TRIGGER TRADES
TRIGGER TRADES
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avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-04-19

There may be a modest bounce to the SPX 5050-5080 range

There may be a modest bounce to the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 5050-5080 range before another leg down to 4985-4942.Once 4985-4942 is reached with a 5-wave price structure for the A-Wave, a B-Wave Rally would be expected.ImageWe were expecting price to remain below SPX 5080🔨to produce a sharp sell targeting 5007 🎯SPX topped at 5078 before a melt down to EXACTLY 5007 ✅ 🔥We then expected a rally to 5050 from that low, which also played out perfectly 🤯ImageImageImageImagehttps://twitter.com/TriggerTrades/status/1781125203872924053
There may be a modest bounce to the SPX 5050-5080 range
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-06-28

As long as we remain above 5400, $SPX is set up for new highs

As long as we remain above 5400, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is set up for new highsOnce above 5505, that should lead to 5525-5540–5580, but would be highly vulnerable to a higher degree pullback.The loss of 5411 should lead to 5430-5415 support to then extend to new highs. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2409(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2409(NQmain)$ ImageWe sold both the highs today as price met resistance of A=C and Fair Value Gaps ❌ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2409(ESmain)$ then produced declines from our resistance areas netting us 30 p
As long as we remain above 5400, $SPX is set up for new highs

TSLA Outlook: Corrective Rally Before Major Downturn

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ has topped, as warned to members on 02/09, but it holds a 5-wave diagonal structure at Weekly FVG support suggesting a corrective rally before escalating lower.Lean is Tesla rallies from here to at least cross 325, with upside potential to 362-384. However, that zone should be the termination point to produce the next major wave down.Ultimately, expecting this upcoming rally being the last chance $TSLA holders have to exit before crashing to 138-100 over the next 1-3 years. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$
TSLA Outlook: Corrective Rally Before Major Downturn
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-09-23

$SPX is expected to see its dip get bought immediately

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is expected to see its dip get bought immediately or at 5660 to then produce a higher high.An immediate higher high may complete a fractal 5th to return to the range before continuing higher, but the later would favor direct upside following. Overall, I am expecting a melt up to the 5880-5935-6080 targets for the final leg up as long as we remain above 5565. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2412(NQmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$
$SPX is expected to see its dip get bought immediately
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-12-01

$ES crossed 6053 as expected

$E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$ crossed 6053 as expected, and now realigns with $.SPX(.SPX)$ with both being the in the modest 3rd wave under Wave C.Watch for a 4th wave pullback over the next few sessions to 5970-5950 to then be bought for the FINAL 5th of Wave C of [W5] of Wave 5 ultimately to 6080-6100. With new data, the top looks more likely to occur within the next 1-2 weeks (CPI Dec. 11?). Get ready ! $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2412(NQmain)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Image
$ES crossed 6053 as expected

SPX - How deep will the decline go?

The next major wave down fro $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is starting to unfold – but just how deep will the decline go? Are we just going to hit 5400, or will we plunge all the way to 5120?I’m breaking it all down, diving into key indexes and stocks like $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ to give you a clear picture of what's coming next. Don’t miss the next move! $SPDR S&am
SPX - How deep will the decline go?
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-04-12

Confidence has increased the downside momentum will continue

$SPX continues to defend the 5265 high following CPI and formed a impulse down. The impulse down is a bearish continuation pattern suggesting further downside below 5138 - likely targeting 5090 w/ potential to extend lower. Overall, confidence has increased the downside momentum will continue lower escalating the [W4] decline.$SPY $ES_F $NQ_F $QQQ $NDQ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2406(ESmain)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust-ETF(QQQ)$ $Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ Image
Confidence has increased the downside momentum will continue

SPX was rejected at the resistance zone, forming a bearish structure

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ was rejected at the resistance zone between 5993 -6009, forming a bearish structure. This opens the door for a direct decline to the 5860-5890 area.However, a break above 5987 should lead to 6024-6043, which would be a high probability short zone.Primarily, I expect any rally to be sold, leading to another leg down. A daily close below 5903 would favor 5773 as the easy downside target. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 -
SPX was rejected at the resistance zone, forming a bearish structure

