SmartReversals

I care about helping you navigate this market. Nowadays, it's all about permabears & permabulls, I use technical indicators with objectivity. God First.

    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-11 08:43

      Has the S&P 500 Finally Reached a Bounce Zone After a 4% Selloff?

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ After a -4% pullback, the index has reached the lower Bollinger band and the oscillator is curling up. There is space for further decline until reaching oversold conditions, but a breather is possible. Will be on Friday when $Space Exploration Technologies(SPCX)$ is literally launched? The S&P 500 closed at 7,386.65 (-0.26%) after a session with high volatility; for second day the confluence zone of the Central Monthly and Central Weekly level acted as resistance (details below), and our bearish weekly target of 7,294 posted in the Weekly Compass ahead of this week was reached and exceeded today (-1.2% versus Friday’s close). The anticipated gap fill to $7,212 had a first serious a
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      Has the S&P 500 Finally Reached a Bounce Zone After a 4% Selloff?
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-11 08:40

      The IPO That Could Change Markets Forever: SpaceX Arrives

      SpaceX - Largest IPO in Financial History, What to Expect The biggest launch this week is not on a soccer field - Technical study of major IPOs The World Cup may kick off tomorrow, but the stock market has its own main annual event this Friday. On June 12, 2026, SpaceX goes public on the Nasdaq under the ticker $Space Exploration Technologies(SPCX)$ , and it is set to be the largest IPO in financial history. The numbers are built for headlines: a valuation near $1.77 trillion, a share price of $135, and a rare 30% allocation reserved for retail investors. For once, Retail Traders get a seat at the table from day one. In a typical IPO, almost all the shares at the offering price go to large institutions and favored clients of the underwriting banks
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      The IPO That Could Change Markets Forever: SpaceX Arrives
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-10 10:46

      Fear Rising, Bears Still in Control as $SPX Bounce Fails at Key Levels

      The market's inability to build on oversold conditions points to a fragile backdrop. For now, every failed bounce strengthens the bearish case. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Fear is rising after an extended period of dumb money confidence, which usually precedes declines. Sentiment indicators like Fear & Greed or Smart/Dumb Money do not time turning points like price action, but they signal when to stay in defensive mode, like today. Technical bounces following a sell-off are normal, but today's bounce completely vanished, validating the bearish thesis. Not even the daily level of $7,431 posted last night for everyone subscribed was recovered. The chart remains bearish and suggests a continuation lower. 😍 Been eyeing Tiger merch but short on Tiger Coins
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      Fear Rising, Bears Still in Control as $SPX Bounce Fails at Key Levels
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-09 14:43

      $NDX $IWM $SMH Print Inside Candles as Market Awaits Direction

      As mentioned on Saturday in the Weekly Compass, “A temporary relief spike on Monday is possible,” and that is what the price action presented today. The reason is simple: short-term timeframes were extremely oversold. As usual, the levels played a critical role today. Price action revolved around the Central Daily Level of 7,431, attempting to move north, but the CWL provided to our premium subscribers acted as precise resistance. Price action printed an inside candle for the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ and key ETFs like $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ and $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ . Inside candles reflect market uncertainty with neither side establishing clear directio
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      $NDX $IWM $SMH Print Inside Candles as Market Awaits Direction
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-09 14:40

      SPX & NDX Lose Key Momentum Levels as Volatility Returns

      Hello everyone, The futures session has opened and we are already seeing volatility. Prices opened in the red before staging a quick bounce. As mentioned on Saturday, a spike is possible, but the indices must recover their central weekly levels to provide stronger validation for a sustained bounce. I also outlined the less likely scenario of a gap down. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2606(ESmain)$ $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2606(NQmain)$ The key readings for this week include: 1. Support and Resistance Levels for the Week Ahead This report covers the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$
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      SPX & NDX Lose Key Momentum Levels as Volatility Returns
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-08

      $AAPL Top Signal, $TSM Shooting Star, $NDX Overbought: What's Next?

