To The Moon

Last week the Weekly Compass presented 12 setups 10 reached their targets, 1 neared their target, only 1 moved in the opposite way. or remained constructive, resulting in a 91.6% effectiveness rate. The targets were based on these modeled support and resistance levels, and I was doubtful of some of them reaching their target considering the previous two rally weeks, but once again, these levels frame price action and in the same way that they worked in bearish weeks during march, they worked well during this bullish move. Top Performing Setups Bitcoin / IBIT: This was my high-conviction play regardless of broader market action. IBIT hit the extended target of $43.7 and closed the week at $43.9, delivering a robust +5.7% move. If you trade Bitcoin the move is even better for a +9% this week

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ During the last 2 years, RSI 70+ triggered pullbacks 8/10 times. The other 2 instances saw flat consolidations. 80% chances for a healthy pullback? Pullbacks post-2025 rally were mild. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ And rapid 10% rallies in 10 days historically show strong follow-through. Data indicates a +0.6% average move 1 week later, +2.5% at 1 month, and +17% after a year. Even in exceptions like 2000, the trend holds for the first 3 months before pathways diverge.

Markets are pushing into fresh highs, led primarily by large-cap tech, as momentum remains strong but increasingly stretched. While breakouts across SPX, QQQ, AAPL, and TSLA signal continued bullish control, early signs of overheating are emerging with META and broader indices approaching key technical thresholds. With participation still relatively narrow and volatility compressed, the current setup suggests the uptrend remains intact—but a near-term consolidation or pause is becoming more likely as the market digests recent gains. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Fresh all time highs and the price has just entered early greed territory. The RSI is not yet overbought, and the upper B. band suggests continuation. The bull train could offer soon a consolidat

Back in November 2025, I posted a special study on the likely 2026 targets for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ The thesis indicated targets above the current all-time highs of 7,023 reached today for the SPX. During the recent months of volatility, I also posted special studies indicating that pullbacks and corrections are normal during bull markets before the major tops are reached; that is exactly what we are seeing right now. The link to that November study about target is here: Stage of the Market: SPX and NDX Price Targets I share high-probability trades and technical analysis on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays including special levels for paid subscribers, and I also post on Wednesd

S&P 500 Index continues to show strong momentum despite overbought conditions, with key support now defining the trend. Meanwhile, NASDAQ 100 Index and iShares Russell 2000 ETF remain bullish, but extended setups increase the risk of near-term pullbacks. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ From free fall to anti-gravity. In three weeks, the shift in sentiment has been remarkable. Price action breached the upper Band under overbought conditions. While indecisive candles precede pullbacks, today’s candle shows conviction. $6,930 is the key support to watch. 2. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ A gap-up at the open is coming. Given the overbought oscillator, it's prudent to avoid chasing longs. Price action remains bullish above $25,

Last Saturday, the Weekly Compass indicated that risk/reward still favored the bulls, but a specific “must-conquer” level was required for continuation. Today, that level was reclaimed with conviction. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ showed resilience this morning. I shared the key levels in the premium chat before the market opened, featuring the $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ chart holding the 50-DMA. SPX: $6,823 was the essential daily level separating bullish and bearish conditions. After a bounce at the $6,786 support zone at 9:45 AM, a daily bottom emerged, by 9:50 AM, $6,801 was reclaimed, and by 12:20 PM, the SPX formally turned green, launching toward our high daily target of 6,876. Price l

In last Saturday’s Weekly Compass, I noted that our high-probability setups were contingent on the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ conquering $6,816. The market offered a gift with Monday’s negative opening; once that key level was reclaimed during market hours, more precisely at 10:40 AM, the panic cleared. Both long-term investors and traders watched as the SPX crossed that line slowly, with no rush, giving a gentle opportunity to take action. Once in bullish territory, the high-probability setups were triggered. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$

S&P 500 Index is regaining momentum after reclaiming key levels, reinforcing a continuation setup. Strength in Palantir Technologies Inc. contrasts with consolidation in Meta Platforms, Inc., highlighting a still-resilient tape. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Even bulls didn't expect this. Once the price bounced from the daily support zone of 6,786, it began gaining traction, then the key daily level of 6,823 flipped to support. With the 100DMA now recovered, the move suggests continuation. Levels posted this morning in chat. 2. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ As noted in Saturday’s Weekly Compass (link attached), price action was primed for a reversal. Following today's +4.5% surge, the full analysis is a

Invesco QQQ Trust, Broadcom Inc., and Alphabet Inc. are all flashing the same message: stretched conditions + indecision = higher odds of a pullback. This isn’t bearish — it’s positioning. 1. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ Indecisive candles and the Stochastic in overbought zone have preceded pullbacks. As noted in yesterday’s Weekly Compass, I remain skeptical of another consecutive rally week; a gap-fill attempt is likely. The pullback trigger came up this morning - Price action is PRIMAL. 2. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ When Broadcom breaches the upper Bollinger Band, a retracement toward the 20DMA follows, usually no exceptions. This stock is permanently analyzed in the Weekly Compass, including charts, daily price levels and

Market breadth is weakening as momentum cools. $SPX participation is rolling over, while $SMH points to a healthy consolidation phase. At the same time, $TSLA sits at key long-term support and $PLTR shows a potential bullish reversal signal. The market may be shifting from trend to consolidation, with selective setups emerging. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The percentage of stocks above their 20DMA has reversed from 70%, usually a consolidation follows; this time potentially below the 50DMA. The market was driven by strength in Tech and Materials, overall participation was negative. 2. $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ Two weeks ago I posted in my publication that semiconductors would outperform the market at the