SmartReversals

I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.

    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·15:04

      MAGS Downtrend Persists, Bulls Only Above $61.2

      $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ The Mag7 ETF shows the situation for the giants: Weakening price action and here a downtrend set by the 20 daily average. The lower highs and lower lows is narrowing. A breach of $61.2 would trigger a revisit of the lows and a validation of the reversal candle. That said, bullish above $61.2. As the oversold McClellan Oscillator and the breach of the lower Bollinger Band suggested, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ price was set for a bounce today. The index now must sustain itself above the key weekly level to validate this move. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks,
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      MAGS Downtrend Persists, Bulls Only Above $61.2
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·03-10 15:37

      $SPX Holds Key Level as $QQQ Shows Extreme Oversold

      U.S. equities staged a technical rebound after extreme oversold signals triggered across key indicators. With the S&P 500 attempting to hold a critical weekly level and Invesco QQQ Trust showing historically deep oversold readings, the recent selloff may be approaching exhaustion even as volatility remains elevated. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ As the oversold McClellan Oscillator and the breach of the lower Bollinger Band suggested, price was set for a bounce today. The index now must sustain itself above the key weekly level to validate this move. 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ The Money Flow Index is as oversold as the 2023 correction and the 2025 bottom. It sits BELOW COVID crash levels, exceeded only by the 2022
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      $SPX Holds Key Level as $QQQ Shows Extreme Oversold
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·03-08

      $SPX $IWM $DJI Extreme Oversold Levels Hint at Bounce

      U.S. equities are flashing short-term oversold signals across multiple indices, with extreme readings in breadth indicators and Bollinger Band breakdowns suggesting a potential technical bounce after the recent selloff. 📉📊 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The McClellan Oscillator has reached levels where price action begins to form a bounce, including the August 2024 Carry Trade selloff and the 2025 Tariff Crash. 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Price printed an isolated candle below the lower Bollinger Band. The high daily volume validates the significance of this formation. Sell-offs rarely move in a straight line; a formation like this often marks a local bottom or a "climax" event. 3.
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      $SPX $IWM $DJI Extreme Oversold Levels Hint at Bounce
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·03-08

      When the Strait of Hormuz Decides the Price of Everything

      Geopolitical events present a unique pricing challenge for financial markets. Unlike earnings reports or Federal Reserve decisions that arrive on a known schedule, geopolitical shocks are by nature unpredictable, rare, and of uncertain duration. This combination of characteristics creates a specific market dynamic: sharp initial reaction driven by uncertainty, followed by rapid reassessment as facts emerge. There are three primary channels through which geopolitical shocks affect asset prices: 1) disruption to cross-border trade and investment, 2) contagion through financial linkages, and 3) elevated macroeconomic uncertainty. Of these three, uncertainty has the longest-lasting effect because it cannot be resolved until the event either escalates or de-escalates. Markets do not price the e
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      When the Strait of Hormuz Decides the Price of Everything
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·03-07

      U.S. Equities Turn Volatile as Macro Risks Rise — $SPX $NDX $IWM

      U.S. equities closed a turbulent week. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ posted a -1.3% weekly loss, outperforming the other major indices despite of the decline. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ declined -3.0% for the week, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ lost -2.0%, and the small-cap $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ fell -4.0%, reflecting the reduced risk appetite that defined the period. Our Support and Resistance levels continue to frame the price action, with the SPX oscillating between the anticipated Central Weekly Level (CWL) of $6,882 and the extended bearish target of 6,745. We see the same pattern in IWM which topped slightly above its CWL of $261.0 b
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      U.S. Equities Turn Volatile as Macro Risks Rise — $SPX $NDX $IWM
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·03-06

      MAGS Lead Tech Rebound: Sector Rotation Signals Bullish Reversal vs Defensives

      $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ The magnificent seven are showing signs of a sustainable bullish reversal. The price bounced from the lower Bollinger band and the oscillator is curling up from oversold zone. In parallel, tech $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ closed green while defensives declined today. Reversal Rotation. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Over the last two weeks, I published two special editions on Sector Rotation. Rather than chasing the "Great Rotation," I anticipated that the trend was already overextended. Tech is now reclaiming relative strength while defensives are under pressure…as expected. $Invesco
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      MAGS Lead Tech Rebound: Sector Rotation Signals Bullish Reversal vs Defensives
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·03-05

      SPX Rebounds but 4H Indecision Signals Caution

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ As anticipated, the price action suggested a bounce; after a -2% selloff, the index is returning to neutral territory for the week. However, indecision in the last 4H suggests caution. The question remains: is this a sustainable reversal or merely a relief rally? Moves do not happen in a straight line, and the price action today suggest a lot of caution for bears. Be careful being too bearish right now, risk management is key. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs – Greater
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      SPX Rebounds but 4H Indecision Signals Caution
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·03-05

      Sector Rotation Reversal: Tech Stabilizes as Defensives Pull Back

      Over the past two weeks, I published two special analyses regarding sector rotation, highlighting that the “Great Rotation” had become overextended. My thesis was clear: Technology, Discretionary, and Finance were overstretched to the downside, while defensive sectors like Healthcare, Consumer Staples, and Materials were overbought and due for a consolidation. The market has validated this move this week: Staples are down -3.2%, Materials -2.8%, and Healthcare -2.0%. Meanwhile, Technology is in the green +0.8%, with Discretionary and Financials flattening out despite of the recent selloff. These conditions confirm the “stretched rotation” thesis based on technicals presented last week, and today we will use specific technical levels to determine if this trend has further room to run. Preci
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      Sector Rotation Reversal: Tech Stabilizes as Defensives Pull Back
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·03-02

      $META $AAPL $PLTR show reversal and breakout potential

      This week’s market scan shows $META poised for a possible bear trap bounce, $AAPL signaling bearish continuation after oscillator reversal, and $PLTR displaying bullish momentum with breakout potential toward 150. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Each Weekly Compass provides a full market assessment covering indices, volatility, breadth, and a set of high-probability setups. While geopolitical tension kept META off the official list for now, it is my "9th setup" if we see a bear trap and bounce this week (Link Bio) 2. $Apple(AAPL)$ Indecisive price action has preceded pullbacks, and an oscillator crossover has signaled a bearish reversal. While price found support at the ascending diagonal, Friday's candle
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      $META $AAPL $PLTR show reversal and breakout potential
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·03-01

      Volatility Returns? Tactical Setups in SPX, QQQ, SMH, GLD Amid Iran Risk

      In early 2025, I modeled a potential decline to $4,800 for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ; the index eventually bottomed at $4,830 in April. This followed my previous warnings regarding the July 2024 selloff, which ultimately found its floor during the Yen carry-trade liquidation in August. Today, we are witnessing a distinct asymmetric condition in the market. Sectors outside of Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Financials are rallying, while Tech, Megacaps, and Bitcoin (BTC used as a “risk-on” thermometer), have already reached oversold conditions. This is atypical, as major market tops are usually characterized by synchronized overbought conditions across all sectors. In today’s publication you will read the different signals to watch ahead of
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      Volatility Returns? Tactical Setups in SPX, QQQ, SMH, GLD Amid Iran Risk
       
       
       
       

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