SPX confirmed a bullish WXY model

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ confirmed a bullish WXY model at today's 5732 low - favoring [W4] termination to begin the final [W5] rally.If so, 5732 should not be crossed to escalate [W5] ultimately targeting 6200-6250 before topping.However, if 5732 is crossed, the next wave down may be a bearish 5th wave targeting 5708 - flipping from a bullish to bearish bias suggesting the top is already in. That is invalidated above 5865, which would support the bullish outlook (lean). $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
SPX confirmed a bullish WXY model

$SPX is primed to see a multi-year bear market declining 40-60%

2025 will be apart of a historic collapse, as $.SPX(.SPX)$ is primed to see a multi-year bear market declining 40-60%.Expect a new high in the upcoming weeks, but that will be a bull trap marking the top of a 16-year rally.A break below the [W2]/[W4] trendline would confirm such.SPX failed to hold support - now favoring a modest new low to 5805 to complete the Wave B correction.$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQmain)$Image
$SPX is primed to see a multi-year bear market declining 40-60%
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-03-23

SPX should be near the reversal point for the multi-month decline

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ rallied past the conservative targets, but should be near the reversal point for the multi-month decline.The multi-month decline is strongly favored if this leg up remains below 5287. The loss of 5215 is an early warning sign of that.However, if 5287 is exceeded, that would delay the higher degree correction as the next pullback would likely be a 4th wave to be bought for a multi-week rally first.ImageImageImageWe recognized a triangle pattern, so we expected further decline to 5132 support 📉We then longed that support expecting a break higher to 5225 📈Price surpassed expectations and blasted higher to 5260 🚀ImageImageImageImagehttps://twitter.com/Trigg
SPX should be near the reversal point for the multi-month decline
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-12-30

$SPX - Not expecting a lower low sub 5832

$.SPX(.SPX)$ has either completed the 2nd wave, or is about to, before taking off for the 3rd wave under the final Wave C of [W5] of Wave 5 rally.5915 is expected to act as support to push price to 6130-6150 for the 3rd, but the rally should ultimately terminate in the 6200-6250 range. Not expecting a lower low sub:5832, but it is allowed as long as we do not cross the [W2]/[W4] trendline. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2503(NQma
$SPX - Not expecting a lower low sub 5832

EW Macro Thesis: 2025–2030

EW Macro Thesis: 2025–2030 Every major asset just told me the same story: 20–30% correction 2025-26 → Greatest blow-off top in history 2027-30 → Secular peak post-2030 8 charts. One roadmap. The Setup + Full Path Indices finishing Wave (3)/(5) of V off 2009 low $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ blew past 2021-25 trendlines $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rejected on first tag $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ still trapped below its 2021 bear trend Phase 1 → 20-30% flush 2025-26 SPX 5100-5500 NDX 18k-19k DJI 36.5k-39k IWM 150-186 Phase 2 → Wave 5 of V 2027-30 SPX 9,000-10,000 NDX 30,000+ DJI 50k-55k Dot-com on steroids. Then the c
EW Macro Thesis: 2025–2030
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-10-18

$SPX hit a short-term top today at 5878!

$.SPX(.SPX)$ hit a short-term top today at 5878! Now, we’re at a pivotal moment: either we’ve just completed a 3rd & pulling back for a 4th, or we're about to experience a sharp B-Wave decline.As long as we stay above 5775, the 4th wave scenario is still in play. But if we lose that level, watch out—5700-5650 is the next target on the downside.Personally, I’m leaning towards the B-Wave decline taking shape. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2412(NQmain)$
$SPX hit a short-term top today at 5878!

