SmartReversals

I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.

    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·08:49

      NDX, IWM & AAPL at a Crossroads: Fading Momentum and Key Support Tests

      1. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ A big move is coming. The vanishing move on Friday, validated by volume suggests that the 20DMA could be breached after being tested several times during the last two weeks following the bounce. The lack of bullish conviction is notable. 2. $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ Pullbacks in the Small Caps have been preceded by one of two factors: an overbought RSI or indecisive candle structures. We are seeing a confluence of both, suggesting an imminent "breather" for this outstanding rally that outperformed both $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ and $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ recently. 3.
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      NDX, IWM & AAPL at a Crossroads: Fading Momentum and Key Support Tests
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·08:45

      Cracks Under the Surface

      Cracks Under the SurfaceWill Earnings Season Reverse the Weakening Technical Structure?Discipline, Precision, and Market NeutralitySuccess in the markets is built on disciplined technical analysis and the precise execution of price targets. This week, 7 of our 9 high-probability setups were successful, providing our subscribers with clear, actionable insights.A core tenet of our strategy is market neutrality. Upside momentum can be monetized through longs or call options, as well as downward moves via shorts and puts. Leveraged ETFs are also part of the equation for broader indices and specific mega-cap. Being truly neutral also considers rotation, finding opportunity wherever it emerges, whether in Tech, Retail, Finance, Pharma, Metals, Crypto, or Bonds. My only strict requirement is that
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      Cracks Under the Surface
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-18 08:11

      $SPY Momentum Fades, Support Test Near $686 Likely

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : The bullish momentum seen on Thursday and Friday mornings vanished by the close, printing a series of lower highs and a breach of the diagonal support. With the MACD curling downward, the structure suggests a test of $686.4 reinforced by the 20DMA next week. This seems to be exactly the opposite of the trend of $S&P 500(.SPX)$ :The hammer candle formed yesterday after bouncing from the 20DMA in confluence with $6,912 (one of the levels for this week) suggested a continuation for the bounce. The futures are suggesting the thesis is valid. Despite of the red day, breadth improved. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up
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      $SPY Momentum Fades, Support Test Near $686 Likely
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-17 09:12

      Capturing Opportunity in a Muted Market

      The stock market concluded the week on a soft note, leaving major benchmarks lower as investors weighed solid economic data against renewed policy uncertainties. The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dipped -0.4% and the Nasdaq 100 $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ fell -0.9%, while Small-caps $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ rallied to secure a 2.2% advance. Overall volume remained subdued, reflecting a market in search of fresh catalysts.This price action mirrors what we saw in November and December 2025: indecisive days, dips that are quickly bought, and rallies that evaporate just as fast. Since then, I have emphasized the power of individual names during times of consolidation.
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      Capturing Opportunity in a Muted Market
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-17 08:39

      $AVGO Target Hit, Reversal Confirms Gain Capture

      $Broadcom(AVGO)$ The CWL of $343.5 was conquered on Monday morning suggesting a clean entry, by Tuesday the target was reached, securing a 3.3% gain. The chart shows a bearish daily shooting star candle that suggested exhaustion and a likely reversal considering the confluence of resistance levels, starting from our target, the upper Bollinger band, and the volume shelf. Locking gains was wise, the recent selloff is not a technical surprise, and considering the breach of $343.5, there is an invalidation of the bullish setup for now, but we made a decent 3.3% gain.For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
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      $AVGO Target Hit, Reversal Confirms Gain Capture
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-17 08:38

      $JPM Bearish Setup Plays Out, Oversold Bounce Likely

      $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ The Weekly Compass called it as bearish last Saturday. Note the precision of the selloff following Friday’s daily shooting star candle and the subsequent loss of the $324 Central Weekly Level (CWL). When price opened below the CWL on Monday, it validated a high-conviction short position. (As a reminder: investors can profit from downward moves through shorting just as they do from upward moves through long positions). JPM hit our initial targets of $323, $317.7, and $310.8 in rapid succession. When a level is breached with such conviction, you can navigate the move by trailing your stops lower, using the “support-turned-resistance” levels as a guide. Today JPM has reached oversold levels with an indecisive candle validated by
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      $JPM Bearish Setup Plays Out, Oversold Bounce Likely
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-17 08:35

      $COST Bullish Target Hit, Consolidation Likely

      $Costco(COST)$ After breaking out from oversold conditions last week, the price action signaled a bullish continuation (as noted in the latest Weekly Compass considering additional indicators) with a target of $950.8 (+2.8%). Since the price held above the $905.8 Central Weekly Level (CWL), the bullish path was clear by Monday morning. Today, a trader might choose to lock in gains at the target or navigate the move by trailing their stop higher. The daily timeframe now reaching overbought levels relative to the Bollinger bands and the Stochastic oscillator suggests some consolidation. Not to mention the precision of our target set before the week started!For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SG
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      $COST Bullish Target Hit, Consolidation Likely
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-17 08:33

      $AMZN Bounce Setup After Bollinger Reversal

      1. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Shooting stars at the upper Bollinger Band provide reversal signs. Price reversed following Monday’s signal, pulling back and bouncing off the confluence of the 20DMA and the volume shelf. The price action in the last two candles opens a path for a potential bounce. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 2.ETHOne of my top high-probability setups for this week, rallying +9.2%✅. As anticipated in last night's update, consolidation is in play at the 100DMA. Bullish continuation is likely even if there is a healthy pullback. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy acce
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      $AMZN Bounce Setup After Bollinger Reversal
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-16

      $SPX Bounce Holds, $LLY Setup Plays Out, $NVDA Tests Key Support

      1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The hammer candle formed yesterday after bouncing from the 20DMA in confluence with $6,912 (one of the levels for this week) suggested a continuation for the bounce. The futures are suggesting the thesis is valid. Despite of the red day, breadth improved. 2. $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ Each week I post high-probability setups. Eli Lilly was on the list with a $1,020 target (-4% move). The setup is playing out. Neutrality: I was bullish for several weeks and capitalized on the momentum. The reversal was anticipated again🎯 3. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVDA is a textbook case of why chasing premarket rallies is risky. The rally faded completely to print a shooting
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      $SPX Bounce Holds, $LLY Setup Plays Out, $NVDA Tests Key Support
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·01-13

      PYPL vs PLTR:Why Fundamentals Alone Don’t Explain Stock Moves

      While some investors believe stock prices are driven solely by fundamentals, price action often tells a different story. Fundamentals are undeniably important, but they do not always correlate with immediate price trends. $PayPal(PYPL)$ is a prime example of this divergence. Despite boasting robust fundamentals and over $8 billion in revenue, the stock has been excessively punished. Five years after being a market favorite, it currently trades at just one-sixth of its 2021 peak. This illustrates why relying on fundamentals alone is often insufficient.There are entirely valid fundamental reasons to buy PayPal. You could justify an investment based on its P/E ratio of 11, or the fact that Transaction Margin Dollars (gross profit) have grown +6-7% fo
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      PYPL vs PLTR:Why Fundamentals Alone Don’t Explain Stock Moves
       
       
       
       

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