ChetanWoodun

Investment Research and Analytics from the IT perspective at Keylogin Information and Technologies Co. Ltd.

    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-11-22

      Credo: Better Than Nvidia For AI Infrastructure In 2025

      Credo Technology offers critical interconnect solutions for connecting GPUs produced by NVIDIA, enhancing performance and energy efficiency in data centers, making it a strong AI infrastructure player. Despite competition, Credo's proprietary technology and nimbleness enable it to quickly adapt to market changes and customer needs, especially when it comes to balancing energy usage between power-hungry GPUs and power-constrained data centers. Credo's strategic partnerships with major hyperscalers and involvement in the HiWire Consortium enhance its market position and growth potential in high-speed connectivity solutions. With a trailing non-GAAP P/E of 124x, Credo may appear overpriced relative to the IT sector, but, it is important to go beyond the academic dimension to justify a higher
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      Credo: Better Than Nvidia For AI Infrastructure In 2025
    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-11-08

      AST SpaceMobile: Competitive Risks Coming To The Fore (Rating Downgrade)

      AST SpaceMobile successfully launched five BlueBird satellites, marking a crucial step in its commercialization phase, yet the stock remains below the long-term target of $40.8, and is on a downtrend. The focus may have shifted to competitive risks, with potential volatility also expected due to the revolutionary cell tower in space technology and high market expectations. ASTS's direct-to-cellular approach, partnerships with major MNOs, and vast patent portfolio provide a competitive edge over Lynk Global. The stock's declining P/S ratio and share price suggest market repricing. Most importantly, Elon Musk's competing Starlink could obtain an enhanced role in President Trump's commitment to expanding the internet to Rural America, at the detriment of ASTS. Just_Super Since
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      AST SpaceMobile: Competitive Risks Coming To The Fore (Rating Downgrade)
    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-11-05

      QDTE ETF: Better Than QQQ For Innovation With Above 20% Yield

      Times have changed since the early days of ChatGPT as the focus turns to the monetization of the AI infrastructures built using billions of dollars worth of NVIDIA's GPUs. In such a context and for those looking to invest in the innovation theme, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF is likely to be volatile, as was the case recently. An alternative investment is Roundhill's QDTE which employs a synthetic covered call strategy. Its advantage is it is suited for volatile market conditions, but, on the other hand, can underperform in case of a tech bull run. QDTE can be availed by investors seeking a tactical complement to the Invesco ETF to mitigate losses in this new landscape. Maria Vonotna The Roundhill Innovation-100 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF (BATS:
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      QDTE ETF: Better Than QQQ For Innovation With Above 20% Yield
    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-11-04

      GUSH ETF: Potential Intensification In The Middle East

      The oil market may have relaxed too quickly because the Middle East conflict lingers on with Iran playing a more active role. This means that there could be an intensification if Israel's retaliatory actions in case of being attacked damages Iran's oil infrastructure. This means a window of opportunity for trading GUSH. However, while offering prospects of big gains, one also faces high risks of incurring losses with this leveraged ETF. da-kuk Since I was bullish on the Direxion Daily S&P 500 Oil & Gas Exp (NYSEARCA:GUSH) in March last year, it surged from $27.4 by around 22% as shown in the chart below. However, in the ensuing volati
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      GUSH ETF: Potential Intensification In The Middle East
    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-10-30

      Amazon: AI-Driven ROI And Productivity, Plus Consumer Resilience

      Amazon's AWS business, leveraging NVIDIA GPUs and custom AI chips, drives high profitability and productivity gains, supporting strong investment potential despite eCommerce risks. AWS's vertically integrated AI ecosystem and GenAI productivity improvements enhance margins, with AWS contributing significantly to Amazon's operating income. Despite high CapEx and competition, AMZN's differentiated AI offerings and productivity gains justify a premium valuation, with a targeted 23.5% upside. Q3 guidance suggests the potential for Amazon to beat EPS estimates, driven by resilient consumer sentiment and strong demand for AWS and retail services. Do expect volatility in case some key economic indicators point to rates staying higher for longer. Sundry Photography Since I last
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      Amazon: AI-Driven ROI And Productivity, Plus Consumer Resilience
    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-10-27