      The market remains near record highs, but bearish price action and overbought conditions are starting to flash caution signals. Key levels in $NDX, $AAPL, and $TSM could determine the next move. 1. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Such bearish price action at all-time highs suggests continuation. When those bearish candles are validated by an overbought RSI, the bearish likelihood increases. Can the market open green tomorrow? Yes, but it must prove any bounce by recovering key weekly levels. 2. $Apple(AAPL)$ TOP SIGNAL $AAPL is constantly analyzed in my Trading Compas (daily and weekly). We have navigated bounces and tops successfully by combining technicals and S/R levels. Link in bio for the full analysis and levels f
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      $AAPL Top Signal, $TSM Shooting Star, $NDX Overbought: What's Next?
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-07

      Nailed the Top: SPX 7,620 Reached and Overheated Conditions Validated

      U.S. equities closed the first week of June with steep losses as a stalled technology rally and rising interest rate expectations pressured the market. A much stronger than expected May labor report triggered the reversal from overbought levels called during the recent days (and reinforced on Thursday afternoon to paid subscribers). The U.S. economy added 172,000 jobs last month, far above forecasts of 85,000. The unemployment rate held at 4.3%, and upward revisions to March and April added another 93,000 jobs. The data erased expectations for near-term rate cuts. Investors sold government bonds aggressively, pushing Treasury yields higher and strengthening the dollar. Markets are now fully pricing a quarter-point rate increase by year-end under new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. Highe
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      Nailed the Top: SPX 7,620 Reached and Overheated Conditions Validated
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-06

      $SPX Target Achieved, Major Sell-Off Follows

      Over a month ago, I updated my $S&P 500(.SPX)$ bullish target to 7,638, utilizing the annual line that has been included in my charts since the beginning of the year. On Wednesday, I highlighted that this target could be considered effectively reached when the market printed all-time highs at 7,620. Following today’s sharp sell-off, that analysis has proven remarkably accurate 🎯. When I establish a target for a weekly, monthly, or annual timeframe, I rely strictly on technical indicators and support and resistance models mapped out well ahead of price action. As my paid subscribers know, this is not the first time an anticipated top has precisely triggered a major sell-off; the February 2025 top stands as another successful example. Yesterday
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      $SPX Target Achieved, Major Sell-Off Follows
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-05

      $SPX Rebounds, Tech Loses Leadership, and Sector Rotation Takes Center Stage

      The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ closed at 7,584.3 (+0.4%) after bouncing from the confluence zone of the 7,520 weekly level and the 7,515 daily level. The first validation of the bounce came at 10:00 AM with the recovery of the 7,534 daily level, followed by a move over the 7,559 central weekly level around 11:00 AM, establishing a bullish milestone that was consolidated when the central daily level of 7,570 held for the remainder of the day. These key levels were highlighted in yesterday’s Market Update (access here), alongside the potential bounce for $Alphabet(GOOG)$ and $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ . Both tech giants validated the bearish setups anticipated in the Weekly Compa
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      $SPX Rebounds, Tech Loses Leadership, and Sector Rotation Takes Center Stage
    • SmartReversalsSmartReversals
      ·06-05

      Choppy Markets Return: $SPX Hits Target as $AAPL, $IWM and $AMZN Reverse

      The stock market has entered a highly choppy environment characterized by rapid, day-to-day reversals. For instance, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ rallied 6.2% on Monday only to reverse -3.2% today. Similarly, $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ posted a +0.93% bullish move yesterday but is down -1.3% today. These sudden, signal-free shifts illustrate just how volatile conditions can get. As we observed during the reversals of February 2025 and February 2026, this type of price action requires extreme caution. Keep in mind that this choppy price action is triggering right after the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ neared $7638, the target I updated a couple of weeks ago. With this week’s recent
      526Comment
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      Choppy Markets Return: $SPX Hits Target as $AAPL, $IWM and $AMZN Reverse
       
       
       
       

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