📈 $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ : Bullish 5 Waves Up, ABC Pullback Yesterday, I called for 5 waves up followed by an ABC correction. Today, the C wave swept the Wave 4 low and respected the H4 FVG. The ABC correction isn't confirmed yet, but my bias remains the same: I want to BUY this dip. Are you buying here, or waiting for the Daily FVG? 📉 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : The Short Call Played Out $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ made a higher high for Wave 5, while $QQQ made a lower high for its B wave. That bearish SMT signaled relative weakness in Nasdaq compared with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . We favored QQQ shor

🚨 $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ JUST PRINTED WAVE 5! ES briefly wicked below the Momentum Break at 7,582 — but the level held. There was another important detail: Wave 4 remained smaller than Wave 2, keeping the 5-wave structure intact. From there, price pushed to a fresh high and completed Wave 5. 📈 So, what's the next directional move after 5 waves up? 👇 THE ANSWER: 3 WAVES DOWN. Most of you got it right! 🔻 What's next for ES? A completed 5-wave advance is typically followed by a 3-wave corrective move. That means we're now looking for an ABC pullback: Wave A: Initial move lower Wave B: Corrective bounce Wave C: Final leg down 🎯 Here's the key: I want to BUY the C wave. This is a pullback, NOT a market top. I'm not looking to chas

THE ABC MODEL DELIVERED AGAIN! 🎯 At 9:54 AM, I alerted Elite members that $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ had completed a bullish ABC pullback pattern, setting up a potential move higher toward the 7,635–7,640 target zone. The technical setup was clear: the pullback had taken shape, buyers had an opportunity to step back in, and the next upside target was already mapped out. What happened next? Price accelerated higher and pushed straight into the projected target range. No chasing the move after it happened. No guessing where the market might go. The plan was laid out in advance, the levels were identified, and the market followed through. This is exactly why having a repeatable trading model matters. Recognizing the setup is only th

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Is Setting Up for Its Next Leg Higher 📈 Price has left behind a fresh bullish daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), creating a potential support zone for the next move. Rather than chasing the current price action, I'm looking for a controlled pullback that gives buyers a better entry. Ideally, I want to see price sweep today's low and retrace into the newly formed daily FVG. From there, a clean ABC corrective move into the gap, followed by a clear reversal back out of it, would provide the swing-long setup I'm looking for. The key is how price reacts once it reaches that support zone. A brief liquidity sweep followed by a strong recovery would suggest buyers are stepping back in and that the broader bullish structure remains intact. I w

MAJOR MARKET BOTTOMS HAVE ONE SIGNATURE: THE ABC. We've seen this pattern at major turning points: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ in 2022 $BTC in 2020 $GOLD in 2022 $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$ in 2026 The pattern is simple: 1️⃣ First drop 2️⃣ Fake rally 3️⃣ Final drop 4️⃣ Reversal Most traders buy the first dip, only to get trapped by the fake rally. The real opportunity often comes with the LAST drop, before the reversal. I'm watching for this pattern to develop on $S&P 500(.SPX)$ now. 📊 4 Stocks and ETFs on My Watchlist The ABC bottom pattern is showing up again across several names. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ : The o

If I had to watch ONE thing right now, it would be this Daily FVG on $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ . Price has formed an ABC move lower, with A = C, right at monthly FVG support. Here's what matters: 📈 Bullish Scenario A daily close above this gap would trigger a bullish iFVG and reclaim the 200-day moving average. If that happens, I'd lean toward the view that the market bottom is in. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario If price fails to close above the gap, it could continue acting as resistance and keep the market under pressure. This breakout may not happen immediately. But when it does, I want to be ready. This is the key level I'm watching for confirmation of a potential market bottom.

The S&P 500 is now trading in the critical 7,300–7,400 zone, with an ABC corrective move unfolding. This could be the bottom of Wave 4 (W4). Why does this zone matter? Three major technical signals are converging here: 🔹 Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) 🔹 200-day Moving Average 🔹 Bullish SMT divergence against $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ 🎯 THE BULLISH SCENARIO If Path 1 plays out, this is where the market needs to find support. Hold this zone, and Wave 5 (W5) could take the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ toward: 🚀 8,000–8,400 ⚠️ THE BEARISH ALTERNATIVE Watch 7,314 closely. A decisive break below this level would invalidate the current bullish setup and put Path 2 in control, opening the door to a deeper correction before the ne

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ After today’s massive decline, we could be getting close to a multi-month bottom. But the bottom is NOT in on this candle. My main lean is one more push lower to TEST the July lows at 7,314. Bulls want to HOLD the July lows to keep the bullish SMT with $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ intact, but I’m expecting at least today’s low to get crossed. If July lows gets crossed, the SMT is invalid and the next bounce could be a bearish W4. The strength of the recovery from there will be telling. While price is below the momentum break of this potential wave 3 at 7,533, bears are in control. Above it, we get a bullish WXY to new highs. Tomorrow I’ll share a potential daily buy signal if the setup presents it

$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is showing the cleaner bearish Elliott Wave count, with its Wave 4/Wave 5 structure still intact. As long as price remains below today's high, I'm leaning toward one more move lower to complete Wave 5. Here's the scenario I'm watching: $NDX makes a lower low to finish its fifth wave, while $S&P 500(.SPX)$ holds a higher low. That would create a bullish SMT divergence between the two indices and could provide the catalyst for $SPX to rally toward the 7,725 trendline. The ABC Model also nailed all three major $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$ moves over the past two days. Look at the reactions around the 90%–100% Fibonacci extensions.