      Adobe: GenAI Is Improving Sales, But Not Fast Enough

      Adobe has been able to rapidly embed Gen AI features into its products, which are getting a lot of traction. It has also been able to generate more sales but these are progressing gradually, as it reshapes its product portfolio in a market that has been disrupted. Adobe's inability to hike pricing hints that the competition is strong while it has lost the first-mover advantage in image creation. Due to high investor expectations built into the stock price, it could suffer from further volatility. Also, as AI-driven image generation takes center stage, Microsoft, with its investment in OpenAI is now a competitor, in addition to being a partner. mvp64/E+ via Getty Images I last covered</
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      Adobe: GenAI Is Improving Sales, But Not Fast Enough
    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-09-20

      American Tower: 5G Reacceleration, But Volatility Comes First (Rating Upgrade)

      Summary American Tower's (AMT) stock price appreciated by nearly 24% since February, driven by improved financial performance and a more dovish-looking Fed. The India exit, involving a $2.5 billion asset sale, impacts AMT's global ranking and revenue but aids in deleveraging and improving FFO per share. Despite challenges in 5G investment globally, AMT expects U.S. market growth and has seen increased application activity, beating Q1 and Q2 expectations. Also, CoreSite acquisition positions AMT in AI, as it moves towards the edge. This remains a rate-sensitive stock, but it deserves better given it is improving the quality of earnings by exiting emerging markets and controlling leverage. We Are/DigitalVision via Getty Images Since I last covered American Tower Corporation (NYSE:
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      American Tower: 5G Reacceleration, But Volatility Comes First (Rating Upgrade)
    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-09-18

      Prologis: Pivoting To AI Data Centers In A Profitable Way

      Summary Prologis is pivoting to AI infrastructure by investing in data centers, aiming to diversify its industrial REIT portfolio and capitalize on higher-margin opportunities. The partnership with Skybox Datacenters and a $7.5 billion investment plan target significant growth, leveraging Prologis' vast real estate and clean energy expertise. Data center investments could potentially rake 50% to 100% margin gains and better FFO, despite higher initial Capex compared to warehouses. Prologis' strong cash flow and strategic capital vehicles support its transition, mitigating cyclicality risks and positioning it to benefit from the AI transformation trend. There are short-term volatility risks with higher vacancy rates and lower market rents, but real estate transactions could potentially
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      Prologis: Pivoting To AI Data Centers In A Profitable Way
    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-08-31

      QQQE: How NVIDIA's Result Could Continue Shifting The Landscape For Equal-Weight

      Summary QQQ is a market-cap weighted ETF heavily influenced by the Mag 7 mega-caps, which has delivered well up to now. However, as the AI landscape continues to shift and the focus turns on monetization, there are pains ahead. This was demonstrated by the volatility in the aftermath of NVIDIA's financial results. Hence, QQQE's equal-weight approach makes more sense to reduce concentration risks and for diversification purposes. This thesis makes the case for further upside while adopting a cautious tone as shifts are normally accompanied by volatility risks. Vertigo3d Since I last covered the Direxion NASDAQ 100 Equal Weighted Index Shares ETF (NASDAQ:QQQE) in my bullish thesis on December 20 last year, it has returned nearly 6.75% and is
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      QQQE: How NVIDIA's Result Could Continue Shifting The Landscape For Equal-Weight
    • ChetanWoodunChetanWoodun
      ·2024-08-29

      DigitalBridge: Rapid Expansion But Wait For Progress On Costs (Rating Downgrade)

      Summary DigitalBridge's share price has slid by more than 25% despite its revenues increasing rapidly over the last year. The reason appears to be connected to profitability as expenses have varied widely, raising doubts as to what will happen when the company scales further. On the other hand, it has rapidly advanced equity assets for which it earns fees (FEEUM) to $32.7 billion while accelerating capital formation to develop more data centers together with the power needed. Also, the high expectations for earnings growth seem to be unjustified meaning that the stock could suffer from volatility. I consider it to be a Hold until it makes progress on sustainably increasing profit margins. halbergman/E+ via Getty Images Since I was
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      DigitalBridge: Rapid Expansion But Wait For Progress On Costs (Rating Downgrade)
       
       
       
       

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