AAPL: Multi-Year Wave 5 Exhaustion Points to 190–168 Target Zone

$Apple(AAPL)$ ’s advance from the 2019 low looks fully mature. Wave 5 stalled beneath the 1/3 trendline and hit the logged 5:3 proportion (~61.8% of Wave 3), while weekly RSI has diverged for four straight years — a clear sign the trend is running out of fuel.The favored path now shifts toward the Wave-4 pivot, the 2/4 guide rail, and the 190–168 🎯 lower channel zone.A weekly close below 253.13 would confirm the start of the higher-degree correction (iFVG) 📍 For SG users only, a tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a Cash Boost Account!Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Find out more here.C
AAPL: Multi-Year Wave 5 Exhaustion Points to 190–168 Target Zone

SPX - Bearish Breakdown or Bullish Breakout Ahead

Critical day tomorrow for $S&P 500(.SPX)$ as bears NEED to capitalize on a potential bearish WXY model (3-3-3) w/ a cross below 5196-5167 confirming such to increase odds the bear market is resuming to target 4700-4400.However, if price FAILS to trade below 5196-5167 - instead tracing out a bullish impulse up - there is great risk of invalidating the bear count leading to new all time highs. The bullish WXY model (3-3-3) from 6147 to 4835 is a red flags for bears, so a bearish model is needed to negate such.Further rally above 5500 would reduce confidence for bears regardless as that would exceed the 127.2% ext. of the first leg making it less likely the rally corrective. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$<
SPX - Bearish Breakdown or Bullish Breakout Ahead

IWM just completed the 5th of the 5th wave stretching all the way back to the April lows

$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ just completed the 5th of the 5th wave stretching all the way back to the April lows.Confluence:• 5-wave impulse up• Liquidity taken ( $RTY 2024 high)• Bearish SMT w/ $DJI• Equal lows at the w4 extreme (magnet 🎯)Sell signal 🚨: A Daily close below 244.63 (Daily FVG) 🎯 Targets: 237–232-226ImageWe have been crushing IWM.- Forecasted the terminal 5th wave to 251 📈- Sent long signal to 251-255 for 3rd wave 🚨 ✅- Projected bearish reversal following 5th wave completion 📉All timely and precise 🔥ImageFor whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:
IWM just completed the 5th of the 5th wave stretching all the way back to the April lows

SPX is ready for the next, and FINAL leg up!

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ is ready for the next, and FINAL leg up! With price confirming a bullish WXY model at Friday's 5603 low, I am expecting one more leg up under the 2nd wave targeting 5750-5825 to set up for the ultra bearish 3/4/5 wave sequence.Get ready ! $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2506(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2506(NQmain)$ Here's my analysis yesterday:Despite the SPX struggles, I am still expecting further rally to 5750-5825 for the 2nd wave befor
SPX is ready for the next, and FINAL leg up!

SPX: Monday Pullback Likely Unless 6774 Breaks

Nice bounce by $S&P 500(.SPX)$ bulls, but today's gains will be ERASED on Monday as price remains in the 3rd wave wave position 🔻As long as price does not cross today's 6774 high, another sharp leg down is expected targeting 6600-6550 🎯A 4th->5th wave sequence would be expected to follow before a corrective Santa Rally into December 🎅Above 6774 would bring risk to sideways consolidation or the weekly high being crossed ⚠️ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2512(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$
SPX: Monday Pullback Likely Unless 6774 Breaks
avatarTRIGGER TRADES
2024-11-05

$SPX came within striking distance of confirming the bullish WXY model at 5777!

$.SPX(.SPX)$ came within striking distance of confirming the bullish WXY model at 5777!I'm leaning toward a completed setup here, signaling the beginning of the final ascent—Wave C of [W5] of Wave 5—eyeing the bold 6000 target.If there's a final pullback, look for Wave B to bottom around 5700-5650 before the last surge kicks in. The time is coming !! $.DJI(.DJI)$ to 43.5-44k and SPX to 6000 then they both drop 40-60% $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2412(ESmain)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main
$SPX came within striking distance of confirming the bullish WXY model at 5777!

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