This type of wave counting is INSANE to me. Traders keep overcomplicating Elliott Wave. The $BTC chart shows a straightforward 5-3-5 ABC correction. My count focuses on three common Elliott Wave tendencies: Both 4th waves are smaller than their respective 2nd waves. Wave (B) is the dominant correction within the pattern. Wave (C) ends near a common Fibonacci target, roughly equal in length to wave (A). That’s what I look for: the count that follows the most common tendencies, without forcing unnecessary complexity. The alternative labeling below is exactly the problem. When a count becomes too subjective to explain or repeat, it loses practical value. EW 2.0 is designed to make the process mechanical: Identify the 4th waves. Compare each one with its corresponding 2nd wave. Confirm that bo

After the overnight volatility, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has shifted into a corrective rally. I’m expecting a pullback tomorrow that retraces roughly half of the rally, with the 0–B trendline near 7,725 as the next key target. That remains the main upside draw before another move lower. I expect buyers to step in during the dip as price works toward that trendline. Overnight futures volatility has been significant: $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ dropped 143 points before reversing sharply and rallying 200 points. This is increasingly an overnight trading market. Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate ex

The bulls briefly pushed the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ back above a key momentum level today, but the move quickly failed. The index was slammed back below it, reinforcing the bearish setup. The current Elliott Wave count points to Wave 5 lower, with the September lows as the next downside target. I’m watching for a potential bounce only after those lows are tested and broken—not before. The broader structure is also worth noting. From the 2022 low, the $SPX has traced a clear five-wave advance: Wave 2: The deepest correction. Wave 4: A shallower pullback. The traditional Elliott Wave Principle allows counts structured this way. Elliott Wave 2.0 aims to make the process simpler and more systematic. I’ve even coded the approach. This isn’t about dismissi

The short-term pullback I called for is now playing out. I'm leaning toward more downside before the market finds support. 📉 Two key scenarios to watch for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : Path 1: Weekly support at 7,350–7,275. Path 2: If that support zone breaks, a deeper correction toward 7,000 comes into play. The bigger picture remains unchanged: my long-term target is still 10,000. ⚠️ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ JUST DROPPED 200 POINTS — RIGHT INTO THE TARGET The sell signal was sent. The setup: • Bearish SMT divergence with $YM at the prior week's high. • iFVG trigger confirmed the short setup. • A sharp Wave 3 decline followed, matching the projected path. This setup combines the SMT Model wi

The bearish setup is now active. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ has triggered a sell signal after several technical factors aligned: bearish SMT divergence against $YM at the prior week's high, followed by an inverse Fair Value Gap (iFVG) entry trigger. The weekly chart is adding another warning. 📉 $ES: The Bearish Case Three signals are lining up: 1️⃣ Bearish SMT: $ES and $YM showed relative weakness at the previous week's high, signaling a potential loss of upside momentum. 2️⃣ iFVG Trigger: Price subsequently confirmed the bearish setup through an inverse Fair Value Gap, providing the entry signal. 3️⃣ Weekly Candle Sweep: The weekly chart also printed a bearish sweep, adding higher-timeframe confirmation to the setup. 🎯 Downside

The rally may have more room to run, but don't mistake a bounce for a confirmed uptrend. 👀 📉 What I'm Watching Early weakness tomorrow could bring a dip before the FOMC decision. The downtrend line drawn from the recent highs remains intact and has not yet been broken. After a potential pullback, the FOMC could trigger another push higher toward last week's high and daily fair value gap (FVG) resistance at 7,754. ⚠️ The Bigger Picture I'm still leaning toward another move higher in the short term, but this remains a corrective rally—not a confirmed trend reversal. The key is how price reacts around resistance. A rally into 7,754 doesn't automatically mean the market has turned bullish. 🎯 My Plan: Watch for early weakness first, then see whether the FOMC provides the catalyst for another le

📊 Smart Money Zones have delivered mixed results this month. Some setups failed despite strong historical track records, while others are already paying off. 🟣 $Hut 8 Mining Corp(HUT)$ — Watching for a Bounce $HUT is sitting at the top of its weekly Smart Money Zone. Historically, this area has acted as a long-term buying signal about 70% of the time, often preceding a rebound. The stock has historically returned to its $140 swing high within 8–12 months. 🎯 Optimal buy zone: ~$59 🛑 Stop loss: Below $42 🔻 $Cipher Mining Inc.(CIFR)$ — The Setup Failed Last month, I was extremely bullish on $CIFR as it pulled back into the weekly Smart Money Zone. Historically, price often bounces from this level and returns