SmartReversals

I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.

    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·09:23

      Markets at Resistance: $SPX $DIA $SMH Showing Exhaustion Signals

      Markets are showing signs of exhaustion near key resistance levels, with bearish candle structures and RSI divergences emerging across major indices and semis. Setups in $SPX, $DIA, and $AMD suggest elevated pullback risk heading into next week. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Gravestone doji at the top; the next candle is very likely to be red, presenting a good R/R for shorts. The RSI divergence adds more bearish references. 2. $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ Indecisive candle above the Upper Bollinger band.⚠️ Usually risky for longs. The 20DMA is the usual minimal destination. The gap below adds pressure to the setup. 3. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ S
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      Markets at Resistance: $SPX $DIA $SMH Showing Exhaustion Signals
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·05-23 09:40

      Can $SPY $QQQ Extend Their 8-Week Winning Streak?

      U.S. stocks advanced ahead of the long weekend, positioning the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ for an eight-week winning streak. This marks the longest weekly run for the benchmark index since December 2023. The S&P 500 rose 0.88% after approaching to our bearish target of 7,325 and bounced. The $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ gained +1.2% also after touching its bearish target of 28,609 and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ added 2.2% during the week. This late-week strength emerged as investors absorbed falling government bond yields and a pullback in energy costs (Crude Oil $WTI Crude Oil - main 2607(CLmain)$ fell -8.2% during these five days). Th
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      Can $SPY $QQQ Extend Their 8-Week Winning Streak?
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·05-19

      $SPY Holds Key Demand While $NOW Flashes Bullish Reversal Signals

      1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Dip buyers jumped in close to the 7,360 daily demand zone. The candle suggests a bullish reversal, the MACD crossover indicates the trend is switching, making further decline likely. The gap at 7,273 is a must-watch zone. Received two questions in different platforms -> to clarify: The bearish MACD suggests the bullish trend is switching. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 2. $ServiceNow(NOW)$ It's now or never for ServiceNow. Reversal signs are accumulating, and the price action remains structurally bullish above 92.4. $iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF(IGV)$
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      $SPY Holds Key Demand While $NOW Flashes Bullish Reversal Signals
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·05-17

      Relevant Bearish Signals Take the Lead

      Back in November 2025, I published a special study outlining our primary bullish target for 2026: 7,470 on the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . Today, that exact mark has been reached, defying the widespread pessimism observed back in March. That analysis was rooted entirely in documented technical patterns, with zero gut feeling involved. Last Wednesday, our Market Intelligence study provided a clear roadmap for what to expect over the next few months, and Friday’s reversal appears to strongly validate the thesis we laid out. Furthermore, back on March 28, this publication highlighted the high probability of a bounce. By disciplined tracking of our weekly SPX levels and key technical indicators, we successfully navigated a 16%+ rally using one simple rule:
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      Relevant Bearish Signals Take the Lead
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·05-16

      Stocks on Cautious Note as Yields Spike and Tech Slips

      U.S. equities retreated from recent record highs as geopolitical friction and a sharp bond market decline weighed on investor sentiment. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ printed a muted week with a net gain of +0.13%, the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ closed muted -0.1%, and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ declined -0.38%. Sector dynamics told a divergent story. Energy outperformed sharply, rising +6.7% during the week ( $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ ), while high-growth equities bore the brunt of the selloff. Discretionary dropped 3.1%, reflecting renewed caution. Materials and utilities also surrendered 2% each as Treasury volatili
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      Stocks on Cautious Note as Yields Spike and Tech Slips
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·05-15

      SPX Structure: Why Bears Should Stand Ready

      The stock market continues moving in euphoric mode, and the question now is: what is coming next? Today, 7,460 was reached by the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ , very close to a level I anticipated since November 2025. We are going to study what to expect from the market moving forward, considering the current overbought conditions and the recent price action. Regarding our high-probability trades posted last Saturday, a bullish move was anticipated for $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , targeting 445 for a 3.5% move 🎯. That target was reached and surpassed today. Now, monitoring price action using daily levels is worth considering, as the stock is showing some overextended conditions. Another bullish setup anticipated was
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      SPX Structure: Why Bears Should Stand Ready
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·05-15

      Mega-Caps Keep SPX Bullish Despite Weak Breadth

      The market remains in a cautiously bullish regime. The rally continues, and fighting the trend can be risky; as mentioned yesterday, using specific levels to identify a bearish reversal is more effective than trying to anticipate one. Market breadth remains weak: just 41% of the stocks listed in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ are above their 20-day moving average, and only 46.5% are above their 50-day moving average. In the Weekly Compass, we discussed the importance of maintaining at least 50% participation, a threshold currently only being met by the 200-day moving average. This essentially shows that while momentum is bullish, there is a significant divergence. Proceeding with caution is essential, as the rally is narrow and driven by a few mega-caps.
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      Mega-Caps Keep SPX Bullish Despite Weak Breadth
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·05-10

      The Value of Objective Discipline: Navigating a +16% Rally

      Can Technology Alone Sustain the Rally as Market Breadth Deteriorates? On March 28th, this publication anticipated how oversold the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ was, based on three essential technical indicators. Premium subscribers were able to see the confluence of these metrics and the high likelihood of a bounce, a move that was confirmed once the Central Weekly Level (CWL) of 6,458 was recovered. This occurred on Tuesday, March 31st, as the S&P 500 rallied 2.9%. Additionally, I introduced my Founding Members' daily levels for all subscribers. These provided an early bullish signal as long as the price remained above 6,362, offering an extra layer of validation, earlier entry for longs, and enhanced risk management. Because a gap was left open that
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      The Value of Objective Discipline: Navigating a +16% Rally
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·05-09

      Stocks Hit Record Highs as AI Boom, Strong Jobs Data, and Tech Earnings Fuel Market Rally

      The U.S. stock market had a milestone week ending May 8, 2026, characterized by record highs and strong economic data that countered ongoing geopolitical tensions. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ both hit fresh all-time highs as the “V-shaped recovery” and the “Three Weekly Soldiers” setups continue being validated. This is the sixth consecutive weekly gain for the SPX and the NDX. Technology and semiconductors continued to lead the charge, fueled by persistent demand for AI infrastructure. Conversely, the energy sector lagged mid-week but saw late recovery as oil prices fluctuated. April Jobs Report: The U.S. economy added 115,000 jobs in April, nearly double the 65,000 expected. The unemplo
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      Stocks Hit Record Highs as AI Boom, Strong Jobs Data, and Tech Earnings Fuel Market Rally
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·05-07

      Weekly Compass: $TSLA $SLV $GOOGL Continue Bullish Follow-Through 🚀

      Before we dive into the 50-year historical study, let’s look at how our high-probability setups from last Saturday’s Weekly Compass are performing. Of the nine setups identified, seven remain active in the expected direction: $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ : +3.1% (Bullish as expected) $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ / Bitcoin: +3.9% / +4.2% (Bullish as expected since a month ago!) Silver ( $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ ): +2.7% (Bullish as expected) $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ : +2.5% (Bullish as expected) $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : +2.0% (Bullish as expected) $Berkshire
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      Weekly Compass: $TSLA $SLV $GOOGL Continue Bullish Follow-Through 🚀
       
       
       
       

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