DavidMarlin
DavidMarlin
NYC Equity Trader | SF Quant HF Adviser | CEO of Marlin Capital | Not Investment Advice.
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avatarDavidMarlin
2025-02-09
We have just witnessed the largest retail investor buying on record. I don’t have specific data on retail buying and future performance, but the previous retail buying high for this chart was early 2022 which was a major top. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Image
avatarDavidMarlin
2024-02-13

Lots of talk about a bubble in AI/Mag 7...

Lots of talk about a bubble in AI/Mag 7... At this point, valuations at the top are no where near as frothy as they were at the height of the Dot Com Bubble. The 5 largest stocks traded at 43x Fwd PE in March ‘00, a 59% premium to the Mag 7’s current multiple of 27x. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ ImageTraders are piling into C
Lots of talk about a bubble in AI/Mag 7...
avatarDavidMarlin
2024-12-28
Bitcoin has been moving in sync with the global M2 money supply (on a 10 week lag).The current negative divergence is pointing to $80k for Bitcoin. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ Image
avatarDavidMarlin
2025-07-27
With Bitcoin breaking out to ATHs, we just witnessed the largest 4-week inflow to Crypto funds EVER. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $Strategy(MSTR)$ $iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF(IBIT)$ $BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc.(BMNR)$ $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ $SharpLink Gaming(SBET)$ BTC ETH ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account
avatarDavidMarlin
2025-03-09
We just witnessed the largest 4 week outflow from Crypto funds on record. All throughout its history, Bitcoin declines by 70%+ during Bear cycles. When the narrative is “Bitcoin is dead and will never recover”, it’s the time to buy. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $Strategy(MSTR)$ Image
avatarDavidMarlin
2025-02-24
Hedge Funds de-risked aggressively in Tech during last week’s sell off. The de-grossing over the past 2 weeks was the largest since July and ranks in the top 4 “risk off” events in the past 5 years. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Image
avatarDavidMarlin
2025-03-07
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ was the undisputed king of this entire Bull Market. Now headed for its first Death Cross since the 2022 Bear Market lows.Image
avatarDavidMarlin
2024-12-30
The $.SPX(.SPX)$ has only sustained a P/E multiple higher than the current mark (22.5x) twice in history:1.) The Dot Com Bubble2.) The Covid-QE Bubble $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Image
avatarDavidMarlin
2023-01-01

If you ignore the Covid bubble valuations, many growth stocks are not cheap

I warned about Bubble Stocks many times during the Denial Phase of the Bust.2022 was all about valuations coming back to earth.The magnitude of the decline in many growth stocks gives the illusion they are cheap, but not so fast.If you ignore the Covid bubble valuations, many growth stocks are not cheap.Many are actually at ATH valuations, above PEAK pre-Covid multiples.The structure of the Covid Bubble and Bust has closely resembled many historical bubbles, including the early 90s Japanese Nikkei Bubble.https://twitter.com/Marlin_Capital/status/1609231495582851072?cxt=HHwWgICx-ZzhkdUsAAAA
If you ignore the Covid bubble valuations, many growth stocks are not cheap
avatarDavidMarlin
2025-09-28
Pensions are modeled to sell -$19B of US equities for month-end. That ranks in the 89th percentile since 2000. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉

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