: Costco • 30 Sep: Micron Broadcom and Micron will tes

1 September 2026 Renewed US-Iran hostilities pushed oil prices and long-term Treasury yields higher, while Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish stance strengthened expectations of a September rate hike, sending all three major US indices lower—although they still ended August with monthly gains. S&P 500 fell 0.33% to 7,686.14 Dow Jones fell 0.70% to 53,185.90 Nasdaq fell 0.12% to 26,370.89 US 2-year Treasury yield was unchanged at 4.348% US 10-year Treasury yield rose approximately 3.6 basis points to 4.757% Market data: Reuters⁠ | Treasury data: WSJ⁠ ⸻ News 1) US-Iran hostilities resume, raising risks around the Strait of Hormuz * The US struck Iranian missile-launch facilities on Larak Island, marking the first direct military exchange between the two sides in a month. * Iran retaliated

31 August 2026 Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech pushed Treasury yields higher and weighed on technology stocks. Renewed U.S.–Iran tensions lifted oil prices over the weekend, while China’s housing reforms and the U.S.–Venezuela oil deal provided some positive offsets. S&P 500 fell 0.25% to 7,711.76 Dow Jones fell 0.02% to 53,559.99 Nasdaq fell 0.52% to 26,402.42 U.S. 2-year Treasury yield rose 11.8 bps to 4.348% U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose around 4 bps to approximately 4.72% ⸻ News 1. China launches a three-pronged property reform covering homebuyers, project delivery and developer financing * The maximum term for personal housing loans has been extended from 30 to 40 years. * Banks will determine the actual mortgage tenure based on the borrower’s age, income an

Warsh’s Jackson Hole Verdict: Hawkish on Rates, Bullish on AI Growth Warsh’s speech was hawkish on interest rates, but constructive on economic growth and AI demand. Relative to my earlier best/base/worst-case framework, the outcome landed between the base and worst cases—closer to worst for rates, but more constructive for AI growth. 🔴 Inflation: Hawkish 🔴 Labour: Strong enough to tolerate tighter policy 🔴 Financial conditions: Not restrictive 🟢 Economic growth: Resilient 🟢 AI investment: Structurally strong 🟡 AI stocks: Positive fundamentals, valuation-sensitive Overall hawkish score: 7/10 However, Warsh did not promise a September rate hike. He concluded that he was committed to a policy discipline, “not to a decision.” This was a hawkish bias—not an explicit rate-hike announcement. ⸻ 1

Jackson Hole 2026: Three Warsh Scenarios—and What They Mean for AI Stocks After Nvidia’s strong earnings reinforced confidence in AI demand, the market’s attention now shifts from corporate earnings to monetary policy. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole keynote could determine whether strong AI investment is viewed as: ✅ A productivity engine that allows faster, less inflationary growth or ⚠️ An investment boom that keeps demand and inflation too strong This distinction matters because technology companies face two opposing forces: * Strong AI capex supports semiconductor, cloud and software revenue. * Higher interest rates reduce technology valuations and increase financing costs. Here are my best, base and worst-case scenarios for the speech. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ CURRENT MA

From AI capex to AI revenue—the monetisation cycle is becoming clearer. 🔄 1️⃣ Hardware: NVIDIA supplies the GPUs and computing infrastructure needed to build AI capacity. Its latest results showed data-centre revenue reaching US$89 billion, up 117% year-on-year—evidence that infrastructure demand remains exceptionally strong. 2️⃣ Cloud: Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Oracle install these chips in data centres, then monetise them by renting AI computing power to developers and enterprises. 3️⃣ Software: Companies such as Salesforce use that cloud capacity to embed AI into real business workflows. Customers pay through subscriptions, AI add-ons and usage-based fees—turning computing power into recurring software revenue. 4️⃣ Security: As more applications and data move into AI environments, d

27 August 2026 Hotter-than-expected U.S. PCE inflation and rising rate-hike expectations pushed Wall Street slightly lower. A third consecutive decline in oil prices eased inflation concerns, while strong after-hours results from Nvidia, Salesforce and CrowdStrike lifted sentiment across AI and software stocks. S&P 500 fell 0.02% to 7,675.70 Dow Jones fell 0.21% to 53,463.88 Nasdaq fell 0.08% to 26,130.20 The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose approximately 2 basis points to 4.22%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose approximately 2 basis points to 4.65%. ⸻ News 1. Iran and Oman Reach Hormuz Framework as Oil Falls for a Third Day; U.S. Tariffs Add Midterm Election Pressure • Iran and Oman reached a framework agreement covering shipping routes and revenue sharing in the Strait of Hormuz.

