To The Moon

Price action is becoming more nuanced, with the S&P 500 flashing short-term caution signals while the Nasdaq 100 strengthens on a higher timeframe basis. This divergence sets up a key moment for traders to watch both support levels and momentum confirmation. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The gap was filled with a bearish engulfing candle as the RSI fell from overbought levels (70). A tactical pullback/consolidation usually follows. Given the afternoon's indecisive price action, keep a close eye on $7,021; if lost tomorrow, the decline could deepen. 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ Over the last 10 years, bullish Stochastic crossovers on the weekly chart have ma

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ Overbought McClellan Oscillator +70 following a market bounce signals a short-term consolidation before the bullish continuation resumes. When the overbought condition is reached in a mature uptrend, it can precede a major pullback. The current case is a market bounce $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ The RSI has crossed 70 for the first time in 6 months. This initial move typically does not mark the top, it usually precedes consolidations before reaching higher highs. A +7.9% spike in the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ and indecisive price action reinforce the thesis for a gap fill at 7,051. $ServiceNow(NOW)$ Consolidat

GAP SYNCHRONY Distance vs. Friday Close: $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ : 702.78 (1.3%) RSI 73.5 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : 642.18 (-1.2%) RSI 74.5 $SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust(DIA)$ : 486.6 (-2.1%) RSI 69 Daily Volume validating reversal candles, mostly on DIA. Healthy consolidation ahead. Will the $686.3 gap be filled for SPY? (-3.7% downside). $Microsoft(MSFT)$ A Shooting Star has formed above the upper Bollinger Band, leaving two open gaps below and RSI >70. A reset is likely before another attempt to reach the $441 gap. After a stellar weekly run of +14%, a pullback would be a healthy reset of overbough

U.S. equities concluded the week on a decidedly bullish note, driven by major geopolitical de-escalation and a strong start to earnings season. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ advanced 4.5% for the week, crossing the 7,100 milestone for the first time and closing Friday at a record 7,125.36. This marks an 11.9% gain for the benchmark index over the past three weeks. The tech-heavy $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ rose 6.8% weekly to settle at 24,468.48, notching its 13th consecutive day of gains and extending its longest winning streak since 1992. The blue-chip $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ added 3.2% for the week to close at 49,447.92, while the $iShares Russe

The S&P 500 ($SPX) continues to show powerful momentum, supported by historically bullish RSI shifts. However, overbought conditions across mega-cap tech suggest the rally may pause before its next leg higher. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Smart Money was peaking and fear was at an extreme 15 at the end of March. Today, "Dumb Money" is peaking and greed has taken over 68. Rapid RSI changes on the weekly are strong momentum signals. Bullish follow-through 6 and 12 months later every time. Returns were also bullish 1 and 3 months later with the sole exception of 1994 which saw a consolidation before the bullish continuation resumed. 2. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ Upper Bollinger Band breached + overbought RSI have prec

Last week the Weekly Compass presented 12 setups 10 reached their targets, 1 neared their target, only 1 moved in the opposite way. or remained constructive, resulting in a 91.6% effectiveness rate. The targets were based on these modeled support and resistance levels, and I was doubtful of some of them reaching their target considering the previous two rally weeks, but once again, these levels frame price action and in the same way that they worked in bearish weeks during march, they worked well during this bullish move. Top Performing Setups Bitcoin / IBIT: This was my high-conviction play regardless of broader market action. IBIT hit the extended target of $43.7 and closed the week at $43.9, delivering a robust +5.7% move. If you trade Bitcoin the move is even better for a +9% this week

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ During the last 2 years, RSI 70+ triggered pullbacks 8/10 times. The other 2 instances saw flat consolidations. 80% chances for a healthy pullback? Pullbacks post-2025 rally were mild. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ And rapid 10% rallies in 10 days historically show strong follow-through. Data indicates a +0.6% average move 1 week later, +2.5% at 1 month, and +17% after a year. Even in exceptions like 2000, the trend holds for the first 3 months before pathways diverge.

Markets are pushing into fresh highs, led primarily by large-cap tech, as momentum remains strong but increasingly stretched. While breakouts across SPX, QQQ, AAPL, and TSLA signal continued bullish control, early signs of overheating are emerging with META and broader indices approaching key technical thresholds. With participation still relatively narrow and volatility compressed, the current setup suggests the uptrend remains intact—but a near-term consolidation or pause is becoming more likely as the market digests recent gains. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Fresh all time highs and the price has just entered early greed territory. The RSI is not yet overbought, and the upper B. band suggests continuation. The bull train could offer soon a consolidat

Back in November 2025, I posted a special study on the likely 2026 targets for the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ The thesis indicated targets above the current all-time highs of 7,023 reached today for the SPX. During the recent months of volatility, I also posted special studies indicating that pullbacks and corrections are normal during bull markets before the major tops are reached; that is exactly what we are seeing right now. The link to that November study about target is here: Stage of the Market: SPX and NDX Price Targets I share high-probability trades and technical analysis on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays including special levels for paid subscribers, and I also post on Wednesd

S&P 500 Index continues to show strong momentum despite overbought conditions, with key support now defining the trend. Meanwhile, NASDAQ 100 Index and iShares Russell 2000 ETF remain bullish, but extended setups increase the risk of near-term pullbacks. 1. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ From free fall to anti-gravity. In three weeks, the shift in sentiment has been remarkable. Price action breached the upper Band under overbought conditions. While indecisive candles precede pullbacks, today’s candle shows conviction. $6,930 is the key support to watch. 2. $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ A gap-up at the open is coming. Given the overbought oscillator, it's prudent to avoid chasing longs. Price action remains bullish above $25,