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26 August 2026 US stocks closed higher as easing US–Iran tensions pushed oil prices and long-term Treasury yields lower. Technology stocks rebounded ahead of NVIDIA’s highly anticipated earnings. S&P 500: +0.32% to 7,677.28 Dow Jones: +0.30% to 53,577.40 Nasdaq: +0.66% to 26,151.30 US 2-Year Treasury Yield: Down around 3 bps to 4.21% US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Down around 7 bps to 4.64%, its lowest level since early August ——— 1. Progress on the Strait of Hormuz, but a Full Reopening Is Not Confirmed • Reports suggest that the US and Iran have reached a preliminary understanding on parts of a ceasefire agreement, including freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. However, no comprehensive agreement has been formally signed. • Iran and Oman proposed establishing a joint tempo

25 Aug 2026 — Daily Market Update US equities ended mixed on Monday as Washington escalated its economic pressure on Iran and AI hardware stocks continued to weaken ahead of Nvidia’s earnings. At the same time, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s plan to expand US Treasury buybacks using the Treasury General Account helped push long-term yields and oil prices lower. S&P 500: -0.28% to 7,652.86 Dow Jones: +0.26% to 53,417.16 Nasdaq: -0.76% to 25,980.19 US 2Y Treasury yield: +0.4bp to 4.238% US 10Y Treasury yield: -3.8bp to 4.70% ⸻ 1. US Expands Economic Pressure on Iran The US Treasury announced a broader round of sanctions aimed at further isolating Iran economically. * The measures target close to 60 individuals, companies, vessels and related networks. * Sanctions cover areas includin

English Caption AVGO remains one of the key beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure cycle, but technically the stock is still in a consolidation phase. 📊 My current view: Cautiously Bullish Key levels I’m watching: 🟢 $340–350 — Major support 🔵 $360–380 — Current accumulation zone 🟠 $400–420 — Key resistance 🔴 $435–450 — Breakout confirmation 🚀 $495 — Previous high The weekly structure remains constructive as long as the rising trendline holds. A convincing breakout above $435–450 would strengthen the case for another move toward the previous high. For a 12M FCN, if the priority is reducing KI risk rather than maximising coupon, I prefer: 75–80% Strike | 60% KI At around $221, the 60% KI sits near an important historical support / consolidation zone, providing a stronger downside buffer if t

24 Aug 2026 — Daily Market Update US stocks rebounded last Friday as stronger US services data and improving corporate earnings expectations eased recession concerns. However, Treasury yields remain elevated, oil prices continue to rise, and geopolitical risks around Iran are still keeping overall risk sentiment cautious. S&P 500: +0.43% to 7,674.37 Dow Jones: +0.98% to 53,277.01 Nasdaq: +0.44% to 26,180.46 US 2Y Treasury: roughly unchanged at ~4.19% US 10Y Treasury: +4bps to ~4.69% ⸻ 1) China steps up consumption support while AI and semiconductor earnings remain strong * China’s Ministry of Finance further upgraded its consumer-loan interest subsidy programme, extending support through end-2026. * Credit-card instalments are now included, with fiscal subsidies covering 1 percentage p

Bullish on NVDA - One of the Catalyst NVIDIA’s $500B AI Financing Plan —  What It Actually Means?$NVIDIA(NVDA)$   NVIDIA’s newly announced >$500 billion AI infrastructure financing initiative sounds like NVIDIA is spending $500B itself. It isn’t. The $500B refers to a target amount of third-party capital that could be mobilized over time through financing partners such as Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR. The objective is simple: Make it easier for companies to finance AI infrastructure instead of paying the entire cost upfront. 1. Where does the $500B come from? Capital can ultimately come from: * Pension funds * Insurance companies * Sovereign wealth funds * Private cred

Daily Market Update — 22 August 2026 U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday as strong services activity and resilient earnings supported sentiment, although Middle East tensions, higher oil prices and elevated bond yields kept investors cautious. S&P 500: +0.43% to 7,674.37 Dow Jones: +0.98% to 53,277.01 Nasdaq: +0.44% to 26,180.46 U.S. 2Y Treasury: ~4.23%, up 1–2 bps U.S. 10Y Treasury: ~4.74%, up 4 bps 1. Geopolitics & Trade * Iran rejected U.S. economic pressure, while China opposed unilateral sanctions. * Diplomatic channels remain open, but Hormuz-related risks are still a concern. * U.S.-Canada trade talks are progressing, with lower tariff terms under discussion. * Trump temporarily exempted selected ground beef imports from tariffs. Impact: Oil and bond-yield risks could continue t